啊派啊

I haven’t posted hot takes in a long time. Today I’m posting one: I predict that around 29 years ago—$BNB (28.10-30.2)—within about two months on either side of that period, during this time window, BNB can reach 2500u, based on a conservative estimate—meaning three times the current price. As for the ups and downs in the middle of these years, I don’t know. But I feel that hitting three times is a very achievable target. So after this, I’ll continue investing nearly another 5000u of $BNB , around October this year. Getting 20w RMB from this round is not a problem!

$BTC I traveled through time in 2029. Take the spot in your hands, buy it when it is low, and stay away from contracts. Time will prove everything. Hold BTC firmly, buy it when you have money, and you will definitely be financially free in 2029. When you read this post again in 2029, will you regret not going all in on BTC now? When the market value of BTC exceeds that of gold, will you regret not investing in BTC with your salary when you look at your account that has returned to zero? 🤡

$BTC : I'm not trading contracts anymore after this one crashed. Seriously, how can they do this? I bought twice and it was at a near-high price, then it rallied again. I'm going to clear out all my contracts now 😅 I'll probably just buy some spot trading later.

I place a trade and immediately start waiting to break even 😂 This is killing me. The bulls who stayed bullish got completely wiped out this time, I swear. This dogshit market—things were decent for barely a few days and now it’s bouncing all over the place again. Still bullish. Wrong for the nth time, always bullish, always right 😅

Blindly bullish $BNB $BTC

Honestly, making money is pretty tough 😅 I've been trading futures for ages and still haven't made back my losses. Once real money is on the line, I can't trade as freely as I can in a simulated account. I'm not very good at this. The more I overthink it, the more I lose. Several times I had a chance to get out, but I was afraid of missing out, so I held on to trades just to break even, hoping for a big rally. Every time, it was just wishful thinking. The important thing is to curb your greed.

$BNB is a great opportunity to buy the dip. I bought spot twice before, totaling over 10,000 USDT, at an average price of around 680. This crash brought the price down to that level all at once. Given Binance's reputation, trust is the biggest reason to buy. I believe Binance will handle this properly this time. Every crisis is an opportunity. I won't touch my spot holdings; I'll hold firm. $BNB

Strategy 1 has a 60% backtested win rate. Strategy 2 relies mainly on the risk-reward ratio, with a BTC backtested win rate of around 40%. Both strategies are based on backtests using the past five years of BTC data. $TRX
Use low leverage. If you open a 5x long position now, the potential returns outweigh the risk. This strategy was triggered at 8 a.m., and entering near the current low is well-timed. You can wait and see whether TRX breaks out; I feel that going long on BTC should be a safe bet.

Low leverage really is important. Yesterday I said to wait for the middle or lower band, and now the opportunity’s here 😅 $1000PEPE You can enter here with 5–10x leverage. It’s a really good entry point. Every time I buy, I end up adding at the top—I’m so done with this. Now I’m stuck holding a losing position again. If I can’t ride this one out, I’m probably screwed, and I’ll have to spend more time waiting.

$1000PEPE The strategy alert made me go long again, and I added to my position near the top. Now looks like a good entry opportunity with low leverage; it should reach 6, I think. I could wait for the lower Bollinger Band on the 4-hour chart, or the middle band. The middle band is safer. With low leverage, I should be able to hold for a while and make a profit 😅 I wrote two strategies myself before. Recently, PEPE has broken through several levels in a row, and Strategy 2 has given me three alerts. I made a lot on PEPE before, and I’ve made quite a bit again this time. Good thing I bought 1,000 USDT worth of PEPE spot. PEPE really is my lucky coin. I backtested my strategies on four or five years of data, and they seem fairly reliable. Hopefully, by combining the strategies with my own trading, I can make some money during the bull market over the next three years without getting liquidated! That’s it, time to sleep 💤

I want to save up some more money to top up my faith again. $BTC is digital gold. I want to save up some salary until I have enough for 50k, then go 2-3x long-term on BTC. I don’t know how risky that is. Will BTC drop 30%? If I hold 3x until 2029, I should make quite a bit, right? If I don’t get liquidated.

