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Web3老吴丨

执着于做一个比特币持仓大户! 公众号:Web3老吴
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If you're short on cash, just empty your Ethereum.
If you're short on cash, just empty your Ethereum.
起愿
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The rebound of ETH on the daily chart has become weaker and weaker. It can still be shorted at 2850, and the stop loss can be loosened a bit to easily handle the market makers.
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Follow the script, yesterday filled the gap of 90500, the US stock market plunged, bringing the market back to its original form, with support at the position of 83000. Based on the current trend, I believe 85000 is already the short-term low point of this wave. Now we just wait for the Japanese interest rate hike to finish this wave of negative factors, and then we can welcome a rebound market. Tonight's CPI data is very likely to be positive. #美国非农数据超预期
Follow the script, yesterday filled the gap of 90500, the US stock market plunged, bringing the market back to its original form, with support at the position of 83000. Based on the current trend, I believe 85000 is already the short-term low point of this wave. Now we just wait for the Japanese interest rate hike to finish this wave of negative factors, and then we can welcome a rebound market. Tonight's CPI data is very likely to be positive. #美国非农数据超预期
Web3老吴丨
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Bullish
The large pancake shows the initial form of a significant fluctuation, and the four-hour trend is a declining market with a bearish pattern. The liquidity at the 90,000 position is gradually being consumed. Currently, after the four-hour adjustment, there will be another surge. There are two important news items this week (CPI, publication of Japan's monetary policy decision).
The hourly level rebound continues to face strong resistance at 88,000. The structure's low points on the four-hour chart are gradually rising. To break through in the short term, it must complete the fluctuation in the 86-88k range. However, at present, it is tough for the market to break out of this range, so we will continue to wait for the direction to emerge.
In short-term operations, first look at the situation of breaking through 88,000. If it cannot break through multiple times, the market will continue to retrace. However, 90,500 is the CME gap left over the weekend, and I personally believe it will first fill this gap before retracing. #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs
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According to rumors, the dog owner of $pippin wants to give this big shot a break due to his continuous complaints. As a result, he was given two chances to escape, but the big shot didn't take the bait and continued to fight hard against the dealer. Now the losses are continuing to increase. To be honest, with such high funding rates, it’s difficult for both bulls and bears to make money. You might earn a profit but lose on the funding rate, and when calculated, it’s still not profitable. It’s wise to participate cautiously in coins with high control and high funding rates.
According to rumors, the dog owner of $pippin wants to give this big shot a break due to his continuous complaints. As a result, he was given two chances to escape, but the big shot didn't take the bait and continued to fight hard against the dealer. Now the losses are continuing to increase. To be honest, with such high funding rates, it’s difficult for both bulls and bears to make money. You might earn a profit but lose on the funding rate, and when calculated, it’s still not profitable. It’s wise to participate cautiously in coins with high control and high funding rates.
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Bullish
See original
The large pancake shows the initial form of a significant fluctuation, and the four-hour trend is a declining market with a bearish pattern. The liquidity at the 90,000 position is gradually being consumed. Currently, after the four-hour adjustment, there will be another surge. There are two important news items this week (CPI, publication of Japan's monetary policy decision). The hourly level rebound continues to face strong resistance at 88,000. The structure's low points on the four-hour chart are gradually rising. To break through in the short term, it must complete the fluctuation in the 86-88k range. However, at present, it is tough for the market to break out of this range, so we will continue to wait for the direction to emerge. In short-term operations, first look at the situation of breaking through 88,000. If it cannot break through multiple times, the market will continue to retrace. However, 90,500 is the CME gap left over the weekend, and I personally believe it will first fill this gap before retracing. #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs
The large pancake shows the initial form of a significant fluctuation, and the four-hour trend is a declining market with a bearish pattern. The liquidity at the 90,000 position is gradually being consumed. Currently, after the four-hour adjustment, there will be another surge. There are two important news items this week (CPI, publication of Japan's monetary policy decision).
The hourly level rebound continues to face strong resistance at 88,000. The structure's low points on the four-hour chart are gradually rising. To break through in the short term, it must complete the fluctuation in the 86-88k range. However, at present, it is tough for the market to break out of this range, so we will continue to wait for the direction to emerge.
In short-term operations, first look at the situation of breaking through 88,000. If it cannot break through multiple times, the market will continue to retrace. However, 90,500 is the CME gap left over the weekend, and I personally believe it will first fill this gap before retracing. #美国非农数据超预期 #BinanceABCs
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The short position can be realized, this wave has taken a 30% decline, there is still some room for short-term decline, but not much, no more tail cocktails, realize the profit.
The short position can be realized, this wave has taken a 30% decline, there is still some room for short-term decline, but not much, no more tail cocktails, realize the profit.
