大丰资本

Market Analysis
I have been emphasizing that there is significant volatility within the next 3 days, and I do not recommend contracts. Some fans have told me they have become numb from losses, silently waiting for the wind to come. There is only one type of person who can make money in the market, which is to hold in a foolish manner. Do not buy when the market sentiment is high, and do not sell when the market is falling. This is a test of human nature in the market.

If you really can't hold on, just uninstall the software.

Market Analysis
Let me explain why the market has been sluggish. I mentioned in my previous posts that this is not a good time to recommend contracts because of the large fluctuations within 3 days. The root cause is still the U.S. Treasury bonds. In the past, Dongda would take over, but now the Americans are producing and selling by themselves. Previously, they harvested the bulls through significant drops, but the results were not as ideal as expected, leading to a strategy of high intraday volatility to harvest leverage.
The positive aspect is that holding U.S. stocks throughout the year has helped to digest U.S. Treasury bonds, effectively adding several trillion in liquidity.
So this is why this bull market is so difficult; because there are fewer buyers of U.S. Treasury bonds, Americans need to digest these bonds themselves, indirectly causing the disruption of the 4-year cycle.

I expect the market to arrive in late January to February of the 26th year. Right now is the time to grind hard, grinding until the retail investors collapse. I have mentioned before that the best way to make money is through foolproof methods, also known as: simple money-making.

Duplicate name

Easy Money
What is easy money? You just buy big buns. What quantitative hedging, extending the timeline, your rate of return far exceeds others, and buying in a foolproof way is not foolish.
With this method, at least in this difficult market this year, Ethereum has brought me almost 3 times the return, although now I hold SOL and continue to wait. To be honest, I don't even look at my account anymore. I understand that the market is taking your money, not you taking the market's money. This is easy money.

Market Analysis
This is the most difficult time I have experienced. Throughout the year, Ethereum has endured, and now it's Solana's turn. The thought of not wanting to trade contracts comes from the fact that there has been considerable volatility in the past three days, which truly isn't suitable. In spot trading, we can only hold on, as it won't drop below 80,000. However, the confidence of the retail investors has already been shaken. Regarding Japan's interest rate hikes, I think there’s no need to pay too much attention; this isn't really news, as capital has known about the rate hikes for half a year in advance. It's like looking for a house with a magnifying glass, which is of no use.

It feels like the operators of this session must have come from the Qing Dynasty, the so-called 33 taels of silver, letting the retail investors die yet not die, giving a little meager profit, and then hanging on for dear life, referring here to the spot market.

The market doesn't have much to say, I mentioned in my previous post that there is still no one-sided market, but December should also be a month of oscillation upwards. There is no need to pay attention to spot prices, but contracts should be mindful of intraday fluctuations.

Market Analysis
The previous posts mentioned that, apart from influencing the Trump Epstein scandal, there will not be any major black swan negative events causing a significant drop. The game has changed now; the intraday volatility is quite high, and the effect of alternating long and short positions is more interesting than just a continuous decline. You might see the price at 8.8 in the evening, but by morning it could break 90,000. For those who enjoy the thrill of daily fluctuations in the thousands of points, it's quite exhilarating. Therefore, those in the spot market should mainly pay attention to the bearish events related to the aforementioned Trump. Other matters are not of concern. For gamblers, it's important not to stay on a single path to the end; whether you go long or short, you should take profits when available. If you hold on to your positions too long, you might end up being the one who gets cut off.

Market Analysis
I believe there won't be any significant declines in the near future, unless the recent release of the Trump-Epstein documents turns out to be a black swan, as it impacts the midterm elections, which indirectly influences crypto policies in a bearish manner.
We might see a result of up-and-down fluctuations, repeatedly cutting retail investors. If the previous trend of continuous decline continues, the effect on US bond yields won't be very evident. It requires both long and short positions to be severely liquidated for it to impact US bonds. Here, regarding the stock market and crypto space, the long-term outlook is still upward 👆.

