Is the crypto market a bull market or a bear market right now? Analyze it from three dimensions
Consider it rationally from three dimensions! Because bull and bear markets are driven by macro factors and logic, not by price fluctuations. The crypto market is very volatile, First, the macro perspective: In 2014, during the crypto bull-market top, the market cap was 100 billion yuan In 2017, during the crypto bull-market top, the market cap was 800 billion yuan In 2021, during the crypto bull-market top, the market cap was 3,000 billion yuan In 2026, is it currently 2 trillion? So here’s the question: in the crypto market, it’s an incremental market. In this round, the existing market—gold market cap—has also risen by more than 300,000 billion dollars. And even U.S. stocks are up significantly. Gold—August 2017: 80 trillion yuan Gold in December 2021: 120 trillion yuan Gold in 2025: 4.3 trillion yuan An incremental market versus a stock (existing) market—when you compare the two like this, all the problems are completely resolved,
In this round, the prince took the brothers to buy the dip in Bitcoin in July 2023 at 31,000. For Ethereum, the prince led the brothers to buy the dip in June 2025 at 2,200. Starting the end of June, he stressed that there might be a needle-insertion event that didn’t go through contracts—so they dodged 10.11. 6月底全网看空情况下,太子说以太坊2250正式启动主升浪,明确七月3800,六月底多次申明年底打底1.2万u,比特币10万时强调7月12万多位置。 太子带兄弟们提前躲过了10.11 唯一强调2026年八月开始主升浪!全网都等十月抄底
Still, the foreign KOL is incredible—Ansem has already looked at ZEC worth $20,000. Don’t rush—this leg of the main uptrend is the one I called for. Not long ago, everyone was singing bearish about it, and even the prince emphasized that there will be new highs. As for ZEC, the mid-term gains can’t outpace Ethereum.
Bitcoin still has 10x space, and people think an 80,000 bitcoin is expensive—so will they only think 120,000 next month is cheap? Listen to the recordings from the recent CZ Hong Kong conference these past two days. Someone asked CZ, “Is there still a chance now?” CZ replied, “The opportunities now are always greater than in the past.” He also believes Bitcoin will definitely still have 800x, 1000x upside. Honestly, this is the first time Prince has seen CZ describe it in terms of ‘100%’.
The U.S. wants to stockpile 1 million bitcoins, but if they keep dragging their feet like this, they may end up finding even themselves too expensive.
As early as May this year, Representative Nick Begich made the target very clear: he hopes the U.S. will ultimately hold about 5% of the world’s bitcoins—around 1 million—turning it into a “Fort Knox” for the digital age.
Three months have passed, and the latest action on the official legislative record for H.R.8957 still remains stuck at: referred to the House Committee on Financial Services.
At a BTC price of $80,000, 1 million coins on paper already amounts to $80 billion; if they truly went into the public market to buy 1 million, the marginal cost would only be higher than that figure.
When Trump signed an executive order in 2025, he even wrote it himself: there are only 21 million bitcoins, and countries that establish strategic reserves first have a strategic advantage.
Once again, the U.S. is doing what it does best: knowing something is scarce, while meeting to figure out how to buy it.
Gold can be stockpiled for decades—bitcoins won’t wait for Washington to finish its procedures.
Bitcoin in September will within 10 to 15 days quickly surge by around $15,000, and if it moves fast, it could even see a gain of up to $20,000. Going back to the previous post, the Prince emphasized that August is crucial: the first wave of Bitcoin’s rise would directly add $5,000 in a single day. Whatever speed it fell from the 82,000 level at is the same speed it would rise back at. Now, following that same logic line, September is coming. Last night, the first batch of smaller coins that had risen earlier stopped underperforming and, instead, started to rise as well. This is a signal that funds have shifted—from the Bitcoin I mentioned earlier—toward broadly diversified altcoins. Over these past few days, Wall Street has bought roughly $6 billion worth of Bitcoin; with capital concentrated to go all-in on Bitcoin, then altcoins will catch up, and in September the total market cap of cryptocurrencies will be between $4T and $5T!
Last night, Bitcoin hit the 25th position, but the altcoins didn’t reach that level. Some even went up against the trend. Bitcoin, too, has behaved like the Prince—these past few days, everything he said about 76,500 being just normal fluctuations has been accurate. The capital that concentrated fire on Bitcoin has now been dispersed into altcoins!
When it’s rising, you don’t dare chase. When it’s falling, you don’t dare buy. When it’s going sideways, you doubt every single day. And when it finally gets truly pulled up, you come out with another line:
“Prince, when are we getting on the train?”
Let me tell you—real big opportunities are never meant to make everyone feel comfortable jumping on.
It’s specifically designed to scare you off the train, and then let it rise all the way for you to watch.
So don’t spend the whole day staring at a single K-line and scaring yourself.
If an opportunity comes and you don’t dare take it, once the market proves that I’m right, what will you use to argue with me?
If you still believe in that whole “pressure level” playbook—after Bitcoin made a fake downtrend at $62,000, it simply headed straight to $55,000. And if you believe in the storyline on the news side: last year, when the Fed cut rates twice, it was supposed to go along with a big rally in U.S. stocks and gold.
First, look at the direction. Then look at the chip/tape structure. Next, look at the pace of the trade—how it moves, how it’s pulled upward, and what’s more favorable for it. The more abnormal it is, the faster it is, and the bigger the move—because human nature can’t take it for long. History repeats itself.
The crypto market is a game where one person thrives while ten thousand others die. Because the main force is completely unreasonable—it never plays according to normal logic. Its move order is too chaotic: a great hand can be played into a bad hand, and a bad hand can be turned into a bomb. Ninety-five percent of the time it torments your mind, and the last five percent of the time it reaps those who hesitate.
