Extreme Black Swan: Learning from Major Collapses to Build Your Own Antifragile Mechanism
This wave of selling is due to Binance USDe circular loans; many people have been liquidated. I also got involved in USDe circular loans with all the U I had, but fortunately, I only had U and did not hold any other coins, so when it dropped to 0.6, I didn't get liquidated. However, I was hanging by a thread (0.5 would have liquidated me). I got my life back, which is a compensation for not buying into Binance Life a few days ago. So I've been reflecting all day; I must establish my own antifragile mechanism.
After all, even if you win countless times, losing just once can be catastrophic.
1⃣ Hold a large position in U, and keep USDT or USDC in a conservative financial management approach. Don't mess around with any DeFi in XJB; be cautious with on-chain assets like USDe, especially in a bear market.
2⃣ Do not play with any long-term altcoin contracts (and don't touch altcoin spot trading either). Even if there is short-term logic, follow a fixed strategy for 1-2 days. You must also take losses; keep only a small amount of funds in contract accounts. For long-term altcoins, if you open a contract, you must hedge with a position in blue-chip coins like BTC; hold more blue chips and short one altcoin (but I'm not trading at this stage).
3⃣ For arbitrage accounts, always take losses and set profit-taking. If you're going to sleep overnight, try to reduce your position size.
4⃣ Always maintain a position of over 50% pure U, so that in the event of a black swan or systemic risk, you have the funds to safely catch the falling pie; MEME + contracts + arbitrage + big opportunity for attention should not exceed 25% of total funds.
5⃣ Develop the habit of regularly investing profits (no more than 5% of funds) into options to build your own antifragile mechanism; this is very important, and you must take action.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------ X follow the same name of the martial arts leader meme @kyoueii #solana #bitcoin #Ethereum✅
$BTC $ETH $BNB Short-term extreme drop bottom characteristics:
-19.1 billion liquidation, the highest in history - Binance liquidation hourly candlestick trading exceeded 20,000 pieces, usually exceeding 10,000 pieces indicates a short-term bottom - The contract liquidation map long-short ratio is extreme, almost all bulls have been wiped out - Binance exchange APP suddenly cannot be opened - Whales short-selling outbreak myth
【The four-year cycle top in the cryptocurrency market has appeared】(Signal Detail Version)
- The current open contract volume of alternative coins has first exceeded that of Bitcoin, and this situation corresponds to local tops in the previous two occurrences, which can be regarded as a historical top signal.
- In the past two weeks, the altcoin season index reached 84, and after reaching 80 in December 2024 and January 2024, the index saw a significant drop.
- On the technical front, a weekly top divergence for BTC has emerged, and the volume at the top is enormous, with the four-year cycle approaching expiration in November.
- ETH/BTC has made substantial gains, and other major blue-chip coins have also seen large increases.
- The altcoin season has appeared in Binance alpha and the new coin listing sector, with various low-quality coins doubling in value within a day.
- The wealth effect of Aster and XPL has emerged, showcasing luxury items, and Zhao Changpeng (CZ) has once again become the richest Chinese individual.
- There is an atmosphere of frenzy, with many novices around me entering the market, while giants are continuously issuing coins, eating into market funds.
- The doomsday vehicle BNB and SATS have surged, while the market circles FIST MSN OSK are generally at the tail end of the cycle.
- The Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts are favorable, with reserves being beneficial, and major companies in the U.S. are buying in along with 401K purchases being favorable, with gold hitting new highs, but BTC is no longer following suit.
- The cryptocurrency stock DAT presents enormous risks; once the market experiences a significant drop, it can have a counterproductive effect.
