Pejmanzwin

Bullish

$STX Surged 30% — Can This Retest Trigger Another 10% Move?

Stacks has gained more than 30% over the past two to three days, but the rally has now reached an important resistance structure.

STX entered the Heavy Resistance Zone at $0.410–$0.596 and the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at $0.410–$0.446, where sellers stepped in and triggered a short-term rejection.

From a classical technical perspective, STX appears to have formed a Double Bottom Pattern near the Support Zone.

After breaking above the Neckline, price is now pulling back toward the breakout area. A successful retest could confirm that the broader bullish structure remains intact.

The first liquidity area to watch is the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage at $0.415–$0.427.

If the correction extends deeper, the stronger support confluence sits around the Support Zone at $0.355–$0.372 and the deeper Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage at $0.356–$0.368.

If buyers successfully defend these areas, I expect STX to potentially gain at least another 10% and make a fresh attempt toward $0.45 and the upper resistance structure.

For now, the Neckline retest and support reaction will determine whether the recent rally can continue.

What comes next for STX?

🟢 Break above $0.45
🔴 Deeper correction first

STX-6.36%

Bearish

USDCHF Rejects a Major PRZ — Is 0.8256 the Next Target?

USDCHF started to decline after entering the Heavy Resistance Zone at 0.8332–0.8476, reacting to the Resistance Lines and the major Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at 0.836–0.840.

The pair is now trading below the key 0.838 CHF level, keeping short-term bearish pressure intact.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, USDCHF appears to have completed Primary Wave 5, suggesting that a corrective sequence to the downside could now develop.

A Negative Regular Divergence (RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks provides another warning that bullish momentum may be weakening.

I expect USDCHF to potentially continue lower toward 0.8285 CHF.
If bearish momentum strengthens, the correction could extend toward 0.8256 CHF.

Trade Setup

First TP: 0.8285 CHF

Second TP: 0.8256 CHF

Stop Loss: 0.8375 CHF

Key Levels: 0.8245 | 0.8280 | 0.838 CHF

As long as USDCHF remains below the key resistance structure, the bearish scenario remains active.

Which level will USDCHF reach first?

🔴 0.8256 CHF

🟢 0.8375 CHF

#usdchf

NIGHT Rallied 70% in a Week — Is a 20% Correction Coming Next?Midnight has surged more than 70% over the past seven days, becoming one of the strongest-performing tokens in the market. The rally has been supported by renewed attention toward privacy-focused blockchain infrastructure, sharply higher trading activity, growing social interest, and increased market focus on the Midnight ecosystem. Midnight’s broader fundamental narrative also remains interesting, with institutional infrastructure participants such as Google Cloud and the project’s partnership with Monument Bank helping strengthen the long-term case for privacy-enabled blockchain adoption. But after such an aggressive rally, the technical structure is now sending an important warning. Can $NIGHT extend above $0.045, or is a major correction about to begin? Fundamental Outlook Midnight is positioning itself around programmable privacy and selective disclosure, allowing users and institutions to keep sensitive information private while still meeting compliance requirements. This narrative has become increasingly relevant as institutional interest in privacy-preserving blockchain infrastructure grows. The ecosystem has also gained credibility through institutional participation and real-world initiatives, including infrastructure support from major operators and Monument Bank’s plans to tokenize regulated retail deposits using Midnight technology. However, after a 70% weekly rally, strong fundamentals alone do not eliminate the risk of a short-term technical correction. Technical Analysis On the Daily timeframe, NIGHT failed to break above the important $0.0445 trading level and the nearby Resistance Zone. Price has now started to move lower from this area. From a classical technical-analysis perspective, the current Daily candle also has the potential to close as a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern. The relatively high trading volume accompanying this candle could make the signal more significant if the pattern is confirmed at the Daily close. Another important resistance area sits at the: Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.0450–$0.0465 This creates a strong technical confluence above the current price. I expect sellers to potentially maintain the upper hand in the short term. The first corrective phase could push NIGHT approximately 7% lower. If bearish momentum strengthens, the correction could potentially extend toward 20%, with important Fibonacci retracement levels becoming key areas to monitor during the decline. Key Levels Resistance / Invalidation Level: $0.0445 Short Liquidation Zone: $0.0450–$0.0465 Major Key Level: $0.0312 As long as NIGHT remains below the Resistance Zone and fails to reclaim $0.0445, the risk of a deeper correction remains elevated. The broader Midnight narrative may remain constructive, but after a 70% rally, the short-term technical structure suggests that risk management is becoming increasingly important. What comes first for NIGHT? 🟢 Break above $0.045 🔴 7–20% correction #Midnigh

Verified

Article

NIGHT Rallied 70% in a Week — Is a 20% Correction Coming Next?

