Soleil的波浪手帐
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Soleil的波浪手帐
USD1 Holder
High-Frequency Trader
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22 July 2026：$CL Crude Oil
In the fifth segment of the white line starting from the blue dot, today’s rise is very close to the resistance 88.62—just 0.01 dollars away. In the near term, support is 83.59. Only if it breaks below that can we assume the upward move of the white line’s fifth segment has ended. Even if the price stays above it, there is still a possibility of pushing to another high. #石油美元
In the fifth segment of the white line starting from the blue dot, today’s rise is very close to the resistance 88.62—just 0.01 dollars away. In the near term, support is 83.59. Only if it breaks below that can we assume the upward move of the white line’s fifth segment has ended. Even if the price stays above it, there is still a possibility of pushing to another high. #石油美元
July 22, 2026: $BTC
The support for the smaller timeframe is 6505.0. As long as the price remains above this level, there is still momentum for further upside, possibly reaching above 6799.8. If it breaks below, it may weaken. The resistance is 6619.9; if price breaks through it, it can delay the decline or turn stronger.
The support for the smaller timeframe is 6505.0. As long as the price remains above this level, there is still momentum for further upside, possibly reaching above 6799.8. If it breaks below, it may weaken. The resistance is 6619.9; if price breaks through it, it can delay the decline or turn stronger.
July 22, 2026: $MU Micron
Yesterday it rose and broke through 947.8. My personal long position has been reduced accordingly. The yellow line seems to fit a three-sawtooth pattern or a guiding wedge. The blue line that started from 804 has already moved through three segments. Support at the smaller level is 903. As long as the price stays above it, there may still be room to push higher. If it breaks below, the upward impulsive wave can’t be formed, and it would only be a rebound. Resistance is 1029.
#美股超话
Yesterday it rose and broke through 947.8. My personal long position has been reduced accordingly. The yellow line seems to fit a three-sawtooth pattern or a guiding wedge. The blue line that started from 804 has already moved through three segments. Support at the smaller level is 903. As long as the price stays above it, there may still be room to push higher. If it breaks below, the upward impulsive wave can’t be formed, and it would only be a rebound. Resistance is 1029.
#美股超话
July 21, 2026: $BTC
After yesterday breaking through the pressure at 64.489 and continuing to strengthen, the likelihood increases significantly that the yellow line will form a double zigzag. In the near term, support is 64.967. As long as the price remains above this level, it may still reach above 67700
After yesterday breaking through the pressure at 64.489 and continuing to strengthen, the likelihood increases significantly that the yellow line will form a double zigzag. In the near term, support is 64.967. As long as the price remains above this level, it may still reach above 67700
July 20, 2026: $BTC (4H)
The rise that starts from a white dot does not conform to a driving wave. It should be viewed as an adjustment to the decline of the white line. The near-term pressure level is 64.489; only if it breaks through that level could it potentially slow down the decline or turn stronger. Otherwise, it may expand the top-level scenario.
The rise that starts from a white dot does not conform to a driving wave. It should be viewed as an adjustment to the decline of the white line. The near-term pressure level is 64.489; only if it breaks through that level could it potentially slow down the decline or turn stronger. Otherwise, it may expand the top-level scenario.
July 20, 2026: Crude oil $CL
The rise that started with the blue dot conforms to the driving wave. Yesterday, I already reminded everyone that a pullback might occur in the near term. The current support level in the near term is 81.17. If it breaks through, it is considered that the five waves of the white-line advance have ended, and an adjustment targeting the white-line rise has begun. The next support is 75.82. After the adjustment ends, there should be at least one more wave of上涨 at the same level as the white line.
The rise that started with the blue dot conforms to the driving wave. Yesterday, I already reminded everyone that a pullback might occur in the near term. The current support level in the near term is 81.17. If it breaks through, it is considered that the five waves of the white-line advance have ended, and an adjustment targeting the white-line rise has begun. The next support is 75.82. After the adjustment ends, there should be at least one more wave of上涨 at the same level as the white line.
July 19, 2026: #原油 $CL
It's been a long time since I talked about crude oil. On June 17, I mentioned support at 70.6; the low at 67 stopped the decline and started the upward move. Since the blue dot, the market has already moved out of the impulsive wave. Recently, the support level is 78.64. If it breaks below, we consider that a pullback has begun. After the pullback, there is still momentum to continue rising. On July 3, I bought crude oil; I have already closed the position and am waiting for the right time to re-enter.
It's been a long time since I talked about crude oil. On June 17, I mentioned support at 70.6; the low at 67 stopped the decline and started the upward move. Since the blue dot, the market has already moved out of the impulsive wave. Recently, the support level is 78.64. If it breaks below, we consider that a pullback has begun. After the pullback, there is still momentum to continue rising. On July 3, I bought crude oil; I have already closed the position and am waiting for the right time to re-enter.