You think going sideways means weakness, but it goes sideways and somehow takes off. You think a plunge is the end, but it drops—and then directly doubles. You think it’s gone up too much and should pull back, but it keeps squeezing higher nonstop. You finally can’t take it and cut your position, and then the very next day it rallies.
The main force’s cruelest move isn’t to make you lose money.
It’s to make you experience countless rounds of torment, and then—when a bomb appears—have you personally hand over your chips.
合约跟单入口 Last month on the 19th, what Prince said is the same as now. On the 19th the price moved only slightly by 19%, and after a month it’s now making small fluctuations of 400%. The paper hands have already sold out and exited the car. The paper hands are already far behind us. As the end of October gets closer, the gap keeps widening. Once the main uptrend wave comes, the gap will get even bigger.
Still, the same point: it doesn’t prove that we’re profitable. What it only proves is that Prince’s low-leverage, low-multiple setup can秒杀 (instantly crush) the收益 of high-multiple leverage. And we’re getting closer and closer to the liquidation price. Prince used contracts at the best moment and at the lowest point to amplify the trend. Prince won’t roll positions; he amplifies profit by using the trend.
Go all-in on Zhuangshan Zhai to look for 50x! This is a once-in-five-years huge opportunity! Previously, in the live room, someone said an extreme thing: at the bottom, you have to aggressively go long, because this is an unchanging rule in the crypto market. Especially when the liquidity is not even fully poured into the crypto market yet, but the price is already at the bottom around the yearly line level. At the top, you have to aggressively go short, because in crypto, every move starts from tens of times up or down. Before the main pump wave, if you buy in, you can get tens of times. After the main pump wave, if you buy in, you can end up dropping tens of times. The market is extreme—you need to be more extreme ahead of him. This isn’t an attack; it’s a defensive strategy.
Go in early so you qualify to leave early. Once the price has risen 20x, everyone outside will be looking at 200x—that’s when you leave.
The bottom candlesticks have already made you confused. Add in media news from outside deliberately singing bearish, plus terrified retail traders who are frightened into flipping from longs to shorts—at this point you should be even more extreme. This is defense!
In the live room, a few brothers said they see Dogecoin reaching 15, and the shanzhai coins reaching 100x. Many people mocked him for daring to call 15. But fundamentally, how many people who trade coins aren’t crazy? Sooner or later, everyone goes crazy. The ones who go crazy earlier are stronger than those who go crazy later. People who are losing money basically are the ones who went crazy one step too late. Then the later-crazy people buy back the coins of the early-crazy people at a high price—commonly called chasing after FOMO.
When Dogecoin reaches $1, people will still—at that time—look at 15. Just like the last bull market: everyone who bought Dogecoin blindly expected $1 when it was already up to 300x at 0.2. And when it comes to watching for $1, those looking at 0.0006 versus those looking at 0.6 are two different kinds of people. Not talking about anything else—last year the prince talked about Ethereum at 2000, saying “when it reaches 10,000,” how many people were truly looking at 10,000? But what happened later? After it hit 5000, everyone completely changed their faces, and instead looked at 8000.
Why do so many people lose money? Because at the top, nobody stays calm in advance. Nobody wants to leave, and they end up losing dozens of times. The mood of people at the top is pure madness; people at the bottom, on the other hand, become colder and more rational. Most people end up getting the direction wrong.
At the bottom you need to get hot; at the top you need to have the means to put out your own fire.
All day eating this melon, eating that melon—if Sun Ge gets cheated out of a few hundred million dollars, he still has several billion dollars in hand. When the market move comes, instead of studying the situation properly, keep positions steady. Stop talking nonsense.
Bottom scorns you for going sideways, doesn’t believe, refuses at the highs—only after it’s over do you chase
At the bottom, it gives you a chance, and you look down on it. On the sideways range, it gives you time, and you doubt. At the breakout, it sends you a signal, and you hesitate. At the high level, it lets you exit to realize profits, and you go all-in.
Then you stand on the mountaintop and ask:
“Why do I always end up holding the bag after I buy in?
Because the real profits that belong to you—you never managed to capture even once.
The market trend hasn’t even moved out of the first 1% yet.
For today, that is, Friday’s options, the Prince sees it like this: we’re already in the phase of an upward chain reaction! So I believe that any bad news or good news now won’t be able to affect him—just like before when Bitcoin had no trouble with all the good news but still couldn’t push higher.
The Prince’s idea of a chain reaction is this: institutions buy first, BTC rises, institutions’ net asset value increases, miners’ balance sheets improve, selling pressure drops, and the industry’s financing environment gets better.
ETH and large-cap altcoins start catching up, while small-cap altcoins begin to surge, the “making money” effect appears, and retail investors move in.
Leverage increases, liquidity continues to expand, and the price rises again.
Most importantly, the upward move itself creates the conditions for the next round of gains.
BTC rises—institutions profit; the coins miners hold become more valuable, so they don’t feel rushed to sell. Project teams can raise funds more easily; exchanges, market makers, and mining companies see improved revenue, and overall risk appetite increases.
As prices rise, the profit effect attracts new capital, and the price keeps going up—an even stronger profit effect brings in more capital.
At the very beginning, only a small number of people believe it. After the price rises, it eventually forces more and more people to change their stance.
Remember this, brother: give up on SOL longs—he’s about to chop sideways. DOGE is the next wave after SOL. It’ll only be stronger than him. For any coin, once it’s confirmed as a strong-hand major player: the more abnormal it is compared to the overall market, the more abnormal the rally will be. SOL, that useless thing, has too many trapped longs. With so little room left, it’s still worse than Ethereum’s space.