Midnight has surged more than 70% over the past seven days, becoming one of the strongest-performing tokens in the market.
The rally has been supported by renewed attention toward privacy-focused blockchain infrastructure, sharply higher trading activity, growing social interest, and increased market focus on the Midnight ecosystem.
Midnight’s broader fundamental narrative also remains interesting, with institutional infrastructure participants such as Google Cloud and the project’s partnership with Monument Bank helping strengthen the long-term case for privacy-enabled blockchain adoption.
But after such an aggressive rally, the technical structure is now sending an important warning.
Can $NIGHT extend above $0.045, or is a major correction about to begin?
Fundamental Outlook
Midnight is positioning itself around programmable privacy and selective disclosure, allowing users and institutions to keep sensitive information private while still meeting compliance requirements.
This narrative has become increasingly relevant as institutional interest in privacy-preserving blockchain infrastructure grows.
The ecosystem has also gained credibility through institutional participation and real-world initiatives, including infrastructure support from major operators and Monument Bank’s plans to tokenize regulated retail deposits using Midnight technology.
However, after a 70% weekly rally, strong fundamentals alone do not eliminate the risk of a short-term technical correction.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily timeframe, NIGHT failed to break above the important $0.0445 trading level and the nearby Resistance Zone.
Price has now started to move lower from this area.
From a classical technical-analysis perspective, the current Daily candle also has the potential to close as a Shooting Star Candlestick Pattern.
The relatively high trading volume accompanying this candle could make the signal more significant if the pattern is confirmed at the Daily close.
Another important resistance area sits at the:
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $0.0450–$0.0465
This creates a strong technical confluence above the current price.
I expect sellers to potentially maintain the upper hand in the short term.
The first corrective phase could push NIGHT approximately 7% lower.
If bearish momentum strengthens, the correction could potentially extend toward 20%, with important Fibonacci retracement levels becoming key areas to monitor during the decline.
Key Levels
Resistance / Invalidation Level: $0.0445
Short Liquidation Zone: $0.0450–$0.0465
Major Key Level: $0.0312
As long as NIGHT remains below the Resistance Zone and fails to reclaim $0.0445, the risk of a deeper correction remains elevated.
The broader Midnight narrative may remain constructive, but after a 70% rally, the short-term technical structure suggests that risk management is becoming increasingly important.
What comes first for NIGHT?
🟢 Break above $0.045
🔴 7–20% correction
#Midnigh

NIGHT+2.23%

Bullish

$BTC Has Been Trapped for 8 Days — Is the Range Finally About to Break?

Bitcoin has been trading between its Support and Resistance Zones for the past eight days, creating a difficult range-bound market with no clear directional trend.

BTC is now testing an important support confluence formed by the Support Zone, Support Lines, and the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage at $82,140–$83,000.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing Primary Wave 4, potentially through a Triple Three Correction (W-X-Y-X-Z).

I expect BTC to potentially start another bullish move from the current structure and the key $83,540 trading level.

A confirmed breakout above $84,100 could open the way toward the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage at $84,390–$85,000.

If buyers successfully break through this liquidity zone and the upper Resistance Zone, Bitcoin could finally escape the eight-day range and extend toward higher targets.

Trade Setup

First TP: $84,819

Second TP: $85,430

Third TP: $87,180

Stop Loss: $82,400

Key Levels: $83,540 | $84,100

Long Liquidation: $82,140–$83,000

Short Liquidation: $84,390–$85,000

Upper CME Gap: $87,700–$87,825

Which level will Bitcoin reach first?

🟢 $87,180
🔴 $82,400

#bitcoin

Bullish

$BTC Full Target Hit — Now It’s Time to Protect the Trade

Bitcoin reacted exactly as expected from the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at $81,830–$82,840 and started to move higher.

After reaching the Resistance Lines and successfully breaking above them, BTC continued its bullish move toward the Resistance Zone and the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage at $85,100–$85,670.
The analysis has now successfully reached the Full Target.

I hope you were able to take advantage of the setup, and thank you for your patience while the position developed.

If you are still holding a Long Position with an entry between $82,550 and $83,100, this may be a good area to consider moving the position to risk-free and protecting the trade.

The setup has delivered — now the priority shifts from chasing more upside to protecting accumulated profit.

Do you think Bitcoin can break above $85,670, or will this liquidity zone trigger a correction first?

