The current drop of $BTC and cryptocurrencies in general is part of a market phase known as a bear market, this is not new, it is well known. From:
> Dec 2013 - Feb 2015: bitcoin went from $1,156.15 to $171.50
> Feb 2015 - Dec 2017: $171.50 to $20,089
> Dec 2017 - Dec 2018: $20,089 to $3,191.30
> Dec 2018 - Nov 2021: $3,191.30 to $68,789.63
> Nov 2021 - Nov 2022: $68,789.63 to $15,599.04
> Nov 2022 - Oct 2025: $15,599.04 - $126,198.07
Notice that each phase of decline lasts on average about 1 year and that the trough (or lowest price) of each of them is higher than its predecessor. In this logic, we can assert that the trough of this ongoing decline will be above $15,599.04 and will be reached around October 2026.
Buy the dips
The fact that the trough (or lowest price) of each bear market is higher than that of the previous bear market proves that despite the phases of declines, the long-term trend of bitcoin is undoubtedly bullish. With this trend, buying bitcoin is synonymous with profit if you are willing to hold long enough to realize it, hence HODL (hold without selling in panic).
The trough of a bear market is the buying point with the highest return on investment. But given that market analyses cannot predict with certainty the trough (or low price) that the market will reach during the bear market, it is recommended during a bear market to buy using the DCA method to capture an optimal average price.
Honestly, what were you doing before reading this article and what will you do now? Sell? HOLD? or Buy the dip?
Thank you #Binance and thank you to everyone who supported my journey.
I came to Square with nothing but passion and the desire to help others. This award shows that no matter where you start, your voice can shine if you share with purpose and honesty. I’m very grateful for this platform and for this community 🧡🧡🧡
When the first season of the 100 BNB distribution campaign was launched, I was planning to participate with the article I had written about Binance Square. I had gone to the terrace to finalize the article when I opened my Binance app and noticed that I had been tipped 1 BNB on a tutorial I published in response to a follower who wanted to know how to stake on Binance Wallet. It was completely unexpected, and I was truly happy.
What if I had ignored my followers to focus only on the campaign?
One piece of advice I can give to someone starting on Square is to focus on the quality of their content, build strong relationships with their followers, and maintain a positive community atmosphere.
Anyway, thank you to Binance and the entire Square team.
⚠️ Serious consequences of leverage effects on bitcoin
Robert Mitchnik, head of digital assets at BlackRock warns that excessive use of leverage on derivative products like futures contracts, for example, greatly amplifies bitcoin's volatility. A small downward price movement, for example, can trigger a cascade of liquidations that creates even more selling in the market, accentuating and making violent an initial movement that may have been a small organic move - which can iterate crashes in the market without fundamental reason.
He specifies that the recent dip in bitcoin does not come from ETFs like IBIT (Blackrock ETF), as the flows have remained very calm (withdrawal of around 0.2%), but rather from derivative products where the leverage effect is massive and automatic liquidations create chain reactions.
These movements have a direct impact on institutional entries and positions like ETF funds, especially since these promote bitcoin according to a narrative of rare, decentralized, global monetary asset, hedge/diversifier of portfolio, essentially 'digital gold' - and thus this excessive volatility could drive away real large patient capital from conservative institutional investors: pension funds, family offices, insurers, etc.
Do you think he is right? And what solution is currently feasible in your opinion?
The memecoin associated with Yohei, creator of BabyAGI, is making headlines in the trenches on Solana. About two weeks after its listing by a top CEX on January 12, it is up +69% in 24 hours, with market cap exceeding $500M for the first time. The degens already compare it to memecoins like $PENGU or $FARTCOIN , launching the narrative that it might be the next "1B" (the next memecoin from the trenches to pass the $1 billion market capitalization).
