新俞凌雄B圈团长-财商哥

我前天半夜在公众号里日记的风险提示，相信又帮大家躲过了今天的小瀑布。你都不想想，我在凌晨发的日记，肯定是很紧急重要的。这回终于又预测准得不要不要，我又想骄傲了。
现在正式进入熊市，我说的。不接受任何反驳！别听其他大V给你们打鸡血了，他们自身都难保。看来我币圈铁腿水上漂绝非浪得虚名，多少kol都被我熬死了，我还在web3念佛。
不过大家也不用太过于悲观，我和身边一交易高人探讨了下，结论是第一季度废了，根据横有多长，跌有多远的原则。6月份之后彻底回调完，才可能进入下一轮拉升。所以，现在顺势单，就是逢高做空。
千万别想着什么抄底，你有我无限子弹续命吗？别逞能，虽然短熊，也深不见底。如果你现货还在场外，赚一点微利就赶紧跑吧。我看到的是经济百业萧条，大家手里都没钱，失业的人一大把，年轻人索性都不怎么结婚了。我每天能接无数个诈骗骚扰电话，不知你们是否也如此？到处都是来坑你钱的。

我这两天感冒了，这个可不是什么甲流，据说跟蝙蝠有关，想想细思极恐。听说过去那个病毒死了2亿人，真的假的咱先不讨论。反正大家上的实体商家生意都不好，一天都进店不了几个顾客。过年旅游业人均消费1000块，大家都捂紧口袋了。

(Nezha 2) broke 13.5 billion at the box office; what does that have to do with me? I only care about whether you and I, as leeks, are doing well in 2025! An animated movie making over a billion only shows that live-action films are too bad, and everyone can only watch cartoons. Just look at (The Legend of the Condor Heroes); what on earth are they filming? The directors should be sacked. If they made a short drama about my rocky journey from bear market to bull market, it would probably be more exciting than the few boastful movies during the Spring Festival!
I really don't know what there is to be proud of? I just like watching (Captain America 4), is that wrong? Just like Feng Kuzi's level, at most he can only make (Youth), what imagination can he have? My not crossing into the entertainment industry is to leave some food for those directors.

(Pah! Table slapping) Brothers, the shorts are back online! Are they still unwilling to give up? Today's market made the ash in my hand shake three times. Bitcoin is bungee jumping between 99451 and 94938. The dog dealer is going to shake out all the leeks!
Don't panic. Today we are going to take a look at the underpants of those institutional vultures on Wall Street and see how they harvest us, the little leeks? (push glasses)
1. What strategies do institutions rely on to make money? Vultures reveal the "inside story"!
(Takes a big puff of e-cigarette) Do you know why those guys in custom suits on Wall Street can drink 1982 Lafite every day? They are playing the real-life version of Thirty-Six Stratagems. Gao Qiqiang is weak in front of the Wolf of Wall Street!

At 10 AM, I was awakened by my phone. The WeChat group was still quiet: "Big cake at 93400! The pin point from the day before yesterday basically confirms the bottom! Lao Wang, did your quantitative orders execute yesterday?" I rubbed my eyes and saw that the BTC/USDT 4-hour candlestick had formed a decent big bullish candle, breaking through a key level. After hitting a low of 98200, it quickly bounced back, like a boxer being pulled back into the ring after a surprise attack by shorts. I opened the financial website column, and the analysis from February 18 suddenly flashed in my mind: "The daily line drop is not over, don't bottom fish before a strong bottom formation appears." But then I caught sight of the Bilibili post from February 3 on the disaster day: "A pullback is an opportunity to enter." Is it contradictory? Not at all! The pullbacks in a bull market are always golden pits, but there may be nails at the bottom - it all depends on how you step.

Brothers, I stayed up all night watching the market again yesterday, but this time was different - I no longer need to use my physical body to fight the K-line! Since I went all-in on AI quantitative strategies four years ago, I can often hear the "cracking" sound of my wallet swelling while I sleep!
My vision is 4 years ahead of the average leeks. When I used DeepSeek, the number of Chinese users who downloaded it was only 2 million, but now it is used by 100 million people. Am I the most knowledgeable high-end elite in China?
Today I will talk to you about why it is said that "AI contract quantification is the ultimate secret of the cryptocurrency world". Those who understand will understand, and those who don’t understand should read this diary and catch up quickly!

