孤洪

Bitcoin has been on the rise for over three months since it dropped to 60,000 on February 6. How much longer can this rally last? Some believe the bear market is over, and that 60,000 is the bottom for this cycle, with Bitcoin potentially climbing to 150,000, 160,000, or even 200,000. Others think this upward movement is just a rebound within the bear market, with a peak around 80,000 before it drops back down to 40,000 or even 30,000. As for me, I’m currently flat, holding onto my USDT investments and waiting. Even though I only have 5000 USDT, it's a small amount, I plan to start buying in when Bitcoin hits 63,000, and fill my position at 50,000. If we hit extreme conditions and Bitcoin drops to 40,000, I'll find a way to gather more funds to invest. If it doesn’t dip and Bitcoin just continues to rise, then that means my analysis was off, and I’ll have to look for new opportunities. No loss on the principal, just focus on what I need to do and wait. What’s meant to come will come.

I see Bitcoin bottoming out at 50k during this bear market. I have 5000 USDT in real funds and I'm currently in cash. Right now, Bitcoin is at 80k. It might go to 85k or 88k in the meantime, but I'm still choosing to stay in cash. Even though I see 50k, I'm not doing any contracts or shorting; I'm just holding USDT and waiting. Once Bitcoin drops below 63k, I'll start buying 50 USDT daily. That would be exactly half of Bitcoin's drop from the peak of 126k. I'll finish buying all 5000 USDT over a span of three months. If Bitcoin quickly drops to 51k or 52k and I haven't completed my purchases, I'll go all-in at 51k or 52k. After going all-in, if Bitcoin continues to fall to 45k, I'll stake all my Bitcoin on the exchange for lending and then buy more Bitcoin. If it dips further, I'll keep lending and buying. During this time, if Ethereum hits the right levels, I'll also snag a bit of ETH. That's my plan. Right now, all I need to do is wait.

5000U investment live trading day 112
Today I sold my Bitcoin holdings of about 200U
I was actually planning to sell when it hit over 82k yesterday
Thought it would keep climbing, so I hesitated
After thinking it over today, I decided to sell
I don't have much left anyway, no need to waste my energy
Next up is holding U and waiting
I'll buy back when Bitcoin dips below 63k

Today's live trading data
5000U investment live trading day 112 (2026.5.7)
Start date: January 16, 2026
Initial capital: 5000U
Current capital: 5122U
Total profit: 122U
Held assets: U

Right now, the U I hold is a bit in my trading account, the rest is in wealth management, any profit is a win, waiting to buy back after Bitcoin drops.

Today I figured out a way to scrape together some cash, deposited 3000U, and combined it with the previous 2000U, bringing my total real capital to 5000U. Here's how my current trading setup looks:

Today's trading data
5000U real capital on day 105 (2026.4.30)
Start date: January 16, 2026
Invested funds: 5000U
Current funds: 5107U
Accumulated profit: 107U
Held assets: U BTC

Buying strategy remains the same; I'm waiting for Bitcoin to dip below 70k to start daily DCA (dollar-cost averaging) buys. Below 60k, I'll increase my buy amount. Recently, Bitcoin has been fluctuating between 75k and 79k. If it goes up, I plan to sell the 200U worth of Bitcoin I currently hold around 83k, then resume DCA buys below 70k. If it drops, I'll just keep DCAing in. That's the plan for now; I'll document any specific trades and changes as they come. Stay tuned!

2000U Investment Real Trading Day 95 (2026.4.20)
Start Time: January 16, 2026
Investment Amount: 2000U
Today's Funds: 2099U
Cumulative Profit: 99U
Held Currency: U BTC

This time Bitcoin rose to 78,000, and I thought it could break 80,000, but unexpectedly it came down again. I don't know if it will directly drop below 60,000 this time or if it will drop for a few days first, then break 80,000, and then drop below 60,000?

