HinaGoswami

#btc global cryptocurrency market has entered a challenging phase in early February 2026, marked by broad declines across major assets, heightened volatility, and deep technical adjustments. After the strong rally and record highs seen in late 2025 — including Bitcoin’s push above $125,000 — the landscape has shifted into a risk-off environment, with major digital assets retracing sharply and technical indicators flashing bearish signals.
Market Overview
As of early February 2026, Bitcoin (BTC) is trading below key psychological levels, fluctuating around the $68,000–$70,000 area after a steep correction from its late-2025 peaks. Ether (ETH) has underperformed relative to Bitcoin, slipping toward $2,000 support, while many altcoins show deeper drawdowns. Overall crypto market cap has contracted significantly, with analysts noting billions wiped out amid liquidations and broad selloffs.
This pullback has been partly attributed to broader risk asset weakness, tight liquidity conditions, and a rotation back into traditional safe-haven assets like gold — which recently reclaimed important price levels, dampening BTC’s rebound attempts.
Technical Analysis — Bitcoin
From a technical perspective, Bitcoin’s structure is currently corrective. BTC has dropped below critical short-term moving averages (such as the 50- and 200-day EMA), indicating that trend momentum has softened. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains in oversold territory, historically a sign that selling pressure may be overextended but that downward bias still dominates.
Support Levels:
$68,000–$70,000: immediate support zone defined by the 200-week EMA and previous multi-month lows.$60,000–$62,000: intermediate support area where forced liquidations slowed in recent sessions, suggesting potential base formation.
Resistance Levels:
$84,000–$88,000: key resistance band anchored by the 50 EMA and recent consolidation highs.$97,000–$98,000: a breakout above here would signal a return to bullish momentum and open paths toward potential new highs.
All told, Bitcoin’s chart depicts a range-bound market in the medium term — consolidating lower highs and higher lows — with relief rallies possible if support holds, but fresh downtrends if critical zones fail.
Ethereum and Altcoin Technicals
Ethereum has reached a critical support zone between $2,000 and $2,200, a pivot that technical analysts view as make-or-break for the second-largest cryptocurrency. Failure here could invite deeper drops, while stabilization might attract buyers looking for value.
Smaller cap tokens show similar patterns: oversold RSI readings, negative MACD crossovers, and failed breakdown attempts of key support levels — all classic bearish markers. Some traders argue that these oversold conditions can sow the seeds for short-covering rebounds, but the broader uptrend remains broken.
Derivatives and Sentiment Indicators
Open interest in futures has declined, funding rates have flipped neutral to negative, and implied volatility term structures suggest traders are paying a premium for protective options — all signs of risk-off bias dominating sentiment.
Conclusion: Consolidation Before Direction
While the short-term technical picture leans bearish, there are signs of exhaustion among sellers and potential support stabilizing around key levels. The crypto market in February 2026 appears to be in a consolidation phase, where range-bound trading could persist before any decisive breakout or breakdown — making technical tools, risk management, and disciplined entry/exit strategies more critical than ever for traders and investors alike.

If you want, I can add charts, entry/exit price levels, or a comparison of top altcoins’ technical setups too.
#BTC走势分析

$BTC Current cryptocurrency market—'bear market' fluctuations and rebounds intertwine
In early 2026, the cryptocurrency market remains in a state of extremely high volatility. After experiencing a continuous decline since October 2025, major digital asset prices are facing severe fluctuations and periodic rebounds. Bitcoin's price had once fallen to around 61,000 USD, breaking most of the gains since 2024, triggering market panic and high-intensity liquidations. (Reuters)
However, in recent days of trading, BTC has shown a technical rebound, bouncing back to around 70,000 USD, easing overall market sentiment. Market data indicates that short-term risk-averse funds and liquidity funds have entered the market, driving an increase in trading volume, but overall sentiment remains cautious. (CoinDesk)

ETH is still in a macro downtrend
Price is below EMA 20, 50, and far below EMA 200EMA(20): ~2063EMA(50): ~2252EMA(200): ~2725
➡️ This means bears still control the bigger picture

2️⃣ Recent candle behavior (very important)
ETH dumped hard from ~2396 → 1747After that dump, price formed:Strong bounce candleThen small-bodied candles around 2000–2050
This is called a bear-market consolidation, not a breakout yet.
📌 Translation:
Selling pressure paused, but buyers are not strong enough yet.

3️⃣ Support & resistance from candles
Support zone
1950–1980 (local support)Major support: 1750–1800
If 1950 breaks on a strong red 4H close → expect another leg down.
Resistance zone
2050–2100 (current fight zone)Strong resistance: 2200–2250 (EMA 50)
ETH must close multiple 4H candles above 2100 to look bullish short-term.

