老五

#BTC $BTC
I've been mentioning that a lot of folks here think we've already broken the boundary and should start shorting into a waterfall, but if you take a closer look, this pullback hasn't actually dipped below the previous low yet. So, let's not be too subjective about this. We're still at the previous low and testing that historical volume zone at 785. A natural bounce is expected, but where it will bounce to is still unknown. If we can hold above 785, then it’s time to go long.

#ETH $ETH
Since the drop to the key level of 2050 at the beginning of the week, the market has been sluggish, with fluctuations not really creating any room. On the news front, with OGs flipping and the market being dull, many are hesitant to jump into E. There's been no new capital flowing in, so the overall trend is becoming increasingly pronounced. The optimistic scenario is that we follow the market and test the upper range's bottom, but right now things are unclear. The principle is to support whoever is winning, so don’t be stubborn.

#solana $SOL
S seems to be looking to break out of the buffer zone. Influenced by news from the foundation, it's now starting to gradually test the resistance line on a smaller timeframe. If it can really break free, the next target would be 90. Since there are many participants in S, there are more localized points of contention. Make sure to set your trading rules in advance and avoid chasing unrealistic profit expectations in unfavorable conditions.

#俄罗斯禁个人非托管加密钱包 #特朗普媒体BTC浮亏4.55亿

#BTC $BTC
With less than 24 hours until Trump's market manipulation kicks in, the current market weakness is glaringly obvious. The pump from last month has already given B a 20% profit margin. The burning question now is whether we'll see one last surge, or if this signifies the end of this trend. We're not yet below the bullish territory, but the momentum is clearly weakening. In this stalemate where prices aren't moving up or down, going short is currently the best strategy.

#ETH $ETH
E's oscillation box has once again hit the bottom, but unlike before, this drop comes with other moving averages turning and recent highs that haven't seen strong rebounds. The momentum is clearly leaning towards the bears. The recap from the night before and today's morning recommendations have already outlined the logic and plan for S and E starting to go short. The strength of the bears needs to be confirmed before we fully trust that the momentum has turned bearish, so proceed with caution.

#solana $SOL
S has shown some strength in the small-scale rebound but hasn't yet reached the optimal entry point. Hopefully, news will drive it to form a right shoulder before we get a better entry price. Previous price resistance levels have indeed performed well, and technically, there isn't a major threat. Based on past patterns, there's definitely a chance for another push, but we need to choose to enter short on the right side—don't jump the gun on hitting the top.

#比特币比率突破200日均线 #BitGoQ1营收增长112%

#BTC $BTC
The third test in the vacuum zone has finally arrived at the core conflict area. The current position has a lot of long-term contradiction points amidst a previous downtrend, with 825/845/865 potentially showing some small cycle level confirmations. Currently, the bulls are still in control, so we should primarily focus on long positions; if we start seeing right shoulder LH patterns, consider going short on the right side, but ensure we manage our capital safely—don't assume a waterfall will happen immediately.

#ETH $ETH
The movement of E aligns closely with the previous plan, returning to a bullish scenario but not breaking through the preceding resistance. During this rally, E closely followed initially but showed weakness later on. Given the recent repeated testing of higher highs and lower lows, it's very likely that a phase box will be established in this area. If the market retreats but remains neutral, this zone will serve as a key support area for E, undergoing repeated tests.

#solana $SOL
"Tiles also have their turning day, and the east wind can shift south"—this is what today’s S is about. After enduring recent players’ cold stares, it has finally shown slight bullish momentum, beginning to establish a directional trend for confirmation. Now, regarding the previous resistance at 90, this is a phase assessment, allowing for minor pullbacks to gather strength for a second run. However, to maintain the bullish momentum, we shouldn't linger too long in the choppy zone; consider gradually going long on the right side in small batches.

#特朗普称美伊很有可能达成协议 #币安推出黄金vsBTC未来资产对决活动

#BTC $BTC
The predicted drop at the beginning of the week unfolded yesterday, and Monday's test indeed brought about a change in the upward trend. It's safe to say we're entering a correction phase. Yesterday's formation broke down, compounded by news, prompting a dip towards 750 to seek support. The current natural rebound lacks the strength to return to bullish territory; consider going short on the rebound or looking for long opportunities at previous low levels. 725 can break, but 665 must hold; otherwise, the previous low support might not hold.

#ETH $ETH
PlanB for E has already realized 50%, and now the "upward process is hindered by pressure and has broken the trend." However, the "retest of the previous low" isn't complete. As mentioned earlier, "the inability to support a breakdown doesn't necessarily lead to an immediate waterfall effect; there's a chance for a rebound to test the previous high resistance area." After the price rebounded to 2350, it dropped smoothly. Currently, consider entering on the right side around 2150/2050, but confirmation of the right-side operation is essential.