Web3老吴丨
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Bearish
$BEAT immediately short, the 1-hour line has a clear pin bar explosion of long positions, the daily market has already peaked, in one month it has risen tenfold, the dog庄 is about to start harvesting, short is the right choice!
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Bullish
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$BTC currently seems to have maintained the support at 89000, and in the short term, it should continue to rebound. Yesterday, it was mentioned that Bitcoin still has the opportunity to break above 95000. Currently, it appears that the weekend market will test the range of 95,000-96,000, and before the breakout, the strategy should primarily focus on low long positions. $ETH's recent daily performance is stronger than Bitcoin's. The daily chart has formed a W bottom and the volatility at the end of the washout phase may be relatively large. Still looking for a rebound. #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
$BTC currently seems to have maintained the support at 89000, and in the short term, it should continue to rebound. Yesterday, it was mentioned that Bitcoin still has the opportunity to break above 95000. Currently, it appears that the weekend market will test the range of 95,000-96,000, and before the breakout, the strategy should primarily focus on low long positions.
$ETH's recent daily performance is stronger than Bitcoin's. The daily chart has formed a W bottom and the volatility at the end of the washout phase may be relatively large. Still looking for a rebound. #美联储降息 #加密市场反弹
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Bearish
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$BEAT immediately short, the 1-hour line has a clear pin bar explosion of long positions, the daily market has already peaked, in one month it has risen tenfold, the dog庄 is about to start harvesting, short is the right choice!
$BEAT immediately short, the 1-hour line has a clear pin bar explosion of long positions, the daily market has already peaked, in one month it has risen tenfold, the dog庄 is about to start harvesting, short is the right choice!
See original
At this stage, based on the data, price actions, and long-short volume, 94.5k is basically the peak of this rebound and drop, even if it's not the short-term peak, it's not far off. If the US market funds are particularly strong, there may be a false breakout at the upper edge of the wedge, aiming to capture a wave of liquidity above. So the trend has been set, still in a 4h level downward continuation, accelerating the rebound to 95-96k is also a reasonable position. The rate cut has already been priced in by the market the day before, so a significant rally is also normal. Short-term operations mainly focus on short positions and long positions, and the process will be quite complex. The 95 level has not been touched in two consecutive breakouts. Current conditions still suggest an expectation of another high, and it would be best if it can surge tonight; otherwise, we can only wait for a confirmation after breaking below 89k. #美联储降息 #BTC
At this stage, based on the data, price actions, and long-short volume, 94.5k is basically the peak of this rebound and drop, even if it's not the short-term peak, it's not far off. If the US market funds are particularly strong, there may be a false breakout at the upper edge of the wedge, aiming to capture a wave of liquidity above.
So the trend has been set, still in a 4h level downward continuation, accelerating the rebound to 95-96k is also a reasonable position. The rate cut has already been priced in by the market the day before, so a significant rally is also normal.
Short-term operations mainly focus on short positions and long positions, and the process will be quite complex. The 95 level has not been touched in two consecutive breakouts. Current conditions still suggest an expectation of another high, and it would be best if it can surge tonight; otherwise, we can only wait for a confirmation after breaking below 89k. #美联储降息 #BTC
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Bearish
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$LUNA2 Short immediately, five days of significant gains in six days, the price has already tripled in a week, and the daily chart is showing a peak. The whales are about to start harvesting long positions, so it's the right time to short.
$LUNA2 Short immediately, five days of significant gains in six days, the price has already tripled in a week, and the daily chart is showing a peak. The whales are about to start harvesting long positions, so it's the right time to short.
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Bullish
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$giggle immediately go long! A typical strong庄币, since the rise on 11.05 it has been declining intermittently. The position around 80 has returned to the starting point of the last rise, and the total amount is only 1,000,000, with a fee destruction mechanism. Taking a 20%-30% rebound from this position should not be a big issue, just go in more.
$giggle immediately go long! A typical strong庄币, since the rise on 11.05 it has been declining intermittently. The position around 80 has returned to the starting point of the last rise, and the total amount is only 1,000,000, with a fee destruction mechanism. Taking a 20%-30% rebound from this position should not be a big issue, just go in more.
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Strategy simulation of the FOMC decision on December 11thThe essence of this meeting is not the 25 basis point rate adjustment itself, but rather how policy communication can reshape the market's expectations for the future path; market volatility will be influenced by Powell's wording, rather than the implementation of a 25 basis point cut. 1. Scenario: Dove action, hawk packaging Baseline scenario (probability >85%): A 25 basis point rate cut, but accompanied by a significant hawkish policy guidance. Purpose: To satisfy the market's 'ritualistic expectations' for easing while clearly curbing the market's pricing for a continuous and rapid rate cut cycle. 2. Policy logic: Why act, and why be cautious?