BTC has been fluctuating around 60,000 to 70,000 for 2 months
Some believe that BTC will first rise above 80,000 in the next 1 or 2 months
and then drop below 60,000 to 50,000

Regardless of how BTC moves next
whether it rises to 80,000 and then drops to 50,000
or directly drops to 50,000
my actual investment of 2000U is to automatically invest 10U in BTC every day below 70,000
So it doesn't matter how BTC moves next
If it really rises above 80,000
I will sell the BTC I bought during this period of regular investment
If it drops to 70,000 or 60,000, I will start regular investment again
Missing the upward trend doesn't matter
At least I haven't lost money, I'm making money
Even though it's little
If it directly goes to 50,000, then I'll just keep investing regularly
Waiting for the next bull market to reach above 200,000 before considering selling

Today's actual data:
2000U investment actual day 79 (2026.4.4)
Start time: January 16, 2026
Investment amount: 2000U
Today's amount: 2075U
Cumulative profit: 75U
Holding cryptocurrency: U BTC
$BTC

BTC is below 70,000 again
Today's BTC dollar-cost averaging has started again
Automatically bought 10U of BTC at 6 AM

Today's actual trading data:
2000U actual trading day 67 (2026.3.23)
Start time: January 16, 2026
Investment amount: 2000U
Today's funds: 2074U
Cumulative profit and loss: +74U (+3.7%)
Held cryptocurrency: U BTC
$BTC

The market has performed well these days. Today, BTC reached a high of 76000 and is now hovering around 74000.

ETH has performed unexpectedly well these past two days, with impressive gains.

Since the current BTC price is above 70,000, the actual BTC investment plan has paused purchases. It will automatically trigger buying when the BTC price is below 70,000. For now, continue to hold the current holdings and wait.

Today's actual data:
2000U actual plan day 61 (2026.3.17)
Start date: January 16, 2026
Investment amount: 2000U
Today's fund: 2076U
Accumulated profit and loss: +76U (+3.8%)
Held currency: U BTC
$BTC

In the midnight coding room, TypeScript programmer Xiaolin is scratching his head over the mathematical formulas of ZK contracts, wanting to create a privacy DeFi application, but being blocked by the Halo2 curve and circuit writing. This is the real dilemma faced by countless developers encountering privacy blockchain. The emergence of @MidnightNetwork is pulling this group of developers, who have been kept out by cryptography, back into the familiar world of code, also pouring a cold wake-up call onto the restless Web3 market.

The most disruptive aspect of Midnight is its TypeScript-based DSL, which completely flattens the barriers to ZK development. Developers no longer need to painstakingly write circuits or calculate constraints; they can simply use familiar syntax to write business logic, keep sensitive data local, and put public states on-chain. The compiler will automatically generate all ZK circuits and proof materials. Kachina technology also allows multiple applications to run in parallel, significantly reducing transaction competition, directly maximizing the efficiency of commercial applications, enabling millions of TypeScript programmers to easily enter the field of privacy development.

This stands in stark contrast to the assembly line shelling in the domestic Web3 circle: some spend 2000U on imitation development, hurriedly shelling out just to quickly harvest, with no one caring about cryptography and security. Meanwhile, Midnight is doing the most "thankless" task, initiating elite developer recruitment, seeking top Builders who understand ZK fundamentals and are willing to share, cultivating the core of the ecosystem with a missionary mindset.

Because it understands that the privacy track will bear institutional RWA assets and corporate trade secrets, a single vulnerability could lead to a catastrophic collapse of trust. It does not spend money on fake prosperity by organizing a thousand-person hackathon, but instead invests resources in people, allowing professional developers to radiate through the community. This is the hard-core confidence that public chains have to navigate both bull and bear markets.

Even more striking is its dual-token model, where NIGHT, as a governance token, automatically generates the Gas token DUST. DUST is non-tradable and regenerates regularly, completely solving the problem of gas token inflation on privacy chains that makes the network unusable. Developers can even subsidize Gas to allow users to incur zero costs, perfectly connecting with the Web2 user experience.

Now, Midnight has become a key player in Cardano's 2026 turnaround, working in synergy with the treasury buyback plan, attempting to create an ecological asset pool for deflationary flywheels. In an era dominated by fast-food coding, it uses a method of technical dimensionality reduction and focused ecological construction to tell the market: the true future of Web3 has never been in the hastily assembled shells, but in the details that make technology land and ecosystems solid.
#night $NIGHT

Today while browsing the community, I saw someone complaining again. When checking the trading volume of Binance Alpha, they were targeted by a bot, resulting in a loss of over 10 USDT, which is particularly frustrating. It's important to know that the current airdrop for Binance Alpha has already shrunk, and the frequency of airdrops is low. Each airdrop only brings in two to three tens of USDT, and trading every day is both hard and doesn't earn much money. This situation is frustrating for everyone. This issue struck at everyone's pain point, leading to widespread complaints.

Although there is now MEV protection, it still gets triggered from time to time. I was relying on airdrops to earn some small money, but because there is no privacy on-chain, every move is monitored by bots and arbitrageurs, precisely targeted for strikes.

