ANKTHERY

The evening breeze hangs heavy, the night veiled in mist. With a heart full of quiet hopes, I wonder when the one worth pursuing will finally appear.

The language is so impoverished that I can’t even describe the turmoil in my heart.

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The remaining three weeks of August, with data capable of flipping expectations every few days
I went through and mapped out the rest of August’s calendar, and it’s giving me a headache.
August 12 CPI, August 13 PPI, August 19 FOMC meeting minutes, August 26 PCE, August 27–29 the Jackson Hole global central bank symposium. (Cryptohopper) These releases come out every few days—each one has the power to reprice September rate-hike expectations, and each one can make a 5%+ one-day BTC move feel "reasonable".
Nonfarm Payrolls in July printing -23,000 and BTC rising—this is a textbook example of weak data being friendly to BTC. But the next batch of data isn’t headed in the same direction.
The futures market is currently pricing about a 60% probability of a September rate hike, and the two most critical turning points are the August 12 CPI and Warsh’s remarks at Jackson Hole. (24/7 Wall St.) The direction of these two turning points could contradict each other—CPI could come in soft (because the labor market is already weakening), but at Jackson Hole, Warsh may stick to a hawkish stance (because since taking office he has kept emphasizing "strategic ambiguity").
Bitfinex’s analysis lays out two scenarios: the best case is "controlled cooling"—job softening, easing service-sector inflation, and stable real consumption. Real yields and the dollar both fall together, without triggering recession signals. This is the most macro-friendly environment for BTC. The worst case is core inflation strengthening on top of demand resilience, with 10-year TIPS real yields breaking the key 2.5% level—this would shatter BTC’s constructive outlook. (Cryptohopper)
Plainly put, anyone holding a BTC position this month has to suffer back and forth between five data points. Every few days you’re forced to face a new "what will it be this time?" This isn’t a normal market environment—it’s a high-intensity macro stress test.
I’m not saying to run. I’m saying you need to be mentally prepared for volatility this month—not because the market is broken, but because the calendar was always set up like this.
Is anyone on the Plaza also finding this pile of August data a headache? Tell us how you’re dealing with such a high-density data cycle.
$BTC

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🚨 BIG MOVE FOR CRYPTO 🚨
🫵Crypto Regulation Enters a New Era?

The U.S. Senate just advanced a landmark crypto bill before heading into recess — and this could be one of the most important steps for the market in a long time.

Why it matters:
• clearer rules for digital assets
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Crypto does not need more noise.
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And if the Clarity Act keeps moving forward, the next phase for crypto could be very different from the last one.

Do you think this is a bullish signal for the market? 👇

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More than 500 long orders on Friday for ZEC to profit, and short orders near BTC 65,500 are in profit. Short orders for ETH 1,935 are also in profit. Reference levels for ETH long and short positions on August 10 are as shown in the image. Comment 🧧🧧

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7.44 news: U.S. Treasury Secretary Bessent said that an agreement to open the Strait of Hormuz may be reached tomorrow. This is undoubtedly a bullish piece of news.

In the evening, let's see whether there is still an opportunity to go long above 4045, or a chance to go long near 4018. Be prepared for a long-term hold!

Once the Strait of Hormuz is truly opened, gold will have reason to look for 4300–4500!!

The short position around 4075 is defending at the extreme limit at 4085, and there is still risk. If you prefer to be cautious, you can exit first; if you're more aggressive, you can take another look. Spot gold XAUUSD

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