#美联储重启降息步伐 $BTC When Bitcoin plummeted 30% from its historical high of $126,000, the low of $83,000 left countless holders in anxiety—should they cut losses and exit or hold on until the end? In fact, being stuck is not terrifying; blind operations are the root cause of expanded losses. Understanding market logic is essential to finding the key to unlocking positions during fluctuations.
The current market is not a bear market collapse, but a deep correction within a bull market. The cooling expectations of the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, the stagnation of regulatory bill progress, and institutions taking short-term profits are multiple factors that have triggered liquidity crunches, yet the core support has never disappeared: Grayscale Capital is clearly optimistic about a new historical high in 2026, and institutional funds are still positioning for the long term, with a short-term consolidation center established in the range of $83,000 to $95,000. Remember, over 25% corrections in Bitcoin's history are not uncommon during bull markets; preserving principal is equivalent to retaining the opportunity for a turnaround.
The core of unlocking positions is not betting on a market rebound but controlling risk with strategies: decisively cutting losses when trends reverse to avoid liquidation risks; reducing leverage by cutting positions in batches during fluctuation ranges, using part of the funds to recover and exchange for operational space; if optimistic in the long term, one can lock positions and wait, staying away from short-term market noise. Avoid heavily increasing positions in panic, and don't cling to the obsession of "selling when breaking even"; set clear stop-loss and take-profit lines, letting discipline replace emotional decision-making.
The market always has opportunities; what is lacking is the patience to withstand volatility. Currently, the crypto fear and greed index has fallen into the extreme fear zone, often signaling that the bottom is near; moreover, the benefits of the Federal Reserve ending quantitative tightening will gradually manifest in the next 6-12 months. Being stuck is merely an interlude on the investment journey; as long as one maintains a risk control baseline, with improvements in the macro environment and clearer regulations, Bitcoin will likely return to an upward trajectory.
Don't let a single correction define your investment career. Rationally unlocking positions and preserving strength will allow you to seize opportunities accurately when the next market movement starts—after all, in the crypto market, being alive opens up infinite possibilities.
#ETH走势分析 $ETH The market will never accelerate because of impatience, and profits will not arrive due to anxiety. Those seemingly calm waits are a reverence for the trend; those who resist temptation are trusting the strategy. Yesterday, Bitcoin showed a fluctuating upward trend, stabilizing after a low of 90900 in the morning before climbing to a high of 93900 and facing pressure, then dipping to a support of 91600 in the evening before rebounding and recovering. Ethereum mirrored Bitcoin's movements, starting from 2983 and attacking up to 3084 before a narrow consolidation, stabilizing at 3030 and then rising to 3145, followed by high-level fluctuations.
From a daily perspective, the market welcomed a strong rebound after four consecutive days of adjustment, with a preliminary formation of a bottom reversal pattern. The technical aspect shows clear signs of strengthening: the lower Bollinger Band has completed an upward turn, and the short-term bottom support has been effectively validated; the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross at a low level and continues to diverge upward, with bullish momentum gradually accumulating and releasing. The current price trend forms a positive resonance with short-term momentum, making the subsequent upward trend highly certain. From an hourly perspective, although the MACD indicator shows a slight release of bearish volume bars, the continuous narrowing of the Bollinger Band effectively compresses the downward space. Combined with the single needle bottom reversal structure formed by previous candlesticks, the market has accumulated sufficient upward momentum, laying a solid foundation for the subsequent breakthrough of key resistance levels. In summary, the plan for Thursday morning could revolve around low buying.
Buy Bitcoin around 93500, target 96000 Buy Ethereum around 3150, target 3250
#加密市场观察 $BTC The fluctuations are the norm in the market, and the ups and downs are the prelude to profit. Instead of being anxious and exhausting oneself in the volatility, it is better to treat each pullback as a chance to gather strength, and each test as a form of practice. With a steady mindset, the returns will also be stable. Yesterday, Bitcoin showed a trend of fluctuating upward, stabilizing after a low of 90900 in the morning and rising to a high of 93900 before facing pressure. In the evening, it dipped to a support level of 91600 before rebounding. Ethereum followed the Bitcoin trend, starting from 2983 and attacking up to 3084 before a narrow consolidation, stabilizing at 3030 and then rising to 3145, with subsequent high-level fluctuations.
