喜欢大饼的老男孩

It turns out BNB is more resilient than Bitcoin.
I've been keeping an eye on the BNB/BTC exchange rate lately.
I'm considering whether to dollar-cost average into it $BNB 🤔

Let’s celebrate
Having my first complete BTC at age 28 🤪

The cost of buying in installments for the big pancake has been brought down to 7.3.
We still have half of the positions to continue DCA (buying in installments).
Bitcoin under 100,000 is all very cheap.
I will keep DCAing.
In the next bull market, it will go to 20+
After the DCA ends, I will start swing trading to go long.

Stop—don’t keep going up
it really messes with my monthly investing plan

Before November, directly go all-in under 50,000

To buy 70% of the position before November, and to buy all remaining shares by the end of the year

I’ve been preparing my bargain-buy plan since New Year’s Day 26
For the big pie, I only want it in the 50-somethings
So far, it has only dropped 50% from the peak
If the bottom of this cycle has already formed,
then I’d rather miss the chance—I’ll pay for my own limitations in my own way $BTC

Under 40,000—open a coin-position long immediately with a leverage of more than 1x.
4.5 is also a good entry level.
If by the end of the year the price hasn’t reached the target level,
ignore the price and start placing orders on 2027.1.1.

After the 2028 halving, the cost to mine a Bitcoin

Between $93,000 and $96,000

So the bear market won’t last long.

Every time $BTC drops, there is a c2c price increase
It isn’t even increasing now—it’s going down
Is no one really playing in the crypto world anymore?

$ETH is already dead
A project
If it needs a foundation to continue “injecting” money for it to operate normally.
Then I think $ETH has already missed the best opportunity.

It’s like you open two physical stores
In the early stage, both stores have decent profits
You put the money you earned into your own pocket

In the later stage,
store B needs store A to continuously funnel money into it to keep it running

I think this business is very bad—at least in the real economy.
You should shut down store B to cut your losses
Instead of being a doormat or a cattle-like worker

From this point on, I will never touch $ETH again

Advice for Yourself in 2027

During the 2026 bear market phase, you should have accumulated about 3 BTC.

In 2027, or by the end of 2026,
if you encounter extreme price action below 40,000, don’t hesitate. Start a 1x BTC-denominated long, trade in batches and roll over—each time you profit 10%, close the position and then open a full-position 1x long again.

During this period, you will definitely hesitate: should you open 1x or 2x?
Open 1x!!!! Don’t create more pressure for yourself!

The target for rolling over is tentatively 5 times. And for BTC price action above 80,000, you need to think calmly before going long!!!
Try not to touch BTC above 80,000 for rolling over!!!

At this point where bear and bull markets alternate,
maintain your belief at all times and protect your position.
Try not to do any risky actions at all!!!

Focus on A8—surviving is more important than running fast.

26-year DCA (monthly investment) plan
Today
MA200 is at 62,643; current price is 60,146, which is 0.96%.
Expected to reach 6.5–6.6k by year-end.
The expected bottom range is between 4.55 and 5.5.
Start the DCA mode on the day when MA200 is lowered by 10%.
(Considering previous bear markets, the bottom has always been below the MA200 by the 0.7 level.)
The DCA lines are expected to start at 5.5–5.7.

DCA is divided into 2 positions
Position 1
From the start of the DCA, use the CDA strategy or pure DCA.
When the average entry price is above 5.5–5.7 (the DCA start-buy point), stop adding.
If it falls further, continue buying. Check how many days the buying was paused, and on the first day of resumption, buy everything at once.
For example: if the daily DCA is 500u, pause for 2 days, and then resume on the third day; on the third day, directly buy 1500u.
Daily consumption is fixed—no changes.

Position 2
Keep 30–50% to perform CDA DCA.

Plan 1
When MA200 drops by 3–5 points, use Position 2 capital to lower the average price.

Plan 2
If it is below 50k, buy with full allocation.

DCA investment goal:
In this round of bear market, try to obtain as much as possible of 3$BTC .
If anything abnormal occurs,
must fire off all remaining “ammunition” within the year-end.

Tomorrow we're fully linking up with the real US stocks! Last time cz's book jumped for so long at $币安人生 , how high can this $BNB go? Brothers, let's all stack up together!

$BNB Tomorrow, the real US stocks go live, bros let's all go long together!

$BTC is holding back for a big wave
In the short term, it should continue to pump up to around 83k
Then expect a major pullback of about 30%, a double whammy for longs and shorts
I've gone through two cycles and haven't seen any signs of a bull recovery
I've fully liquidated my position

Started DCA from May 1, 2022, until New Year's Day
The holding cost of $BTC is surprisingly ≈ $21,000
That's even lower than my previous bear market buy-in at $23,000
I'm waiting for $BTC to pull back 30% to start DCAing again
To avoid missing out.

With this rebound, being in cash makes me look like a fool
Let’s draft my own position plan
Btc down 55%, averaging in around 5.6k
BNB down 65%, averaging in around 420
Gt buying in when it hits the 5 range

In this bear market, I'm only bullish on these three
What do you recommend?

$BTC $BNB

The Google white paper says: it only takes 9 minutes to crack Bitcoin.

A few years back, the FUD about quantum computing "obliterating Bitcoin" had the crypto community on edge every bear market.

But breakthroughs in computing power are always fair—when quantum computers roll out, both cracking and encryption power will rise in sync, so there's no need to panic.

Hold your faith, be a friend of time.

2014: The government will kill Bitcoin

2018: Altcoins will replace Bitcoin

2022: Regulation will suffocate Bitcoin

2026: Quantum computing will end Bitcoin

Every cycle, the market creates new FUD,
not to validate risks, but to filter holders.

The narrative is changing, but the structure remains unchanged; panic is responsible for flushing people out, while time is responsible for amplifying returns.

In the past 10 years, those who continued to buy have seen their returns amplified several times over.
Most people are waiting for certainty, while a few are traversing the narrative cycle.

Every panic is an opportunity for wealth redistribution.