Last night, BTC flashed crashed to $93,400 in five minutes; this position should be familiar to you all — I repeatedly pointed at the 'ultimate bull market defense line' with a laser pen during the New Year this month. It's like dancing with a hot girl in a nightclub, and suddenly the belt buckle breaks; if your hand speed is slow, you'll face public embarrassment. On-chain data shows that a position worth $3.8 billion in options is piled up at this price level, and the whales are clearly ready to play 'Russian roulette' before quarterly settlement.
Even more intriguing, the BTC to gold exchange rate has directly broken below the 2017 support line. Those dealing in gold are now munching seeds in jewelry stores, watching the show: 'Crypto anti-inflation? Anti your grandma's leg! I'd rather buy a fart!'

One, the market is like a battlefield; garbage time is the true test of real money.
Brothers, the market has dropped again today! BTC is repeatedly hovering around $95,300, ETH is stuck at $2,666 playing a heartbeat game, altcoins are collectively playing dead, and the candlestick chart is so boring it makes people drowsy. Is this really an opportunity or a trap? Do you know what 'garbage trading time' means? It's when the big players are sharpening their knives, the retail investors are trembling, and the smart ones are quietly laying out their strategies during the golden window for AI! Look at historical data: at the end of the bear market in January 2019, the market consolidated for two months before violently surging by 300%; in March 2020, during the pandemic's black swan event, those who dared to buy the dip are now financially free. Today's market is clearly heaven giving us an entry ticket, waiting for the brave retail investors to continue accumulating! Remember Commander Wang's golden saying: 'Making money in a bull market relies on guts, in a bear market on brains, and in a volatile market on sharp tools—days of licking blood on the blade!'

🔥 Market review: A grueling 24 hours, the main force's “breakout double kill situation”
At 3 AM today, a big bearish candle at the 15-minute level directly smashed through $96,300, with $320 million in liquidation across the network, contracts littered everywhere.
Brothers, doesn't this market seem familiar?
“First, let the volume fake break through the previous high, then turn around and blow up the long positions”—A classic script from the dog fund!
Yesterday, the entire network analysis was still shouting “$100,000 is just around the corner”, today it directly changed its tune to “soft again”, and the retail investors were played around.
But Leader Wang wants to say: This is not a bear market, but a “halftime break” for the dog fund!

Family! This morning, I was awakened by the loudspeaker of the recycling old man downstairs, groggily checked my phone, and saw that Bitcoin was still hovering around 97300 dollars! I was so scared that I spilled the SK-II miracle water I was going to send to a client on the ground—this stuff is now more expensive than Moutai! I quickly pinched my thigh to confirm I wasn't dreaming, and it hurt so much that I cried out, and the husky next door barked wildly. Now I’m slumped in front of the computer, left hand holding a latte, right hand holding blood pressure medicine, discussing this magical market with you all.
（At this moment, the radiator suddenly drips a drop of water, just landing on the Rolex Submariner I just bought, Old Wang wipes the watch face with a pained heart, thinking that this watch could buy three mining machines）

In the afternoon, I squatted on the toilet of my friend's office on the 32nd floor, which was filled with investment funds, and checked the market. BTC was hovering at 97700 dollars, very much like the lamb skewers at the barbecue stall downstairs—smelling good, but there are always a few burnt ones on the skewer.
My phone suddenly vibrated, it's a video from A Jie: his second-hand Audi was submerged at the bottom of an overpass, with water reaching the windows. "Bro, does this heavy rain remind you of the announcement on 94 back in 2017?" He wiped the rain off his face, "But this time I installed a water-resistant modification in advance!"
I understand his point. Back in the unforgettable bull market of 2017, so many people changed their fate against the odds; we were like headless flies bumping around in the storm of policies, and now he's waterproofing his car while I’m equipping my trading account with a quantitative robot.