From the daily chart perspective, the market broke through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands with a two consecutive bullish candlestick pattern, strongly testing the upper band, presenting a favorable rhythm of fluctuating upward. Although the top of the bullish candlestick has an upper shadow, indicating potential short-term pressure, the daily moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, and the core pattern dominated by the bulls remains intact. Switching to the four-hour level, after touching the upper band, the price entered a high-level consolidation. Although bullish momentum has weakened, the bears have failed to exploit the momentum to create effective retracement space, indicating that the support strength below is significantly stronger than the selling pressure above. In summary, before a clear reversal signal appears in the trend, it is advisable to continue with the low bullish strategy during midnight operations, aligning with the current comparison of bullish and bearish forces and the direction indicated by the technical pattern.
$ETH The fluctuations are the norm in the market, and the ups and downs are the prelude to profit. Rather than being anxious and consuming energy during volatility, it is better to treat each pullback as a buildup and each test as a practice. With a stable mindset, the returns will also stabilize. Yesterday, Bitcoin showed a trend of fluctuating upward, rising from a low of 90900 to a high of 93900 after stabilizing, and then rebounding after testing support at 91600 in the evening. Ethereum mirrored Bitcoin's movement, starting from 2983 and attacking up to 3084 before a narrow consolidation, stabilizing at 3030 and then rising to 3145, followed by high-level fluctuations.
From the daily chart perspective, the market broke through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands with a two consecutive bullish candle formation, strongly testing the upper band of the Bollinger Bands, presenting a healthy rhythm of fluctuating upward. Although the top of the bullish candle has an upper shadow, indicating short-term pressure, the daily moving average system shows a bullish arrangement, and the core pattern dominated by the bulls has not shaken. Switching to the four-hour level, the price touched the upper band and entered a high-level consolidation. Although bullish momentum has somewhat weakened, the bears have not been able to create effective retracement space, indicating that the support below is significantly stronger than the selling pressure above. In conclusion, before a clear reversal signal appears in the trend, it is recommended to continue with a low long strategy during midnight operations, aligning with the current comparison of bullish and bearish forces and the direction indicated by the technical patterns.
Buy Bitcoin around 92500, target 94000 Buy Ethereum around 3100, target 3200#ETH巨鲸增持
$ETH From the four-hour level perspective, the price surged to 91253, encountering significant pressure near the upper Bollinger Band at around 91200 and pulling back. Currently, it is oscillating and consolidating within the range between the upper and middle bands. The Bollinger Band has not shown significant signs of widening, and bullish momentum has shown signs of fatigue after the surge. The upper band continues to exert pressure. Since the price has not been able to maintain a high position after the surge, the market's demand for a correction is gradually accumulating. If it effectively breaks below the middle band support level, bearish momentum is expected to be further released, and the price is likely to gravitate towards the lower Bollinger Band. Short-term bearish signals are becoming increasingly clear. The latest strategy for Wednesday revolves around short positions.
Bitcoin: Short near 92500-92000, target looking down to 90000, and if broken, continue to look towards 88500.
Ethereum: Short near 3030-3000, target looking down to 2850-2700.
#加密市场观察 $BTC The fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market are not a judgment of fate but a selection of understanding and temperament—those who can endure the loneliness of a bear market and withstand the frenzy of a bull market will ultimately have their wealth distributed by time to those who follow the rules. On Tuesday, Bitcoin surged to a high of 87384 points before entering a phase of consolidation, dipping to an intraday low of 86159 in the afternoon, and then maintaining a narrow range. In the evening, the market broke the consolidation pattern and began a one-sided upward trend, reaching a high of 91253 points, successfully surpassing yesterday's high, with a significant intraday increase. Ethereum followed suit, climbing to an intraday high of 2825 before entering a consolidation phase. In the afternoon, alongside Bitcoin's correction, it fell to around 2780 and stabilized, then gradually rose. In the evening, following Bitcoin, the momentum strengthened, reaching a peak of 3026 points.
