阿墨交易笔记

Based on the K-line走势, BTC has recently rebounded from the $57,758 low. After pushing up to around $66,924, it showed a clear pullback. Currently, the price is trading around $63,835. From the chart, it can be seen that the earlier uptrend faced strong pressure in the $65,000–$67,000 range: multiple attempts to surge failed to achieve an effective breakout, and short-term capital has started to take profits and exit. The current price has fallen below support of the short-term moving average, indicating the market has entered a correction phase. Today, focus on whether support around $63,800 can hold. If the rebound cannot reclaim the $64,500 area, the bears still have further room to release downside momentum.

TrueFi (TRU) is an unsecured, collateral-free lending protocol focused on the DeFi space. Its goal is to bring the credit lending model from traditional finance into the blockchain world, enabling users to complete borrowing without over-collateralized assets, while also creating stable yield opportunities for capital providers.
In short:
What TrueFi aims to solve is the problem of over-reliance on collateral in DeFi lending—helping blockchain finance gradually shift from “you need assets to borrow” to “borrow based on credit.”
Today, most DeFi lending protocols—such as the collateralized lending model—generally require users to first deposit crypto assets with a higher value as collateral before they can borrow funds. While this approach is relatively safe, it limits capital utilization efficiency and cannot fully meet the demand from enterprises and institutional users for credit-based loans.

Many retail investors face a common problem when they first enter the market: they feel that if they study the price action deeply enough and look at the indicators closely enough, they can work out how to make money. But once you’ve gone through a few rounds of market cycles, you realize the least rational thing about the market is that it never follows the path of your calculations. This fan submission today is a typical example. At 33, he’s a surveying and mapping engineer who has spent years traveling around for urban construction and road planning projects—most of the time at worksites or on business trips. His job is stable and his income is decent, but the issue is very real: time is becoming more and more expensive, while income growth is slowing down. At an industry exchange event, he encountered new technologies like drones, digital maps, and smart cities. That was also the first time he learned about how blockchain can be applied in the data space. At first, he wasn’t thinking about making money at all—he just felt it might affect the future. So during his spare time, he started researching the BTC, ETH, and digital asset markets. When the market was sluggish, he didn’t rush to chase hype. Instead, he split some of his idle funds and gradually built positions in the mainstream assets he truly understood. The process was actually slow. At the beginning, his account showed almost no obvious changes. But as later cycles kicked in, the positions he’d accumulated patiently started to generate returns—his first real moment of realization: for ordinary people who want to change their income structure, they don’t necessarily have to quit their job to start a business. They can slowly build a second kind of capability alongside their current life. What really caused him to suffer later was the contracts. What is an engineer usually best at? Calculating parameters, reading data, making forecasts, and controlling errors. So when he first came into contact with futures/contract trading, he naturally thought this could also be solved through models and probabilities. His early judgments went relatively smoothly. He slowly increased his position size, and his confidence grew along with it. Until one time, the market suddenly broke out. The pressure level he had expected was immediately pierced by a strong move. At first, he still thought it was just a temporary breakout and expected the price to come back. But it didn’t. Instead, it kept running. With a heavy position, his account saw a noticeable drawdown in a short time. What really bothered him then wasn’t just the loss—it was realizing that the “precise calculation” he was most familiar with is simply not a magic key when placed in the market. After that, he set himself a few simple rules: no single trade position can be too heavy; if the direction is wrong, admit it and take the loss without enlarging risk just because the previous trade made money; when things are uncertain, it’s better to stay out of the market and wait for opportunities. Especially for stop-loss—this sounds the simplest, but in practice it’s the hardest. Because setting a stop-loss means admitting you were wrong, and many people don’t lose money because they were wrong in the first judgment; they lose because after being wrong, they stubbornly hold on, and eventually turn a small loss into a big one. Even now, he’s still doing his engineering job, and investing is only his second growth line in life. He’s actually less anxious than before, because he’s started to understand: trading isn’t meant to replace a job, and it isn’t something you can change your life with in a single trade. It’s about slowly building a system you can execute long-term. In the end, the biggest difference between the market and engineering is this: engineering has standard answers, but the market doesn’t. You can analyze probabilities, but you must leave room for surprises; you can judge trends, but you must accept the possibility of being wrong; you can wait for opportunities, but you can’t force trades just because you’re itching to act. For ordinary people, real “turnaround” has never been about suddenly catching one massive pump. It’s about changing from “trying to flip your situation in one move” to “knowing how to live through the long run.” If you’re also researching trading, cycles, and capital management, and you want to exchange practical ideas together, feel free to chat with us. Market opportunities have always been there. The key is when the next opportunity arrives, the capital and mindset you have in hand must still be there.