#bitcoin

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

$BTC Drops 3% — But the September 24 Bullish Setup Is Still Alive

The September 24 Bitcoin analysis remains valid and unchanged for now.

Bitcoin has come under renewed pressure at the start of the week, falling nearly 3% amid rising oil prices and renewed geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

However, the technical structure has not been invalidated yet.
BTC is currently trading inside the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at $81,830–$82,840 and close to the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage at $81,920–$82,400.

More importantly, the entire price action of the past seven days could still represent a pullback toward the Heavy Resistance Zone that Bitcoin previously broke with strong momentum.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, BTC appears to be completing the main Wave 4 through a Double Three Correction (W-X-Y).

For me, $81,700 is the key invalidation level.

As long as Bitcoin holds above this level, I expect another bullish attempt toward $84,000.

A confirmed breakout above $84,000 and the nearby Resistance Lines could then open the way toward the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage at $85,100–$85,670.

For now, the reaction from the current PRZ and $81,700 will determine whether the bullish structure survives.

What comes first?

🟢 $84,000 and another bullish leg

🔴 Break below $81,700

#bitcoin

Bullish

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

$BTC Breaks Heavy Resistance — Is $88.8K the Next Target?

Bitcoin appears to have successfully broken above the Heavy Resistance Zone and is now completing a pullback toward the breakout area.

BTC also reacted strongly from the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage at $82,300–$83,220, where buyers stepped back in.

This makes the current pullback especially important: if the former resistance successfully turns into support, another bullish leg could begin.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to have completed Primary Wave 4, potentially setting the stage for the next Impulsive Waves.

I expect BTC to move higher toward the nearby Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage first.

If bullish momentum strengthens, Bitcoin could extend through the upper CME Gap at $87,700–$87,825 and enter the major Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at $88,760–$91,860.

Trade Setup

First TP: $86,870

Second TP: $88,810

Stop Loss: $81,770

Long Liquidation Zone: $82,300–$83,220

Upper CME Gap: $87,700–$87,825

Major PRZ: $88,760–$91,860

The key now is whether Bitcoin can turn the broken Heavy
Resistance Zone into new support.

Which level will Bitcoin reach first?

🟢 $88,810

🔴 $81,770

#bitcoin

Bullish

$JASMY Is Up +40% — Can $0.0058 Unlock the Next Leg Higher?

The August 31 Weekly timeframe analysis has played out very well, with JASMY gaining approximately 40% so far.

Price has now entered the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage at $0.0050–$0.0055, an area that could create meaningful resistance after such a strong move.

The next key level to watch is $0.0058.

If JASMY can break and hold above this level, the bullish structure could strengthen further and open the way for another leg higher.

However, after a 40% rally, a rejection from the current liquidity zone and a short-term correction should also be considered.

For now, $0.0058 is the key decision level.

What comes next for JASMY?

🟢 Break above $0.0058

🔴 Rejection from the liquidity zone

#jasmy

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

$JASMY Could Rally 40% — But One Major Risk Comes First

JASMY is showing a rare combination of improving fundamentals and an interesting technical setup, but short-term risk remains elevated.

On the fundamental side, the collaboration between Jasmy, Panasonic Advanced Technology and Jasmy Lab on the Smart Render distributed GPU service is a positive catalyst. At the same time, around 98.9% of the 50B max supply is already circulating, significantly reducing future dilution risk.

However, risks remain. JasmyChain adoption is still relatively limited, whale concentration remains high, and the Upbit and Bithumb delisting scheduled for September 14 could increase volatility and selling pressure.

Technically, JASMY reacted strongly from its Support Zone. From an Elliott Wave perspective, the weekly corrective Zigzag structure may already be complete, while positive divergence is visible across price, volume and several indicators.

As long as the Support Zone holds, I believe JASMY could potentially gain at least 40% over the coming days and weeks.

Key Levels: $0.0058 and $0.0063

A confirmed breakout above them could open the path toward $0.0073.

A lower-timeframe pullback may still offer a better entry, so risk management remains essential.

Can JASMY overcome the delisting pressure and start a 40% recovery?

#jasmy

JASMY-5.42%

Bullish

$SOL Outperformed the August 31 Target — Now Resistance Becomes the Real Test

Solana followed my August 31 Daily timeframe analysis almost exactly and continued even beyond the original target.
That move confirmed the strength of the bullish structure highlighted in the previous setup.

SOL is now trading inside an important Resistance Zone at $110–$126, where the next reaction could determine whether the rally still has room to extend or if a correction is approaching.

