天针

#fomc会议 What impact will this have on Treasury yields?
👍Rate decision expectations: The market broadly expects tomorrow’s (October 28) FOMC decision to leave interest rates unchanged (about a 90% probability), but the probability of a rate hike in December has risen to 77%.

👍Current yields: Driven by stronger-than-expected durable goods orders, the 10-year Treasury yield rose intraday to 4.997% (nearing the psychologically important 5% threshold), while the 2-year yield climbed to 4.731%.

👍Policy cycle: The Fed delivered its first rate hike in three years in September 2026, bringing rates to 3.75%–4.00%. It is now in a period of uncertainty between a “hawkish pause” and a “neutral pause.”
👊The rate decision itself (hike/pause/cut)
‌If rates remain unchanged tomorrow‌: This would be in line with expectations, with limited short-term impact on yields. However, ‌the wording of the statement‌ will drive market direction.
‌A hawkish pause‌ (emphasizing inflation risks and keeping the possibility of a December hike open) → yields ‌rise‌ (the shorter-term 2-year yield is more sensitive). ‌A dovish pause‌ (signaling that policy is sufficiently restrictive) → yields ‌fall‌ (the 10-year yield could retreat below 4.8%).
‌If the Fed unexpectedly raises rates by 25 bps‌ (very unlikely, but not impossible): The 2-year yield could jump by 15–20 bps, with the 10-year yield also rising, though gains at the long end may be limited by economic data.

#LLY Since late April, the S&P 500 Health Care Index has gained about 23% through Monday’s close, outperforming the S&P 500 and other sectors, with major pharmaceutical companies such as Eli Lilly, AbbVie and Johnson & Johnson serving as key drivers. As concerns grow over returns on AI investments and tech capital spending, funds have shifted into health care: as of October 19, health care ETFs had attracted about $4 billion in net inflows over the past 65 trading days, while tech ETFs saw about $6 billion in net outflows. Debt risks at CoreWeave fueled concerns about AI financing, and tech stocks posted their worst weekly performance since Trump’s tariff policies in April 2025. But the rally faces a test from corporate earnings: Johnson & Johnson’s weaker-than-expected results dragged the sector to its worst performance in more than a month; full data from Moderna and Merck’s melanoma vaccine trial leaked, sending Moderna shares plunging 18% last Thursday, while the S&P 500 Health Care Index fell 1.1% last Friday. Earnings from leading companies such as Eli Lilly will determine whether the rally can continue. Institutional views are for reference only and do not constitute investment advice.
$LLY

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BTC

So sad!

I saw the recommendation that entered at 0.1276 yesterday. Should I continue to hold?

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Luckily I ran fast. The sky is falling!

Hold on

Today is not suitable for emptying, getting up early and emptying will lose hundreds of U. Scared and ran away immediately.

Do you really think so?

How much profit target last night?