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Bullish
🗓️ Saturday check-in. $BTC is consolidating around $72K, F&G at 49. Almost Neutral. $ETH Q1 data just dropped: 284K new users, 200M+ transactions, a new all-time high. Meanwhile, Kraken's Fed master account is sparking a real debate. And WLFI just borrowed $150M against its own token. A lot to unpack. 👇🧵 1/ 📊 Market snapshot, April 11: > $BTC: ~$72,200 (up ~1.5% on the week) > $ETH: ~$2,254 (up 1.7%) > BTC resistance zone: $72,000 to $73,000 > Key support: $70,000 and 50-day MA near $68,500 BTC is holding gains from the ceasefire rally but stalling hard at $73K. Third time trying to break that level this week. CPI data and macro uncertainty are doing the work on the upside. 2/ 😐 Fear & Greed at 49 today. One point away from Neutral. Two weeks ago, this index was sitting in the high 20s. Now it is almost perfectly split down the middle. Sentiment is recovering, but the market has not made up its mind yet. BTC needs to clear $73K convincingly before that needle moves meaningfully higher. For now, 49 says: cautious, watching, not yet committed. 3/ ⛓️ Ethereum Q1 2026 numbers are out, and they are quietly impressive: > 284,000 new users added (up 82% quarter-over-quarter) > 200.4 million total transactions, an all-time high, up 43% from Q4 > Active addresses hit 12.6 million > $2.1 billion in net capital inflows across leading blockchains $ ETH price is still stuck around $2,100 to $2,250 and hasn't reflected any of this. The on-chain story and the price story are completely disconnected right now. That gap usually closes eventually. 4/ 🏛️ Kraken became the first crypto firm to receive a Federal Reserve master account back on March 4. This week, regulators and banks are still pushing back hard. The account gives Kraken direct access to Fedwire and core US payment rails without relying on intermediary banks. No interest on reserves, no emergency Fed lending access, capped overnight balances. Still, it is a historic first. {future}(BTCUSDT)
🗓️ Saturday check-in. $BTC is consolidating around $72K, F&G at 49. Almost Neutral.
$ETH Q1 data just dropped: 284K new users, 200M+ transactions, a new all-time high.
Meanwhile, Kraken's Fed master account is sparking a real debate. And WLFI just borrowed $150M against its own token. A lot to unpack. 👇🧵

1/ 📊 Market snapshot, April 11:

> $BTC: ~$72,200 (up ~1.5% on the week)
> $ETH: ~$2,254 (up 1.7%)
> BTC resistance zone: $72,000 to $73,000
> Key support: $70,000 and 50-day MA near $68,500

BTC is holding gains from the ceasefire rally but stalling hard at $73K. Third time trying to break that level this week. CPI data and macro uncertainty are doing the work on the upside.

2/ 😐 Fear & Greed at 49 today. One point away from Neutral.
Two weeks ago, this index was sitting in the high 20s. Now it is almost perfectly split down the middle. Sentiment is recovering, but the market has not made up its mind yet.

BTC needs to clear $73K convincingly before that needle moves meaningfully higher. For now, 49 says: cautious, watching, not yet committed.

3/ ⛓️ Ethereum Q1 2026 numbers are out, and they are quietly impressive:

> 284,000 new users added (up 82% quarter-over-quarter)
> 200.4 million total transactions, an all-time high, up 43% from Q4
> Active addresses hit 12.6 million
> $2.1 billion in net capital inflows across leading blockchains
$
ETH price is still stuck around $2,100 to $2,250 and hasn't reflected any of this. The on-chain story and the price story are completely disconnected right now. That gap usually closes eventually.

4/ 🏛️ Kraken became the first crypto firm to receive a Federal Reserve master account back on March 4. This week, regulators and banks are still pushing back hard.

