三俗

The total number of BSC addresses has just broken 2 billion.
Actually quite impressive, with daily active users still around 4.9 million.
Last week's trading volume was 140 million transactions, and the TVL has returned to 6.8 billion dollars.
The AI agent's ERC-8004 has also been deployed, allowing for direct verification of on-chain identities.
Zero-fee transfers for stablecoins have been extended to the end of the month.
Stable.
🚀
#bnb #BSC

✍️Trash markets can only play with trash coins. Here, trash coins mean not to look at any fundamentals; just focus on trading.

How much is 1 Bitcoin worth after holding it for 50 years?

Using gold as a reference: the total amount of gold is 216,000 tons, holding 1 share of 21 million is about 10.2 kilograms. When gold was decoupled from the dollar in 1971, its value was $11,588, today it is worth $1,120,000, an increase of about 100 times, with an annualized return of 8.83%.

The increase in Bitcoin may be greater than this, but it is still calculated the same way:
One Bitcoin will be worth $8,030,000 after 50 years.

Wow, Powell is too tough! Now it's a bit difficult to lower interest rates in September, and Powell even mocked Trump, saying that the beautiful tax law is of no use... Here are the key points from Powell's speech:
Powell: It's still too early to judge the impact of tariffs on inflation.
The effect of tariffs on consumer prices is starting to show.
Expected (subsequent released) inflation data will reflect more tariff impacts.
The process of tariffs transmitting to prices may be slower than previously expected.
It can be said that the Federal Reserve will look at (tariff) inflation through "not raising interest rates."
Does not believe that the fiscal policies related to the "beautiful tax law" have any special stimulating effect.
We do not consider the cost of changes in government (debt) interest rates.

No need to panic, but please stay alert #Market Trends #Investment Strategies #Bitcoin BTC$
A bear market needs 4-5 major signals to begin. So far, two signals have appeared. 📈
Some people are really drunk, or exposed so much that they can't even resist some bearish insights. If you fail to stay vigilant and spot any threats, you will always be food for hungry whales. In this market, it is better to remain cautious rather than overly excited, always be careful to identify any dangers before they become your main threat! ⚠️
Now, regarding the information above, I have been closely monitoring these events. The main warning signals are reports about Saylor released by Trump B or Forbes. So far, I have only identified two major signals throughout the cycle, and the next signals may appear in the coming months, so stay calm! Once we reach 4-5 major signals, it's time to sell. Currently, we are far from any major danger. ⏳
Please use your mind to think.
Strategic reserve signing into law = will become a top signal in this cycle #Market Signals #Investment Timing
Sometimes, holding and not doing too much might be the best strategy you can follow. Remember, you are not the only holder in this world; BlackRock just bought another 30,000 BTC$ in January alone, and they have big plans, they are not selling. Why would you sell now? 💸
Stay alert, pay attention to market signals, and make wise decisions! 🚀

Be careful, the US will release a data point called PPI tonight. Will Bitcoin still drop?
The PPI is the Producer Price Index and is very closely related to inflation. Although it is not as important as tomorrow's CPI, the PPI at 9:30 PM tonight is still worth paying attention to.

The market can be said to be very pessimistic this time, with expectations that the PPI will rise significantly, and it has already started to drop in advance yesterday.
The market's rise and fall tonight will depend on these expectations; I see that the expected values are very high, so it is quite difficult for the actual result to be higher than expected, and if it is lower than expected, then that would be good news.

However, the most critical point is still tomorrow's CPI; the influence of tonight's PPI is not that significant, so it is just a reference.

It's here! The latest unemployment rate and employment data from the United States have been released. Everyone, hurry up and take a look!
This time, the unemployment rate is a negative factor, and the employment data is also a negative factor.
Note: The core market logic is to suppress inflation, and currently, employment is too hot.
Therefore, a higher than expected unemployment rate is a positive factor, and vice versa is a negative factor.
Non-farm employment numbers lower than expected are a positive factor, and vice versa is a negative factor.

A whale spent another $938,000 on Polymarket in the past 12 hours to bet on Trump's victory. According to BlockBeats, on October 16, according to Lookonchain monitoring, in the past 12 hours, a whale "Fredi9999" spent another $938,000 on Polymarket to buy 1.59 million shares of "Yes" that Trump won the US election. Shares, currently holding 16.62 million shares of "Yes", worth $9.9 million.

In fact, there are probably only two opportunities to encounter unlimited QE in life. One is the last 312 when the United States released money, which started the most terrifying bull market at the most pessimistic time. The second time is when the second largest economy released money to the stock market when the economy was in the most difficult time and the property market had to turn (and it was the first time since the establishment of G-shares-previously, funds were strictly prohibited from entering the stock market, but this time, only the stock market was allowed to enter). We met it for the first time in 2020, and we didn’t necessarily know that it was the time to sell kidneys to enter the market. 20 years ago, we didn’t know that any work or entrepreneurship was not as important as buying a house. In this wave of A-share rebound, I am looking forward to giving everyone a chance to double their capital-but be careful, don’t buy junk stocks, only buy leading and high-quality stocks. In addition, I found that due to the different trading times of US stocks, A-shares, and B-shares, all of them have accounts, which is very suitable for playing time difference and information gap!

https://www.binance.com/zh-CN/proof-of-reserves
This address shows Binance's asset reserves. For example, you can see that BTC has been falling during the bear market, and the BTC balance on the exchange has been getting smaller and smaller. In the recent six months of decline, the reason why it has been falling but not falling much is that funds have been buying BTC and ETH. From February to March 24, BTC began to be shipped, and there were 30,000 fewer, but people have been buying since then. Compared with February, a total of 70,000 more (this does not mean that they must have been bought, but may have been transferred to the exchange), and it increased every month until the statistics in September showed that it finally stopped increasing, and for the first time, it decreased by thousands again.

