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Brothers, the focus tonight is here, simply put the key points👇

🔥 1️⃣ Market Background

This morning, the US non-farm payroll data exceeded expectations, employment is strong → Market interest rate cut expectations are postponed.
Simply understood:
👉 The Federal Reserve is not in a hurry to cut interest rates in the short term
👉 The US dollar is relatively strong
👉 Risk assets (including the crypto market) are under pressure

So the core of the market tonight is: digesting the impact of non-farm data + waiting for CPI data.

⸻

⏰ 2️⃣ Key Times Tonight (Beijing Time)
• 21:00–22:30 Phase of fluctuation and brewing
• 22:30 US stock market opens (key observation)
• 1:00–3:00 Easy to find direction

If the Nasdaq is strong → BTC is likely to rise
If the Nasdaq is weak → The crypto market may continue to be under pressure

⸻

📊 3️⃣ Market Logic Tonight

Currently, market sentiment is relatively cautious:

✔ Interest rate cut expectations are suppressed
✔ US dollar index is relatively strong
✔ Contract positions are relatively high

👉 Likely to see:
• Pin bar washout
• Chain liquidation
• False breakout market

⸻

🚨 4️⃣ When will the real big volatility occur?

🔥 Tomorrow night at 21:30 (Beijing Time)
US CPI data release

CPI below expectations → Positive for the crypto market
CPI above expectations → May continue to pull back

⸻

🎯 In summary

Tonight = Fluctuation + Testing direction
Tomorrow night = May determine the short-term trend

For those trading contracts, pay attention to position control, don’t get caught by pin bars.
Spot traders wait patiently for direction confirmation.

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