The account gives Kraken direct access to Fedwire and core US payment rails without relying on intermediary banks. No interest on reserves, no emergency Fed lending access, capped overnight balances. Still, it is a historic first.
Article
SUNDAY MARKET CHECK 05/04/2026🗓️ Sunday market check. $BTC is sitting at $67K, and ETH is pushing $2,067. Fear & Greed at 30. Markets are jittery on tariff noise and macro uncertainty. But some of the most important conversations in crypto are happening right now. Let's dig in. 👇🧵 1/ 📊 Market snapshot, April 5: > $BTC : ~$67,000 (slipped ~2% on tariff fears) > $ETH : ~$2,067 (up 3.98% in 24h, quietly outperforming) > Total market cap: $2.46T > BTC dominance: 57% ETH is showing strength today. Early signs of capital rotating into altcoins are starting to show up in the data. 2/ 😰 Fear & Greed sits at 30 today. That's Fear territory, not Extreme Fear. Sentiment is negative, but not at capitulation levels. Institutions tell the real story: BTC ETFs hold $85B+ in AUM, ETH ETFs at $13.6B. The big players aren't running. They're positioning. 3/ 🔄 Michael Saylor dropped a bold take today: the four-year Bitcoin cycle is dead. His argument: price is no longer driven by halvings. Global capital flows are what matter now. Strategy holds ~762,099 BTC and is targeting 1 million. This isn't just a thesis. It's a multi-billion-dollar bet. If he's right, the old "buy the halving" playbook needs a serious rethink. 4/ 🏙️ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is urging the US to build Shenzhen-style special economic zones for crypto. Think regulatory sandboxes where innovation moves fast. Armstrong points to Shenzhen's transformation from a fishing village to a global tech hub as the blueprint. He's already put money in Prospera, a crypto-native charter city in Honduras. Bold vision. The timing is right. 5/ ⏰ The CLARITY Act just got a hard deadline. Pro-XRP lawyer John Deaton says if the bill doesn't clear the Senate Banking Committee by April 13, it's likely dead for 2026. The Senate goes on recess on April 12. After summer, attention shifts to the midterm elections. The window is closing fast. Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse still gives it 90% odds. We'll know very soon. See full version in here: https://x.com/annguyen_1309/status/2040617595301449805 #ADPJobsSurge #AsiaStocksPlunge #DriftProtocolExploited

SUNDAY MARKET CHECK 05/04/2026

🗓️ Sunday market check. $BTC is sitting at $67K, and ETH is pushing $2,067. Fear & Greed at 30. Markets are jittery on tariff noise and macro uncertainty. But some of the most important conversations in crypto are happening right now. Let's dig in. 👇🧵
1/ 📊 Market snapshot, April 5:
> $BTC : ~$67,000 (slipped ~2% on tariff fears)
> $ETH : ~$2,067 (up 3.98% in 24h, quietly outperforming)
> Total market cap: $2.46T
> BTC dominance: 57%
ETH is showing strength today. Early signs of capital rotating into altcoins are starting to show up in the data.
2/ 😰 Fear & Greed sits at 30 today. That's Fear territory, not Extreme Fear.
Sentiment is negative, but not at capitulation levels. Institutions tell the real story: BTC ETFs hold $85B+ in AUM, ETH ETFs at $13.6B. The big players aren't running. They're positioning.
3/ 🔄 Michael Saylor dropped a bold take today: the four-year Bitcoin cycle is dead.
His argument: price is no longer driven by halvings. Global capital flows are what matter now. Strategy holds ~762,099 BTC and is targeting 1 million. This isn't just a thesis. It's a multi-billion-dollar bet.
If he's right, the old "buy the halving" playbook needs a serious rethink.
4/ 🏙️ Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong is urging the US to build Shenzhen-style special economic zones for crypto.
Think regulatory sandboxes where innovation moves fast. Armstrong points to Shenzhen's transformation from a fishing village to a global tech hub as the blueprint. He's already put money in Prospera, a crypto-native charter city in Honduras.
Bold vision. The timing is right.
5/ ⏰ The CLARITY Act just got a hard deadline. Pro-XRP lawyer John Deaton says if the bill doesn't clear the Senate Banking Committee by April 13, it's likely dead for 2026.
The Senate goes on recess on April 12. After summer, attention shifts to the midterm elections. The window is closing fast.
Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse still gives it 90% odds. We'll know very soon.
See full version in here: https://x.com/annguyen_1309/status/2040617595301449805
#ADPJobsSurge #AsiaStocksPlunge #DriftProtocolExploited
1/ Saturday check-in. BTC holding around $66-67K despite another rough macro week. Fear & Greed at 29. But underneath the fear, the on-chain data and institutional moves are telling a very different story. Let's break it down 👇🧵 2/📊 Market snapshot, April 4: > $BTC : ~$66,650 (holding key support despite tariff pressures) > $ETH ETH : ~$2,058 > BTC market cap: $1.33T > BTC dominance: 56.2% > 43% of BTC supply is currently underwater The price is choppy. The structure underneath is being built quietly. 3/ Fear & Greed at 29 today. > Here's the thing about extreme fear readings: they mark phases where weak hands exit, and strong hands load up. BlackRock just bought $3B worth of Bitcoin during this very dip. Institutions aren't panicking. They're accumulating. > That gap between sentiment and action is where positions are built. 4/ This one flew under the radar, but it matters: > Bitcoin closed March in the green, its first positive monthly candle after 5 consecutive months of red. That's a meaningful shift in trend structure, even if the price feels weak day-to-day. > 5 months of red followed by a green close historically signals exhaustion of sellers. The next monthly close will tell us whether this was a reversal or a dead cat. #BTCETFFeeRace #ADPJobsSurge
1/ Saturday check-in. BTC holding around $66-67K despite another rough macro week. Fear & Greed at 29. But underneath the fear, the on-chain data and institutional moves are telling a very different story. Let's break it down 👇🧵

