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The essence of trading lies in the ability to find opportunities, plan before acting, and strategize effectively. This has always been the key to Lao Gao's success in the market. Many people fail due to chaotic operations, lack of planning, and no strategy. Most losses occur from over-leveraging, locking positions, holding onto trades, and not using stop losses. The root cause is often a lack of thought, fear of missing out on market movements, following the wrong trades, or following too many people, while struggling with their own mindset. This leads to small gains and large losses. The saying goes, 'Think thrice before acting,' only well-considered entry points are worthy of engagement. Aggressive entry points leave traders in a dilemma, whether to capture the highest or lowest points, leading to significant price discrepancies. If one is reluctant to take a loss, they can only hold on. Stable entry points allow for profitable exits while also providing an escape route.

The market is currently deeply entrenched in a downtrend dominated by bears, with selling pressure continuously released, and the retracement trend becoming increasingly strong. The four-hour level chart gives a clear bearish signal: the K-line recorded an extremely long upper shadow, showcasing the bulls' inability to push higher. After being pressured by the upper Bollinger band, the price has plunged, directly breaking through the mid-band support, and strong resistance has formed above. The three Bollinger bands are simultaneously diverging downwards, with the channel width continuously expanding, confirming that the bearish momentum is accelerating. The hourly level trend shows even weaker performance, with a series of bearish K-lines, the price descending in a stepwise manner, and showing no signs of effective rebound. The weak downward trend has already taken shape; the MACD indicator's fast and slow lines continue to converge downwards, about to form a death cross again, providing strong technical support for the continuation of the bearish trend. Current market bearish sentiment is spreading comprehensively, with consistent bearish logic seen from technical patterns to capital movements. The downtrend has been firmly established, and a reversal is unlikely in the short term. $ETH

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Life has never had a stopping point; no matter when or where, we can only maintain a brave and fighting heart, continuously moving towards our ultimate goal, to welcome our own brilliance. We provide ideas for doing more. The market conditions are also as I analyzed, accurately capturing the space of 2770 points. For this kind of market condition, it is actually quite easy for me to grasp, as long as I find my own rhythm for taking positions. For position enhancement, it is still quite relaxed. $BTC $ETH

Based on the analysis of momentum structure, the market's short-term adjustment has shown signs of fatigue, and bullish recovery signs are gradually emerging. In terms of technical indicators, the 1-hour RSI indicator has steadily rebounded to the mid-axis area after forming a bottom divergence pattern in the oversold range, signaling the exhaustion of short-term downward momentum; the 4-hour MACD indicator's green bars continue to converge, and the fast and slow lines have the opportunity to form a golden cross above the zero axis again, confirming the continuous weakening of bearish forces and the orderly warming of bullish sentiment. $BTC $ETH

The current market is continuing a range-bound oscillation pattern at the 4-hour level, with the lower Bollinger Band continuously providing effective support. Although the price has not yet reached the key support level, the downward space has clearly narrowed, and the characteristics of a market bottom are gradually emerging. Switching to the 1-hour level for observation, although the market is in a stalemate between bulls and bears, the Bollinger Band indicator has completed a shift from convergence to opening. This technical signal usually indicates that bullish energy is continuing to accumulate, and market sentiment is gradually shifting from a wait-and-see approach to a more positive bullish stance. $BTC $ETH

The overall trend of the Bollinger Bands is still downward, but after rebounding from the low point, the price has gradually moved away from the lower band corresponding to the weak operating range and is continuously approaching the middle band. This trend intuitively reflects that the buying power in the market is gradually strengthening, and the price center is showing a steady upward movement.

Focusing on the hourly time frame, although the market maintains a pattern of oscillation between bulls and bears, the Bollinger Bands indicator has completed a transformation from narrowing to widening. This technical signal usually indicates that bullish momentum is continuously accumulating, and the short-term market trend is becoming more positive.

During the price pullback phase, the lower Bollinger Band continues to provide effective support, forming a clear support-rebound technical structure, with a preliminary confirmation of the short-term bottom.

Although the overall trajectory of the Bollinger Bands remains in a downward channel, after stabilizing and recovering from the low point, the price has gradually moved away from the weak operating range near the lower band, continuously approaching the middle band. This change in shape intuitively reflects that the market buying power is steadily strengthening, and the price center is showing a steady upward trend.

From the hourly chart perspective, although the market maintains a pattern of fluctuating consolidation between bulls and bears, the Bollinger Band indicator has completed a transition from continuous narrowing to an upward opening shape. This technical signal usually indicates that bullish momentum is accelerating, and the positive attributes of short-term trends have significantly improved. Based on the comprehensive analysis of multiple time frame technical signals, the current price, after experiencing a phase of consolidation digestion, is likely to continue the previous upward trend.