The atmosphere continues in February, with whales accumulating +5.5% of the supply in a week, the open interest in the futures market reaching $217M (4x in a week), and the price increasing +27% in 24 hours, then +200% over the week. With: > Market cap passing $450-500M again. > FOMO posts everywhere ("ATH incoming"). > 24-hour volume between $60-150M. > New ATHs almost daily.
The current atmosphere is based on the narrative "AI-Agent + Solana beta + Solana meme season" and the fact that Yohei has remained silent for months makes it even more "mysterious and cult-like."
However, there are alerts regarding the concentration of significant amounts of the supply among the top holders of the memecoin: current data from CoinMarketCap indicates that 30.19% is concentrated in the top 10 wallets holding the memecoin.
Are you following the chart or are you already in it?
🇰🇬 - The crypto market is becoming a real economic pillar for Kyrgyzstan In 2025, the sector generated $22.8 million in tax revenues for the state on a total volume exceeding $20.5 billion for the year.
In comparison, this exceeds the combined total of Dordoi Bazaar in Bishkek, the largest market in Central Asia ($7.9 million) + patent taxes ($13.6 million).
For reference, the country has been partnering with Binance since April 2025 to support the structuring of its national crypto ecosystem, with CZ currently advising the president on digital assets.
Their local stablecoin $KGST is currently listed on Binance and available in Binance Earn's savings products.
I am live right now to talk about the opportunities currently offered by USD1 on Binance. This is a session entirely in French - join if you speak French or come back tomorrow for the English session.
_Ram
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[Replay] 🎙️ Parlons des opportunités de l’USD1 sur Binance
Three days ago, a wallet transferred 2.5 $BTC to the genesis address of Bitcoin, the one associated with Satoshi Nakamoto, the creator of bitcoin. A wallet from which no bitcoin has moved since 2009. At the current market price, that amounts to about $176,000. It's true that it often happens that Satoshi's wallet receives fragments of Bitcoin, but not often this much.
A simple reason that could justify this might be, for example, a tribute or symbolic donation, someone wanting to pay tribute to Satoshi or show their respect for Bitcoin. Other conspiracy theories could suggest that "Satoshi has returned and is testing if the community notices," I admit it's amusing. This kind of gesture is not new in Bitcoin culture.
Do you think he could have come here to make a red packet instead of sending it to Satoshi's address? Ptrr
I'm sharing this again, in case you haven't read it yet.
_Ram
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Bearish
IF CURRENT PRICES SCARE YOU TOO, READ ON!
The current drop of $BTC and cryptocurrencies in general is part of a market phase known as a bear market, this is not new, it is well known. From:
> Dec 2013 - Feb 2015: bitcoin went from $1,156.15 to $171.50
> Feb 2015 - Dec 2017: $171.50 to $20,089
> Dec 2017 - Dec 2018: $20,089 to $3,191.30
> Dec 2018 - Nov 2021: $3,191.30 to $68,789.63
> Nov 2021 - Nov 2022: $68,789.63 to $15,599.04
> Nov 2022 - Oct 2025: $15,599.04 - $126,198.07
Notice that each phase of decline lasts on average about 1 year and that the trough (or lowest price) of each of them is higher than its predecessor. In this logic, we can assert that the trough of this ongoing decline will be above $15,599.04 and will be reached around October 2026.
Buy the dips
The fact that the trough (or lowest price) of each bear market is higher than that of the previous bear market proves that despite the phases of declines, the long-term trend of bitcoin is undoubtedly bullish. With this trend, buying bitcoin is synonymous with profit if you are willing to hold long enough to realize it, hence HODL (hold without selling in panic).
The trough of a bear market is the buying point with the highest return on investment. But given that market analyses cannot predict with certainty the trough (or low price) that the market will reach during the bear market, it is recommended during a bear market to buy using the DCA method to capture an optimal average price.
Honestly, what were you doing before reading this article and what will you do now? Sell? HOLD? or Buy the dip?