#solana $SOL
The arc top for S has been confirmed, and the biggest question now is: will it continue to grind down slowly or will an event cause a spike to the previous low? I've pointed out multiple times that "it’s best not to break the previous low, but ideally, it should." Now, I hope to gain momentum for further declines. This position seems to have held support for a long time, but it's not the most ideal entry point for long-term plays; I hope to scoop up more cheap chips.

#BTC跌破$77K #不丹再转移102枚比特币

#BTC $BTC
B is testing the 785 zone again, currently in a pullback phase looking for solid support. From a macro perspective, this upward test has shown a significant increase in the slope compared to the previous rally, and it’s hitting a sensitive area again, indicating a need for a retracement. If the upcoming trend quickly retraces and breaks away from the rally, there’s a chance for another shot at new highs. However, if it falls back to the boundary line and remains sluggish, the risk of a downtrend turning bearish increases.

#ETH $ETH
After the failure of Plan A for E, it’s shifted to Plan B. The earlier small-scale breakdown test of the support area is complete, but the subsequent rebound strength isn’t as robust as before, and the market is back at the critical resistance and turnover zone. With the rebound momentum further diminishing over time, the dynamics between bulls and bears are starting to shift. If the small timeframe shows another rebound that only reaches a lower high, consider entering a short position on the right side, but proceed with caution.

#solana $SOL
"Those who love S are M" fits perfectly here. Friends holding onto S should be asking themselves, "Who am I? Where am I? Why did I buy S?" The surge has been quicker than anyone else’s panic selling during the market downturn. We’re back at the bottom of the buffer zone testing again, sticking to our usual strategy: consider scaling in with spot purchases in batches when the small timeframe shows a similar pattern, hoping for the market to push upwards, but remain cautious and right-sided.

#加密市场反弹 #Strategy增持比特币

#BTC $BTC
Currently conducting the second short-term test on 765, after a rapid rise in the last 48 hours, it is now oscillating at a high level. From a small cycle perspective, no more supportive patterns have emerged yet, but it still belongs to a strong bullish trend. The current approach can be to choose to go long after the pullback area of 725 is not broken, or to enter short when it breaks down with a weak small cycle. The vacuum zone is ready to go if the bulls win, with a short-term upper limit of 845.

#ETH $ETH
For E, the opportunity to confirm the narrow oscillation mentioned last time has appeared, and the right-side pattern has been confirmed, touching the previously mentioned position of 2450 and then starting to retreat. At this moment, the bulls are still dominating and oscillating at a high level, with two future plans:
A. The slope continues to rise, and the frequency of bullish pullbacks increases to break through the pressure zone.
B. The market turns to LH after a reversal breaks the upward trend back to the previous low.

#solana $SOL
Although I believe S is still in a weak group, the small cycle level has not broken the upward trend, and the increase compared to other targets can actually be ignored. If this pattern can still be maintained, then a light position entry can be made in batches in the spot market, but if it breaks down, do not hesitate. This is not actually the most ideal entry point; I will still try to wait for more favorable risk-reward opportunities in the blind spot.

#加密市场回暖 #比特币价格走势

#BTC $BTC
The best plan is beginning to take shape, with a steady rise after a pullback to the lows. The previous analysis mentioned a right-side long scenario appearing near 665, and the earlier resistance level of 725 has also completed initial testing. Currently, after a surge, it is necessary to wait for developments on the pullback; do not blindly enter on the left side. Valuable sensitive areas must be confirmed after multiple small range tests. Additionally, positions with sufficient risk-reward value and profit potential require enough patience.

#ETH $ETH
E's recent upward momentum and pattern combination are the cleanest and most direct. Of course, there has not yet been a second test of the earlier 2350 level, but feedback from market news and the potential for a rise is leading the way, with critical positions handled decisively. The current action awaits a pullback to the 2050 area to observe subsequent small cycle performance. As long as it does not break below the previous low or quickly recover after a spike, it can be viewed as an opportunity to go long on the right side.

#solana $SOL
S's performance is like a man's state in the morning after 25: present, but not much. This time, the news-driven rise has indeed tested the previous high position again, but after the spike, the momentum declined sharply, completely giving up resistance. In comparison, BE and even other clones have conducted double tests within this small cycle range, or even HH, before breaking defense, but S's state has already indicated that hopes should not be placed on it recently. Neither the risk-reward ratio nor the space is suitable.