We all know that the current blockchain account system is completely transparent; everyone can check at any time, and all operations are conducted under everyone's watchful eyes, with absolutely no privacy.

These past few days, I have been researching @MidnightNetwork , which is the most likely project to equip on-chain operations with an "invisibility shield." It relies on ZK zero-knowledge proofs to achieve rational privacy, with a core construction of a programmable privacy disclosure mechanism. During on-chain interactions, it only verifies the legality of transactions and asset standards to the network without disclosing any underlying sensitive data, completely separating data ownership from usage rights, thus avoiding the risk of information leakage from a technical perspective.

It adopts an innovative architecture of a dual-state ledger. The public ledger is responsible for maintaining network consensus and the normal execution of smart contracts, ensuring the verifiability of on-chain transactions; the private ledger is dedicated to storing sensitive information like user holdings and transaction trails. It establishes logical connections between the dual ledgers through zero-knowledge proofs, keeping the underlying data in a state of default protection.

At the same time, it implements the logic of "proving compliance rather than proving identity" in ZK technology applications. Users can generate exclusive view proofs as needed, disclosing only necessary compliance data to authorized entities like audits and regulators, achieving default privacy and precise disclosure. While strictly protecting user data sovereignty, it perfectly adapts to regulatory compliance review requirements, truly resolving the inherent contradiction between blockchain transparency and privacy.

Now, let's look forward to the early application of Midnight, allowing everyone to use such technology soon.
#night $NIGHT

Some predict that BTC will fluctuate at a high of $80,000 to $100,000 in the first half of this year. Then in the second half, it is expected to rise to $100,000 to $120,000 following interest rate cuts and the inflow of institutional funds. Regardless of what others say, my real investment plan of 2000U is currently to dollar-cost average BTC below $70,000. Below $70,000, I automatically buy 10U of BTC every morning at 6 AM. Above $70,000, I will pause purchases and wait. Right now, I really dare not change the plan casually. Last week, I missed a 50% profit because I sold the coins I bought and did not stick to the planned rules. When I held onto the coins, the price fluctuated but did not rise. I just sold them in the morning, and by the evening, it surged more than 50%. Don't mention how frustrating it is; thinking about it now still makes me sad.

Today's actual data:
2000U real account day 57 (2026.3.13)
Start time: January 16, 2026
Investment amount: 2000U
Today's funds: 2073U
Accumulated profit and loss: +73U (+3.65%)
Held currency: U BTC

In the past two days, BTC's price has been above $70,000 at 6 AM.
So there have been no purchases in the dollar-cost averaging plan for the past two days.
So far, I have only bought 50U of BTC.
$BTC

Last evening, after studying the project @MidnightNetwork in detail, I shared some of my thoughts and feelings. Today, I'll make a brief summary, and I will share more detailed insights later.

1. Core Conclusion

NIGHT is not a traditional anonymous coin but follows a compliant privacy + enterprise-level landing route as a ZK public chain; the technology and commercial logic are top-notch, but the chips and valuation have been overdrawn in advance. Now is not the time to rush blindly but to wait for the mainnet launch, for the real consumption of DUST, for ecological validation, and for the performance of this bear market. Only after experiencing a bear market can one see the strength of a project itself.

2. The 6 Most Crucial Points

1. Midnight is not about hiding anonymously; it is compliant selective disclosure: privacy in normal times, verifiable by regulators, following an enterprise compliance route.
​
2. The essence of Midnight's dual-token system: NIGHT = governance/speculation (transparent and compliant), DUST = privacy computing fuel (non-transferable, stable cost), solving the pain point of uncontrollable on-chain costs for enterprises.
​
3. The development threshold for Midnight is extremely low: using TypeScript-based Compact to write ZK contracts, Web2 programmers can get started immediately, with great ecological potential.
​
4. Midnight is produced by Cardano's IOG: backed by strong support, with robust compliance capabilities.
​
5. Risk points on NIGHT's market: circulation rate is nearly 70%, with remaining uncirculated chips weighing down, making it prone to gradual decline rather than sharp drops.
​
6. The project Midnight needs to focus on the real consumption of DUST, third-party DApps/enterprise landing, liquidity, and market structure.

In summary, NIGHT is not a traditional anonymous coin, but a compliant privacy + enterprise-level ZK chain.

