苹果BLUE

$ASTER The weekly level, daily level, and 4-hour level are all wedge shapes, nested wedges, with a maximum target of 1.498. However, I'm not that greedy; I will exit when I reach 0.86 to a risk-reward ratio of two. Right now, I'm more concerned about whether the logic of each of my trades is correct and if the details are well managed. Positive mathematical expectation is the premise of trading. There's no way to prove anything, just practice slowly...

$PAXG Double Bottom Bull Flag can buy gold now, with a win rate of around 40%, go long with a 2:1 risk-reward ratio, and set the stop loss at the lowest point of the second pullback.

$ASTER still practicing wedge until today, 10,000 wedge reversal trades, achieving a stable win rate of 40%, setting the stop loss at the lowest point, saw it too late, aiming for a two-to-one profit-loss ratio. My current model has added some standards; I will exit when the wedge does not hold, sometimes earning less and sometimes losing less.

$ETH Yesterday I told everyone not to copy because the bears have target levels at 1592-1588, the probability of reaching this position is 60%, so wait a bit... when it arrives, it's fine to take a position with a two-fold leverage, it's a reasonably good cost-performance position.

$BTC Purple area bottom fishing, there are large whale purchases here, sell after a 30% rebound.

$ETH Current position for bottom fishing may get buried, I will share a position for institutional accumulation...1588, probability 60%, do not bottom fish too early, at this position it is easy to get buried like any blogger, wait for it to drop another 500 dollars

$ZEC This coin is just a bearish structure, the previous wedge reversal failed, so now there is a 60% probability to go to the 94-74 area, or it may drop below 100, with the stop loss for short positions in swing trading set above 400.

As the high-rise towers host guests, they collapse; the final result of each myth in this circle is always a mess, and few can escape unscathed...

Trading has a cost and is expensive. I will still focus on wedges. I've done more than a dozen trades with a win rate of just over 30%. Since I entered the trading circle, I've really never seen a trader who can consistently make a profit. Long-term stability requires a tremendous amount of effort and costs calculated over the years. That's just how trading is; after 10 years, not achieving stable profits and experiencing losses for a decade is a normal and unavoidable reality.
A very harsh statistic I asked AI about is that globally, only one in ten thousand traders achieves an average annualized return of 15%, with institutions making up the majority. Meanwhile, the fees for you and me could exceed 15% each year, and even if we break even, the fees will drain us. This is not about rebate schemes; it’s about speaking the truth.
So, I am very clear that all newcomers entering the market are essentially giving away money. The probability is not 90% but 99%. Mathematics has calculated the downfall of all users. The platform fees and various already-profitable quantitative algorithms in the market have mathematically closed off almost all paths for retail investors. No matter what strategy is used, one always finds it impossible to achieve stable profits. Those big shots always showcase ways to achieve stable profits, so let’s take our time and experiment. Trial and error is the biggest cost for traders because nearly 99% of stable profit strategies are traps. All trading before achieving stable profits is speculative gambling, yet you and I believe it's technical analysis or value investing.
So how can one make money in this market? Hard waiting for cycles is the only choice for retail investors.
I always come across trading competitions at a certain institution; regardless of how many top-ranked influencers there are, none have stable profits. The difficulty of trading is directly presented. In fact, if you ask any AI to search for the difficulty of achieving stable profits, it will tell you that this difficulty ranks among the top three in all professions...
I also want to try manual trading to see if I can achieve stable profits. I’ve only done a little over ten trades in wedges out of a goal of ten thousand. I feel this isn't the final answer...
At first, I thought my win rate with wedges was 75%, then I thought it could be 40%, but I didn't expect that 40% would actually be the upper limit. I have always emphasized the importance of mathematical expectations, but I cannot prove it.
Some people have achieved stable profits through this model, so I might as well try more; maybe a simple method can yield results.

$ETH Spot buying should not be done too early... we are still in the early to mid-stage of a bear market, the super cycle of CZ is unlikely to come, and the time worth buying is at the end of 2026 or the beginning of 2027.

$ETH The bear is completely down... After falling from a high point, it will take a year for the bear to recover, and it hasn't fallen to the right level yet... The bearish target still needs to drop at least 800 dollars, which is a long-term trend

The apple point orders received two, but all the trades on the right side are wrong, recently the right side has completely cooled down, not sure how to say it

$RIVER The market waves and charts here can explain everything. The short position at 83.842 on Apple is almost the highest point for the shadow line, and the accuracy has been decent lately. Anyway, looking back, the position is not bad, but the short selling cost is too high to hold... I don't know how long it will drop, so I’m giving a bottom-fishing position for Apple at 20.298.
The left side is still professional... a steady 15% for profit taking, a greedy 30%.

$ACU Metaphysics takes off, relying on intuition or gambling sense, how can technical analysis be more important than feelings?

$CLO Apple point adjustment to 0.2317, if the short position given at 0.51 a few days ago was not executed, then place an order... Recently, the apple point actually performed well, the clos I provided in the past were all accurate... Alright, without further ado, let's wait for verification, eat a little less and then run, let's say 15%...

$ACU This coin reversed twice in the demand zone, the demand zone provided yesterday was not bad... I think it will soar.

$ACU Let's talk about non-technical things. This coin hasn't gone live on the spot market yet, and the triangle convergence is at 55 for long and short positions. However, coins that haven't hit the spot market will soar. ACU is the next meme coin... waiting for a breakthrough to issue an apple entry point.

$ETH The Ethereum completely starts the震荡 trend bottom from here, starting to be bullish, piercing the K-line, seeing 3257, the震荡 range usually does not leave gaps and at least returns to fill the gaps... Android strategy +1