After such a strong move, this is no longer about chasing the previous target — the focus now shifts to how price behaves inside this resistance structure.

A confirmed breakout above the zone could strengthen the broader bullish trend, while rejection from this area could trigger a short-term correction before the next opportunity develops.

I hope you were able to take advantage of the Daily timeframe setup and benefit from the move.

What comes next for Solana?

🟢 Break above $126

🔴 Correction from the Resistance Zone

#solana

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

$SOL Breakout Confirmed — Is a 10% Rebound Next?

Solana broke above the Resistance Zone with strong volume, confirming significant buying pressure. Price is now pulling back toward the breakout area, which could become the key zone for the next move.

Two important liquidity areas are now in focus:

Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $99.00–$100.20
Deeper Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage: $90.80–$94.80
The $94 level remains especially important for preserving the broader bullish structure.

If SOL completes its pullback around these zones and buyers successfully defend support, I expect another bullish leg of at least 10%, targeting the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage at $108.20–$109.50.

The combination of a strong-volume breakout and a controlled pullback keeps the bullish setup interesting — as long as the key support structure remains intact.

Will SOL defend the pullback zone and push toward $109.50 next?

#solana

SOL+3.85%

Bullish

$BTC Has Been Range-Bound for 2 Days — These Liquidity Zones Could Decide the Breakout

Bitcoin has been trading inside a Range for the past two days, while liquidity continues to build on both sides of the market.

The key zones I’m watching are:

🔴 Short Liquidation: $89,000–$90,000

🔴 Short Liquidation: $87,250–$88,200

🔴 Short Liquidation: $85,000–$85,570

🟢 Long Liquidation: $82,200–$83,000

These liquidity clusters could act as important price magnets once BTC breaks out of its current Range.

Fundamentally, the backdrop remains mixed but interesting.

Strong Spot Bitcoin ETF inflows continue to provide support, while Binance has recorded unusually large BTC outflows, reducing the amount of Bitcoin immediately available on the exchange.

However, short-term uncertainty remains elevated following today’s major options expiry and the recent Bitget security incident involving approximately $351.6M in unauthorized transfers.

For now, the Range remains intact — but once it breaks, liquidity could accelerate the next move quickly.

Which liquidity zone will Bitcoin reach first?

🔴 $85,000–$85,570
🟢 $82,200–$83,000

#bitcoin

Bullish

Gold Has Been Falling for 7 Days — But Buyers Still Look Strong

$XAU has remained in a bearish trend for the past 6–7 days, but the decline has developed with relatively weak momentum.

More importantly, the powerful bullish move completed in less than two days has still not been fully retraced after nearly a week of selling, suggesting that buyers continue to show relative strength.

Gold is now trading near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement on the Daily timeframe and inside the Heavy Support Zone at $4,178–$4,274.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, the 4-hour structure still appears to be completing a Double Three Correction (W-X-Y).

I initially expected this correction to finish earlier, but as long as gold remains above $4,233, the current structure remains valid.

Another supportive factor could come from the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield. If US10Y begins to decline from its current resistance structure, lower yields could provide additional support for gold.

For bullish confirmation, I want to see gold break above $4,284.
That could open the way toward $4,337 first.

A confirmed breakout above $4,355 could then extend the recovery toward $4,381 and potentially higher levels.

Trade Setup

First TP: $4,337

Second TP: $4,381

Stop Loss: $4,229

Key Levels: $4,284 | $4,355 | $4,400

Which level will gold reach first?

🟢 $4,381

🔴 $4,229

#GOLD

Bearish

US10Y Hits a Major Resistance Cluster — Could This Trigger a Relief Rally in Risk Assets?

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield has rallied strongly over the past 2–3 days, tightening financial conditions and adding pressure across Gold, Bitcoin, and U.S. equities.

But US10Y has now entered a major technical confluence that could change the short-term picture.

The yield is trading inside the 5.55%–4.93% Resistance Zone, while also approaching:

Major PRZ: 5.16%–5.25%

Upper trendline of the Ascending Channel

Monthly Resistance 5

Yearly Resistance 2

From an Elliott Wave perspective, US10Y also appears to be completing Wave 5, increasing the probability that corrective waves could begin from this area.

I expect the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield to potentially start declining from the current resistance structure.

If that happens, falling yields could ease financial conditions and provide support for $XAU , $BTC , and major U.S. stock indices.

Trade Setup

First TP: 5.03%

Second TP: 4.95%

Stop Loss: 5.29%

This makes the current US10Y resistance cluster one of the most important macro areas to watch.