On this Sunday, I simply wanted to say thank you 🙏 Thank you for your presence, your exchanges, your questions, and your trust, even in a complicated market like the bear market. Your commitment gives meaning to sharing, analysis, and education that we build here day after day. We continue to learn together, to keep a cool head, and to aim for the long term. Excellent Sunday to you 🌹
HMM the decentralized market maker model of $HAEDAL has just crossed the threshold of 1.6 billion dollars in total volume.
HMM (Haedal Market Maker) is a type of Automated Market Maker specifically designed and optimized by Haedal Protocol for the Sui blockchain and fits into their capital efficiency strategy. Unlike traditional AMMs, HMM acts as a smart DEX that maximizes processed volume, generated fees, and additional yield for stakers or holders of haSUI, while enhancing the depth and resilience of liquidity on Sui during periods of high volatility or low native liquidity. It is one of the pillars that explain why Haedal shows such accumulated volumes despite a relatively modest TVL compared to other protocols.
Note: You can access the protocol directly in Binance Wallet by searching "Haedal" in the DApps section.
Bitcoin presented a net positive flow of +12 950 $BTC yesterday - here’s what to note:
> customers in the market bought more than they sold in the last 24 hours
> The whales bought 74.36K BTC and sold 65.42K BTC, resulting in a net flow of +8.93K BTC. Specifically, this means they took advantage of price movements to accumulate. Whales do not buy out of emotion; they accumulate when the price is considered interesting or undervalued in the short term.
> Average traders confirm the movement by showing a positive flow as well
> Small orders, on the other hand, sell more than they buy. This means that retail is exiting while the big players are entering. This is a common pattern before bullish movements or prolonged ranges. The market transfers BTC from weak hands to strong hands.
In this context, the price may stagnate or consolidate, even with a lot of visible sales, as they are absorbed. If this accumulation continues, a bullish recovery becomes more probable. If it stops, the market remains in a range. However, the risk of a sharp dump is reduced as long as whale flows remain positive.
Update on $BTC - Why did the price bounce back so quickly?
I had said in my previous analysis on Bitcoin that I hope it breathes a little around the $70,000 zone that I drew, mainly because this zone represents the two highest points of the surpassed bull run, and there were concentrated reactions around the same zone during the past bull run. An important signal here is the speed at which the price rebounded to re-enter the zone when it touched $60,000, making a long wick on the weekly candle. This is interpreted as strong buying pressure as soon as it reached that price, exceeding the selling pressure with which the price was dropping.
Update $BTC As I mentioned in my previous article, the market remains very sensitive, due to the different emotions still present in the crypto community: > geopolitical tensions > economic announcements, > selling movements > the fud against Binance
so the slightest announcement could have a significant effect on the market, first triggering an initial movement and being amplified, for example, by liquidations in the derivatives market, which can cause the kind of downward acceleration that Bitcoin experienced today.
The closest accumulation zone that I have drawn is that of $70,000 and I hope that Bitcoin can catch its breath there before either resuming a corrective upward movement or an effective upward recovery. But if the $BTC drops below this zone, I think there is a good chance it will go to 55 or 50k.
Thanks for everyone who joined. You're the best !!!
Quick recap of the current advantages of $USD1 on Binance :
> 4% - 19% variable APR on Binance earn > $40M airdrop to distribute to USD1 holder, starting from $1 bag (ongoing) > USD1 point campaign with 12M $WLFI to distribute (spot trading) > zero-trading on eligible pairs (eg : BTC/USD1)
these are what i shared, so you guys can make the most of it.
_Ram
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Stablecoins are strategic tools in a bear market. Whether it's the funds saved in stablecoins or a portion of the portfolio deliberately allocated, in a bear market they allow:
> to hedge > to replace pumps with APRs > to spend without the constant stress of declines > to buy the dip etc. Thus, it is important during this time to understand the advantages of different stablecoins.
I will be live tonight on Binance Square at 4pm UTC to talk about the current advantages of USD1 on Binance.