$BTC Evening Viewpoint: Are you all a bit excited again, thinking you missed out on a big opportunity? Don't be too excited; there are opportunities every day. Missing once or twice doesn't matter, right? As long as you have capital, not losing is gaining. Don't feel like you've missed a billion; you shouldn't be anxious. The market won't just keep rising; there will be pullbacks. If you haven't entered yet, just observe; there will always be an opportunity for you to get in, but don't rush to enter for fear of missing out. Thinking like that will only lead to losses. 🍅 Talking through the chart: The current RSI for Bitcoin at the daily level has reached the overbought zone, which is a dangerous signal. This doesn't mean that as soon as RSI hits the overbought zone, it will immediately drop; it only indicates that the probability of a drop exceeds that of a rise, or that a pullback is likely. Right now, I will not chase the long positions; I would rather miss out or short at the highs, or wait for a pullback to go long; I will not chase long positions now. Bitcoin at 100587 shows a false breakout pattern, and a pullback to 97573 is a long opportunity; these two orders belong to the left-side orders and should be taken lightly. At 99433, a strong volume breakout failed to recover, watch for changes in volume. 🍅 If Bitcoin can break and hold above 100339 at the hourly level, we can look towards 100835-101402; if it doesn't go up today, then it's not going up. At the 4-hour level, if it breaks below 98721, the target below is 97389-95708; whichever direction gives a signal first, go with that. Choose one direction to trade, set a stop loss, and that's it. $BTC #Stripe稳定币账户 #BTC突破99K #BTC交易
1. Morning Star: Composed of a bearish candle, a bullish candle, and a doji, the specific shape is that the third candlestick's body penetrates deeply into the first candlestick's body. This is a signal that the market has bottomed out, leading to upward movement in the future.
2. Rising Sun: Appears in a downtrend, the specific shape is that a large bearish candle or medium bearish candle appears first, followed by a large bullish candle or medium bullish candle, with the bullish candle's body penetrating more than half of the bearish candle's body. This indicates that the market has bottomed out and will rebound in the future.
3. Flat Bottom: Appears in a downtrend, the specific shape is that the lowest prices of two candlesticks are at the same level. This indicates that the market has bottomed out and will rise in the future.
4. Three Consecutive Bullish Candles: Appears in an uptrend, the specific shape is that a large bullish candle or medium bullish candle appears first, followed by three small bearish candles, none of which manage to fall below the opening price of the bullish candle, and finally, a large bullish candle or medium bullish candle appears. This indicates an N-shaped upward movement in the market.
5. Gap Up: Appears in an uptrend, the specific shape is a series of gap-up openings, followed by a bearish candle in between, and ultimately, the closing price is higher than the closing price of the first candle. This indicates a bullish outlook for the future, and investors should buy.
6. Downward Probe Up: Appears in an uptrend, the specific shape is a sudden gap down opening, and the day ends with a large bullish candle. This indicates a bullish outlook for the future, and investors should buy.
Candlestick patterns can serve as references for trading, but actual operations should also consider a combination of technical indicators, structure, volume, fundamentals, and other signals for participation. Friends interested in this are welcome to exchange ideas together! #比特币预测
Incredible comeback: 3000U turns into 1 million! My "Anti-Human Wealth Formula" fully disclosed, 90% of people die on the third line
Last year's bull market When countless people lost everything overnight with 100x leverage I used this "Madman Trading Method" to turn 3000U into 7 figures Today I tearfully expose my operation manual
First Law: Use leverage "cautiously"! Retail mindset: All-in on 100x for a miracle My operation: Split 5x leverage into 5 bullets
First order 20% trial Withdraw principal after every 30% profit Profit portion automatically upgrades to "Death Squad" Last year's SOL market relied on this trick to eat up the entire fish body
Deadly details: Set "three-tier take profit" when breaking key levels 1. Reduce 20% position at 1.5x 2. Cash out 30% position at 3x 3. Let the remaining 50% run for profit
ETH from 1800→4000 operated this way Blood and tears truth: "Thinking the rise is too much and needs to correct" is a death trap!
In 2023, I witnessed: 38 million accounts died from guessing tops 12 million big shots exploded while "bottom fishing"
My life-saving mantra: "In an uptrend, go long only; in a downtrend, just watch During sideways periods... just delete the app!"