As Bitcoin prepared to break through the 5-day line again on Valentine's Day, I finished my third chive box while staring at the K-line chart. A roar came from the direction of Mars Dog Airport; I couldn't tell if it was Captain America landing or the Guardians of the Galaxy ship being shot down by the cultural bureau.
When the dog appears in the future, Changpeng is wearing superhero armor with 'A Dog' printed on his underwear, sporting AR glasses, just missing the laser eyes like the group leader. But the blue light leaking from the glasses reveals he is stealing the Starlink network. The dog he is holding wears a not-gold necklace but a counterfeit blockchain USB from Huaqiangbei, Shenzhen—plugging it into the computer pops up 'China Exclusive Version of the Avengers' PPT, where Captain America is renamed 'Red Flag Leader', and his shield is inlaid with five golden stars.

The moon on the sixteenth day of the Lunar New Year looked like a frozen leek box. I squatted under the overpass, cracking sunflower seeds, and the phone screen was bright enough to reflect my three-day-old stubble. Notifications popped up simultaneously from OKX and Binance, resembling two devils in bikinis dancing on my eyelids.
"Small retail investors, the pi coin is about to go live, allowing even your mother-in-law to mine easily!" OKX's advertisement floated with the health vibe of goji berry thermos cups. I could even visualize the plaza dance aunties modifying (The Most Dazzling National Style) into "The Most Dazzling Blockchain" in a hilarious scene.
Just as I was about to type and curse, Binance's notification directly stuffed a ball of fire into my lap: "Dogecoin's brother, Dog King meme presale is now open; holding it comes with a physical dog chain!" The accompanying picture was of a Shiba Inu wearing a big gold chain, its eyes slanted just like when my second uncle was trading stocks.

Brothers, the moon on the 15th of the first lunar month isn’t full yet, but the crypto circle has already set us up with a big act! It seems the young market has been chopped up quite a bit, and it’s time for the old ladies with retirement funds to enter the arena.
The zero-cost Ponzi scheme ancestor Pi coin is going to OKEx, and I heard those old ladies who have been mining on their phones for five or six years are now all calling themselves the blockchain godmothers. I mentioned before that this thing is just a cyber charity box. Back then, even Aunt Liu from the square dance next door was asking me to scan her code; now it seems like it can actually be monetized? Don't talk to me about faith; who would believe that?

Classmates, today this market has filled my ashtray! That beautiful Prime Minister of Thailand really knows how to stir things up, bringing a web3 big gift to Beijing for cooperation talks, and Phuket is going to become a Bitcoin vacation home area. Is this prepared for the crypto old brothers to surf while signing contracts? Once the news broke, Bitcoin shot straight to the $98,465 resistance level, and this script written by the dog capital is even more magical than Thai advertisements!
Rare news metaphysical interpretation:
1. This operation in Thailand belongs to long-term nuclear-level good news. Once it lands, traveling to Phuket directly with BTC as Thai baht is enough to keep dog capital busy for three years with the concept of the world's first crypto vacation destination. But remember, politicians make promises that are even harsher than Sun Ge, and right now there's not even a white paper, so don't rush to ALL IN on the swimming pool plan!

Friends, today's market is so exciting it makes me want to pop two pills of quick-acting heart-saving medicine! Bitcoin had a violent spike this morning, directly piercing up to 97,900 dollars, just a whisker away from 100,000 dollars!
As a result, we didn't post pictures of profits in our friend circles to show off. If the whales suddenly turn around and make a 'spike', pushing the price back down to around 95,000, it would just be another false alarm. This back-and-forth is not just K-lines; it's practically an ECG, with both bulls and bears slapping each other!
How to view the market? February was a transition month with little to offer.