2/📊 Market snapshot, April 4:

> $BTC : ~$66,650 (holding key support despite tariff pressures)
> $ETH ETH : ~$2,058
> BTC market cap: $1.33T
> BTC dominance: 56.2%
> 43% of BTC supply is currently underwater

The price is choppy. The structure underneath is being built quietly.

3/ Fear & Greed at 29 today.

> Here's the thing about extreme fear readings: they mark phases where weak hands exit, and strong hands load up. BlackRock just bought $3B worth of Bitcoin during this very dip. Institutions aren't panicking. They're accumulating.

> That gap between sentiment and action is where positions are built.

4/ This one flew under the radar, but it matters:

> Bitcoin closed March in the green, its first positive monthly candle after 5 consecutive months of red. That's a meaningful shift in trend structure, even if the price feels weak day-to-day.

> 5 months of red followed by a green close historically signals exhaustion of sellers. The next monthly close will tell us whether this was a reversal or a dead cat.
#BTCETFFeeRace #ADPJobsSurge
📌 April 1 TL;DR: ✅BTC ~$68,204, ETH ~$2,108. Q2 opens green. ✅India crypto tax penalties live today. Framework, not a ban. ✅OpenFX raises $94M. Stablecoin market cap crosses $300B. ✅CLARITY Act markup in April. 72% odds of passing this year. ✅Crypto whales short $138M oil on Hyperliquid. Bold. ✅Hyperliquid is becoming a real DeFi infrastructure for traditional traders. ✅$TAO , $HYPE ,SOL, Rain are the altcoin names with real utility behind them. Q2 is here. The regulatory stack is being built. The adoption is real. The price just hasn't caught up yet.$BTC {future}(BTCUSDT)
📌
April 1 TL;DR:

✅BTC ~$68,204, ETH ~$2,108. Q2 opens green.
✅India crypto tax penalties live today. Framework, not a ban.
✅OpenFX raises $94M. Stablecoin market cap crosses $300B.
✅CLARITY Act markup in April. 72% odds of passing this year.
✅Crypto whales short $138M oil on Hyperliquid. Bold.
✅Hyperliquid is becoming a real DeFi infrastructure for traditional traders.
$TAO , $HYPE ,SOL, Rain are the altcoin names with real utility behind them.

Q2 is here. The regulatory stack is being built. The adoption is real. The price just hasn't caught up yet.$BTC
📌 March 29 TL;DR: ✅ $BTC BTC ~$66K, $ETH ETH sub $2K. Fear & Greed at [F&G] ✅ Fannie Mae approves crypto-backed mortgages via Coinbase. Historic. ✅ White House clears crypto for 401(k) retirement plans ✅ NYSE owner ICE drops $600M into Polymarket ✅ Tether Gold (XAUT) launches on BNB Chain ✅ 38% of altcoins near all-time lows. Deepest pullback of the cycle. ✅ Bernstein and Standard Chartered both calling BTC bottom at $66K $ZEC {spot}(ZECUSDT) The price chart says fear. The fundamentals say adoption. Decide which timeframe you're trading.
📌 March 29 TL;DR:

$BTC BTC ~$66K, $ETH ETH sub $2K. Fear & Greed at [F&G]
✅ Fannie Mae approves crypto-backed mortgages via Coinbase. Historic.
✅ White House clears crypto for 401(k) retirement plans
✅ NYSE owner ICE drops $600M into Polymarket
✅ Tether Gold (XAUT) launches on BNB Chain
✅ 38% of altcoins near all-time lows. Deepest pullback of the cycle.
✅ Bernstein and Standard Chartered both calling BTC bottom at $66K
$ZEC

The price chart says fear. The fundamentals say adoption. Decide which timeframe you're trading.
Article
The market is bleeding again today1/ Market snapshot, March 28: - $BTC: ~$66,245 (-3.85% in 24h) - $ETH: ~$1,984 (-4.05%) - Total market cap: $2.37T (-3.1% on the day) - BTC YTD: -24.6% from Jan highs Not pretty. But context matters. Let's dig in. 2/ Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 24 right now, still deep in Extreme Fear territory. That's the kind of reading that historically marks phases where long-term holders start loading up. Panic is loud right now, but the smart money tends to be quiet. Worth keeping that in mind before you make any rash decisions. 3/ Here's something the price chart won't tell you: While retail is panic-selling, on-chain data shows whale addresses are accumulating at record levels. Long-term holders are absorbing the supply being dumped by newer entrants and miners under pressure. The hands that are buying right now aren't the ones who'll sell at the next dip. 4/ Spot Bitcoin ETF flows tell an interesting story this week: Earlier in March, we were seeing $300-400M/day in consistent inflows. But the last few days (March 22-25)? Small, alternating bars. Inflows one day, outflows the next. Institutions aren't running. They're just pausing. The conviction trade seems to be on hold until the macro picture clears up. 5/ 🇰🇷 Big regulatory move incoming: South Korea is reportedly planning to approve spot Bitcoin ETFs and overhaul its crypto regulations. If this happens, it opens a massive retail + institutional market that's been sitting on the sidelines. One more domino is about to fall. 👀 6/ 🌍 The US/Iran conflict just entered Day 29. No resolution in sight, and markets are still pricing in elevated geopolitical risk. Every major risk asset (equities, crypto, oil) is reacting to the same headline fear. One ceasefire signal and this market flips fast. Until then, expect chop. 7/ 🤖 While BTC bleeds, a pocket of the market is actually showing strength: AI tokens. According to LunarCrush, AI-related crypto is dominating social momentum right now: Bittensor (TAO) jumped from rank #398 to #2 in AltRankVenice Token vaulted from #415 to #44 AI tokens clustered in the Top 10 simultaneously. That's not noise, that's a narrative. 8/🚨 A sobering stat from Nigeria's EFCC: Over $160 billion was lost globally to crypto-related crimes in 2025. The agency is pushing for stronger cross-border controls as criminals increasingly use digital assets. As adoption grows, so does the attack surface. Stay sharp. Use hardware wallets, verify everything twice, and don't DM strangers who "want to help you trade." 9/ ⚖️ Zoom out on the regulatory landscape: SEC issued a tokenized securities taxonomy in Jan 2026. First real clarity on token classifications.DTC is launching a tokenization pilot for custodied assets in H2 2026South Korea ETF potentially incomingUS Clarity Act still being pushed forward The regulatory walls are slowly being replaced with doors. Messy short-term, but directionally positive. 📌 March 28 TL;DR: ✅ $BTC ~$66K, $ETH sub $2K $BNB . Fear & Greed at 24 (Extreme Fear) ✅ Whales accumulating quietly while retail panics ✅ ETF institutional flows: paused but not gone ✅ South Korea eyes spot BTC ETF ✅ AI tokens (TAO, Venice) showing major social momentum ✅ Iran war Day 29. Macro risk still elevated ✅ Regulatory clarity building globally We're in the uncomfortable middle of a cycle. Not the top, probably not the bottom yet. But the setup is taking shape DYOR. Manage your risk. See you tomorrow. 🤝

The market is bleeding again today

1/ Market snapshot, March 28:

- $BTC : ~$66,245 (-3.85% in 24h)
- $ETH : ~$1,984 (-4.05%)
- Total market cap: $2.37T (-3.1% on the day)
- BTC YTD: -24.6% from Jan highs

Not pretty. But context matters. Let's dig in.