Strategy simulation of the FOMC decision on December 11th

The essence of this meeting is not the 25 basis point rate adjustment itself, but rather how policy communication can reshape the market's expectations for the future path; market volatility will be influenced by Powell's wording, rather than the implementation of a 25 basis point cut.
1. Scenario: Dove action, hawk packaging
Baseline scenario (probability >85%): A 25 basis point rate cut, but accompanied by a significant hawkish policy guidance.
Purpose: To satisfy the market's 'ritualistic expectations' for easing while clearly curbing the market's pricing for a continuous and rapid rate cut cycle.
2. Policy logic: Why act, and why be cautious?
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Bullish
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$TRUTH Long now! Since the decline started on 11.10, it has retraced 80%. The four-hour chart shows a rebound trend, and the hourly chart has currently stopped falling. This position is good for opening a long position to take profits.
$TRUTH Long now! Since the decline started on 11.10, it has retraced 80%. The four-hour chart shows a rebound trend, and the hourly chart has currently stopped falling. This position is good for opening a long position to take profits.
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Bearish
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$FARTCOIN Short immediately, since the rise on 11.23, it has broken through in the first four hours but has continuously faced resistance starting from 12.07. The current signal of weakening volume is evident, and the main force is still using slight upward movements to entice more buyers; it's definitely the right time to short.
$FARTCOIN Short immediately, since the rise on 11.23, it has broken through in the first four hours but has continuously faced resistance starting from 12.07. The current signal of weakening volume is evident, and the main force is still using slight upward movements to entice more buyers; it's definitely the right time to short.
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Bearish
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$LUNA2 Short Now! On the 5th and 6th, there were two consecutive explosive increases, resulting in long upper shadows, with the highest increase being 66% over both days. Subsequently, Ethereum plummeted, and since yesterday, there has been a significant rise again. The 1-hour chart has already formed a double top at a high position, and the current upward momentum is beginning to weaken, so it's time to start shorting.
$LUNA2 Short Now! On the 5th and 6th, there were two consecutive explosive increases, resulting in long upper shadows, with the highest increase being 66% over both days. Subsequently, Ethereum plummeted, and since yesterday, there has been a significant rise again. The 1-hour chart has already formed a double top at a high position, and the current upward momentum is beginning to weaken, so it's time to start shorting.
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#BTC Today, it remains in the range of $89,450–$90,600, showing a slight rebound overall. Every time it dips, it quickly rebounds. Currently, we are still in a phase of choosing direction. It seems that before the meeting, the main players do not want to make big moves, so let's just endure for now.   Key intervals:  Resistance levels: $94,000–$96,000 If broken, there is a chance to test $100,000  Support levels: $88,000–$90,000 If it breaks below, it may test the bottom again below $85,000   Market situation: Market sentiment has slightly warmed, but macro and capital still have some pressure. Institutions and large holders are obviously adjusting their positions, and the choppy market is still ongoing. The main direction moving forward will depend on whether the Federal Reserve will give hawkish hints about a slowdown in future rate cuts after Powell's remarks. Recently, new projects have started to cluster together, which will divert the existing market funds. In the short term, everyone is waiting to see how much rate cut space reserves will be announced after the FOMC meeting based on the dot plot. If the situation is good, the upcoming market trend will be speculating on next year's rate cut expectations.     It is advised that brothers keep light positions and focus on swing trading while the current direction is unclear. Don't aggressively bet on a heavy position; the trend is not yet completely clear, and making the wrong move can lead to the abyss. Those with bullets can also participate in staking to earn some extra money these days. Holding coins and operating blindly needs to be cautious. #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
#BTC Today, it remains in the range of $89,450–$90,600, showing a slight rebound overall. Every time it dips, it quickly rebounds. Currently, we are still in a phase of choosing direction. It seems that before the meeting, the main players do not want to make big moves, so let's just endure for now.
 