May 26, 2026: $BTC (4H)
The drop below the white line has ended, seen as the first part of a correction. The rise from the blue point is a correction against the drop below the white line. The minor support level is at 75.586; if the price stays above this, we can expect a continued bounce back. The resistance level is at 79.522, and after the bounce ends, we could see a drop back to the level of the white line.
The drop below the white line has ended, seen as the first part of a correction. The rise from the blue point is a correction against the drop below the white line. The minor support level is at 75.586; if the price stays above this, we can expect a continued bounce back. The resistance level is at 79.522, and after the bounce ends, we could see a drop back to the level of the white line.
May 27, 2026: $XAUT Gold 4H
The yellow line doesn't align with the driving wave; it's more in line with a single sawtooth, indicating a pullback targeting the third segment of the blue line. Minor resistance sits at 4528, with the next support level at 4383.
The yellow line doesn't align with the driving wave; it's more in line with a single sawtooth, indicating a pullback targeting the third segment of the blue line. Minor resistance sits at 4528, with the next support level at 4383.
May 25, 2026: $BTC (4H)
The decline below the white line has finished, consider this as the first part or the whole of the adjustment. The upward movement marked by the blue dots is seen as a bounce against the white line drop, potentially bouncing back above 78..505, with resistance at 79..522. After the bounce ends, there is still a chance for further downside.
The decline below the white line has finished, consider this as the first part or the whole of the adjustment. The upward movement marked by the blue dots is seen as a bounce against the white line drop, potentially bouncing back above 78..505, with resistance at 79..522. After the bounce ends, there is still a chance for further downside.
May 25, 2026: $CL Crude Oil (4H)
The blue dots are aligning with the joint pattern, and we haven't seen any signs of a reversal yet. If we are in the C-wave of a joint Y-triangle, we could potentially reach between 87-82. A drop below 82 would be very risky. The blue line in the chart is just an illustrative trend of the joint Y-triangle (not for reference).
The blue dots are aligning with the joint pattern, and we haven't seen any signs of a reversal yet. If we are in the C-wave of a joint Y-triangle, we could potentially reach between 87-82. A drop below 82 would be very risky. The blue line in the chart is just an illustrative trend of the joint Y-triangle (not for reference).
May 16, 2026: $BTC
The 78.165 level has been breached, indicating the end of the third segment of the yellow line. The only support for the bulls is at 76.022; if it drops below that, we’ll consider the yellow line unable to make a bullish move, and the drop from the peak will be seen as a retracement towards the third segment of the yellow line or a drop at the blue line level. Currently, based on the existing candlesticks, we can't draw any conclusions yet, with resistance at 80.519.
The 78.165 level has been breached, indicating the end of the third segment of the yellow line. The only support for the bulls is at 76.022; if it drops below that, we’ll consider the yellow line unable to make a bullish move, and the drop from the peak will be seen as a retracement towards the third segment of the yellow line or a drop at the blue line level. Currently, based on the existing candlesticks, we can't draw any conclusions yet, with resistance at 80.519.
May 16, 2026: $XAUT Gold 4H
The red line is currently seen as the first part of the corrective wave hypothesis, while the yellow line aligns more with a single sawtooth considered the second part of the adjustment. The blue line is at the same level as the red/yellow, viewed as the third part of the correction. Currently, there are no signs of a bottom forming on the smaller timeframes, with resistance at 4599.6. If the price stays below this level, we could see further declines, potentially dropping below 4336. However, this downtrend might wrap up before June 5. (Updates paused for four days on 17/18/19/20)
The red line is currently seen as the first part of the corrective wave hypothesis, while the yellow line aligns more with a single sawtooth considered the second part of the adjustment. The blue line is at the same level as the red/yellow, viewed as the third part of the correction. Currently, there are no signs of a bottom forming on the smaller timeframes, with resistance at 4599.6. If the price stays below this level, we could see further declines, potentially dropping below 4336. However, this downtrend might wrap up before June 5. (Updates paused for four days on 17/18/19/20)
May 16, 2026: $QQQ Nasdaq (4H)
The support level on the lower time frame is 26087, and yesterday's drop was just $10 away from support. Next week's movement is crucial; if we break through the red line, we need to stay alert. A drop below 25503 would confirm a pullback, but this pullback is just to set up for a stronger upward move, maintaining the long-term target of 31111.
The support level on the lower time frame is 26087, and yesterday's drop was just $10 away from support. Next week's movement is crucial; if we break through the red line, we need to stay alert. A drop below 25503 would confirm a pullback, but this pullback is just to set up for a stronger upward move, maintaining the long-term target of 31111.