------------------------------------------------------------------------------ X follow the same name meme master @kyoueii #solana #bitcoin #Ethereum✅
Triple profit, analysis of the profitability possibilities for the second season of brushing aster (grok analysis version) x.com/i/grok?convers…
Conclusion: 🎯 Total air drop approximately 600 million USD, total transaction volume in the second season approximately 55 billion, total points 137,500 🎯 In an ideal state of 1 million transaction volume, profit of 698 tokens, worth approximately 1500u, with a cost of only 500u
How to achieve the ideal state token distribution: - Use Binance Alpha non-custodial wallet +10% - Market price eating single bonus 2 times - Holding time maximum bonus 10 times - Fleet increase 10%-20% - Using aster can waive 5% transaction fee - USDF as margin can increase up to 2 times - Can use hedging transactions across multiple platforms, or grid trading to brush orders
You can use my fleet, hurry up and get on board together: asterdex.com/zh-CN/referral…
1. In the past few days, Binance Alpha has seen a lot of big movements, tonight's $XPL big movement celebration, the second phase only needs 100 points, tomorrow there will be $MIRA spot big movements, $HANA contract big movements, and the day after tomorrow there will be $light contract big movements. If the points are low, I suggest waiting until after 8 PM tomorrow to claim, so that both big movements tomorrow can be captured.
$XPL faced heavy selling pressure when it just opened, although it is a stablecoin good project, it should have peaked at 10B. Many holders of staked airdrops, OK and Biget Gate and other exchanges will have selling pressure in the next three days. Recommendations: After 9 PM, go on Binance and Upbit, shorting for two days at high points, position limit orders are best.
2. $neiroeth is a coin being delisted from Binance, it will be delisted tomorrow, but the holding/market value ratio still has 0.7. After the holding volume on Binance steadily increased, there was no significant decrease. The K-line is currently being tested, tonight is the last night. Will it be like the previous delisted coin $alpha on Binance and create a wave? I bought low on Gate, placing limit orders to sell double, aiming to capture tomorrow's delisting.
3. The庄币 $TUT had very bizarre movements in the past two days, but the holding market value ratio is still 1.16, and the holding in the last 6 hours is still increasing, indicating that the market maker hasn't left and is still firmly controlling the market. Just now, it was testing the筹试仓 again. I am ambushing in, preparing to hold it long-term, let's go! gm
------------------------------------------------------------------------------ X follow the same name 武帮主 meme @kyoueii #币安Alpha #合约爆仓 #币安HODLer空投XPL
The peak of sentiment in the cryptocurrency circle has appeared
🎯 The current altcoin season index is 80. In December 2024 and January 2024, the index has reached 80 before starting to decline significantly. 🎯 The current open contract volume of alternative coins has surpassed that of Bitcoin for the first time, and this situation has corresponded to local peaks in the previous two occurrences, making it a historical peak signal. 🎯 At the same time, there is an 88% probability of a pullback after the Federal Reserve meeting on September 18, which severely skews the risk-reward ratio.
At this point, locking in profits or avoiding pullbacks is the best strategy #山寨季将至?
1⃣、After the recent Binance alpha new regulations, today the $AKE and WOD are quite stable, 1000u loss after 0.2u; tonight at 22:00 spot ZKC will be listed, big毛 is scheduled, estimated 200u, time to be notified
2⃣、Just received news, Binance and Upbit have both listed $AVNT for spot trading, opening at 13:00 this afternoon. After the opening, I went short directly because this is the best liquidity period, the market maker will definitely sell, holding until 13:00 tomorrow with the current price at 1.1 alpha
3⃣、The $BSW contract will be delisted from Binance this afternoon, let's see if there's a chance to go short on gate
------------------------------------------------------------------------------ X follow the same name meme master @kyoueii #币安Alpha #合约挑战 #实盘挑战
【Binance Alpha Contract Trading Major Reflection Summary】(Forming Your Own Trading Strategy)
I. Binance Alpha Major Techniques With the small alpha becoming more diversified and competitive, the major strategy remains the same: the alpha projects on Binance spot, Binance contracts, or directly TGE (the focus is on pre-TGE). Each cycle brushes 270 points, with over 220 points only allowing for 3-4 grabs; these three types are considered digestible. Therefore, the major technique is to give up all grab projects, keep points for the above three types, which generally divide into 12 stages, and the required points are often 230+
Recently, $OPEN $LINEA two spot trades made 500u
II. Binance Alpha Trading Techniques With the new alpha regulations released on September 2, new coins often rise sharply; how to choose? After observation, airdrop projects valued at less than 35U often see a certain increase right after opening, with a single trade doubling, such as the recent $TRADOOR $MIRROR $PTB
III. Contract Certainty Trading Opportunities
- Within 24 hours after being listed on Upbit, short with certainty; this has been mentioned multiple times on Twitter, such as yesterday's $OPEN
- In April, Binance delisted $ALPACA, causing a tenfold surge, and recently delisting $bake caused a sevenfold surge; it is clear that there are speculative funds participating behind the scenes. If multiple coins are delisted simultaneously, focus on selecting those with holdings/market value > 1 + gradually increasing holdings; the entry point can only be to chase high + place low limit orders for additional positions.