Key intervals:
 Resistance levels: $94,000–$96,000
If broken, there is a chance to test $100,000
 Support levels: $88,000–$90,000
If it breaks below, it may test the bottom again below $85,000
 
Market situation:
Market sentiment has slightly warmed, but macro and capital still have some pressure. Institutions and large holders are obviously adjusting their positions, and the choppy market is still ongoing. The main direction moving forward will depend on whether the Federal Reserve will give hawkish hints about a slowdown in future rate cuts after Powell's remarks. Recently, new projects have started to cluster together, which will divert the existing market funds. In the short term, everyone is waiting to see how much rate cut space reserves will be announced after the FOMC meeting based on the dot plot. If the situation is good, the upcoming market trend will be speculating on next year's rate cut expectations.
 
 
It is advised that brothers keep light positions and focus on swing trading while the current direction is unclear. Don't aggressively bet on a heavy position; the trend is not yet completely clear, and making the wrong move can lead to the abyss. Those with bullets can also participate in staking to earn some extra money these days. Holding coins and operating blindly needs to be cautious. #加密市场观察 #美联储重启降息步伐
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#SOL Market capitalization remains unchanged while the price drops, holders are diluted, and there are many cryptocurrencies in the market that are experiencing severe inflation, such as ENA, leading to a negative cycle where the narrative continues to degrade. ———————— #SOL In 2021, the market capitalization was close to 75 billion The price was 247 USD Now in 2025, the market capitalization is again close to 75 billion But the price is only 134 USD Market capitalization data from: Coinmarketcap #美SEC推动加密创新监管
#SOL Market capitalization remains unchanged while the price drops, holders are diluted, and there are many cryptocurrencies in the market that are experiencing severe inflation, such as ENA, leading to a negative cycle where the narrative continues to degrade.
————————

#SOL In 2021, the market capitalization was close to 75 billion
The price was 247 USD

Now in 2025, the market capitalization is again close to 75 billion
But the price is only 134 USD

Market capitalization data from: Coinmarketcap #美SEC推动加密创新监管
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Bearish
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$pippin Short immediately! It's clearly a trap to lure people in, the hourly chart is basically a trend of pulling up and crashing down, the bottom has risen several times, the pullback will exceed your imagination, just go short.
$pippin Short immediately! It's clearly a trap to lure people in, the hourly chart is basically a trend of pulling up and crashing down, the bottom has risen several times, the pullback will exceed your imagination, just go short.
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Bullish
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$XNY immediately go long, recently the dog dealer has been continuously pulling the market to wash positions, but there has been a significant drop. In the past few days, they have been accumulating for several days. I observe that the dog dealer has a trend to start again, and long positions can be taken to profit.
$XNY immediately go long, recently the dog dealer has been continuously pulling the market to wash positions, but there has been a significant drop. In the past few days, they have been accumulating for several days. I observe that the dog dealer has a trend to start again, and long positions can be taken to profit.
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Bearish
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$FHE immediately short, a typical dog fund inducing more and pulling people in, the hourly volume is gradually weakening, now it is completely the dog fund's left and right hands pulling, shorting is the right move.
$FHE immediately short, a typical dog fund inducing more and pulling people in, the hourly volume is gradually weakening, now it is completely the dog fund's left and right hands pulling, shorting is the right move.
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