Houthis Continue Saudi Attacks, Keeping Energy Risks Elevated
🚨 The Houthis continued launching missiles and drones toward Khamis Mushait, Abha and Jazan from September 9 into early September 10. Saudi authorities activated and later lifted some air-defense alerts, while no new casualties have been confirmed from this latest wave.
🔥 An earlier round of attacks on September 8 across four Saudi cities injured 73 civilians and caused fires at several energy facilities, forcing some operations to be temporarily suspended.
🛢️ The targets were concentrated mainly in southern and southwestern Saudi Arabia, including Jazan and Abha, rather than the kingdom’s major crude-producing hubs in the east. For now, the impact is therefore more about operational, transport and insurance risks than a verified large-scale loss of supply.
📈 The continuation of attacks into a second day is keeping a geopolitical risk premium in oil, especially as risks around the Red Sea and Bab al-Mandeb remain elevated.
$XAUT – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 4,365.5
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $18 million in short liquidations above the current price, exceeding approximately $15 million in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore modestly favors the upside, with around 1.2 times more cumulative liquidity above the market.
📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated across 4,285–4,335. The strongest cluster sits near 4,310 with a bar around $1.2 million, while 4,300–4,330 also contains several bars around $600,000–1 million. Losing 4,335 would shift attention toward 4,310–4,285.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building around 4,425–4,455 before becoming much denser across 4,480–4,510. The largest bars near 4,480 and 4,510 reach roughly $1.2 million. Further out, 4,555–4,605 remains another notable liquidity zone.
🧭 The broader setup slightly favors the upside because cumulative short-liquidation exposure above is larger. Breaking above 4,455 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 4,480–4,510; if momentum continues, 4,555–4,605 becomes the next area to watch. Losing 4,335 would instead shift attention toward 4,310–4,285.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 3.36% wide. The downtrend has lasted 23 hours 10 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 18.60%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.
SC02 M1 - pending Short order. Entry contains POC + not affected by any weak zone, the current resistance zone is approximately 0.58% wide. The downtrend has lasted 3 hours 36 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 5.16%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.
German August CPI confirmed at 2.9%, with energy driving most of the pressure
🇩🇪 Destatis confirmed August CPI at +2.9% YoY and +0.2% MoM, unchanged from the preliminary estimate released at the end of August. The final reading therefore brought little new surprise for markets.
⛽ Energy remained the main source of inflation pressure, rising 10.5% YoY. Motor fuel prices increased 27.7%, while heating oil surged 49.6%. By contrast, household electricity and gas prices were still lower than a year earlier.
📉 Core inflation held at 2.4%, food prices rose just 0.1%, and services inflation was around 2.8%. The breakdown suggests price pressure remains concentrated in energy rather than broadening across the economy.
📅 August CPI also does not fully reflect oil trading above 100 USD in September, making the preliminary September reading on September 30 the next key test.
$SPCX – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 145.5
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $40 million in short liquidations above the current price, slightly exceeding approximately $35–36 million in long liquidations below. The broader structure therefore leans modestly to the upside, although nearby liquidity is heavily concentrated just below the market.
📉 Below the market, the strongest cluster sits around 144.8 with a bar close to $8 million, the largest on the entire map and only about 0.5% below the current price. Further down, 143.8–144.4 contains several bars around $1.5–2 million, while 141.8 holds another cluster near $2.5 million. Losing 144.8 would shift attention toward 143.8–141.8.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity appears around 145.6 but remains relatively sparse until roughly 149–152. Liquidity becomes much heavier across 153–157, including a notable bar near 153 around $3.2 million and several clusters around 155–156 in the $1.5–2.1 million range.
🧭 The broader structure slightly favors the upside because cumulative short-liquidation exposure is larger, but 144.8 is the closest and strongest liquidity magnet. Holding above 145.5–145.6 could open the path toward 149–153, while losing 144.8 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 143.8–141.8.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 2.56% wide. The uptrend has lasted 7 hours 30 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 12.84%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 3.01% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 31 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 15.30%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
Macy’s beats Q2 expectations and raises full-year guidance
📊 Macy’s reported Q2 net sales of $4.9 billion, above expectations of around $4.83 billion. Comparable sales rose 2.7%, well ahead of its previous guidance of 0% to +1%, while all three major nameplates posted growth.
🏬 Bloomingdale’s stood out with comparable sales up 11.3%, while Bluemercury rose 6.2%. Macy’s also said its Reimagine 200 stores continued to deliver positive growth, supporting the broader operational improvement.
💵 Adjusted EPS came in at $0.63, although about $0.23 per share came from an IEEPA tariff refund. Excluding that benefit, core EPS was roughly $0.40, still above market expectations of about $0.37.
📈 The company also raised its FY2026 guidance for the second time, now expecting sales of $21.675–21.825 billion and adjusted EPS of $2.15–2.35. Most of the tariff refund will be reinvested rather than flowing directly into profit.
$CL – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 95.8
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $225 million in long liquidations below the current price, significantly exceeding approximately $80 million in short liquidations above. The liquidity structure therefore strongly favors the downside, with nearly 2.8 times more cumulative liquidity below the market.
📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is heavily concentrated across 89.3–93.5. The strongest cluster sits around 90.1–90.9, with several bars reaching roughly $11–13 million; the 91.7 area also contains a bar close to $12 million, while 92.5 and 93.5 hold additional clusters around $9–10 million. Losing 94.9 would shift attention toward 93.5–92.5.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building clearly from 96.1 and is concentrated across 96.1–97.7. The largest bars sit around 96.5–96.8 at roughly $9 million, while liquidity thins quickly beyond the 98.5 area.
🧭 The broader setup favors the downside because long-liquidation exposure below is nearly 2.8 times larger. Losing 94.9 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 93.5–92.5, while breaking above 96.1 would shift attention toward 96.5–97.7.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 1.50% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 7 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 8.76%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 0.78% wide. The uptrend has lasted 4 hours 32 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 6.96%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
Primark revenue grows but LFL sales weaken ahead of ABF demerger
📉 Associated British Foods said Primark’s Q4 like-for-like sales are expected to fall 3%, taking the full-year decline to 2.6%, while total revenue is still projected to rise about 2%, supported by new store openings and franchising.
🌍 Continental Europe remains the main weakness, accounting for 47% of Primark sales, with Q4 LFL down 4.3% and full-year LFL down 4.7%. The UK remained relatively stable, while US revenue continued to grow at a double-digit pace.
🛍️ Primark is also preparing to launch home delivery in the UK, marking a notable expansion of its online strategy.
📊 ABF shares fell around 9–11% on September 10, as investors focused on weaker organic growth ahead of the planned Primark separation from the Food business in December 2027.
$SNDK – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 1,748.1
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $170 million in long liquidations below the current price, exceeding approximately $120 million in short liquidations above. The liquidity structure therefore favors the downside, with around 1.4 times more cumulative liquidity below the market.
📉 Below the market, nearby long-liquidation liquidity remains relatively thin around 1,727–1,740 before becoming much denser across 1,685–1,720. The strongest cluster sits near 1,699–1,700 with a bar close to $8 million, while the 1,713–1,716 area also contains a bar around $7 million. Losing 1,727 would shift attention toward 1,713–1,699.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building clearly from 1,789–1,806 and becomes much denser across 1,819–1,848. The strongest cluster sits near 1,833–1,835 with a bar close to $8 million, while 1,819–1,823 also contains several bars around $5–6 million. Further out, liquidity remains notable across 1,847–1,861 before gradually thinning.
🧭 The broader setup favors the downside because long-liquidation exposure below is roughly 1.4 times larger. Losing 1,727 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 1,713–1,699, while breaking above 1,789 would shift attention toward 1,819–1,835 and then 1,847–1,861.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within HVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 0.71% wide. The uptrend has lasted 5 hours 57 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 5.48%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
SC02 M1 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 2.62% wide. The uptrend has lasted 2 hours 6 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 14.81%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
European stocks hover near flat ahead of ECB decision
📉 The STOXX 600 was up 0.1% at 641.23 as of 14:08 WIB, but most of that rebound had faded by around 16:00. The move followed a roughly 1.4% drop on September 9, the index’s steepest decline in nearly two months.
🛢 Brent remained above $100 a barrel, keeping pressure on inflation expectations and funding costs. Eurozone inflation reached 3.3% in August, its highest level in three years and still above the ECB’s 2% target.
🏦 Markets have largely priced in a 25-basis-point ECB rate hike to 2.50%, with the decision due at 19:15 WIB. Attention is therefore likely to shift toward Christine Lagarde’s guidance on inflation risks and the scope for further policy tightening.
$BNB – Liquidation Map (7 Days) – Current Price 718.7
🔎 The 7-day liquidation map shows roughly $100 million in short liquidations above the current price, significantly exceeding approximately $48–50 million in long liquidations below. The liquidity structure therefore strongly favors the upside, with around 2 times more cumulative liquidity above the market.
📉 Below the market, long-liquidation liquidity is concentrated across 713.3–703.7. The strongest cluster sits around 708–710 with a bar near $2.5 million, while the 694–699 area also contains several bars close to 1 million. Losing 713.3 would shift attention toward 708.5–703.7.
📈 Above the market, short-liquidation liquidity begins building immediately from 724.5 and becomes much denser across 729.3–738.9. The strongest cluster sits near 734 with a bar above $3.2 million, while 729–733 and 738–739 also contain several bars around $1.5–2.1 million. Further out, substantial liquidity continues to accumulate across 765–789.
🧭 The broader setup favors the upside because short-liquidation exposure above is roughly twice as large. Breaking above 724.5 would increase the probability of a sweep toward 729.3–734.1; if momentum continues, 738.9 becomes the next notable liquidity zone. Losing 713.3 would instead shift attention toward 708.5–703.7.
SC02 M5 - pending Long order. Entry lies within LVN + not affected by any weak zone, the current support zone is approximately 9.13% wide. The uptrend has lasted 8 hours 50 minutes, with a maximum recorded price increase of 67.62%. If price loses this support zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse downward.
SC02 M5 - pending Short order. Entry lies within HVN + meets positive simplification with a previously highly profitable Short order, the current resistance zone is approximately 0.17% wide. The downtrend has lasted 18 hours 20 minutes, with a maximum recorded price decline of 1.56%. If price breaks above this resistance zone, the trend is highly likely to reverse upward.