In the recent period, the market feels very much like October last year, when it was around 28,000. Old coin friends should still remember the feeling when we got on board at that time. In the past six months, the 52,000-56,000 position has been repeatedly stepped on and pulled up, with a total of 8 waves of rebounds and declines. The high points of the last three waves are indeed getting weaker and weaker, but the bottom point has gradually found support, which is around 53,000. Therefore, in this case, I think it is time to have an operation strategy without considering macroeconomics, interest rate cuts, high probability of a collapse of technology stocks, or 50% positions of big guys, or anything else: 1. The first step is that the current area has relatively solid support, and you can invest 70-80% of your position between 52,000-60,000 (generally, no fomo is needed. Long-term declines will often give people repeated opportunities to get on board - if you would rather be stuck than miss out, then just buy more at high positions. If you are aggressive, then wait a little longer. There are pros and cons.)
2. Second, after buying 7-80% of the position (note that the most aggressive ones also keep 20% u, and it won’t be bad to use it to earn interest when the bull market returns), if there is a big drop in the future, that is, the extreme positions such as 45,000 mentioned earlier, you can go all in. Even if you enter a bear market or lower after going all in, you can still make the last step depending on the situation.

Current hot spots: Sol's annual developer conference on September 20th, once a year, is the largest, you can watch the show.

Fet: OpenAI's large model Strawberry will be released within 2 weeks. You can ambush before the release and clear all positions after the release.

BNB: BNB mainnet upgrade on September 26, and then Zhao Changpeng will return as the king on September 29. There are also potential benefits for new coin mining.

Bitcoin: Fuck you BTC, jumping up and down every day, guess how you are going to act, anyway, the Bitcoin bull market will start in October, just hold it.

Those who have tried to judge short-term long and short positions recently will definitely feel uncomfortable. It is recommended not to do so. It is better to keep it simple in the long run.
1. Have a suitable position in BTC and ETH
Suitable position: Assume that you will not feel that you have bought too little if it rises to 150,000, or you will not feel that it is finished if it falls to 30,000 - but don't guess and don't believe anyone's judgment on the market, whether it is Buffett or Shenyu, or anyone else!
In the long run, you must have a high-quality target position, this is a must
I personally allocate about 30% of these things, and the proportion occasionally changes - but it is recommended that users with small funds should increase the proportion and adjustment of your holdings
2. It is recommended to keep 20% to 50% of U. This is mainly based on the size of your funds, and it is best not to be based on your feeling or prediction of the market. Those with large funds should keep more U, and those with small funds should look at your own risk preference, which may be larger occasionally and stop loss occasionally (it doesn't look like value investment? In fact, the smaller the principal in the currency circle, the more speculative it will be)
3. Don't play meme. Once a new narrative emerges, a wave of small funds will be able to turn things around.

20 years ago, Buffett proposed a theory on how to judge whether the stock market is overheated. The ratio of the total market value of the stock market to GDP can be used to judge whether the overall stock market is too high or too low, so it is generally called the Buffett indicator.
Buffett's theoretical index indicates that 75% to 90% is a reasonable range, and more than 120% indicates that the stock market is overvalued.
It reached 59 after the financial crisis in 2008, and the Internet bubble in 2000 rose from 140 to more than 60. This indicator was quite useful in the early days.
However, this indicator does not have a particularly great significance for individual stocks. For example, when Nvidia started, this indicator was already around 100 - of course, from another perspective, the market did not rise much, and the seven giants of technology stocks led the market to run wild.
In addition, this indicator actually has a curve, that is, the trend is still upward - because GDP is also upward, so this ratio can change slightly with the improvement of productivity.
But why does Buffett think there is nothing to buy now? It may be similar to the time when he unlocked the company in the 1960s. He is really worried about the loss of profits. He has been studying how to sell better for many years, and even regretted not selling at the high point.
Currently, the index is 190, which should be very helpful for understanding Buffett's selling stocks.

1. BTC, we will see a rebound today, and the suppression at 54800 will be seen. If it breaks through 54800, we will see the suppression at 55300 above.
Overall, it is currently going sideways or rebounding in four waves, and it will still fall again after the end.
If BTC continues to fall below 52500, it will basically go to a new low. Let's see if it can test 45000. The spot for bottom-fishing can be hung above 45000. 43000 can also be hung.
2. SOL, the upper suppression level of SOL is 131, 135, and the lower support is 126/120/110. It is also expected to fall again with the rebound of BTC.
3. The upper suppression level of ETH is 2310, 2370, and the lower support is 2250/2150. It is also expected to fall again with the rebound of BTC.
4. This position should be more of a rebound rather than a reversal position. It is a falling relay position. Let's take it one step at a time. If it rebounds around 45,000, the high point of the rebound will not exceed 58,000. But the amplitude of the rebound will be 20% or even more. Therefore, the rebound after the big pin will have a very high participation value.
5. If we follow the objective reality of the market, BTC's bull market has entered a stage of deep callback, or the bull in the previous stage has gone. If it can go two-headed bull like in 21 years, it would be the best. Otherwise, the adjustment time will be longer.
If it goes two-headed bull, the 40,000-45,000 area is the lifeline of BTC's two-headed bull market, and there should be a rebound at this position. The sideways consolidation may also be completed within the 10,000-point space. Is it completed in the 40,000-50,000 area, or in a higher area? Let's take it one step at a time.

Oversold rebound
The pressure of the big cake is 55500/56400. It will not be adjusted so quickly.