The highlights of Midnight are selective disclosure, dual tokens (NIGHT + DUST), low-threshold development with TypeScript, and importantly, the backing of many big names.

Risk points include high circulation rate, not low valuation, and speculative activity before actual implementation.

Conclusion: Top-tier logic, uncertain landing, research first, then wait.

That's it. I hope this summary is to the point and useful for everyone.

#night $NIGHT

NIGHT has risen now, unfortunately, I couldn't hold on to it when it was at 0.0468U, sold it off immediately, and even incurred a loss. The price has now risen to 0.0498U, and it's almost at 0.05U. I wonder how everyone else is doing, did you buy at the low price? Did you hold on to it? How are the returns?
#night $NIGHT @MidnightNetwork

The current price of BTC is below 70,000
But at 6 AM it was above 70,000
So the automatic investment of BTC today morning
The 10U automatic purchase of BTC did not trigger
That is to say, no purchase was made
Although it is now below 70,000
Since the automatic investment has been set
There will be no manual purchases
Set the plan and execute it well
Do not change it easily

Today's actual data:
2000U actual trading day 56 (2026.3.12)
Start time: January 16, 2026
Investment amount: 2000U
Today's funds: 2072U
Accumulated profit and loss: +72U (+3.6%)
Holding currency: U BTC
$BTC

Just opened Binance, and there's a surprise. I saw a message reminder in the corner, thinking it was just another trivial message from Binance. But when I clicked in, I didn't expect it to be a reminder that the wallet received 10.64 RIVER. Last time it was the same amount, and I mentioned that half would be sent later. I didn't expect it to be sent so quickly. Last time I sold for 155 U, this time it dropped a bit, but I still sold for 117 U. Very happy
$RIVER

BTC has risen above 70,000 again
However, at 6 AM this morning it was still 69,000
So my 2,000 U Stablecoin BTC dollar-cost averaging
Today I still normally bought 10 U of BTC
However, if by 6 AM tomorrow BTC is still above 70,000
Then my 2,000 U Stablecoin BTC dollar-cost averaging will have to be paused
Wait until BTC drops below 70,000 to continue buying

Today's actual data:
2,000 U actual 54th day (2026.3.10)
Start time: January 16, 2026
Invested capital: 2,000 U
Today's capital: 2,071 U
Accumulated profit and loss: +71 U (+3.55%)
Held currency: U BTC
$BTC

Contract whales continue to increase their short positions in Bitcoin
$BTC

o1.exchange's trading volume continued to decline this week, from 25 million in the first week to 5 million this week.

With the overall environment being like this, everyone's trading volume is significantly decreasing, and many projects have even reached 0 trading volume or shut down.

o1 is currently the only project I am involved in, with a weekly trading volume of over 2000 U and spending around 10 U. As for the outcome, I'll just leave it to fate.

As for the projects I was involved in earlier, I hope the tge happens soon; otherwise, if it keeps dragging on, who knows when the project will be gone. I don't expect to make money after tge, but getting back a little of the principal would be something.

Tonight
The 20 millionth BTC will be mined tonight
$BTC

Today's Actual Trading Operations:
This morning, the price of BTC is 67,000, slightly down.
The price of BTC is below 70,000, meeting the conditions for regular investment.
Automatically bought 10U$BTC at 6 AM, no other operations.

Current Actual Investment Plan:
It is currently a bear market; the investment in actual trading is to regularly invest in BTC below 70,000, and no other tokens will be purchased for now.

BTC Regular Investment Plan:
Price > 70,000: Pause purchases
Price < 70,000: Automatically invest 10U $BTC every morning at 6 AM
If it falls below 60,000 and enters the 50,000 range: Increase the daily investment amount and shorten the cycle
If it falls below 50,000 and enters the 40,000 range: Increase the investment amount again and shorten the cycle again
Once all funds are invested, hold long-term without movement, waiting for the next bull market when BTC reaches 200,000 to reconsider selling.
If the price of BTC drops extremely to 30,000 or 20,000, I will find a way to invest more, continuing to lay out the plan.

Today's Actual Data:
2000U actual trading day 52 (2026.3.8)
Start time: January 16, 2026
Invested funds: 2000U
Today's funds: 2069U
Cumulative profit and loss: +69U (+3.45%)
Held cryptocurrency: U BTC
Regular investment average price: 67856U

Words from the heart:
Not flaunting wealth, not making grand visions.
Small capital, slow pace, real records.
Long-term updates, let's see how far I can go.
$BTC