#加密市场反弹 #币安人生

#BTC $BTC
Forced to stumble upon 690 but still not changing the weak status, affected by news and has returned to 665 to wait for support to see if it can be effective. Recently and in the long term, there have actually been many tests, and there is a directional dispute in the middle ground. The current position is not suitable for shorting; wait for a small cycle right-side pattern to appear for a slight long, or after a rebound HH to short on the boundary line or break down the current area short.

#ETH $ETH
The conflicting cycle pattern on E is more obvious. In the 4H cycle, it began to decline under pressure, but at this moment, the 1H cycle has not yet broken the long-short boundary. From the pattern observation, there is still upward driving force. This stage is actually a great test for persistence and adherence to one's own trading system. This contradictory conflict area is what many people refer to as the "positive-negative hit area." Remember to set the rules before discussing execution.

#solana $SOL
S is relatively simple: two words: don't touch.
Everyone is not optimistic, yet you are the least promising.
With an S in the name, it is actually an M at its core.
When it gets near the blind area, we can talk again; don’t enter early on the left side, unless you are more M.

#BTC行情 #亚洲股市跳水

#BTC $BTC
The previously mentioned 665 has received further support and verification, but the rebound effect remains weak. The good news is that a confirmatory HL has been obtained from a larger scale, while the bad news is that the rebound arc may not even reach the urination curve of a three-year-old child. After multiple pressure tests at 725, it has further converged, with overall market uncertainty + yellow-haired Alzheimer's mouth escape + lack of effective entry funds, cautiously optimistic to develop a profit-taking plan. Short-term bulls expect 765/785.

#ETH $ETH
Relatively speaking, E still has further imaginative space, slowly climbing to a neutral bullish position after multiple tests at the 2050 position. Although it may continue to pull back, it at least maintains an upward momentum, with certain profit space above and the previous test indeed showing a more ambitious curve pattern. If holding a long position, one can afford a wider loss expecting future development, but vigilance must not be relaxed and a reasonable TP is needed; otherwise, it will be a roller coaster of empty joy.

#solana $SOL
S further reduces its formation, and has already broken below the previous ascending steps. After confirmation in the 85 buffer zone, it has slowly risen. Although it has not fully broken down to become bearish, the recent market trend has shown further reduced volatility compared to other targets. Participation is relatively low, and one can observe other targets in the S system market, but remember not to participate in illiquid targets during a bear market.

#黄金创43年来最大单周跌幅 #币安人生

#BTC $BTC
48 hours ago, the cow's cry was as loud as the current silence is heavy; the market has simply failed another test, so there's no need to panic too much. If the 725 position does not receive support, then the critical level below is 665. If it does not take effect at this position, the likelihood of retesting the 600s or even 500s in the future is high. If this area can maintain or continue to oscillate, the possibility of a rebound (HH) significantly increases.

#ETH $ETH
E has been particularly strong in this rebound; although it did not reach the expected 2450, it was just a step away. After a narrow oscillation and a drop alongside other markets, it still maintains an advantageous pattern. The Plan A designed last week has been completed, and now it's just a matter of waiting for the execution during the pullback and then the right-side confirmation of Plan B. At this moment, the current position has entered too early; it is still recommended to wait for the right side or a more favorable position regarding risk-reward ratio.

#solana $SOL
S completed an unexpected rise in two steps; although the increase was not high, it is stable and replicable. In the current 85/90 area, it can accommodate a small oscillation and contraction pattern. As long as it does not break down and waits for the overall market drive, one can cautiously remain optimistic about the bullish perspective. The related altcoins of S have shown multiple rotations during the day, which can be observed more closely.

#比特币突破7.5万美元 #美联储3月议息会议

#BTC $BTC
A week ago, the eagerness turned into a failed sprint and a raised low point. The highly anticipated first test at 725 abruptly stopped and fell back to the critical area of 665, and the successful activation of these two areas gave participants hope. After returning to a bullish arrangement in the smaller timeframe, another pressure test at 725 was conducted. However, without external continuous strength to break through the current box pressure, it is highly likely to drop back to the support area to continue accumulating energy.

#ETH $ETH
E has been lingering in the 2050 area for over 60 hours; the good news is that as the lows rise, it has come to the pressure point and further compressed. The bad news is that there are currently no more favorable news or capital inflows. From the market data, it still appears quiet. Of course, if this range can be broken, there should be at least a 15% profit margin. Prepare a take-profit or entry plan in advance to avoid last-minute efforts.