From a four-hour perspective, after the price surged to 91253, it encountered noticeable resistance near the upper Bollinger Band at 91200 and retraced. It is currently consolidating within the range of the upper and middle bands. There are no significant signs of opening in the Bollinger Band, and the bullish momentum has shown signs of fatigue after the surge, with the upper band’s resistance continuing to be evident. As the price failed to hold at a high level after the surge, the market's demand for correction is gradually accumulating. If it effectively breaks below the middle band support, the bearish momentum is expected to further release, and the price is likely to move towards the lower Bollinger Band, with short-term bearish signals becoming increasingly clear. The latest strategy for Wednesday revolves around high shorts.
Bitcoin: Short near 92500-92000, target 90000. Ethereum: Short near 3030-3000, target 2850-2700.
#ETH巨鲸增持 $ETH The fluctuations of the K-line are the market voting on cognition— the nights you endured, the research reports you made, and the discipline you maintained will eventually pay off in some cycle with surprises. The daily Bitcoin surged to 87384 points in the morning session before entering a consolidation phase, dipping to the daily low of 86159 in the afternoon, and then maintaining a narrow range. In the evening, the market broke the consolidation pattern, starting a one-sided upward trend, peaking at 91253 points, successfully refreshing yesterday's high with a significant daily increase. Ethereum followed suit, rising to the daily high of 2825 before entering a consolidation phase, and in the afternoon, it stabilized around 2780 after Bitcoin pulled back, gradually trending higher. In the evening, the momentum of Bitcoin strengthened, reaching a high of 3026 points.
From the observation of the four-hour chart, after the price surged to 91253, it faced significant pressure and fell near the upper Bollinger band around 91200, currently oscillating between the upper and middle bands. There are no significant signs of opening in the Bollinger band, and bullish momentum has shown signs of fatigue after the surge, with the upper band pressure continuing to be evident. As the price failed to stabilize at high levels after the surge, the market's demand for adjustments gradually accumulated. If the middle band support level is effectively broken in the future, bearish momentum is expected to be further released, and the price is likely to approach the lower Bollinger band, with short-term bearish signals becoming increasingly clear. The latest ideas for Wednesday revolve around high shorts.
Bitcoin: Short near 91500, target down to 90000, break through and extend to 88500. Ethereum: Short near 3030-3000, target down to 2850-2700.
#ETH走势分析 $BTC The fluctuations of the K-line are the market voting on cognition – the nights you've endured, the research reports you've prepared, and the disciplines you've maintained will eventually yield surprises in some cycle. Looking back, the intraday Bitcoin surged to 87384 points before entering a period of consolidation, dipping to a low of 86159 in the afternoon, and then re-entering a consolidation phase. In the evening, the market began a one-sided upward trend, reaching a high of 91253, successfully refreshing yesterday's high. Ethereum rose to an intraday high of 2825 in the morning, maintaining a volatile trend, and then fell back to around 2780 in the afternoon to stabilize, subsequently continuing to rise, peaking at 3026 in the evening. From a four-hour perspective, after the price surged to 91253, it faced pressure and fell back near the upper Bollinger band at 91200, currently oscillating between the upper and middle bands, with no significant opening of the Bollinger bands, indicating that bullish momentum is waning. The upper band pressure continues to be effective, and since the price could not stabilize at high levels after the surge, there is a demand for a pullback. If it breaks below the middle band support, bearish momentum may gradually be released, likely approaching the lower Bollinger band. Short-term bearish signals are gradually emerging, and the one-hour Bollinger band trend is flattening, with prices running above the middle band but close to the upper band facing resistance. The distance between the upper and lower bands is narrowing, presenting a volatile pattern, and the risk of a breakout after oscillation is increasing. The short-term rebound has not spurred the Bollinger bands to open upwards, and multiple attempts to test the upper band have failed. If there is no strength to break through the upper band pressure subsequently, it is likely to test the middle band support downwards. Once the middle band is lost, the bears may dominate the market, pushing down towards the lower band, increasing the probability of bearishness after short-term oscillation. The latest thoughts for Wednesday revolve around high shorts.
Bitcoin: Short near 92500-92000, target looking down at 90000, and if broken, looking towards 88500.
