莫立夏

Approaching the weekend with liquidity scarcity
We only need to pay attention to whether the weekly close can hold steady at 60,000. This is a super super super trendline.
On the weekly Fibonacci, 0.618 at 58K was pretty much nailed.
In the 4-hour chart this morning, this pin I’m very satisfied with.

If you’re only focused on those small gains with fine-tuned operations, your trading journey won't have a big picture. If you're looking to short after a five-wave pullback with daily and weekly line resonance, and you're aiming for a bounce off the support structure 📈, ask yourself if you were also fomoing into the longs at the top $BTC

June 20th or even earlier they kept saying it, saying it
Because I’ve walked the opposite way like that before
I’m very clear on what it feels like to get head-faked—being skin-scraped—when shorting at the bottom

“Don’t predict the market; the greens only follow”
Let me post one last message to find a bit of presence
For a small blogger like me who doesn’t post exact levels, no one pays attention 😛
And if you’re given another chance for a deep second probe
you’d better make good use of it!

Honey, it’s almost enough already.
If it goes any higher, it won’t be human anymore 😂

Maier Weil, pull it up! Big pancake, small pancake—everything syncs and heads north ✌️ Don’t dare to go long? No worries—just don’t be stuck on the floor 🥶 Has the capital already caught the scent of tonight’s good news?

The crypto circle has been quite lively over the past two days 🪐🪐

🎯 First, at 2:30 a.m. Beijing time on August 20, the White House held a CEO roundtable for the crypto industry.

Attendees:
Trump himself
Regulator-in-charge: SEC Chair Paul Atkins
CFTC Chair Michael Selig
Crypto industry leaders/CEOs: Coinbase, Ripple, Gemini, Robinhood, Polymarket, Kalshi, Chainlink, a16z
And representatives from traditional financial institutions such as Nasdaq and NYSE

After the Senate was unable to pass the “Clear Act” before its August recess, the Trump administration seems to be stepping up efforts to get comprehensive crypto market structure rules passed.

So the core of this meeting is whether the White House will, without waiting for the Senate, rely directly on regulators (the SEC, the CFTC) to issue crypto regulatory rules.

🎯 Immediately afterward, that same day, the CFTC Innovation Advisory Committee held its first meeting. The core focus was: “How is the CFTC planning to bring crypto assets into a clearer U.S. federal regulatory framework?”

🎯 And also that same day at 2:00 a.m., the Federal Reserve released its latest interest rate decision.

So… pay close attention to the signals the 8 p.m. and 12 a.m. market snapshots bring us tonight. No matter the outcome, important meetings and key data will bring liquidity. Where there is liquidity, there is volatility. If it’s a “buy-the-dip” two-bread-and-biscuits style daily-line structure, that’s the preferred setup!

Observe tonight at 12:00 for the direction to close; upper boundary 63600, lower boundary 64430.
Regarding the rate decision on the 20th, at least for now, the probability of a rate hike is very low. Bullish from a subjective perspective, objectively leave room for respect toward the market, and the old saying 👉 when the trend is right, the levels are just optimization. $BTC

I see a lot of people complaining that “U.S. stocks have taken liquidity away from the crypto market,” which is kind of weird.

Capital is always profit-seeking. If there’s an opportunity and liquidity somewhere, money naturally goes there.
The market isn’t limited to choosing only one of two options. If there’s a trading opportunity in U.S. stocks, you trade U.S. stocks; if there’s an opportunity in crypto, you trade crypto. Go to whichever market has liquidity.

Take a look at the 2022 bear market period when it was forming a bottom—was there any involvement from U.S. stocks? Does Bitcoin’s daily volatility reach 500 points? Now it can easily move 1,000 points, and people still complain 😂

If you don’t understand the market, complain; it’s better to think instead: why are funds more willing to go there? Then, move with the times—learn and deepen your efforts in the new field to seek progress and development 😁

Hold your patience’s fortress ✌️
Bottom consolidation for 189 days
Count it on your fingers 🔛 September gold and October silver

Keep up with the times
Always believe in the light 🪐
Lumentum optical communications supply chain $LITE

Has the curse of inevitable declines during the earnings season been fulfilled again? Can it rise back into the light?😊#$COHR $LITE

“The real people who make money are never the loudest ones hawking things in the short term; instead, they are the ones who keep holding high-quality assets and who make correct judgments about trends.”
$BTC

📑 The World Is Going Crazy! The U.S. Stock Market 23-Hour Trading Era May Be Drawing Near!
If the SEC approves it, the plan is to launch around December 6, 2026. That means from Monday to Friday, trading 23 hours a day, resting only 1 hour 😆

Tonight's Nonfarm Payrolls 📑
Will fairness and justice come back?$BTC

It hasn’t broken—it's just not broken.
Since I stopped making predictions, all my illnesses have gotten better 😝

Not yet; 63,000-day line, 4-hour time frame, a watershed level

“ In this market, even stock god Buffett dares not predict it—you, why do you dare to predict? A real expert only responds, not predicts.”

Wake up🧠

$ETH Ethereum daily chart forms a double bottom
Bitcoin is still a single bottom; the main players are also deliberately confusing things
Tonight’s CPI data is favorable, and the likelihood of further rate hikes is small
Next Monday, the World Cup will release the results
The Ethereum 4-hour chart has reached resistance at 1868 (this doesn’t mean to short; follow the trend)
If 1825 holds, that’s the key for going long at the low point

In the trading world, character, emotional control, and overall perspective must be more important than technical analysis. In front of the big players, arrogance is ultimately worthless.