Market Analysis
It has really been a long time since I did an analysis. Regarding the market's views on bulls and bears, I believe it is merely a cyclical adjustment.
Whether to cut interest rates or not is a matter of competition between Trump and Powell over the right to draw lines. Currently, it seems that the Federal Reserve has already been taken over by the White House. Therefore, the bull and bear cycle created by the Federal Reserve's four years of rate hikes and cuts has been broken. If you continue to view this market with a narrow perspective, you are destined to fail.
Trump wants to create a low-interest environment for businesses, and also to lower the interest on government bonds. This ties into what I have been emphasizing: cutting U.S. stocks and the cryptocurrency circle to suppress government bonds. Smart people have already used government bonds as indicators for trading, rather than blindly looking at candlestick charts.

Many people have withdrawn during this period, am I the only one left as a firm bull?

During this time, work has been very busy, and I haven't had time to look at the market. Overall, liquidity is still very weak. When you think luck isn't on your side, try patience and courage.

If you want to buy the dip, then buy the following public chains 👇 in this era where traffic is king. Although the main theme is still harvesting, as long as you hold on, you can still make money.

Market Analysis
Why don't I draw lines? Because I believe that thing is only accurate with 15-minute candlesticks or intraday. Most capital moves around without direction. Looking at weekly or even monthly charts, if someone tells you where the price can go, I think all of that is futile. In the long run, it is mainly about policy and the inflow and outflow of money, along with capital's risk aversion sentiment. Retail investors cannot lift the market. We need to pay more attention to what capital is doing. I still believe that around 150,000 is the top for the last firm bull in the square.
I think whether you look at the treasury company or not doesn't matter. They are just fighting each other with their left and right hands, selling the currency price and their own stocks to each other. When they buy, they might have a short position, and when they sell, they might have a long position. Watching them is not very meaningful. It's better to read more news, pay attention to Federal Reserve policies, and keep an eye on Trump's Twitter.

When you look back at my previous posts, see if every prediction has come true. It’s not just talk or hindsight; when you all felt pessimistic, I remained optimistic. The so-called decline is merely a bear market perceived by the public during a bull market, and this bear market is very short.

As mentioned before, as long as the U.S. Treasury yield falls, interest rate cuts are a certainty. Recently, it was said that there would be no interest rate cuts, but in the past couple of days, they have started to cut rates again; it's just a scheme to exploit the retail investors.

Market Analysis
I have been very busy with work these past few days and haven't had time to update. Today, I want to write a bit. I mentioned before that it was a good time to buy between 80,000 and 85,000. At that time, some people laughed at me, saying that it's a bear market and I shouldn't be buying. This is not a bear market; it's just what I often talk about: the explosion of the US stock market, the pressure on cryptocurrencies to reduce US debt to ease loan pressure on businesses, which is a policy choice of the Trump administration. Additionally, it is also a tool for Trump to compete for discourse power with the Federal Reserve.
We are not yet in a bear market cycle. Why do I say this? Because the bubble is not big enough. Do you understand? The bubble is still not considered large enough, and it is not yet time for a bear market. I can only say that the future market will rise for a period and then spiral down a bit, repeating this pattern over and over. I suggest selling off a bit in December.

Market Analysis
As a steadfast bull, I have always believed that the bottom of this round is around 150,000 since it was at 120,000. I have mentioned several times this month about the decline, which is due to the intention to lower U.S. Treasury yields by offloading stocks and cryptocurrencies, and then purchasing government bonds to suppress yields.
With such a sharp drop, U.S. Treasuries are currently at 3.5, so I believe that U.S. stocks will enter a monkey market, fluctuating up and down, and similarly, Bitcoin will follow this trend. Some capital that is considered unstable will buy government bonds for hedging.
The goal is to suppress U.S. Treasuries, which requires more people to purchase them; only by making the market unstable will capital flow in as a safe-haven sentiment.
This is the reason I still see bullish trends; the market does not lack liquidity, but it lacks the means that need to be taken to suppress U.S. Treasuries.