Second trick: orders should be like special forces ambush Ordinary people’s orders: market price + shaky hands My order system: 1. Breakout order = previous high + 1% (to prevent false breakouts) 2. Stop loss = cost price - 3% (absolute rule) 3. Black swan defense = 20% U cold storage
Magical EMA21 strategy: When the market laughs at me for being timid I wait for these golden buying points: Bull market pulls back to EMA21 moving average Volume shrinks to 1/3 of the previous high Exchange inventory suddenly drops
(Using this trick, I accurately bottomed ETH at 3688) Most painful realization: "Stop loss is not giving up, it's buying insurance for the account"
And my risk control rules: 1. Cut off immediately if capital loss reaches 5% 2. Protect principal when floating profit reaches 10% 3. Must withdraw 30% of weekly profit
Ultimate mindset: Spend 15 minutes every day on "Trading Review Three Questions" 1. Was this order planned or just impulsive? 2. Did I set the take profit and stop loss correctly? 3. How can I optimize next time?
After sticking to it for six months, win rate skyrocketed to 85% Warning: This method has already helped me capture in 2024: WLD bottom launch TIA mainnet launch market Ambush before BTC halving! Pay attention to TKO QKC LTC#加密市场回调 #数字资产法案 #比特币战略储备
$BTC Currently, it seems that the market is still in a continuous downtrend. It is recommended to observe changes in trading volume around 95200 and operate with a strategy of small-level adjustments. In the short term, the first support at 93500 is the previous low point on the 4-hour candlestick chart, and the price has maintained this range at least five times during consolidation.
Therefore, if the price breaks below this range, the probability of further decline will increase due to disappointment selling pressure. The current maximum downward space is around 92800. If the first support is broken, the probability of an N-shaped decline will be greater.
Due to the strengthening of the bearish trend, it is advised to choose ultra-short-term operations during rebounds. If the price rises without trading volume, operations should be conducted with a bearish outlook.
Resistance levels reference:
First resistance level: 95200 Second resistance level: 94300
Support levels reference:
First support level: 93500 Second support level: 92800
Follow Nini and click on the homepage to learn more~#比特币战略储备 #btc
The Truth About 90% of People Blowing Up Their Accounts: Change These 3 Habits to Survive! Have you experienced these as well?
Opening 100x leverage, making 10 trades isn't enough to avoid blowing up Following "masters" to make trades, only to become the bag holder
Holding on during losses, only to cut at the lowest point These aren't just bad luck, but the behavior that the market makers love, referred to as "retail trader behavior"!
Blood and tears lesson: I realized after losing 80% of my capital in a week Trading without rules = handing money to the exchange! Every "gut feeling trade" you make is considered a juicy target by the market makers
Self-check for three deadly traps! 1. Blindly following group friends saying this coin will rise 10 times! 2. Only to find out it's the market maker unloading, and you became the bag holder Abusing leverage: 100x leverage, wealth is just around the corner! Thrill for 3 minutes; blowing up takes only 1 spike 3. Refusing to admit mistakes Just hold on a little longer, it will definitely come back → Result: Bitcoin at 60k is cut, it rebounds to 90k... My "Survival Rule" (85% win rate)
Only trade trends over 4 hours Avoid the market maker's "15-minute fake-out" trap Focus on large swings, let profits run Risk-reward ratio < 2:1, never open a position Stop loss at 50 dollars, take profit at least 100 dollars
Earn once and cover two losses, math doesn’t lie
Single loss ≤ 2% of capital Tested to withstand 15 consecutive stop losses Surviving to the bull market makes you a winner Emergency warning! If you meet 1 condition, it's dangerous ⚠ Total losses exceed 50%, capital is nearing the bottom ⚠ Blown up more than twice, still betting on "recovering" ⚠ Can't even understand K-lines, relying entirely on "feel" for trades
Remember: The cruelest truth in the crypto world is— There are always opportunities, but 90% of people lack capital to wait for a bull market! Market makers fear you trading like this: 1. Strictly follow the plan for opening and closing positions 2. Never go all in 3. Be decisive in cutting losses
Focus on BNB ETH LAYER ACM#加密市场反弹 #稳定币日常支付 during the day
On May 8th, Powell is likely to make a hawkish statement!
Now the media is spreading that Powell is going to "hawk up,” and the market may start to decline ahead of time, possibly dropping on Tuesday or Wednesday, with significant declines on Thursday during the press conference. Moreover, recent U.S. employment data has been relatively stable, with the unemployment rate and non-farm data not showing major issues.
After the last statement, U.S. stocks fell by 2% This time, Bitcoin may drop by $2000-$3000, falling to around $93,000-$94,000, with a worst-case scenario of around $82,000-$86,000.