1⃣, Tomorrow $star TGE starts at 16:00 on the 9.6, the current TGE rewards are much better than the airdrop, estimated at 70-100u, points requirement 240+ 2⃣, On 9.8, $open will be listed on Binance spot, estimated profit 100u+, points requirement 240+
Start accumulating points now, alpha points accumulate 240+ points each time only for TGE, listed on spot and contracts, compared to daily airdrops, it will be a better strategy
Contract opportunity:
$red listed on upbit, generally, there are short-selling opportunities right after being listed on upbit, current price 0.7, short this evening, close position tomorrow evening
Today there are 4 alpha airdrops, remember to grab the 220 in one go
They are $gata, $tradoor, and $U, along with the second phase of $PTB at 14:00 this afternoon, other specific times will be notified
Today Binance Alpha has new rules, only new coins on the BSC chain within 30 days will have 4 times points, $MCH is still relatively stable, I recommend this one, but it may occasionally crash, best to quickly finish manually
#BinanceAlpha
X follow the meme account of the same name, @kyoueii
Discover a little trick, immediately invest in high-yield cryptocurrencies that collect interest every hour, just like $MYX . Don't be afraid to reach the top; $MYX has already increased for three days. If you buy in immediately after discovery, you can earn at least several times yesterday, with a maximum loss of half, and there's interest to be earned every hour, guaranteed profit. There are too few contract currencies that collect interest every hour, and the frequency is very low, so the winning rate is very high, with large odds. This is an opportunity that must be cherished. I remember that $M also rose to the sky with hourly collections.
After Jinglei Yin announced her entry into Web3 last cycle, the price of BTC plummeted from $47,000 to $16,000, a drop of 66%, marking the beginning of a deep bear market lasting a year and a half.
I heard she is making a high-profile announcement to return to Web3 again. Please don't, Sister Jing, enjoy your retirement, we beg you to let it go.
【Hundred Times Contract Real Challenge Binance Alpha Contract】(Day 19) ——Challenge 5000U to earn 50WU (full position 5x leverage for each coin) ——All 1500U single coin position 500U margin, fully filled
Today's total amount: 7580u (Total +2565u)
Currently holding six tokens $BONK $EPIC T $BDXN $TAC $TANSSI $DMC -------------------------------------------------------
Daily Opportunities and Reflections:
1⃣、 After the significant rise of $BTC breaking new highs, the Binance Alpha contract has entered a brainless upward mode after listing, with both $C $CROSS $AIN opening with significant surges, while I experienced large stop losses. I finally realized that the market has arrived and I should change my bearish mindset to fully bullish.
