If longing had a shape, it would probably look like this short film. Mr. You Benchang walks in through the gate with Liu Huan. Behind the door stand Zhang Guorong, Teresa Teng, Anita Mui, Wong Ka Kui, Chang Yu-sheng, and CoCo Lee, among others. Each of them seems to be smiling, as if saying, “Don’t be sad—we’re here with you.”
As a child, I heard this song “The Crooked, Curving Moon,” and I didn’t have much feeling about it. I only thought it was melodious and sweet, and that middle part—where the singing “oooh oooh oooh”—lingered in my heart for a long time. When I was young, I didn’t know the meaning of the song. Later, whenever I hear it again, my heart is filled with longing for my family far away, remembrance for departed loved ones, and nostalgia for the youth I can never return to. The song is still there, the moon is still there—yet some people can never be seen again. Now, the singer of this song has also passed on. As I’ve grown older, I’ve come to feel even more deeply how quickly time flies and how unpredictable life can be. The music will eventually end, but this round of the crooked, curving moon will always hang in the memories of one generation.
What year did you buy your house? With today’s housing prices, it makes people only be forced to bitterly laugh—yet they’re laughing so miserably. Prices have already dropped to this state. Will they fall further? Would you still dare to buy a house? I really don’t know. What year did you buy your house? The time you bought it, and your day-to-day life experience today—between different people, the gap is truly enormous. Besides the veteran comrades who were lucky enough to buy welfare housing during the unit-led housing reform, everyone else who bought commercial housing has had their own share of sour, sweet, and bitter experiences.
In the market, everyone is looking for winning strategies, but over the long run, the real gap is usually created by a few simple behavior rules. These guidelines won’t make us win every battle, but they can help us avoid a lot of detours.
Behavior rules traders should stick to:
1. Don’t make trades without a plan—reject impulsive decisions.
2. Don’t exceed the limits of your own risk tolerance.
3. It’s okay to make judgment errors, but don’t allow unlimited, bottomless leniency.
4. Regularly review your past actions—don’t keep falling into the same traps. 5. Know how to wait in cash/with no position; sometimes doing nothing is also a choice.
It’s not hard to understand these principles—the challenge is remembering to hold to them every time the market fluctuates.
Having one million in savings but still can’t truly lie flat—where exactly is the problem? If you have one million, your monthly interest is only 1,292—this is still assuming a high rate. It doesn’t even cover rent, let alone food and daily living.
In the past, I always thought having one million would be enough to lie flat. Now I’ve figured out the truth: you can’t lie flat at all. It’s simply not possible.
If you want to live on interest alone, don’t even think about it unless you have three or five million.
The issue is that three or five million is harder to reach than climbing to heaven for ordinary people.
So don’t daydream. Work if you have to work; do your grind if you have to grind. Having more savings just makes life a little more comfortable—it’s still a long way from lying flat.
For ordinary hardworking people, you’d better be honest and keep working~
Do you think you’ll feel happy after drinking? Actually, having a drink doesn’t necessarily make you happy. But once you’ve had a drink, you will surely forget what isn’t happy. If you don’t taste the joys and sorrows of the world, who would know the meaning within? If you don’t envy the world’s love and longing, who would know the tears within? If you don’t go through the hardships of life, who would know the flavor within? Don’t fear that the wine has a story—what you fear is that the person with the story will drink.
The strategy orders I provided today are all profitable—congratulations to the partners who followed along. Follow me; every day I’ll bring strategies to help everyone make money.
After the release of CPI data, Bitcoin investors remain cautious, with diverging confidence between buyers and sellers
This week, Bitcoin has been caught between sustained buying and short-term cautious sentiment.
The U.S. CPI overall met expectations, but core inflation on a monthly basis came in above forecasts, intensifying worries about rising interest rates. After the data was released, BTC fell to about $76,700, rebounded to around $80,000, and then slipped back to the $77,000 range. The deeper issue lies in the gap between long-term demand and near-term selling pressure. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs have seen three consecutive weeks of net inflows, and companies and long-term investors have continued accumulating. However, spot demand has been weak: Binance’s BTC reserves hit a two-year high, derivatives selling pressure has increased, and positions have not declined sufficiently. Investors have shifted from chasing FOMO to avoiding losses. Stablecoin liquidity and signs of Coinbase buying suggest demand has not disappeared, but buyer and seller confidence remains split. The macro environment is still dominant; rising oil prices, elevated bond yields, and inflation concerns may constrain additional liquidity.