Brothers, Bitcoin has reached $96,800 today! This market is soaring like a rocket! But there are always people who are panicking and asking if it has reached the top? I will explain it to you today - **It is definitely not the peak of the bull market**, the trading volume has the final say! Let me talk about the tricks of Simons, the founder of AI quantitative, and give small retail investors some stable tricks!
First: The volume of bitcoin trading hides the secret
In the past few days, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between $96,000 and $99,000, but the trading volume has shrunk more than Tesla's stock when Musk divorced last year. The real bull market must meet two conditions to reach its peak: explosive volume + large volume breaking through the neckline. Now this shrinking volume correction is clearly the main force holding back a big move! Look at the wave of decline on February 7, the trading volume did not break through the January average line, which is obviously a fake fall. Look at the volume when it hit $100,000 on February 8, which is 30% less than the previous high. How can this be a peak? This is aerial refueling!

February 8, 2025 Sunny Information about the Garage Cafe on the street in the Glorious District of Bangkok
Brothers, my captain Wang is ready to fight back again! I have chatted with a bunch of wild brothers who are engaged in Web3 in Bangkok these two days. They drink iced American coffee and eat crocodile skewers all day long (don’t ask, it’s a Southeast Asian specialty). When they talked about the new year market in the cryptocurrency circle, they had a lot of fancy operations in their minds. In today’s diary, let’s not talk nonsense, and get straight to the point - **Is the copycat season dead? How should we plan for 2025? How to choose AI quantitative software? ** Here is another truth for you: **"BTC will fall below $89,350 and it will be a bear market? Don’t panic! Use reverse thinking to do Southeast Asia, only poor people will tremble in front of the keyboard!"**

Fam, Bitcoin hit directly near 97642 today! Only a thin layer of paper left to 100,000, is the dog fund trying to force a short squeeze or lure in longs? Looking back at Xue Manzi's phrase from 2018, "the bear market will continue," and looking at the present, I can only say: Xue Lao, the times have changed! The coffin board for the Bitcoin king can't hold anymore!
But don't rush to all-in! Old Wang next door exploded and jumped at the 90,000 mark yesterday, and this morning he was crying while chasing the high, this plot is more intense than (The Legend of Zhen Huan)! Remember when Bao Er Ye shouted "Bitcoin will reach a million dollars" back then? Now it seems this prophecy might come true! But Captain Wang reminds: bull markets have sharp drops, the dog fund specializes in killing greedy leeks, it's better to eat less meat than to be cut down to a bare commander!

Brothers, today's market can be summarized in one sentence: Bitcoin is shrinking below the 5-day line and pretending to be dead. The dog dealer's traders must have drunk too much last night and have no strength to pull the market up? The current price is $98,450, and the trading volume is as sluggish as a kidney that has been squeezed dry. The K-line chart is as exciting as the electrocardiogram in the ICU ward. The leeks are asking me: Is the correction over? Will February soar or flop?
Let me first say the conclusion: the short-term dog dealers are still sharpening their knives, and the medium-term bull market is not over! According to the intelligence of my informant who spent a lot of money on undercover work on Wall Street (actually, I just dug up a few reports), February will probably be the first to squat and then jump - now the price is stuck below the average realized price of $100,000 at the end of 2024. The dog dealers are probably waiting for the Federal Reserve to fart or Trump to tweet something. But in the long run, the suit thugs at Standard Chartered Bank have shouted $200,000, and Bitfinex is even more powerful, saying that it can reach $145,000 by the middle of the year. What are we, the coin hoarders, afraid of? But the copycat is another matter.

On the eighth day of the Lunar New Year, today, with the aroma of Erguotou and roasted kidneys, we will talk about the magical web3 drama that will open in 2025. If Han Han were in the cryptocurrency circle, he would probably look like this - typing away at censorship with his left hand, buying the bottom of Bitcoin with his right hand, and writing (Triple Door) on the K-line chart.
(one)
Today, I wrapped myself in a down jacket and went into a crowded cinema to watch the unpopular "Operation Jiaolong". On the big screen, special forces were fighting wits and courage with AI submarines in the South China Sea, but my mind was full of Bitcoin's deep waters. When the Jiaolong team was locked by the sonar, the couple in the back row were so scared that their popcorns were scattered all over the floor, but I remembered the scene of the exchange server smoking during the 312 crash that year. Director Dante Lam should come to the cryptocurrency circle to collect inspiration, because every four-hour line here is a spy movie.