2⃣、 After 6 days, the account funds still have not increased. Sometimes there are large gains, and other times there are large losses, unlike my meme account which always grows steadily, rarely suffers big losses, and often has large gains, maintaining a winning rate of over 66%. Thus, I fell into deep thought to improve my contract trading strategy, with the overall direction being simplification (the meme account was improved by abandoning multiple trading modes and keeping only the highest winning rate strategy of low buying on the golden dog, resulting in the account starting to profit, going from 6sol to 60sol in 24 days)
3⃣、 First, the focus in the recent period should be on going long, mainly through the following three methods: 1)Volume breakout at the bottom + high negative interest rate High negative interest rate + alpha new coins dropping to low levels 2)Manipulated coins Buying more than double at low positions, or buying even if the position remains unchanged after a large drop 3)Both alpha and contracts go up, discovering total market capitalization below 10M, going long at the opening; if there is a second round, short first, then reverse to go long when the time comes, $TAC is an example of this.
4⃣、 Establish a review mechanism, check holdings every night. If there are losses, stop loss without holding; if there are small profits, continue to hold for 72 hours; if there are large profits, begin to take profits in batches, observing fees or holding all for profit-taking.
【MeMe Hundred Times Real Challenge】(Day 20) ——Main Strategy: Buy Low on Gold Dog, Pursue Low Frequency, Low Multiplication, High Win Rate ——Challenge from 6 sol to 600 sol (Short-term target: 120 sol)
Today's Account Balance: 46.29 sol (Total +40.29 sol)
Today's Holdings: 7 meme: $DERPY $WW $SKEBOB $woge $VIBE $stockcoin $MACROHAPD Currently buying 2.5 sol each, accounting for 10% of total funds
Daily Opportunities and Reflections: 1⃣, In fact, the overall account funds have already reached 60 sol. Yesterday, it jumped from 35 sol to 60 sol, mainly because I ambushed the day's Gold Dog $Ani and made about 11 times, considered lucky. Of course, I sold too quickly in the early stages; otherwise, getting 15 times should not be a big problem; 9tqjeRS1swj36Ee5C1iGiwAxjQJNGAVCzaTLwFY8bonk
2⃣, Currently holding, optimistic about $DERPY $WW $SKEBOB these three: $DERPY can be used as the platform coin for meme contracts 14bLBcB1iHUBGioLSwjbWBsP26nZKU16Qg44p5Vderp $WW $SKEBOB are both TikTok concepts, the former is dance trends, the latter is bird meme, quite interesting, and their like counts are quite high. I will hold these for another couple of days to observe 99ZQZGshzW48zJB3MhWX7wUFKznMWpJ1C4uhXkNqbonk CzEYBq7HE3S8jWVgkrHZt3WuuFe7W8pZxJCSPRWCbonk
3⃣, My wallet address is this, welcome to verify: 5Dib6bEKkg1C84aD8FbBoyk3k1zZSDtmkU2ypsCE9euY
【MeMe Hundred Times Real Challenge】(Day 16) —— Main Strategy: Buy low on Gold Dog, aiming for low frequency, low multiplier, and high win rate —— Challenge from 6 sol to 600 sol (Short-term target: 50 sol)
Daily Opportunities and Reflections: 1⃣ Significant profits mainly came from the $roger I bought yesterday, which yielded about 8 times; this type of TikTok-promoted animal meme often has significant upswings. I got lucky this time, but I didn’t sell well, otherwise it would have been around 12 times; 8TpHSgXoNdqZnzyHXv5mp7K4kdDgXvuStehkCmTabonk
2⃣ Today, in addition to the ones I have already bought, I also set buy orders for three: $Loopy Community insider target, it feels like the front row hasn’t sold, set an order at 0.00095 9anaj2GrwWWQvkNKzzEzoz5xvTEYP69EPJRagowobonk
$ONE is also a community insider, same logic, set an order at 0.00077 3hRfeCUc3NuSEuZfsLBpi2X6AUcF3jRKbCdPrpKpmoon
$LZR BONK series is very strong, the community is powerful, the downside is that there are a bit too many same-source wallets, set an order at 0.00087 7iqRq48RjwPzXHEarqSiYW53jqrKfuLPJd8z6S9Ybonk
3⃣ My wallet address is this, feel free to verify 5Dib6bEKkg1C84aD8FbBoyk3k1zZSDtmkU2ypsCE9euY