A李乘峰-

Keep your sights higher than your surroundings, and let your actions speak for themselves.

Yes, you’re not mistaken following me, Li Chengfeng. This Monday, I publicly took a long position on KND, hitting 4100 points again.

Strong traders don’t need to say much; the candlestick charts will tell you the story! $BTC #稳定币占比上升BTC主导地位下滑

Altcoins got doped? $ARB , $ZEC are shooting straight up, and many people are asking now: what’s the logic exactly? Can you still go short now?

The essence of this round of altcoin frenzy is the spillover effect of capital. The rhythm of a complete market cycle is basically: Bitcoin $BTC and mainstream coins like Ethereum rise first, and after the momentum of the mainstream rally fades, hot money in the market flows into lower-valued altcoins, kicking off an altcoin frenzy cycle. But be cautious: a full-blown breakout in altcoins often also means this rally has already entered the mid-to-late stage.

When altcoins collectively suck up liquidity, they divert funds from mainstream coins, and afterward it is very easy for the overall market to trigger a pullback and enter a phase of consolidation. Focus on the September 15 Clarity Act vote. I judge that the market is highly likely to reach a turning point shortly before the decision is finalized. Be sure to take profits at higher levels; I plan to look for an opportunity to open short positions around the 15th.

Of course, there is still one week left until the decision, and Bitcoin still has the possibility of challenging the 830 resistance level. If it breaks through successfully, the market could move up another level, such as 846 or 868. Long-term contracts can be taken off the table for safety, while I will continue holding spot positions and wait a few days to observe whether the breakout succeeds. If the breakout fails, I will take profits in batches as the 15th approaches, and then wait for a pullback before entering again.

For those who have not entered yet, do not blindly chase the high. You can patiently wait until late September. After major positive news is fully priced in, the market usually has a pullback window of about two weeks. That is the better time to get in from a value standpoint, so don’t miss the opportunity again. #ZEC市值超越DOGE

$ZEC The value of this wave is self-evident. After the pullback warning after breaking 1000, it rebounded to 1063, then 1150 was broken. The next target is 1260! #ZEC续刷历史新高

$ZEC Pulling onions from dry land, it was emphasized as early as Friday that the non-farm rebound was coming. If you didn’t get on board, hurry up. Looks like my perspective was still too narrow, 1063 wasn’t enough, and after another new high, above 1100 is the real destination! #ZEC续刷历史新高

What is called textbook-style positioning? Watch the livestream, brothers. Isn’t this wave of positioning awesome? Short at the non-farm high, let all exits happen at the 792 support, then wait for U.S. stocks to rebound above 796 before taking the short back. Isn’t the market moving according to my expectations? Those without a ticket should hurry up! Open on weekends, and as long as the market is here, I’m here! $BTC #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万

The non-farm payroll release caused a crash so quickly. I chased a short during the livestream, but the entry was not great. I took a small bite. Before the U.S. stock market opened, I analyzed the subsequent market trend. I didn’t expect the divergence, and the rebound height was within expectations. The support at 792 is very strong, but the non-farm data far exceeding expectations will only increase market sentiment panic as well as the probability of an interest rate hike. Lightly shorting at the rebound high seems like a better choice to me!$BTC #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万

$ZEC breaks historical high, 3 whale liquidations, a list totaling $3.27 million. It's Non-Farm Payrolls night. 1000 isn't our focus. The 888-978 range is a void zone—wait for the pullback below 978 and then catch the rebound upward. Target 1063! #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万

Bitcoin broke through the previous high in the early hours of the morning, and the pullback was limited. The market is still very much eyeing tonight's non-farm payroll data. Intraday trading is still likely to remain range-bound, and the hourly middle band has been hard to break through. For the short term, go ahead and take a small long position!$BTC #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万

The wind rises from the tips of green duckweed; the waves form between small ripples. Hey, good brothers—last night, was it a laugh-and-go-up-to-the-second-floor kind of win, or two packs of cigarettes keeping you up all night!
Good to see it—I'm also one of the victims. I cut my losses in time and didn’t let the floating losses worsen!
Last night, Fed officials released slightly dovish remarks, and the market’s concern about a September rate hike quickly cooled. The US dollar and US Treasury yields fell back, and risk assets rallied across the board. Big Coin surged by 5% and reclaimed the 810 level. In the short term, a large-scale liquidation of shorts triggered yet more momentum for the uptrend.

This evening, the heavyweight Non-Farm Employment data is set to take the stage—this is the key directional signal that will determine whether this leg of the rebound can continue. Market sentiment rapidly shifted toward greed, and ETF funds flowed back in. But be careful: after a big rally in the short term, data often triggers a reversal “good news is taken as profit and the rally peaks then falls.”