Which level will US10Y reach first?

🔴 4.95%

🟢 5.29%

#US10YT

USDT Dominance Is Falling — Could This Fuel the Next Crypto Rally?$USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is one of the most important indicators I monitor when analyzing the broader cryptocurrency market. USDT Dominance represents Tether’s share of the total crypto market capitalization. In general, when USDT.D rises, it can signal that capital is rotating toward stablecoins and risk appetite is weakening. When it declines, conditions are often more supportive for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market. Right now, the structure is becoming particularly interesting. Technical Analysis On the Daily timeframe, USDT.D has entered the Heavy Support Zone at 5.25%–6.77% and successfully broken below its Support Lines. Today’s move also appears to have completed a pullback toward those previously broken Support Lines, potentially setting the stage for another move lower. From an Elliott Wave perspective, USDT.D appears to be completing its main Wave 5. The key area I’m watching is the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at 6.07%–6.30%. I expect USDT Dominance to potentially continue declining toward this PRZ. If that happens, it could create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as declining stablecoin dominance generally reflects improving risk appetite across the crypto market. But There Is a Second Scenario to Watch The PRZ could become even more important once Wave 5 is complete. If USDT.D reaches 6.07%–6.30% and reacts strongly from this area, a short-term bullish reversal in dominance could begin. That would potentially create the opposite effect: USDT.D falling → supportive for crypto USDT.D reversing higher → increased correction risk for crypto This means the current decline could support another bullish phase first, while the eventual reaction from the PRZ may provide an early warning that market conditions are beginning to change. Key Zone Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): 6.07%–6.30% For now, I’m watching for further weakness in USDT.D toward this area. But once the PRZ is reached, the reaction could become an important signal for the next short-term direction of $BTC and the broader crypto market. What do you expect first: continued weakness in USDT Dominance and higher crypto prices, or an early reversal before the PRZ is reached? #Tether

Article

USDT Dominance Is Falling — Could This Fuel the Next Crypto Rally?

$USDT Dominance (USDT.D) is one of the most important indicators I monitor when analyzing the broader cryptocurrency market.
USDT Dominance represents Tether’s share of the total crypto market capitalization.
In general, when USDT.D rises, it can signal that capital is rotating toward stablecoins and risk appetite is weakening. When it declines, conditions are often more supportive for Bitcoin and the broader crypto market.
Right now, the structure is becoming particularly interesting.
Technical Analysis
On the Daily timeframe, USDT.D has entered the Heavy Support Zone at 5.25%–6.77% and successfully broken below its Support Lines.
Today’s move also appears to have completed a pullback toward those previously broken Support Lines, potentially setting the stage for another move lower.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, USDT.D appears to be completing its main Wave 5.
The key area I’m watching is the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ) at 6.07%–6.30%.
I expect USDT Dominance to potentially continue declining toward this PRZ.
If that happens, it could create a more favorable environment for Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, as declining stablecoin dominance generally reflects improving risk appetite across the crypto market.
But There Is a Second Scenario to Watch
The PRZ could become even more important once Wave 5 is complete.
If USDT.D reaches 6.07%–6.30% and reacts strongly from this area, a short-term bullish reversal in dominance could begin.
That would potentially create the opposite effect:
USDT.D falling → supportive for crypto
USDT.D reversing higher → increased correction risk for crypto
This means the current decline could support another bullish phase first, while the eventual reaction from the PRZ may provide an early warning that market conditions are beginning to change.
Key Zone
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): 6.07%–6.30%
For now, I’m watching for further weakness in USDT.D toward this area.
But once the PRZ is reached, the reaction could become an important signal for the next short-term direction of $BTC and the broader crypto market.
What do you expect first: continued weakness in USDT Dominance and higher crypto prices, or an early reversal before the PRZ is reached?
#Tether

Bullish

Bullish

US10Y Hit the Target — Is a Yield Reversal About to Begin?

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield moved very well according to the previous analysis and successfully reached its target.

Now, the technical structure has shifted.

US10Y is trading inside an important Resistance Zone and close to the upper trendline of the Ascending Channel, creating a strong resistance confluence.

This area could trigger a rejection and lead to at least a short-term correction in Treasury yields.

That reaction matters far beyond the bond market.

If US10Y begins to decline, lower yields could ease some of the pressure on Gold, $BTC , U.S. equities, and other risk assets.

However, a confirmed breakout above the current Resistance Zone and channel boundary would weaken the correction scenario and signal that yields may still have room to extend higher.

For now, this is one of the most important macro areas to watch.

