肆月siyue

Is this true? The Arse project’s reputation in the crypto world really is pretty bad—so they say.
So what exactly is going on with stablecoins—what more trouble do they want? There are already so many L2s and even on-chain options like those, and it still isn’t enough, so they want to make an L1…
There’s always this feeling of swapping ingredients without changing the recipe, putting old wine into a new bottle…
If it can stay popular for half a year, I guess that counts as pretty impressive.
I just can’t stop thinking that the ARC logo looks so familiar—it looks like one from a previous project, or something.

The rate hike news has landed. $BTC ’s “big cake” hasn’t really fallen much; instead, gold has been smashed into a big pit.
Of course, not falling now doesn’t mean it won’t fall later. I still feel there’s room for further declines ahead.

#美联储加息是否已成定局
Rate hike predictions have already exceeded 90%. Follow the crowd and make a bet~
Just wait and see what happens after tomorrow morning when I wake up.
Over the past two days, BTC falling should be them digesting the bad news in advance. After the rate hike dust settles, it’s hard to say whether the bearish news will actually lead to a bounce.
But long term, I’m still bearish—historically, during rate-hike cycles, the price of big pizza hasn’t done well.

Come join #币安夏令营 !
Today is the first day—some issues are still pretty mind-boggling, but revisiting safety knowledge is also a good idea 👌
After you’re done, remember to fill out the form and submit it~

#币安安全星期四
Someone once spent as long as three years, step by step, eroding our defenses and lowering our guard—until, after we handed over our trust and money, they reaped the harvest in one decisive move.

There’s no such thing as a free lunch in the sky. High interest rates are a trap—things we’ve already heard so many times in anti-fraud campaigns that the words have gone in one ear and out the other.
But the overconfident always think they’re the exception, and then fall into a scam carefully orchestrated by others.

First, she showed us performance screenshots of how she turned several dozen u into several hundred thousand u, and she repeatedly and accurately predicted BTC price movements. Step by step, she shaped in our minds an image of herself as a contract trading “god.”
Boss, take me with you!
For those who believe contract trading only makes you lose money, the first reaction when meeting someone like this is the same as mine—we all shout the slogan about wanting to hug the big leg.
At first, she wasn’t willing. Later, after all sorts of requests from us, she reluctantly said: leading trades isn’t possible, but you can send the money to her to trade contracts, and she’ll give us monthly dividends.

And the Pandora’s box was opened.
At first, everyone was skeptical and only dared to participate with small amounts.
Later, seeing her pay out dividends on time and the gains she posted were enough to make people envious, we gradually lowered our guard, handed over our trust, and gave her more and more capital.
Along the way, there were gifts for festivals, meetups in person, and countless other interactions that further deepened trust.
It went on for more than two years.
Until the truth finally came out—until she vanished without a trace.
Only then did we realize we’d been boiled like a frog in warm water.
Over the course of two or three years, she had already completed her immigration plans; her parents and relatives were all settled abroad. Everything about her movements had never been hidden, and yet not a single one of us noticed anything wrong.
It’s really because the reliable, trustworthy image she built over those two years sank too deeply into people’s hearts.

Looking back afterward, maybe she hadn’t originally planned to run. After all, in the beginning she didn’t have much money, and she was still in China, so her sincerity at first was real. But later on, what everyone gave her was simply too much (when people tallied it, it added up to more than three million USD).

This is the biggest blunder I’ve ever taken in the crypto world.
I’ve thought again and again about why I let my guard down. Maybe it’s because I’ve met truly good people before, so my stereotypes got in the way.
The lesson from this is:
Don’t rely on stereotypes. Don’t test people’s greed with money. Sometimes someone isn’t greedy only because the amount isn’t big enough.

$SAHARA No, I still have so many of these that haven’t been sold 😭

$龙虾 Yesterday crabs came, today lobsters
How can I know in advance who will pull the market down? Take me with you, okay? 🤔

$BTC
Did they draw a door?
Yesterday I was wondering—when the CPI data comes out and rate-hike expectations increase, wouldn’t the odds of a drop be higher? Why did they pump it up...
Turns out it was a feint.
Up—really, it’s high.

#CPI数据来袭能否触发9月加息
I urge rate hikes🤫
1️⃣ Oil prices fan inflation; the Houthis are approaching the Strait of Mandeb. WTI surged 8% overnight to above $103, while Brent is nearing $110. August PPI came in hot: energy month-over-month +4.2%, and diesel month-over-month +24.1%.
Tonight at 20:30, the August CPI will be released. The market consensus expects a month-over-month increase of +0.4% (the highest in nearly 7 months), and a year-over-year reading of 3.4%.