Looking at the technicals: at the daily level, it has decisively broken through the prior consolidation range. The medium- and long-term moving averages are all trending upward again, reopening the bull trend. However, the RSI indicator has already entered the overbought zone, so in the short term there may be a pullback and need for correction. Don’t chase prices blindly.

In summary, for intraday short-term trading, the suggestion is to go long on a pullback in the 797–802 range, with a target of 822. If it breaks through, watch 831; and if it holds steady again, it’s that line—above 868 again!
$BTC #美国初请失业金人数升至20.6万

Arrive at the end of the water, and sit to watch the clouds rise.
Good morning on Thursday of the third week of September. Yesterday, the small ADP non-farm payroll data came out on Wednesday; the seemingly positive news on the surface didn’t break out of the rebound space I expected. So where does the key lie? It’s Friday’s non-farm payrolls!
This is an important reference for whether September will raise rates. The spot Bitcoin ETF has shifted from the earlier continuous net inflows to a slight net outflow, and institutional capital is beginning to be cautious.
Overall leverage in the futures market has already clearly fallen, open positions are at a relatively low level, there’s no condition for extreme overheating, and the market lacks the scenario for a large one-way liquidation event. We’re now in a range-bound “grinding” phase before a directional choice.
The Fed’s expectations for a rate hike in September remain high. The dollar and U.S. Treasury yields stay strong, suppressing overall sentiment toward risk assets.

Looking at the technicals again: On the daily chart, the medium- to long-term moving averages are still pointing upward, and the larger-scale bullish trend structure hasn’t been broken. However, the MACD red histogram continues to shrink, and upward momentum for the bulls has clearly weakened. After pushing to higher levels, price falls back into a high-range consolidation. Multiple attempts to break through the strong resistance band of 800–815 failed. This area has accumulated a large amount of historical trapped positions and profit-taking sell pressure, making it difficult for the market to break through that supply wall easily in the near term.
On the four-hour chart, the Bollinger Bands are tightening, volatility is narrowing, and both sides keep sweeping stops back and forth.

In summary, before Friday’s non-farm data, keep trading within the 765–788 range for high sells and low buys. The key support at the 765 level hasn’t been effectively broken—so be cautious and let the “duo-tou” (bulls) lead! $BTC #美国8月ADP就业创1月来最小增幅

On Tuesday, September 1st, the summer sentiment has not yet fully faded, and in the blink of an eye, it is already autumn! The season of harvest has arrived—and crypto should be the same!

Throughout August, Bitcoin surged in a strong uptrend, with the monthly gain approaching 25%. The main driver was the sustained inflow of funds into the U.S. spot ETFs, which boosted spot buying and pushed this rally forward. However, at the Jackson Hole meeting, the Fed Chair delivered hawkish remarks, and the market raised expectations for September rate hikes—becoming an important overhead pressure.

This week, the market focus shifts to the U.S. Non-Farm Employment data. The figures will directly change expectations for Federal Reserve interest rates, bringing significant volatility to the crypto market.

Technically, after the price pushed up and met resistance above 810, it fell back. The coin has been trading at high levels within the 775–793 range. Bulls and bears have entered a phase of competition. The daily chart uptrend has not changed. Considering that the key messages this week have not yet fully played out, there is unlikely to be a one-direction move in the short term.

In summary, for intraday short-term trading, the suggestion is to sell near the top of the amplitude range and buy near the bottom—just that! $BTC #比特币8月上涨23%跑赢黄金股市

[Replenish Blood Plan]
Account equity: 20386
Record: 18 wins, 5 losses, 2 draws
Instrument: Big Pancake
Direction: Long
When I posted the strategy in the morning, the long entries were made a bit too early, and the position was relatively awkward, causing me to miss several short-term fluctuations that morning. But it was still a success in completing the challenge, with a 72% win rate—achieved the top goal!$BTC #日元贬值日本已投入970亿美元护盘

Start the 5k challenge to 20k at month-end a week ago【Recovery Plan】

Record every order truthfully—entry, exit, and profit/loss will all be publicly shared on the square. Every trade has a trail you can follow. No cherry-picking only winning trades; losses will also be written plainly.
Starting from the initial 5k, I’ve made it to 19.8k in my account. Only the final step remains to reach the 20k goal.

This path doesn’t have a god-like 100% win rate. When the trend is favorable, there are times to feast big—but there are also times when I’m wrong and must promptly exit and accept the loss.
Many people trade only to win. When they lose, they stubbornly hold on while fantasizing that the market will turn back, and in the end they drag the entire account down.

To go far, it’s not about gambling on luck for one trade. It’s about having a plan for every entry, cutting losses when you’re wrong, and being brave enough to hold onto profits when you’re right.