Do you expect US10Y to reject from the current Resistance Zone, or break higher again?

#US10YearTreasuryYieldNears5

Pejmanzwin

US10Y Is Approaching 5% — Could 5.1% Trigger Another Market Sell-Off?

The U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield (US10Y) is one of the most important benchmarks for global interest rates and financial conditions.
Its recent rise matters far beyond the bond market.
Higher Treasury yields can put pressure on U.S. stocks, Gold, Silver, Bitcoin, and the broader crypto market by tightening financial conditions and increasing the attractiveness of risk-free assets.
The key question now is:
Could US10Y continue rising toward 5.1% and trigger another wave of pressure across financial markets?
Why US10Y Matters
US10Y represents the yield investors receive from holding a 10-year U.S. Treasury bond and is widely used as a benchmark for long-term borrowing costs.
When this yield rises sharply, its impact can spread across multiple asset classes.
U.S. Stocks: Higher yields increase borrowing costs and can pressure equity valuations, particularly growth and technology stocks.
Gold & Silver: Rising yields — especially real yields — increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets. If higher yields are accompanied by a stronger U.S. Dollar, pressure on precious metals can increase further.
Bitcoin & Crypto: Rising Treasury yields can tighten financial conditions, strengthen the Dollar and reduce investors’ appetite for risk, creating additional pressure across the crypto market.
For this reason, I closely monitor US10Y alongside the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) when analyzing Bitcoin, Gold and U.S. equity indices.
Technical Analysis
On the daily timeframe, US10Y is approaching an important Resistance Zone after moving inside an Ascending Channel for approximately 190 days.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield appears to be completing its main Wave X inside the Ascending Channel.
Considering recent U.S. economic data, persistent inflationary pressures and continued geopolitical risks in the Middle East, I expect US10Y to potentially continue moving higher.
The next major upside target I am watching is approximately:
5.1%
Why 5.1% Could Matter for Markets
If US10Y continues toward 5.1%, financial conditions could become even more restrictive.
That could create additional pressure on:
S&P 500 and Nasdaq through higher discount rates and borrowing costs.
Gold and Silver through higher yields and potentially a stronger Dollar.
Bitcoin and crypto through weaker risk appetite and tighter global liquidity conditions.
This does not mean every asset will automatically decline if US10Y rises, but a sustained move toward 5.1% would represent an important macro risk that traders should not ignore.
Target: 5.1%
For now, US10Y may be one of the most important charts to watch across global financial markets.
Do you think the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield will reach 5.1%, or will the current Resistance Zone stop the rally first?
#US10YT

IEFETF+0.09%

Bearish

Verified

Gold Stop Loss Hit — Now $4,235–$4,285 Could Decide the Next Major Move

$XAU continued lower as the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and the U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield moved higher, eventually triggering the Stop Loss from the previous analysis.

Transparency remains important to me — winning targets and losing setups should both be reported.

At the same time, oil prices have started rising again, adding another macro factor to watch. Over recent months, sharp moves in energy prices have played an increasingly important role in inflation expectations, Treasury yields, and broader market sentiment.
From a technical perspective, gold is now approaching two important decision levels.

A confirmed break below $4,235 could open the way for further downside.

On the other hand, for buyers to regain control and establish a stronger recovery, gold first needs to break and hold above $4,285.
For now, the market is caught between these two key levels:

🔴 Below $4,235 → bearish continuation risk increases

🟢 Above $4,285 → bullish recovery gains confirmation

Which level do you think gold will break first?

#GOLD

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

Gold Holds Above the Broadening Wedge: Is the Correction Ending?

$XAU has declined over the past 4–5 days, but the move has developed with high volatility and relatively weak bearish momentum.

More importantly, price remains above the trendlines of the Descending Broadening Wedge, keeping the broader bullish scenario active.

Gold is now trading near the Heavy Support Zone, where the current correction could be approaching completion.

From an Elliott Wave perspective, gold appears to have formed a Double Three Correction (W-X-Y) over the past five days. If this structure is complete, the next impulsive bullish move could begin from the current area.

I expect gold to potentially move toward $4,344 first.
A confirmed breakout above the key $4,350 trading level could open the way toward $4,377.

If bullish momentum strengthens, gold could then extend toward $4,421, with $4,400 remaining one of the most important levels to reclaim.

Trade Setup

First TP: $4,344

Second TP: $4,377

Third TP: $4,421

Stop Loss: $4,284

Key Levels: $4,350 | $4,400

Which level will gold reach first?