BTC’s current price is around 64,988.2. According to the K-line trend, BTC has recently gone through a clear low-level correction phase: after dipping and bottoming around 62,228, it continued rebounding. It has now reclaimed the level above 64,000 and is gradually pushing toward the 65,000 resistance zone. Market sentiment has started to warm up, but as the price nears the previous resistance area, the battle between bulls and bears is intensifying, and the short-term market has entered a critical standoff. Judging from the daily, 4-hour, and 1-hour chart structure, although BTC’s short-term rebound trend remains intact, the 65,000–65,500 area presents clear overhead pressure. Today, the focus is more on the opportunity to watch for a pullback after the price tests higher.

IoTeX (IOTX) is a blockchain infrastructure network focused on the Internet of Things (IoT). Its goal is to connect real-world devices with the digital economy ecosystem through blockchain technology, building a more secure, open, privacy-preserving machine economy system.
Unlike traditional blockchain projects, IoTeX is not simply intended to process financial transactions. Instead, it aims to address key challenges in the IoT era, such as data security, device identity authentication, privacy protection, and trusted interactions between devices. As intelligent devices, autonomous driving, smart home systems, industrial equipment, and AI hardware continue to evolve, the number of globally connected devices is growing rapidly. How to manage the data generated by these devices has become an important requirement—this is the core direction of IoTeX’s strategy.

Many people think that insurance professionals understand risk better than anyone, but this fan’s story teaches me a simple truth: knowing risk and truly executing risk are separated by a long stretch of distance. Today I’m sharing a fan’s submission. She’s 35 years old and an insurance consultant. From helping others plan life protection to later beginning to study investing, she gradually walked into a path of wealth growth that belongs to her alone. She has been in the insurance industry for over 8 years, spending every day dealing with all kinds of family and business clients. Some worry about their children’s education, some plan for retirement, and some consider asset allocation. Long-term communication with different clients has formed a habit in her: researching why other people make money—and why they can’t keep their money safe. When she first started in insurance, it wasn’t easy. Her income relied mainly on performance, and the pressure was huge. But over the years, relying on professionalism and client accumulation, she slowly built the foundation for her own business.
Her first exposure to the crypto market came when she was helping a business client plan assets. During the conversation, the other party mentioned BTC and digital asset allocation. At the beginning, she was actually quite cautious. In the insurance industry, people talk about risk every day, so her first reaction was: is the volatility in this market too high? But later she realized that more and more entrepreneurs and young startups were starting to pay attention to digital assets. So she didn’t rush to invest. Instead, she learned first—from the logic behind BTC’s development, to market cycles, to the characteristics of different assets—building her understanding step by step.
Her first big “breakthrough” came from two stages. Outside the crypto world, it was the roughly 500,000 yuan she had accumulated from years of insurance work. Through long-term service to clients, she not only gained income, but also deepened her understanding of wealth management. Inside the crypto world, she started paying attention during a period when the market was sluggish, looking for opportunities without blindly chasing upward moves. She studied the cycle and then allocated some mainstream assets in batches. Later, as the market turned upward, she achieved her first time with over one million in gains. At that moment, she felt like she had opened up a whole new perspective on wealth. Before, she helped others plan their future—now she was learning how to plan her own assets.
But many people go through a stage where, after they start making money, it’s easy to overestimate their own abilities. She did too. Because she had spent a long time working in insurance, she felt that by studying risk every day, she should understand better than ordinary investors about controlling it. So she began trying futures and contract trading.
At first, she was extremely cautious: testing with small positions and strictly controlling capital. Several trades in a row produced decent results. Slowly, her confidence grew. And then, seeing people around her amplify profits quickly through leverage, she started to increase her position size. Until one time, the market reversed quickly. The price didn’t move as expected. She knew she should execute a stop-loss, but in her heart she thought, “Wait a bit more—it might come back.” As the market volatility continued to expand, her account saw a clear shrinkage.
The biggest blow wasn’t how much she lost—it was that she realized: understanding risk doesn’t necessarily mean you can execute risk. Many traders fail not because they can’t analyze, but because when facing losses, they get defeated by their own emotions.
Later, she adjusted her trading approach again—splitting her investments into long-term allocation and opportunity positions. Before every trade, she considers the worst-case scenario and plans an exit in advance. She no longer increases risk just because of short-term profits. She said that, looking at the market now, the biggest difference from before is that she no longer thinks about proving herself. Instead, she thinks about how to stay in the game for the long term.
Today, she still runs her insurance business, while treating investing as a second growth curve. Life isn’t as anxious as it used to be, and she no longer expects that one market cycle can change her life. In the future, she hopes to build her own wealth management content brand—to share the years of experience she gained from working with clients and studying risk with more ordinary people. In fact, most ordinary people enter the market not because they want to get rich overnight, but because they want to have one more option for their future.
Different professions don’t necessarily mean different opportunities. What truly determines the gap is whether you have the ability to keep learning and improving your understanding. The market always rewards those who are well prepared, but the ones who can go far are definitely those who know how to manage risk, control emotions, and wait for opportunities.
If you also want to improve your trading understanding and learn more about market logic and risk management, we can exchange ideas together. There’s no shortcut to wealth growth, but improving your understanding is always the beginning of ordinary people changing themselves.