#solana $SOL
S is relatively slow and orderly; the rhythm of oscillation - rise - pullback in the smaller timeframe is stable, with a step-like climb into a bullish situation. However, S itself currently has limited space to take profits, so it is recommended to observe other targets in this sector. Previously, NEAR and JTO had daily profit margins exceeding 10%, which can be considered a fairly objective reasonable return in the recent period, and it is hoped that other recommendations can yield similar returns.

#比特币升回7万 #AI交易指南

#BTC $BTC
The long 30-day wait has finally broken through the 7 range to officially start the first rebound test. Currently, 72500 serves as the first defense position in the vacuum zone, and feedback has not yet been confirmed. However, the original continuous downward trend has temporarily eased. There is no need for excessive thoughts right now; if the short-term trend can still be maintained, then the pullback confirmation of 665-685 can serve as the right-side entry area.

#ETH $ETH
After the 2050 test last week, E has shown a pullback and upward trend, and relatively orderly, it has completed further price low increases through 2-3 K lines. However, the current environmental background has a low friendliness level, and neither the news nor the market has guaranteed stability. The most suitable operation is to wait for a pullback in the 2050 support area, and if effective confirmation is received, enter on the right side. Whether long or short, avoid frequent left-side entries.

#solana $SOL
S has taken the lead to complete the test of the support area and has begun to increase its slope. Although it has not completely broken away from the top pressure of the box, it can be cautiously optimistic about the profit space above. If a breakthrough occurs at this position, the bulls will have a certain profit foundation between the hundreds, but it is necessary to set rules for taking profits in batches based on the risk-reward ratio in advance; otherwise, it is easy to waste effort.

#加密市场反弹 #沃什获提名利多还是利空

#BTC $BTC
After the lackluster decline following the Spring Festival holiday, the previously tested 665 has finally dropped below and returned to the previous low around 615. However, with the increase in trading volume after the holiday, the market finally welcomed a long-lost celebration, testing the 7 range last night. It has been proven that the current market liquidity is further decreasing, and the influence of news can now drive the leading stocks' trends, but this does not mean a return to a bull market; the current operation direction remains to short on rebounds.

#ETH $ETH
The volatility of E is relatively lower, not exceeding 5% during the overall holiday. With yesterday's momentum, it has returned to test the previous resistance at 2050. However, this should be the short-term answer provided by the market. If it cannot effectively stand back above 2250, the probability of shorting on the right side of this range remains high. The current market does not possess the strength and environment to completely reverse the trend direction, so avoid heavily investing long.

#solana $SOL
The good news for S is that it has raised the overall oscillation range upwards, but that's about it. The trend is becoming more orderly, and the volatility is decreasing further, fluctuating widely within the range of 75-90. The return on investment for swing trades conducted within this range is objective, but two points must be remembered:
1. Wide stop loss
2. Don’t be stubborn

#加密市场反弹 #JaneStreet10点抛售

#BTC $BTC
86500 After multiple tests, it finally broke through to the lower vacuum area. The current key positions are 725/665/615. The trend of bearish arrangement and rebound fluctuations will not change in the short term. There are no favorable factors in terms of funds, news, or market to promote a complete turnaround. The biggest question is, which number represents the endpoint? Do not enter long positions too early on the left side; the market is open 24 hours, and the most important thing is that you are still at the table.

#ETH $ETH
The support at 2750 has come to the 2050 test level after the double bottom test, along with a series of minor declines and occasional three long candlesticks. The good news is that the downward trend is showing signs of slowing down; the bad news is that there are no obvious support signs at this level, and there have been recent negative news. Even if there is a weak rebound or a breakthrough of the downward trend, do not easily take heavy long positions. The first step to entering the market is to identify the direction.

#solana $SOL
The sleeping zone of S is like G.E.M.'s bubble that bursts at a touch, and the subsequent three-digit numbers completely give up resistance like paper. The next situation should be a choice at 85 and 65 below, and it will likely transform into a similar situation as before, forming a new box range for repeated fluctuation testing. In the current situation, praying for as many confirmation opportunities as possible in each support area is the last hope for bulls.

#Strategy增持比特币 #美国伊朗对峙

#BTC $BTC
Boundary line 89500 takes effect +1, next up is the 86500 below which will welcome the second test of this round. If we follow the script of the previous round, we cannot rule out the possibility of another spike in the short term before retracting. In the current situation, 86500/89500 will form short-term support, but if it cannot climb back to the 90000s, it is highly likely to break down after a low-level convergence and quickly enter the lower range.