🟢 $4,421

🔴 $4,284

#GOLD

Bullish

Bullish

Gold Breaks the Broadening Wedge — Is $4,487 Next?

$XAU has successfully broken above the upper trendline of the Descending Broadening Wedge and is now trading above the pattern.

This breakout suggests that bearish pressure may be weakening and buyers are attempting to regain control — potentially setting up another bullish move during the final trading hours of the week and into next week.

However, the key confirmation level remains $4,400.

If gold successfully breaks and holds above $4,400, I expect bullish momentum to strengthen, opening the way toward $4,443 first.

If buyers maintain control, the rally could then extend toward the $4,487 second target.

Trade Setup

First TP: $4,443

Second TP: $4,487

Stop Loss: $4,321

Key Levels: $4,330 | $4,400

For now, the wedge breakout is encouraging — but $4,400 is the level that could confirm the next bullish leg.

Which level will gold reach first?

🟢 $4,487

🔴 $4,321

#GOLD

BTC Surges 7% — But Is This Rally Setting Up a Bull Trap?$BTC has gained more than 6–7% over the past few hours, building strong bullish momentum and pushing back toward some of the most important resistance levels on the chart. But after such a sharp move, Bitcoin is now entering a major technical resistance structure — while ETF flows remain inconsistent and regulatory uncertainty has not disappeared. Can Bitcoin establish itself above $85,000, or is the current rally setting up another correction? Macro Outlook From a fundamental perspective, the bullish move still needs confirmation. Bitcoin ETF flows have remained volatile rather than consistently bullish, suggesting that institutional demand has not yet developed into a stable one-way trend. At the same time, the failure of the CLARITY Act to advance in the U.S. Senate has added another layer of regulatory uncertainty for the crypto market. These factors do not necessarily end the rally, but they increase the importance of confirmation before assuming that a sustained bullish breakout has begun. Technical Analysis Bitcoin is currently trading inside the Heavy Resistance Zone at $79,350–$84,500, while approaching several major technical areas at the same time: Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): $82,850–$87,100 Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $82,300–$85,400 Resistance Lines The upper CME Gap at $83,215–$84,560 is also back in focus and could finally be filled after remaining open for several months. From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing Primary Wave 5, while Primary Wave 3 developed as an Extended Wave. A Negative Regular Divergence (RD-) is also visible between Consecutive Peaks, providing another warning that bullish momentum may be weakening as price moves deeper into resistance. I expect Bitcoin to potentially move further into the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage and major PRZ, possibly filling the upper CME Gap first. A temporary breakout above the Heavy Resistance Zone — followed by a Bull Trap — also remains possible before the next bearish move develops. From this broader resistance structure, I expect Bitcoin to potentially correct toward $79,000. If bearish momentum strengthens, the decline could extend toward the key $77,700 trading level. Trade Setup First TP: $79,000 Second TP: $77,700 Stop Loss: $87,300 Key Trading Level: $77,700 Upper CME Gap: $83,215–$84,560 Bitcoin’s momentum is clearly bullish right now — but price is also entering one of the strongest technical resistance clusters on the chart. The next reaction inside $82,300–$87,100 could determine whether this rally develops into a genuine breakout or ends with another Bull Trap. Which level will Bitcoin reach first? 🔴 $77,700 🟢 $87,300 #bitcoin

Article

BTC Surges 7% — But Is This Rally Setting Up a Bull Trap?

$BTC has gained more than 6–7% over the past few hours, building strong bullish momentum and pushing back toward some of the most important resistance levels on the chart.
But after such a sharp move, Bitcoin is now entering a major technical resistance structure — while ETF flows remain inconsistent and regulatory uncertainty has not disappeared.
Can Bitcoin establish itself above $85,000, or is the current rally setting up another correction?
Macro Outlook
From a fundamental perspective, the bullish move still needs confirmation.
Bitcoin ETF flows have remained volatile rather than consistently bullish, suggesting that institutional demand has not yet developed into a stable one-way trend.
At the same time, the failure of the CLARITY Act to advance in the U.S. Senate has added another layer of regulatory uncertainty for the crypto market.
These factors do not necessarily end the rally, but they increase the importance of confirmation before assuming that a sustained bullish breakout has begun.
Technical Analysis
Bitcoin is currently trading inside the Heavy Resistance Zone at $79,350–$84,500, while approaching several major technical areas at the same time:
Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ): $82,850–$87,100
Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage: $82,300–$85,400
Resistance Lines
The upper CME Gap at $83,215–$84,560 is also back in focus and could finally be filled after remaining open for several months.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, Bitcoin appears to be completing Primary Wave 5, while Primary Wave 3 developed as an Extended Wave.
A Negative Regular Divergence (RD-) is also visible between Consecutive Peaks, providing another warning that bullish momentum may be weakening as price moves deeper into resistance.
I expect Bitcoin to potentially move further into the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage and major PRZ, possibly filling the upper CME Gap first.
A temporary breakout above the Heavy Resistance Zone — followed by a Bull Trap — also remains possible before the next bearish move develops.
From this broader resistance structure, I expect Bitcoin to potentially correct toward $79,000.
If bearish momentum strengthens, the decline could extend toward the key $77,700 trading level.
Trade Setup
First TP: $79,000
Second TP: $77,700
Stop Loss: $87,300
Key Trading Level: $77,700
Upper CME Gap: $83,215–$84,560
Bitcoin’s momentum is clearly bullish right now — but price is also entering one of the strongest technical resistance clusters on the chart.
The next reaction inside $82,300–$87,100 could determine whether this rally develops into a genuine breakout or ends with another Bull Trap.
Which level will Bitcoin reach first?
🔴 $77,700
🟢 $87,300
#bitcoin