Ethereum: Short near 3030-3000, target looking down at 2850-2700.
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From a technical structure perspective, the daily price level remains under pressure below the moving average system. The Bollinger Bands maintain a downward-opening trend, with prices weakly oscillating along the lower track. The bearish-dominated pattern has not undergone any essential changes. Recent rebounds have repeatedly failed to effectively break through the key resistance zone above, and the rebound momentum is gradually depleting. There is a lack of upward momentum support in the short term, and it is expected that the market will continue its downward rhythm, further testing the effectiveness of the key support area below. On the four-hour level, although there have been stage rebounds during the decline, the trading volume continues to shrink, and the rebound strength is weak, which is a typical continuation pattern of a downtrend. The moving average system at this level shows a standard bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator has consistently operated in a low range, with bearish momentum not yet fully released and insufficient short-term reversal signals. In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to continue to rely on high positions during rebounds to lay out short positions, focusing on the suppression effect of the key resistance area above and looking for entry opportunities at the right time.
From a technical structure perspective, the daily price level continues to be under pressure below the moving average system. The Bollinger Bands maintain a downward opening trend, with prices weakly oscillating along the lower track. The bearish-dominated pattern has not fundamentally changed. Recent rebounds have failed to effectively break through the key resistance range above, and the rebound momentum is gradually depleting. There is a lack of upward momentum support in the short term, and it is expected that the market will continue to follow a downward rhythm, further testing the validity of the key support area below. On the four-hour level, although there have been periodic rebounds during the decline, the volume continues to shrink, and the rebound strength is weak, which is a typical continuation pattern of a downtrend. The moving average system at this level shows a standard bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator has consistently operated in a low range, with bearish momentum not yet fully released, and insufficient short-term reversal signals. In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to continue to rely on the high points of the rebound to place short positions, with a focus on the suppression effects of the key resistance area above, and to seek entry opportunities as appropriate.
#ETH走势分析 $ETH The fluctuations of K-line are ultimately fleeting, only the sediment of understanding and the awe of risk can accompany you through the transitions of bulls and bears. There is no need to be anxious about short-term volatility; true wealth lies in the composure of patient holding. Looking back at the midnight market trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum: Bitcoin oscillated upwards from around 83800, with an intraday high reaching near 86800, while Ethereum's movement was synchronized, climbing from a low of 2710 during the early hours to a high of 2813, showing a synchronous rebound in the short term.
From a technical structure perspective, the daily price level continues to be pressured below the moving average system, with the Bollinger Bands maintaining a downward opening trend. The price is weakly oscillating along the lower track, and the bearish dominant pattern has not fundamentally changed. Recent rebounds have failed to effectively break through the key resistance area above, with rebound momentum gradually exhausting, and a lack of upward momentum support in the short term. It is expected that the market will continue to follow a downward rhythm, further testing the effectiveness of the key support area below. On the four-hour level, although there are periodic rebounds during the decline, the trading volume continues to shrink, and the rebound strength is weak, representing a typical bearish continuation pattern. The moving average system at this level shows a standard bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator continues to operate in a low range, with bearish momentum not fully released and insufficient short-term reversal signals. In terms of operational strategy, it is recommended to continue placing short positions based on rebound highs, with a focus on the suppression effects of the key resistance area above, and to look for entry opportunities when appropriate.
$BTC The rise and fall of the K-line is ultimately ephemeral; only the accumulation of knowledge and respect for risk can accompany you through the transitions of bull and bear markets. There is no need to be anxious about short-term fluctuations; true wealth lies in the composure of patient holding. Looking back at the midnight market trends of Bitcoin and Ethereum: Bitcoin fluctuated upwards near 83800, reaching a peak of 86800 during trading, while Ethereum's movement was synchronized, rising from a low of 2710 during the early hours to a high of 2813, showing a synchronized rebound in the short term.