Why can’t I bring myself to sell at the highs? I keep thinking I’ll close half at 0.0052 $1000PEPE , but every time I just miss it. Feels like it’s about to pull back again. I’m the ultimate king of holding losing positions—so indecisive 😅 From now on, I won’t use more than 5x leverage on altcoin trades. This has been pretty agonizing lately.

If it goes up, I’ll sell half first 😅 Can it reach 0.0052 tonight? $1000PEPE

I know it’s going to fall, but I just keep holding the position, hoping it’ll bounce back and make me big money. I’m always thinking that if I sell, it’ll take off, and if I buy, it’ll drop.$1000PEPE
Once I put real money in, I’m constantly watching the charts. It’s a completely different story from paper trading. I keep thinking I’ll make it back, adding to winning positions and going all in. I stay calm with spot trading, but futures really mess with my head. At least my leverage isn’t high. Damn, $DOGE , buying the dip—go on, try and liquidate me.

$BNB is locked up. If BNB doesn't reach 2,500 USDT within 30 years, I'll wash my hair standing on my head—mark my words 😅

$DOGE
My whole life feels like walking on thin ice—will I make it to the other side? I put together a quant strategy by hand with 50% annualized returns, but still thought that wasn’t enough. I didn’t stick to the strategy and opened another position myself. I’d already lost 200u earlier. Can I make it back little by little? 😅 I haven’t been able to put my programming skills to use at all in the financial markets. I looked into connecting to an automated API, but it turns out I’d need to buy an overseas server to run the whole setup. What a hassle. I might as well just keep placing trades manually for fun. I’m down from 1,000u to 300u at the moment, trying to recover. Hopefully I’ve hit bottom and a big rally is coming to help me recoup some losses. I can share the strategy if anyone’s interested—five years of tested data, and backtesting two strategies gives 100% annualized returns. But it’s all based on past data, so probably nobody wants it, right? Anyway, that’s that. Please, market makers, send it soaring for once!

Today I used AI to write a few quantitative strategies and worked my own ideas into them. I may not know a lot, but I still managed to build them using my own thinking. I’ve opened three trades so far, and they’re all losing 😂 The “scratch-off lottery” strategy isn’t working too well—I’ve lost too much. Now I’m just waiting for Strategies 1 and 2. They don’t trigger often, but the backtests are profitable. Let’s see how long it takes me to blow through this 1,000 USDT; I’m already down to 70%. As for Strategy 3, I can only say it’s useful when there’s a big one-way rally. So far, it looks like a massive loss with no gains.

I’m making pennies and losing dollars. Every loss is a big one, while every win is only a little. 20x leverage with my whole account is still too high. From now on, I’ll either use 20x with a small position or 5x with my whole account. Enough already—I’m still being too cautious. The price always shoots up right after my stop-loss gets hit. At the end of the day, my risk management just isn’t good enough. If I gave my trades more room and didn’t rush, I wouldn’t have lost so much. I still need to be more aware. At least I bought spot and left it alone. It’s so hard to know when to take profits.

Trading journal:
Even though I knew I shouldn’t trade here because the trend wasn’t clear, I couldn’t resist the urge after only one night since depositing funds. I opened both long and short positions. The first two trades made a profit, but then I started opening positions recklessly again. Luckily, the leverage was low, so I accepted the loss and closed them at my stop-loss. Then I opened four more small long positions, using low leverage and setting stop-losses, and waited for the price to come back. It really is different from demo trading: after opening a trade, I find myself checking it a little while later. The more I check, the more likely I am to meddle—and once I do, I’m more likely to lose it all. I still haven’t learned to keep my emotions in check.

I finally managed to deposit 50,000 RMB. Following my previous strategy, I bought 500 USDT worth of NEIRO and 1,000 USDT worth of PEPE. With 5,000 USDT, $BNB , I’ve got 1,000 USDT left to start copy trading. There haven’t been many opportunities lately, so I’ll hold off for now. For spot, I don’t care about timing or short-term fluctuations—I’m buying all at once and holding until around the 2029 peak before selling. So I’m not dollar-cost averaging into spot either; I’ve just bought it all at once. Hopefully my futures positions won’t get liquidated and I’ll make a little profit.