Bullish

$BTC Full Target Hit at $80,500 — What Comes Next?

As mentioned in the previous analysis, Bitcoin was likely to continue its upward move — and that scenario has now played out successfully.

BTC continued higher and reached the Full Target at $80,500, completing the setup.

The next step is to reassess the structure and identify whether bullish momentum can continue from here or if Bitcoin needs a short-term correction before the next major move.

I’ll share an updated Bitcoin analysis soon with the next key levels, targets, and invalidation scenario.

I hope you were able to take advantage of the move and secure some profits.

Do you expect Bitcoin to continue higher from $80,500, or correct first?

#bitcoin

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

$BTC Defies the Sell-Off — Can $75K Launch a Move Toward $80K?

Bitcoin experienced sharp volatility following the Fed’s rate decision and Kevin Warsh’s remarks, but unlike Gold and the S&P 500, BTC has so far managed to hold inside its Support Zone.

Now, $75,000 is the key battleground.

Nearly $1 billion in long positions could be liquidated around $74,860, while BTC is also trading near the Cumulative Long Liquidation Leverage at $73,800–$74,680.

Despite the macro pressure, Bitcoin’s technical structure remains interesting.

A valid Golden Cross between the 50 SMA (Daily) and 200 SMA (Daily) remains active, while the Elliott Wave structure of the past 12 days appears more corrective than impulsively bearish.

As long as BTC stays above $73,500, I expect another bullish attempt.

A break above the key $77,280 level could open the way toward $78,370, followed by the Cumulative Short Liquidation Leverage at $79,800–$80,700.

Trade Setup

First TP: $76,990

Second TP: $78,370

Third TP: $79,800–$80,700

Stop Loss: $73,500

Key Level: $77,280

New CME Gap: $79,110–$79,270

Which level will Bitcoin reach first?

🟢 $79,800

🔴 $73,500

Bullish

Gold Full Target Hit — Now $4,330–$4,400 Decides the Next Move

As mentioned in the previous update, $XAU was likely to continue toward the second target at $4,391 — and that scenario has now played out successfully, completing the analysis with a Full Target.
The focus now shifts to two critical levels.

For the bullish move to continue, gold needs to break and hold above the key $4,400 trading level. A confirmed breakout above this area could also strengthen the chances of breaking through the current Resistance Zone.

On the downside, $4,330 remains an important support level.
If gold moves back below $4,330, the probability of a deeper correction would increase.

For now, price is trading between these two major levels, and the next confirmed breakout could determine the short-term direction.
What comes next for gold?

🟢 Break above $4,400 and continue higher

🔴 Lose $4,330 and enter a deeper correction

#GOLD

Pejmanzwin

Bullish

Gold Breakout Confirmed — Is $4,400 the Next Level to Fall?

$XAU has continued to follow the expected scenario very well.

Price successfully broke above the key $4,330 trading level and, more importantly, pushed through the upper trendlines of the Descending Broadening Wedge.

The first target has now been reached, confirming further strength in the current bullish structure.

The focus now shifts to the crucial $4,400 trading level.

Considering the breakout already confirmed and the current bullish momentum, the probability of reaching the second target has increased.

However, $4,400 remains an important resistance area. A clean break and hold above this level could strengthen the bullish structure further and open the way for another leg higher.

For now, $4,400 is the key decision point.

Will gold break above $4,400, or will sellers defend this level first?

#GOLD