From a technical structure perspective, the daily price level continues to face pressure below the moving average system, with the Bollinger Bands maintaining a downward opening trend. The price is weakly fluctuating and consolidating along the lower track, and the bearish dominance has not fundamentally changed. Recent rebounds have failed to effectively break through the key resistance zone above, with rebound momentum gradually depleting, and a lack of upward momentum support in the short term. It is expected that the market will continue to follow a downward rhythm, further testing the effectiveness of the key support area below. On the four-hour level, despite some periodic rebounds during the downward process, trading volume continues to shrink, and the rebound strength is weak, representing a typical continuation pattern in a downtrend. The moving average system at this level shows a standard bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator has consistently operated in the low range, with bearish momentum not yet fully released and insufficient short-term reversal signals. In terms of operation strategy, it is recommended to continue to rely on high positions for short selling during rebounds, focusing on the suppression effects of key resistance areas above, and looking for entry opportunities at the right time.
Short Bitcoin near 87000, target 85000 Short Ethereum near 2850, target 2750
$ETH Don't let short-term fluctuations hijack your mindset, just as you shouldn't let rumors sway your judgment. The daytime market continues to show a weak pattern, overall presenting a trend of oscillating downward. During the midnight period, prices continued to probe lower to around 83800, briefly stabilizing before showing a slight rebound, currently maintaining a consolidation rhythm around 85400; Ethereum is also moving weaker, having touched support near 2710 before making a slight recovery, currently entering a narrow oscillation phase in the 2750-2760 range.
From a technical perspective, analyzing deeply, the daily price continues to run below the moving average system, with the Bollinger Bands showing a downward opening trend, prices weakly consolidating near the lower track, and a clear bearish dominance in the pattern. Recently, the market has attempted to rebound multiple times without breaking through the upper resistance level, and the short-term rebound momentum continues to wane, likely extending the downward trend, further approaching the key support area below. From a four-hour perspective, the market has experienced slight rebounds during the ongoing decline, but each rebound is accompanied by shrinking volume, failing to form an effective breakthrough; the rebound strength is far less than the downward momentum, essentially belonging to a weak correction within the downward trend. This level's moving averages display a typical bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator remains at low levels, with bearish momentum not yet fully released. The core strategy for evening operations remains focused on shorting on rebounds, suggesting to layout short positions relying on the key resistance area above, accurately grasping trend-based profit opportunities.
Bitcoin: Layout short positions near 85500-85800, targeting down to 83500. Ethereum: Layout short positions in the 2780-2800 range, targeting down to 2650#ETH巨鲸增持 .
$ETH Don't let short-term fluctuations bind your mindset, just as you shouldn't let rumors influence your judgment. The daytime market continues to show a weak pattern, overall presenting a fluctuating downward trend. During the midnight period, prices continued to decline to around 83800 low, briefly stabilizing before a small rebound, currently maintaining a consolidation rhythm around the 85400 line; Ethereum is also weakening, having touched the support level near 2710 during the day before slightly rebounding, currently entering a narrow fluctuation phase in the 2750-2760 range. From a technical perspective, analyzing in depth, daily price levels continue to operate below the moving average system, with the Bollinger Bands showing a downward opening trend, prices weakly consolidating near the lower track, and the bearish dominance pattern is clearly visible. Recently, the market has attempted to rebound multiple times but has failed to break through the upper resistance level, and the short-term rebound momentum continues to weaken, likely extending the downward trend and further approaching the key support area below. From the four-hour level, the market has occasionally experienced slight rebounds during the ongoing decline, but each rebound has been accompanied by shrinking volume, failing to form effective breakthroughs, and the rebound strength is far less than the downward momentum, essentially belonging to a weak correction within a downward trend. The moving average at this level shows a typical bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator remains low, with bearish momentum not yet fully released. The core strategy for evening operations continues to focus on shorting on rebounds, suggesting to lay out short positions relying on the upper key resistance area to accurately grasp trend-based profit opportunities. Bitcoin: Layout short positions near 85500-85800, targeting down to 83500 Ethereum: Layout short positions in the 2780-2800 range, targeting down to 2650#ETH巨鲸增持
$BTC Don't let short-term fluctuations control your mindset, just as you shouldn't let rumors affect your judgment. The daytime market continues to show a weak pattern, overall demonstrating a downward oscillation trend. During the midnight session, prices continued to dip to a low near 83800, briefly stabilizing before embarking on a slight rebound, currently maintaining a consolidation rhythm around the 85400 level; Ethereum is also weakening, having touched a support level near 2710 during the day before slightly recovering, currently entering a narrow oscillation phase between 2750-2760.
