刘公子交易思维

Every time at the beginning of the month, the market goes crazy like a mad cow, and then crashes in the middle of the month. Many times, this has been the script. Just now, the specific new high of Bitcoin was only a few hundred points away. This wave has left the market stunned; behind the madness, the crisis is even greater. The technical aspect is still ineffective, and those who followed the trend have completely exited the market. Let others chase after it; we will hit short hard!

123500 short, the first target is 115000, the second target is 105000.

Ether short around 4600, targeting 3600!

At the beginning of September, I was still saying that October would enter the tail end of the bull market, and now it has already started!

History will remember today. The technical aspects have completely failed. If you are trading short-term, remember not to hold positions overnight. Today, the decision in the European and American markets will reveal whether the market sentiment continues to rise or takes a path of fluctuation and decline. We will know tonight!

I see a huge opportunity!

If you want to seize the position, just go in and short. It's never just a gamble; profits and losses come from the same source!

After chasing long positions, you can't hold them for too long. Right now, only chasing long positions aligns with the public's psychology (this is worth deeper consideration).

Live Trading Record｜Long-Short Rotation, Trend-Following Battles📈

Most orders were successfully closed for gains; face the occasional minor pullback.

No one wins every battle—risk control as the foundation, continuously compounding profits.

4422 enters the market, 4435 reaches the target, capturing 13 points, 2400 USD.

Pull back to support to catch a short-term rebound opportunity. Follow the trend to capture the swing, and secure the gains steadily.

Today the plan is clear: throughout the entire process, stay aligned with the downtrend and short in sequence, following the bears’ rhythm—consistently execute and deliver; in the downtrend market, keep reaping gains.

8.31 Gold Morning Outlook

Last Friday’s hawkish remarks from the U.S. Federal Reserve put pressure on gold, causing a sharp drop and establishing a higher-timeframe bearish trend.

The upward move early in the session is merely a technical oversold rebound after the big selloff. Overall, the outlook remains bearish with pressure on rallies. Wait for the price to rebound to key resistance levels before placing short positions; once the rebound correction ends, look for a second leg lower.

The current market is moving sideways and consolidating, which is a structure that uses consolidation to replace a deeper drop. Pullback momentum is still strong, and the midline of the moving averages provides near-term resistance. The broader bearish setup has not changed. It’s not advisable to blindly bottom-pick and go long; the risk for long positions at low levels is relatively high.

Trading plan: Place short orders in the 4460–4480 range on the rebound. Initial target: 4400. If price breaks down effectively, you can continue looking toward around 4300.

Unity of Knowledge and Action

The empty area at the Gold 4601 level was provided; the market, under pressure, pulled back to 4590. I captured 11 points and took home $2,300. The opportunity in line with the trend is just that straightforward.

8.28 Gold Morning Analysis

Tonight, the Jackson Hole annual symposium will bring its core highlight as the Federal Reserve Chair is set to deliver a speech. Prior PCE inflation data came in hotter than expected; the market broadly expects that the Fed rate-cut cycle may be delayed. During the early session, funds remained cautious, and price action continued to trade in a range. A clear direction will require waiting for the speech to play out in the evening.

From the chart perspective: after gold dipped to support at 4565, it quickly attracted bargain buying and consolidation has formed a short-term trading range.

The first resistance overhead is 4622–4630; only after an effective break will there be a further attempt to test 4650. On the downside, support is mainly concentrated at 4580–4585, with 4565 serving as the key line that defines short-term strength versus weakness.

Trading suggestions:
On rebounds into the 4622–4635 zone, set up short positions. The primary target is 4585–4580. If support breaks down, prices may further decline toward 4560–4530.

The long and short back-and-forth strategy completes 8 trades, with only one trade making a small loss.

Trading can’t possibly be perfect on every single trade. Focus on risk control, manage overall profit and loss, and consistently secure returns is the core.

Long-short four-win streak, the pace keeps paying off!

Gold 4642 was met with a bearish setup under pressure; 4625 successfully reached the target, capturing a 17-point move and securing $3400.

Spot the pressure inflection point, ride the trend to capture the pullback swing—every clearly identifiable market move gets steadily landed.

8.27 Gold Morning Analysis

Gold prices oscillated around 4673 and then moved downward. In the evening, price probed down to 4583, and the daily candle closed bearish. The bearish momentum on the daily chart has not yet fully released, so there is a possibility of further pullback to test support. However, silver is weakening in tandem but the downside momentum has slowed, meaning the room for a deep retracement is limited. Coupled with a gap-up in the early session, today’s market should primarily be viewed as a high-level consolidation and repair.

The key resistance during the day is 4633. If the rebound reaches this level and faces resistance, the price is likely to drop again to test 4613 and the day’s intraday low. Strong support lies at 4563. For the first retest that holds, consider setting up a low-buy position.

If price can effectively hold above 4633, the short-term rebound is expected to continue. The upside targets are 4650 and yesterday’s high. After signs of stalled movement appear at the highs, then look to sell short in line with the trend.

Trading recommendation: place short positions around 4630–4650, with targets at 4580 and 4550

This batch of high-position short positions was all taken down! Enter shorts in batches around 4633. As expected, the price moved downward, and all positions were exited at 4590.

Identify key resistance levels and build positions in batches to ride the trend—capturing profits from the market move is very smooth.

Large pancake empty order lands the bag at 2500 points.

Buying pressure from above; follow the trend to place short positions in batches. Enter at 4667 and 4650, exit at 4639, netting 7800 USD.

Identify overhead resistance. Place shorts in batches at high levels. Perfectly catch the pullback swing range—profits are safely locked in.

Morning insights delivered as scheduled, the market moved as predicted, and we successfully captured 40 points of upside.

The direction was assessed in advance, and the key entry levels were provided ahead of time.

Two consecutive wins with long positions.

Long at 4650, exit at 4664, 14 points, $2800 profit.

Enter near 4638, aim for 4650, and secure a $2,332 profit directly.
Identify key support levels to rebound from—short-term opportunities are there to be steadily seized.

8.26 Gold Morning Trading Outlook:

The ADP non-farm payrolls data has been released. As a forward-looking employment indicator, it may cause short-term disturbances to the US dollar and US Treasury yields. However, it can only bring short-lived fluctuations to the market and is unlikely to change gold’s longer-term trend.

This week’s key major events still lie ahead: Wednesday’s PCE inflation data and Friday’s Jackson Hole symposium speech by the Fed Chair. These two are the critical factors that will determine the market’s direction next.

At present, large funds overall remain cautious and on the sidelines. As a result, the market is unlikely to see an extreme one-way move in the near term.

After gold spikes higher, prices enter a period of choppy back-and-forth at high levels. The upward pace has clearly slowed, and it is now in a consolidation and digestion phase. The broader bullish trend has not been broken; only the short-term upward momentum has weakened. This is more of a buildup-and-consolidation after a rally, with no clear one-way direction yet.

Trading reference: build long positions based on the 4635–4605 support zone. The first target is 4670. If there is a valid breakout, you can continue to look toward around 4800.