2/ Fear & Greed Index is sitting at 24 right now, still deep in Extreme Fear territory.

That's the kind of reading that historically marks phases where long-term holders start loading up. Panic is loud right now, but the smart money tends to be quiet.

Worth keeping that in mind before you make any rash decisions.
3/ Here's something the price chart won't tell you:

While retail is panic-selling, on-chain data shows whale addresses are accumulating at record levels. Long-term holders are absorbing the supply being dumped by newer entrants and miners under pressure.

The hands that are buying right now aren't the ones who'll sell at the next dip.
4/ Spot Bitcoin ETF flows tell an interesting story this week:
Earlier in March, we were seeing $300-400M/day in consistent inflows. But the last few days (March 22-25)? Small, alternating bars. Inflows one day, outflows the next.
Institutions aren't running. They're just pausing. The conviction trade seems to be on hold until the macro picture clears up.

5/ 🇰🇷 Big regulatory move incoming:
South Korea is reportedly planning to approve spot Bitcoin ETFs and overhaul its crypto regulations. If this happens, it opens a massive retail + institutional market that's been sitting on the sidelines.
One more domino is about to fall. 👀
6/ 🌍 The US/Iran conflict just entered Day 29.
No resolution in sight, and markets are still pricing in elevated geopolitical risk. Every major risk asset (equities, crypto, oil) is reacting to the same headline fear.
One ceasefire signal and this market flips fast. Until then, expect chop.

7/ 🤖 While BTC bleeds, a pocket of the market is actually showing strength: AI tokens.
According to LunarCrush, AI-related crypto is dominating social momentum right now:
Bittensor (TAO) jumped from rank #398 to #2 in AltRankVenice Token vaulted from #415 to #44 AI tokens clustered in the Top 10 simultaneously. That's not noise, that's a narrative.
8/🚨 A sobering stat from Nigeria's EFCC:
Over $160 billion was lost globally to crypto-related crimes in 2025. The agency is pushing for stronger cross-border controls as criminals increasingly use digital assets.
As adoption grows, so does the attack surface. Stay sharp. Use hardware wallets, verify everything twice, and don't DM strangers who "want to help you trade."
9/ ⚖️ Zoom out on the regulatory landscape:
SEC issued a tokenized securities taxonomy in Jan 2026. First real clarity on token classifications.DTC is launching a tokenization pilot for custodied assets in H2 2026South Korea ETF potentially incomingUS Clarity Act still being pushed forward
The regulatory walls are slowly being replaced with doors. Messy short-term, but directionally positive.

📌 March 28 TL;DR:
$BTC ~$66K, $ETH sub $2K $BNB . Fear & Greed at 24 (Extreme Fear)
✅ Whales accumulating quietly while retail panics
✅ ETF institutional flows: paused but not gone
✅ South Korea eyes spot BTC ETF
✅ AI tokens (TAO, Venice) showing major social momentum
✅ Iran war Day 29. Macro risk still elevated
✅ Regulatory clarity building globally
We're in the uncomfortable middle of a cycle. Not the top, probably not the bottom yet. But the setup is taking shape
DYOR. Manage your risk. See you tomorrow. 🤝
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Bearish
1/ ⚖️ The SEC Chairman just admitted something quite interesting: The latest guidance from the SEC on crypto assets still does not answer the important question: "At what point does a token stop being considered an investment contract?" This creates a legal gray area that is still causing many projects and investors to be cautious. However, according to some analyses, the Clarity Act is being pushed as a positive signal in the long term. 2/ 🔍 Some altcoins are being mentioned frequently: - $XRP XRP community Army remains optimistic despite the price drop $SOL (Solana) attracted $31 million in new funds in the past week, ranking second in the entire market $QNT (Quant) is gaining attention after the news of Robinhood listing LINK (Chainlink) is currently under debate within the community XLM (Stellar) just launched a new tokenized fund 3/ 📊 According to CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun: Bitcoin is currently on day 703 after the halving in April 2024. In previous cycles, the bottom often forms around day 777, which is about 2 months away (end of May 2026). Forecast: the bottom of the cycle may fall around June - December 2026. If history repeats itself, this could be the final accumulation phase before the market enters a new upward wave. 4/ 🏦 Anchorage Digital, a major crypto custody platform in the U.S., has just added support for the TRON network for institutional clients. Hedge funds and financial companies can now custody TRX through the licensed system. Phase 2 will expand to TRC-20 tokens. Another major organization accepting the TRON ecosystem is a signal of the market's maturity. {spot}(BTCUSDT)
1/ ⚖️ The SEC Chairman just admitted something quite interesting:
The latest guidance from the SEC on crypto assets still does not answer the important question: "At what point does a token stop being considered an investment contract?"