From a technical analysis perspective, prices have been consistently operating below the moving average system at the daily level, with the Bollinger Bands showing a downward opening trend. Prices are weakly consolidating near the lower track, with a clear bearish dominance. Recently, the market has attempted to rebound multiple times but has failed to break through the upper resistance level, with short-term rebound momentum continuously depleting, making it likely to continue the downward trend, further approaching the key support area below. From a four-hour level perspective, the market experiences occasional slight rebounds during the continuous decline, but each rebound is accompanied by reduced volume, failing to form effective breakthroughs, and the rebound strength is far less than the downward momentum, essentially belonging to a weak correction within the downward trend. The moving averages at this level show a typical bearish arrangement, and the MACD indicator remains operating at a low level, with bearish momentum not yet fully released. The core trading strategy for the evening remains focused on shorting during rebounds, suggesting positioning short orders based on the key resistance area above to accurately seize trend-based profit opportunities.
Bitcoin: Short orders positioned near 85500-85800, targeting a drop to 83500. Ethereum: Short orders positioned in the 2780-2800 range, targeting a drop to 2650.
$BTC The alternating red and green of the K-line is merely the market's breath; the cyclical change between bulls and bears is the gift of time. There is no need to worry about single-day fluctuations; true opportunities lie in reverence for cycles and in steadfastness to value.
The 1-hour Bollinger Bands are continuously opening downwards, with the middle and upper bands both under pressure moving downwards. A short-term bearish trend has formed an absolute dominant pattern, and the effectiveness of the key support level at 85500 still requires further market verification. From the perspective of K-line patterns, the characteristics of the downward trend are extremely pronounced—during the decline phase, large bearish candles lead the decline, while the rebound process only shows small bullish candles and doji candles alternating in a weak repair, with slight differences between bulls and bears and continued bearish advantages. Additionally, there has been no significant increase in trading volume, and bullish rebounds lack volume support, with momentum extremely lacking. It is expected that the afternoon market will likely continue the weak downward rhythm.
$ETH The alternating red and green of the K-line is merely the market's breath; the cycle of bulls and bears is the gift of time. There is no need to be anxious about daily fluctuations; true opportunities lie in the reverence for cycles and the adherence to value.
The Bollinger Bands on the hourly level continue to open downwards, with the middle and upper bands simultaneously under pressure to decline. A short-term bearish trend has formed an absolute dominant pattern, and the effectiveness of the 85500 key support level still requires further verification from the market. From the K-line shape perspective, the downward trend characteristics are extremely prominent—during the decline phase, large bearish candles lead the drop, while the rebound process only shows weak repairs alternating between small bullish candles and doji stars, with slight divergence between bulls and bears and continued bearish advantages. Additionally, the trading volume has not shown any significant signs of increase, and the bullish rebound lacks volume support, with momentum being extremely scarce. It is expected that the afternoon market will likely continue the weak downward rhythm.
Short near Bitcoin 87500, target 85000 Short near Ethereum 2880, 2750#美SEC推动加密创新监管
From the current market perspective, the ongoing rebound is considered either the starting point of a new upward trend or a wave of fluctuations. The intraday continuation is the core judgment point. The strong surge over the weekend broke the previous downward rhythm, but after a quick rise last night, it fell back sharply into adjustment. If this wave of pullback is a correction within an upward trend, a second surge must occur subsequently to confirm the continuation of the trend. However, from the current correction intensity and rebound space, it is highly likely that the adjustment will continue. The short-term structure is in sideways repair, and although there is adjustment space on the daily line, the previous strong surge has already driven the moving average indicators to diverge upwards, and the bullish momentum foundation still exists. Therefore, in the short term, one can follow the bullish trend and expect a continuation of the one-sided market. In summary, on Monday morning, the strategy could revolve around buying on pullbacks.
Bitcoin buy in the range of 90000-90500, target 92000
Ethereum buy in the range of 3020-3000, target 3100#加密市场反弹