4️⃣ Indicators confirmation
RSI (≈51)
NeutralNo overbought, no oversold
➡️ Market is waiting for direction
MACD
Histogram turning greenLines trying to cross up
➡️ Short-term relief bounce possible, but still weak
Williams %R (-82 → rising)
Coming out of oversold
➡️ Bounce already happened, momentum slowing now

Forecast based on THIS chart
🔵 Most likely scenario (50–55%)
Sideways → slight pullback
ETH ranges between 1950–2100Wicks both sidesTraps late longs & shorts
This is accumulation / distribution behavior.

🟢 Bullish scenario (25–30%)
Strong 4H close above 2100Volume expansionNext target: 2200–2250
Only valid if candles close strong, not wick rejection.

🔴 Bearish scenario (20–25%)
4H close below 1950Red expansion candleFast move toward 1800 zone
This happens if BTC turns weak suddenly.

How to trade this (if you trade)
❌ Don’t long into resistance (2050–2100)✅ Best longs = near support with confirmation❌ Don’t overleverage — this is a trap zone✅ Wait for break & close, not wicks

Bottom line
📉 Trend: still bearish
⏸️ Short-term: consolidation
⚠️ Big move coming, direction not confirmed yet
If you want, I can:
Mark exact entry / SL / TPRead BTC correlationAnalyze 1H or Daily next
Just tell me 👀📊
##ETHUSDTANALYSIS $ETH $ETH

🚨 THIS IS WHY BITCOIN IS DUMPING EVERY SINGLE DAY
This is not retail.
This is not sentiment.
If you still think BTC trades on simple supply and demand,
you’re looking at a market that no longer exists.
Let me put it plainly.
Bitcoin price is no longer set on-chain.
It’s set in derivatives.
That’s the whole game.
BTC was built on:
21 million supply
No rehypothecation
Then Wall Street layered on:
Perps
Options
ETFs
Lending
Wrapped BTC
Swaps
Same structure.
Same outcome.
This is the exact break that already happened to:
Gold.
Silver.
Oil.
Stocks.
“Paper BTC” exploded.
And once synthetic supply overwhelms real supply, price stops responding to demand.
It responds to:
Positioning
Hedging flows
Liquidations
That’s why the playbook is always the same:
→ Sell into every pump
→ Force liquidations
→ Cover lower
→ Repeat
This isn’t a free market.
It’s a fractional-reserve price system wearing a Bitcoin mask.
Ignore it if you want —
just understand why every bounce fails.
I’ve studied macro for 10 years and called almost every major top, including the October BTC ATH.
Follow. Turn notifications on.
I’ll post the warning before it hits the headlines.#MarketRally $BTC

🫨 Analyst Who Predicted $XRP ’s 600% Rally Forecasts The Bottom And A Target Of $10
XRP’s current pullback has diverted attention away from short-term volatility and back toward the bigger picture on the chart. The cryptocurrency is now down by over 60% from its July all-time high, and the decline is showing signs of more downside.
🔸 Analyst Points To A New Accumulation Phase
XRP’s recent price action has seen many analysts projecting a bottom where the decline might end. However, a technical analysis of XRP’s price action on the 2-week candlestick timeframe chart, which was posted on the social media platform X, frames the current XRP price action as an entry into an accumulation zone.
According to the analysis, XRP has now corrected roughly 58% from its recent peak, placing it directly inside what he calls the first accumulation zone between $1.50 and $1.30. The outlook by Crypto Patel is that this area is not about catching an exact bottom but about building exposure gradually as the price stabilizes. Based on this, the analyst predicted that XRP’s decline will bottom somewhere between $1.5 and $1.3, and this is a great time to start buying slowly at these levels.
However, Patel’s outlook also accounts for a deeper drawdown scenario. Should XRP lose the $1.30 region, then the next focus is in a secondary accumulation band between $0.90 and $0.70. Nonetheless, a move into that lower range would still not invalidate the bullish thesis.
🔸 The $10 Target Is Still In Play
$XRP’s current price action is a far stretch from reaching $10, and that target seems out of reach at the moment. However, despite adopting a near-term caution, many analysts have not changed their long-term projections.
Patel, for example, noted that his long-term target is $10. Although the $10 target remains the same, the analyst noted that buying at $3 or $2 is not ideal since there are opportunities for entries at $1.50-$1 during hard dips for much bigger returns.
#XRP | #Ripple | $XRP