I’m about to reach the set target. In September, the next one will begin. Brothers, if you have any good ideas, feel free to chat in the comments. If you’re willing to learn trading mindset together, welcome to leave your thoughts here.$BTC #韩国单股杠杆ETF交易下降

On Monday, August 31, a new week begins—this is also the final battle of August. Even though the process is arduous, when all the sand is blown away, only gold remains. Brothers, did you also get some good gains?

First, let’s look at the chart. After pushing higher to 814 in the early stage, it met resistance and pulled back. On the daily timeframe, the RSI has fallen back from an extremely overbought zone, and bullish momentum has started to weaken—this is a pullback/repair phase following a big rally. On the 4-hour timeframe, the market is currently grinding in a range. The MACD’s bearish momentum is gradually converging and the selling pressure appears to be waning, but there is not yet a clear reversal signal to go long. Don’t blindly bottom-fish.

For the macro backdrop: after the Jackson Hole meeting, the Fed officials’ hawkish remarks from the Wirehouse sparked the market to reprice the probability of a September rate hike. Treasury yields moved higher, putting pressure on the crypto market.

Bitcoin ETFs, which had seen net inflows for 9 consecutive days, recorded outflows for the first time yesterday—institutions have paused adding in the short term. However, on-chain “whales” are still accumulating supply at low levels, and there is a clear divergence between bulls and bears.

On top of that, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East are disrupting global risk sentiment. As a result, Bitcoin and U.S. stocks have become more tightly correlated. Today’s market is mainly digesting the prior sharp gains through high-range consolidation, so it’s hard to expect a clean one-way trend.

In summary, for intraday short-term trading, the suggestion is to buy the pullback around the 768–773 range for targets at 788, 795, and 805.$BTC #韩国单股杠杆ETF交易下降

NVIDIA surged nearly 6% before the bell, and Huang Renxun’s remarks lit up market sentiment.
The AI sector gained momentum, triggering reactions like the “Big Bitcoin needle” and pushing the market up by as much as over 1,000 points.
News-driven moves come fast, and pullbacks come just as fast—the real contest is only just beginning.
Keep to the right timing and strictly adhere to risk control, so live trading can minimize risk to the lowest level$BTC #SEC向白宫提交加密托管规则提案

[Healing Blood Plan] Late tenderness, even a dog despises it. Last night during the livestream, it wasn’t pulled; it sat empty—wait for the notice! $BTC #比特币64亿美元期权将到期

【Replenishing Blood Plan】End-of-month adjustment from 5k to 20k
Account equity: 13245
Record: 15 wins, 3 losses, 2 draws
Instrument: Big Pancake
Direction: Long
Today’s summary: In the early hours, we saw a high point and then shorted, taking a solid profit. The live stream’s recommended long at the current price was not a problem. However, the entry price point they gave in advance was not good—the upside was too limited—so I couldn’t remind the brothers during the live session to close the long and reverse. Later on, I also didn’t blindly chase longs at low levels. Instead, I waited for the short-term downtrend to pull back and then scaled into longs. This also helped make up for the profit from the previous wave. Let’s call it a day for now!$BTC #比特币64亿美元期权将到期

【Replenish Blood Plan】5k challenge by end of month 20k
Short positions are profitable—space taken to the full. Netting a small profit of $1,400. Then switch long. Before July’s core PCE is released, all profits and losses will be settled! $BTC #美国加密股指数涨5.04%

【Back-to-Health Plan】Challenge 5k to 20k by end of month
Account equity: 11756
Record: 12 wins, 3 losses, 2 draws
Instrument: Big Bun
Direction: Long
Time conversion upside—when the market will reward people who have a clearly defined direction and unwavering confidence!$BTC #香港7月对内地黄金净出口56.193吨

July Core PCE + Barkin’s discussion panel = a grind during the day? What will the market do in the evening? Let’s take a look first!

Today’s crypto market is迎来 two major macro events that will directly determine the direction of Bitcoin’s late-session走势.

First, the U.S. will release its PCE inflation data. As the Federal Reserve’s official inflation benchmark, the quality of the data will directly sway market pricing of the timing of rate cuts.

Next at 23:45, Richmond Fed Chair Barkin, a 2027 FOMC voting member, will attend a discussion panel. As a core Fed voting委员, his remarks will further reinforce market expectations.

At present, Bitcoin is in a divergence phase at high levels after the prior push up. The daily indicators are overbought and there is already a need for pullback and correction. With the two events overlapping, volatility in the evening session will be significantly amplified.

I originally planned to look for selling at the high and set up a long position in advance near pullback support. But the price action has been too sluggish, and as of before posting, there hasn’t been any decent movement—so it’s just unavoidable. Then we’ll be patient again and stay put, waiting for tonight’s livestream, and we’ll talk more then!
$BTC #比特币受阻于81000美元50周均线