Currently, it seems likely that the Federal Reserve will announce interest rate cuts in September this year. The probability of a rate cut in September is greater than in May and June. Old Powell will not step down before September; gold will enter a consolidation range from May to September.
Cutting rates too quickly may not be a good thing, so a rate cut does not equal a rise! Because cutting rates too quickly can cause inflation issues. Those interested can check out my previous posts.
Thoughts before Powell's speech on May 8th
If it stays stable around 94,700-95,000, it may not drop further and start to rebound, a good entry point for buying.
Wait for it to rise above 97,000, then sell to short, operating back and forth in this range to capture profits from the fluctuations.
It's rare to have a holiday, so I summarize my trading insights, hoping they can serve as a reference for you: When I first started trading cryptocurrencies, I was like a gambler, staring at the market 24/7, chasing gains and cutting losses, with a very strong speculative mindset, and I always ended up losing!
It wasn't until I figured out this simple method that I truly survived in the crypto world: "If it doesn't fit the trading system, it's better to miss the opportunity!" Relying on this strict rule, my average monthly return can now stabilize at 15%+.
Here are a few survival rules for beginners based on trading logic:
1. Golden Trading Hours Rule ⌚️ The real trading time starts after 21:00 every day - During the day, many institutions draw lines, and the false breakout rate is as high as 63% (data from my trading log) - After the US market opens, trends take shape, and the K-line has fewer impurities; my win rate has significantly improved during this time, and professional traders always choose the best trading hours.
2. Triple Verification Trading Method 📊 Only take action when the following combinations appear: ① MACD golden cross/death cross + RSI overbought/oversold (success rate 58%) ② Bollinger Band breaks middle track + volume expands (win rate 65%) ③ When all three indicators resonate, the risk-reward ratio can reach 1:3
3. Intelligent Stop-Loss Strategy ⛔️ Remember these two lifesaving numbers: - Hard stop-loss: 3% of capital (must exit if reached, no exceptions) - Soft stop-loss: 20% drawdown on floating profit (protecting profit is more important than fantasy) Note: You can also enter funds in multiple batches, with a maximum loss of 5% of capital, leaving the green mountains means not being afraid of running out of firewood.
4. Wealth Withdrawal Formula 💰 Withdraw funds at this ratio: Withdraw profits every time you make a profit, insisting on the principle of only withdrawing and not reinvesting. (This rule helped me avoid all black swan events like 519, 312)
5. Multi-Period Combat Skills 📈 My market observation combinations: - Use the 1-hour chart to find buy/sell points (3 consecutive K-lines confirm the trend) - Use the 4-hour chart to observe support and resistance (drawing Fibonacci is more precise) - Use the daily chart to determine the bullish or bearish direction (the 200-day moving average is the lifeline) Note: This trading strategy is for those doing short-term trading; trend trading is only suitable for finding entry points.
Execute your trading strategy like a code: Open the computer at 9 PM, if the indicators align, trade; if not, turn off the computer. Although sometimes I might miss market movements, over the past two years, the average monthly return has been 15%. In this cutthroat market, surviving is the greatest skill.
Students interested can leave a message to discuss together 🤝🤝$BTC $ETH $SOL
BTC is about to face a major correction The upward momentum has already exhausted
After more than 20 days of rising, BTC has jumped directly to 23000 points without a correction, which is quite exaggerated. However, the upward momentum is now showing signs of exhaustion, meaning this round of increases is basically coming to an end. What follows will be a significant correction, with the first pullback expected to see around 10000 points. This means that from the current position, around 98000 to 88000, it will definitely not drop all at once; there will be distribution in between and some fluctuations around the corresponding support levels before it goes down. No matter how it moves, it is basically within the predicted range of my post. I mentioned in yesterday's post that there would be a rise when the non-farm payroll data was released, and indeed it did rise yesterday. I also said that after the release of the non-farm payroll data, it would be a time for correction, and it is currently following my prediction and has begun to correct!
So, how do we look at the future? First of all, there is a very important date here, which is May 8th for the interest rate meeting. I cannot determine this; it belongs to the news aspect, and relying on predictions is not very effective. If it is bad news, then a significant drop will be unavoidable. If a signal for interest rate cuts is released, then the market will undergo a drastic change. However, regardless of how it changes, this round of a drop around 10000 points is inevitable.
Now the operation is very simple. If BTC can again stand above the position of 97700, then it gives us another opportunity for a high short. If today it can drop to around 95000 and then stop falling, it will be another chance for a long position. In simple terms, the opportunity for high shorts and low longs is coming.