May 15, 2026: $BTC 4H)
Yesterday's pump broke the resistance at 81.693; I believe we're wrapping up the fifth wave (the white line in the chart). Recent support sits at 79.985, and if we stay above that, we might see further gains. The blue line's 0.382 resistance is at 85.325.69. The white line represents the terminal wedge pattern (not for reference, no subjective bias). The upward movement of the yellow line's third segment should wrap up before 8 PM on May 20, after which we may see at least a $4848 retracement.
Yesterday's pump broke the resistance at 81.693; I believe we're wrapping up the fifth wave (the white line in the chart). Recent support sits at 79.985, and if we stay above that, we might see further gains. The blue line's 0.382 resistance is at 85.325.69. The white line represents the terminal wedge pattern (not for reference, no subjective bias). The upward movement of the yellow line's third segment should wrap up before 8 PM on May 20, after which we may see at least a $4848 retracement.
May 15, 2026: $XAUT Gold 4H
The yellow line is only running in three segments, fitting the single sawtooth pattern, or it could be the second part of a retracement. The blue line's drop is viewed as the third part of the adjustment or a pullback against the yellow line's rise. The minor support is at 4540; if it breaks this support, it may accelerate the drop. Resistance is at 4696; we need to break through it to delay the decline. The long-term target remains 5116 (if it doesn't go this time, we'll hit it after a pullback).
The yellow line is only running in three segments, fitting the single sawtooth pattern, or it could be the second part of a retracement. The blue line's drop is viewed as the third part of the adjustment or a pullback against the yellow line's rise. The minor support is at 4540; if it breaks this support, it may accelerate the drop. Resistance is at 4696; we need to break through it to delay the decline. The long-term target remains 5116 (if it doesn't go this time, we'll hit it after a pullback).
May 14, 2026: Nasdaq (4H) $QQQ
Yesterday, the Nasdaq hit another all-time high, but it didn’t retrace to the blue line at 0.2. Let’s consider the previous day’s pullback as wave 4; we’re currently in wave 5. The recent support sits at 25854, and as long as we hold above that, we should continue to pump. If we break that support, then a pullback is on the table. I’m sticking with the long-term target of 31111.
Yesterday, the Nasdaq hit another all-time high, but it didn’t retrace to the blue line at 0.2. Let’s consider the previous day’s pullback as wave 4; we’re currently in wave 5. The recent support sits at 25854, and as long as we hold above that, we should continue to pump. If we break that support, then a pullback is on the table. I’m sticking with the long-term target of 31111.
May 14, 2026: $BTC
828 is the peak of the third segment of the white line, but we can't confirm it's the peak of the third segment of the yellow line yet. We need to break below 78.165 to confirm that the bullish run of the yellow line's third segment is over. The white line in the chart represents a terminal wedge pattern (not a solid reference, no subjective bias). Today's support level is at 78.699, and the resistance level is at 81.693. If we can't break through those levels today or tomorrow and drop below 78.699 again, we need to be cautious. The bullish run of the yellow line's third segment should conclude by 8 PM on May 20 or may have already ended at the blue point. 'No updates for three days on the 18th, 19th, and 20th.'
#CLARITY法案5月14日听证在即
828 is the peak of the third segment of the white line, but we can't confirm it's the peak of the third segment of the yellow line yet. We need to break below 78.165 to confirm that the bullish run of the yellow line's third segment is over. The white line in the chart represents a terminal wedge pattern (not a solid reference, no subjective bias). Today's support level is at 78.699, and the resistance level is at 81.693. If we can't break through those levels today or tomorrow and drop below 78.699 again, we need to be cautious. The bullish run of the yellow line's third segment should conclude by 8 PM on May 20 or may have already ended at the blue point. 'No updates for three days on the 18th, 19th, and 20th.'
#CLARITY法案5月14日听证在即
May 13, 2026: $BTC (4H)
No peak signals have popped up yet; 828 is the top of the white line's third segment, and we can't confirm it's the top of the yellow line's third segment just yet. We need to break below 78.165 to confirm the end of the yellow line's third segment uptrend. The white line in the chart illustrates a terminal wedge pattern (no reference value, no subjective bias), so keep an eye on the resistance at 83.638.
The yellow line's third segment uptrend should wrap up by 8 PM on May 20 or may have already ended at the blue dot. #特朗普访华团 $NVDA $TSLA
No peak signals have popped up yet; 828 is the top of the white line's third segment, and we can't confirm it's the top of the yellow line's third segment just yet. We need to break below 78.165 to confirm the end of the yellow line's third segment uptrend. The white line in the chart illustrates a terminal wedge pattern (no reference value, no subjective bias), so keep an eye on the resistance at 83.638.
The yellow line's third segment uptrend should wrap up by 8 PM on May 20 or may have already ended at the blue dot. #特朗普访华团 $NVDA $TSLA
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