During the price retracement process, the lower Bollinger Band has consistently provided effective support, forming a clear support rebound structure. The short-term lower support has been initially validated. Although the overall trajectory of the Bollinger Band is still in a downtrend, the price has gradually moved away from the weak area of the lower band after hitting the bottom and is continuously approaching the middle band, indicating that buying power is steadily accumulating, and the upward trend of the price center is becoming increasingly clear. From the hourly chart perspective, although the market shows an alternating pattern of bullish and bearish fluctuations, the Bollinger Band has gradually shifted from a tightening to an opening shape, which usually indicates that bullish momentum is being re-energized, and the short-term trend is becoming more positive. Considering the signals from multiple time frames, the current trend is expected to continue the previous upward trend after a brief consolidation.

From the current market performance, as the price comparison continues to be under pressure and falls back, the daily level of the subject continues the bearish running pattern. The key intraday support level at 85000 shows strong support, with the coin price stabilizing around 85200. This trend directly alleviates the short-term upward pressure, and the risk of a pullback has significantly decreased, providing solid technical support for long positions.

From the perspective of analyzing long-term cyclical trends, we firmly maintain a bullish core view. The previous pullback is only regarded as a technical correction within the upward trend. Currently, this round of correction has basically been completed, and bullish forces are gradually reclaiming lost ground below. It is important to note that the current market is at a critical starting point for trend reversal, and the battle between long and short funds is bound to enter a heated stage. It is difficult for a strong upward trend to form directly, and in the short term, the market is likely to maintain a fluctuating pattern of alternating bullish and bearish rhythms.

Based on the current market performance analysis, the price has not continued the downward trend after experiencing pressure and a pullback, and has subsequently begun to rebound. The current price is operating within the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. Although the bullish volume has shown a certain degree of contraction, it can still support the price to maintain a fluctuating consolidation pattern. The overall operating channel is gradually flattening, and the moving average system is showing a cross arrangement. From the short-term trend perspective, the market is still accompanied by a fluctuating adjustment trend, but this trend belongs to the pullback energy accumulation stage within the bullish trend, which has not changed the medium to long-term bullish direction. Observing from the four-hour time frame, the price operating channel is showing a downward convergence trend. After the corrective upward movement touches the upper channel pressure level, there has not been an immediate pressure drop trend. The volume level shows a continuation characteristic of bullish patterns, providing kinetic energy support for the price's upward movement; the moving average system maintains a winding upward operating rhythm, and the overall consistent upward trend has not been disrupted. In the small cycle dimension, the price's recovery upward trend is robust, and the short-term box consolidation trend further highlights the weakness of bearish pressure. The market's downward space is significantly limited. Overall, the current market is in the energy accumulation stage of the bullish trend, with limited downside risk. It is recommended to focus on laying low-position long orders.

Bitcoin: It is recommended to lay long orders near the range of 87300-87000, with a target towards 88888.

Ethereum: It is recommended to lay long orders near the range of 2930-2910, with a target towards 3050.

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The current cryptocurrency market's fluctuation and repair process has not yet ended, and the testing of trend direction continues. From a daily chart perspective, the price candlestick continues to operate in the lower band area of the Bollinger Bands, with the downward space gradually opening up, the lower band continuously extending downward and forming a pressure bottoming situation for the price, and the bearish trend is gradually rising. In the four-hour timeframe, the three lines of the Bollinger Bands are synchronously extending downward, and the market sentiment dominated by bears is evident. Looking back at the evening market trends, when the price rebounded near the middle track of the Bollinger Bands, it encountered strong resistance and quickly fell back. This position has formed a strong short-term resistance level and indirectly confirms that the current market's short-term rebound momentum has already weakened. Comprehensive multi-period technical analysis indicates a clear and explicit trading layout strategy going forward: it is recommended to rely on the key pressure level of the four-hour Bollinger Bands' middle track to continue to maintain a bearish view on rallies $BTC $ETH .

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From the current market perspective, Bitcoin is showing a volatile correction pattern on the 4-hour level. After two consecutive trading days of bullish candlesticks, the price encountered significant resistance when it rose to around $87,700, and subsequently entered a gradual correction period, currently consolidating around the $86,400 range. In terms of technical patterns, the 4-hour Bollinger Bands are showing a downward opening trend, with $86,000 constituting a key short-term support level, and the price is attempting to break upwards relying on this support. Switching to the 1-hour level for observation, the market is exhibiting a strong volatile operation characteristic, with the Bollinger Bands channel narrowing, reflecting a decrease in short-term volatility. In terms of technical indicators, the KDJ indicator has formed a golden cross above 50, releasing a short-term bullish signal; the RSI indicator is around 48.9, overall showing a neutral to strong state; although the MACD indicator completed a golden cross below the zero axis, the bullish momentum is relatively weak, and caution is needed for the risk of the price retreating after a spike. $BTC $ETH

In the four-hour chart, the price of the underlying asset remains in a downward channel, closely following the lower boundary of the channel. The three bands of the Bollinger Bands maintain a downward opening pattern, with bearish forces completely dominating the market, significantly increasing the probability of further accelerating downward price movement. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator's dual lines continue to operate in the weak zone below the zero axis, extending further into deeper areas, with selling momentum showing a continuous increasing trend. This signal further confirms the current market sentiment is extremely low, and the bearish dominance is solid. $BTC $ETH