Next Week’s Macroeconomic Outlook: Three Major Central Banks from the US, Japan, and the UK Take the Stage—Fed Hike Odds Climb to Nearly 90%
In a week of trading as oil prices return to $100 and inflation expectations once again rise, three main threads have been moving global assets: the Fed’s rate-hike pricing, Middle East supply risks, and yields on the long end of the curve.
This week, the US released the August PPI and August CPI data in succession. Among them, the year-over-year PPI rose to 5.4%, higher than the market expectation of 5.3%. CPI year-over-year was 3.4%, in line with expectations and unchanged from July. However, core CPI rose 0.3% month over month, exceeding expectations of 0.2%. After the data was released, the interest rate swap market’s pricing for a Fed rate hike next week jumped rapidly to about 90%, up from 69% before the data came out. The market has even fully priced in two rate hikes for later this year. However, after Friday’s CPI release, all three major indices finished up by about 1%, ending a four-day streak of declines.
Here are the key points that the market will focus on in the new week (all times are Beijing time):
Tuesday 20:30: US September New York Fed manufacturing index, US August import price index (month over month), Canada July wholesale sales (month over month). Wednesday 17:00: Eurozone July industrial production (month over month). Wednesday 20:30: US August retail sales (month over month), US August core retail sales (month over month). Wednesday 22:00: US July business inventories (month over month), US September NAHB housing market index. Thursday 02:00: The Fed FOMC releases its interest-rate decision and Summary of Economic Projections. Thursday 02:30: Fed Chair Waller holds a press conference on monetary policy. Thursday 17:00: Eurozone August CPI (year-over-year final reading), Eurozone August core CPI (year-over-year final reading). Thursday 19:00: The Bank of England announces its interest-rate decision. Thursday 20:30: Initial jobless claims for the week ending September 12 in the US, US August housing starts (annualized), US August building permits (total), US September Philadelphia Fed manufacturing index. Friday 11:00: The Bank of Japan announces its interest-rate decision. Friday 16:00: Eurozone July current account (seasonally adjusted). Friday 21:15: US August industrial production (month over month). Friday 21:15: US August Conference Board Leading Economic Indicators (month over month).
People say a sign of someone’s loneliness is going to the supermarket alone, watching a movie alone, and eating hot pot alone. Compared with this checklist, I ended up not ticking a single item. It’s not that I keep away from loneliness; it’s just that my loneliness has never lived in these lively yet routine scenes. While others get off work and go to the supermarket—picking fresh fruits and vegetables, thinking about what to eat tonight—I sit in front of a screen, watching the chart’s ups and downs, weighing my positions again and again in my mind. When friends gather around a table for hot pot, chatting about the small stuff in life under rising steam, I keep my attention on the market, thinking about when it would be a good time to add to my holdings. Others’ leisure goes to bonfires and human warmth; most of my free time is handed over to price charts with unpredictable fluctuations. People around me find it hard to understand this feeling. To others, I’m just quietly sitting there—but only I know my emotions rise and fall with the screen. When my account goes up, I briefly feel full of hope. Once a wave of red fills my view, my heart sinks again. This kind of loneliness isn’t that I lack company; it’s that no one can truly empathize with the waiting. Other people’s loneliness is the absence of someone to go with them. My loneliness is the coin that travels with me—yet it keeps refusing to bring me returns. In countless quiet moments, I silently hope for my account. It’s not really greed for sudden wealth; I just hope to break even. During the long wait, watching the numbers of profit and loss tug back and forth, I learn to get used to the ups and downs of the chart—and gradually, I also learn to live with the trader’s loneliness that belongs exclusively to me. Sometimes I even joke with myself: when will the account finally get back to break-even? Maybe that’s when this loneliness comes to an end. But I’ve also slowly come to understand that investing is, by nature, a form of solitary self-discipline. Price movements are something you alone must endure; decisions are something you alone must take responsibility for. The market won’t turn for the better just because you’re hopeful, and your account won’t flip from loss to profit just because you’re anxious. The loneliness hidden in the K-line is day after day of waiting and torment. I’m waiting for that one rebound, for the moment to get back to even—and also for the outcome that belongs to me within this long period of practice.
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