2️⃣ Of course, the real suspense is core CPI. Last month, Waller said at Jackson Hole: "We must be confident that underlying inflation is moving toward 2% at a clear and sufficiently fast pace, otherwise we still have work to do."
But now, forecasts clearly run counter to his wishes. Add Nonfarm Payrolls of 162k and an unemployment rate of 4.1%, and you could say the economy’s resilience provides justification for rate hikes.

3️⃣ Everyone around the world is raising rates, and the Fed is hard to stay out of it. With current rates at 3.50%-3.75%, they’re "not restrictive enough" for this round of the economy—this is something Waller himself said.

If they truly hike rates, then of course I’m bearish.
This is also a good opportunity to buy the dip.

Walking around the square, I found that a lot of people were discussing Trump’s promise that, if he is elected, he would give everyone $5,000. I was wondering—isn’t this bribery? Why aren’t they getting arrested…
I asked an AI and found out it’s just dangling a carrot—like those earlier promises to pay off the national debt. Get elected first, and then we’ll see whether to actually carry it out later…

$牛来
Niǔ lái bù kuì shì nǐ, shàng xiàn huò, shǐ mìng wán chéng, wǒ yǐ wéi yào huà gè "L" le, jié guǒ yòu huà le yí gè "N".
At the moment, I’ve already drawn four “N”s, 🐮🐮🐮🐮.
Promise me, draw at most one more, otherwise it won’t rhyme.

$哈基米
Is this drawing a flag?
That’s not very impressive, is it?

#教师节
It turns out today is Teacher's Day.
All of you big shots here are my teachers.
Teachers, happy holidays!
In the new year, please take me with you!

#ALPHA
I was just about to say, “How come we didn’t finish snapping up all the spots today, and the score can still drop?”
Then I saw the seconds run out.
Sure enough, it was the hungry tiger pouncing—everyone’s score is still too high.

I picked up the contract-following compensation voucher last time and forgot to use it—it had expired. Today I found I can claim it again.
Looks like it won’t let me lose these 50u for nothing.
ᕙ( •̀ ᗜ •́ )ᕗ
Then I’ll just find a teacher and use it.

If you’ve claimed it too, I don’t recommend riding it to the point where you’ve lost the full 50 and then getting out. Setting it as a $250 loss with a 20% stop-loss is more reliable.
If you find a teacher who immediately draws down 20% right after starting, then I guess the timing isn’t meant to be—you’d be better off not forcing it…

Hope this time we win (a cry from someone who lost several hundred dollars following a teacher)

$LAPTOP
I took a look at the top 100 holdings of Biden’s son’s coins. Other than the initial allocation or whatever was likely received via an air drop, across dozens of addresses there are about ten addresses showing gains in profit; the rest are all in the red 🫨🤣
At first, I even misread it—I thought it was Trump’s son coming again to fleece people, and I was like, “Doesn’t the crypto world have any memory?”
Embarrassed… ashamed…

On the surface, air dropping to Trump’s losers, mocking the opponent—high-level struggles often use plain, straightforward methods.
In practice, seeing how much Trump has been cutting, I want to try it too.
ദ്ദി ༎ຶ‿༎ຶ )

$牛来
I ᰍ ݃ ݁ᣟ݂
This is crazy—so it’s available in stock already……
Sure enough, when something gets hot, anything can happen.
What do you think the next move will be?
After all, the mission has been completed—according to the usual script, it should be going down.

$TMX How many days since we last saw each other—did it really get this bad?
Oh, there’s an account that needs face verification, and it still can’t log in, so the booster rewards haven’t been claimed yet. I originally thought I’d mail it back home so my parents could claim them, but now it looks like there’s no point in claiming them anymore—it’s just going straight to zero.

$BTR fleetingly appeared for a moment—good thing this time, everything was finally sold out.ദ്ദി(˶>𖥦<˶)✧

Didn’t think I’d be able to eat crossover gossip in my lifetime.
🍉Cooked/ready to eat—go check it out 👀
The last time I heard news about Jing Tian was when Zhang Jike had an incident. After all, since Jing Tian debuted, she’s had support from big-name directors and major dramas all the way.
It’s just that she’s a bit “cold in nature,” so she kept being unable to stay explosively popular.
≽^⚈⩊⚈^≼
Turns out it was actually Sun-ge’s white moonlight.

Over here, I suggest everyone go read this article.
Sun-ge is truly someone who got into Peking University through the New Concept Composition—his writing, and this pure-love main plot line, runs through the whole thing.
After finishing it, all I can say is: you all ended up becoming the kind of adults you used to hate when you were young.
She’s realistic—and you’re not doing much better.

How many love stories are there really with all that flowery wording?
It’s just a story of “white moonlight” turning into someone people can’t get enough of.