This creates a legal gray area that is still causing many projects and investors to be cautious. However, according to some analyses, the Clarity Act is being pushed as a positive signal in the long term.

2/ 🔍 Some altcoins are being mentioned frequently:
- $XRP XRP community Army remains optimistic despite the price drop
$SOL (Solana) attracted $31 million in new funds in the past week, ranking second in the entire market
$QNT (Quant) is gaining attention after the news of Robinhood listing
LINK (Chainlink) is currently under debate within the community
XLM (Stellar) just launched a new tokenized fund

3/ 📊 According to CryptoQuant analyst JA Maartun:
Bitcoin is currently on day 703 after the halving in April 2024. In previous cycles, the bottom often forms around day 777, which is about 2 months away (end of May 2026).

Forecast: the bottom of the cycle may fall around June - December 2026.
If history repeats itself, this could be the final accumulation phase before the market enters a new upward wave.

4/ 🏦 Anchorage Digital, a major crypto custody platform in the U.S., has just added support for the TRON network for institutional clients.

Hedge funds and financial companies can now custody TRX through the licensed system. Phase 2 will expand to TRC-20 tokens.

Another major organization accepting the TRON ecosystem is a signal of the market's maturity.
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Bullish
The crypto market today is quite tense. BTC has fallen below $70K, ETH has decreased by more than 4%, and the entire market is in a state of "Extreme Fear". Let's recap what is happening today 👇🧵 📉 Price update for 27/03: - $BTC BTC: ~$69,036 (-sharp decrease) - $ETH ETH: ~$2,066 (-4.4%) - $XRP XRP also couldn't escape the downward trend The total market capitalization is currently at $2.36 trillion, down 2.5% in just one day. The Fear & Greed Index is in the Extreme Fear zone. 🔥 There is an unmissable event today: - More than $14.16 billion in BTC options contracts are set to expire at 08:00 UTC. Overall, the crypto market has more than $17 billion in options expiring today. - The Max Pain Point is currently at $75,000, which is about 8% from the current price. This is one of the reasons for the strong market fluctuations today. 🌍 One part of the reason the market is "afraid" is the geopolitical situation: - The US-Iran war is entering its 28th day, Iran has just rejected the US's 15-point proposal. Risk sentiment is being tightly compressed across the entire financial market, with crypto not being an exception. - When there is a ceasefire signal, the market could bounce back quickly, but currently, everyone is waiting and on the defensive.
The crypto market today is quite tense. BTC has fallen below $70K, ETH has decreased by more than 4%, and the entire market is in a state of "Extreme Fear". Let's recap what is happening today 👇🧵

📉 Price update for 27/03:

- $BTC BTC: ~$69,036 (-sharp decrease)
- $ETH ETH: ~$2,066 (-4.4%)
- $XRP XRP also couldn't escape the downward trend

The total market capitalization is currently at $2.36 trillion, down 2.5% in just one day. The Fear & Greed Index is in the Extreme Fear zone.

🔥 There is an unmissable event today:
- More than $14.16 billion in BTC options contracts are set to expire at 08:00 UTC. Overall, the crypto market has more than $17 billion in options expiring today.
- The Max Pain Point is currently at $75,000, which is about 8% from the current price. This is one of the reasons for the strong market fluctuations today.

🌍 One part of the reason the market is "afraid" is the geopolitical situation:
- The US-Iran war is entering its 28th day, Iran has just rejected the US's 15-point proposal. Risk sentiment is being tightly compressed across the entire financial market, with crypto not being an exception.

- When there is a ceasefire signal, the market could bounce back quickly, but currently, everyone is waiting and on the defensive.
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