#ETH $ETH
E seems to have scripted this round as if it was written in advance. Last week, it was said that 2980 would continue to take effect this week. After a small-scale breakout yesterday, it did not stabilize, and after testing the head and shoulders top, it broke down and returned to a bearish scenario. Now there are two options:
A. The current position barely holds as the moving average converges and breaks through to return above the boundary line again.
B. Weak and faltering, after a rapid collapse, returning to the previous low or even LL.
What will you bet on?

#solana $SOL
Players of S now seem to be masochistic, their last dignity repeatedly pressed and rubbed against the ground. Last week, the expected market reaction after waiting for the moving average to ease resulted in a retest of the 120 sleeping zone, and the subsequent rebound was like a natural reaction after a whip, short and powerless, leaving only waiting again for the whip to fall after the boundary line. Don't pay too much attention to the masochists, if you must act, you can only wait for a chance on the left side of the bottom of the sleeping zone.

#美联储维持利率不变 #金价再冲高位

#BTC $BTC
Everything is as I said last week, after the small-scale dual tests, it resembles a deflated balloon, slumping along the moving average and quickly breaking through the micro support and resistance boundary, falling into a bearish arrangement. The main issues now are two:
1. Can 86500 be effective?
2. How should I write the next script?
Remember not to easily enter long positions on the left side before there are obvious signals.

#ETH $ETH
The market has given me a bit of a scare for the third time, and this time the McDonald's trend has completely broken the upward trend, returning to a wide box formation. The 3450 mentioned last week is still a chasm that the bulls find difficult to cross for the time being. After the obvious double top test failed, the emotional shift directly broke through the pattern, proving that the pressure at this position is still effective in the short term, with 2980 and 2750 waiting for market feedback.

#solana $SOL
This box has been close to three months, and every time I write about it, it feels particularly effortless. Hibernation zone - sleeping zone - hibernation zone, now preparing to return to the bottom of the box. In fact, in the current environment, such targets are most suitable for regular medium to long-term operations, being low-maintenance and strong in regularity. However, it is essential to wait for the moving averages to slow down and find the right position to enter; do not blindly rush into FOMO. Remember to make a plan before discussing profits and losses.

#加密市场观察 #币安钱包TGE

#BTC $BTC
A week of dormancy leads to 24 hours of surge. With the heartbreak of the air force, price has finally reached the previous resistance zone at 97,500. The current position is suitable for profit-taking, but there's no need to rush into shorting. Be patient and wait for minor-level feedback from the market at the high zone. Moreover, a rapid short-term surge requires a certain degree of pullback to accompany a strong second test or breakout. As long as the minor-level pullback remains within control, the bullish momentum can continue.

#ETH $ETH
Although E has already broken above the previous high, there is still about 3% room to run toward the prior 3,450 level. The biggest uncertainty now is whether it can form a valid breakout within a small range. The current trend can be one of two scenarios: A. After a gradual climb along the moving averages, support is confirmed, and the low point rises, allowing a breakout above the resistance zone; B. After a high-level consolidation, a secondary LH or double top forms, leading to a continuous breakdown and an HL confirmation, waiting for a fresh offensive to begin.

#solana $SOL
After two months of range testing, S has finally experienced a meaningful resistance surge. Currently, even after reaching a new high, it still maintains support, unlike a weak player that once plunged back to the bottom of the range at the first sign of pressure. It can now hold and grind at the resistance level. This position is crucial—if a breakout occurs and the pullback does not break below, consider increasing position size and cautiously entering long positions to participate.

#Strategy增持比特币 #加密市场观察

#BTC $BTC
The New Year brings a strong start; although there was no 20cm surge, the market has broken through the short-term bearish trend that lasted just one month, temporarily shifting to a short-term bullish phase, which is positive. After breaking through the resistance line and the micro-support turnover zone, a first deep pullback should occur. The current pattern remains healthy. At this level, the market can be given a chance to consolidate. As long as it doesn't completely break below 89,500, there is still hope for the 97,500 level above.

#ETH $ETH
The market validates the forecast—correct prediction +1. It's rare to see E form a healthy, sustained trend. Although the minor timeframes are still shaky, the recent market action has been relatively orderly. Having been tested multiple times with a slightly increased slope, there's still significant room for trading. Moving forward, approach the previous 3,450 resistance zone with cautious optimism, requiring market cooperation, consolidation at higher levels, and support from moving averages—avoid overextending on the left side.

#solana $SOL
S remains disciplined and quiet, once again reaching the pressure zone of hibernation. This marks the fifth test in recent sessions. However, don't be overly optimistic—current conditions still reflect a strong rebound rather than a definitive reversal of the overall trend. A small-range consolidation or compression may occur at this level, leading to a directional decision.

#加密市场反弹 #巨鲸动向

#BTC $BTC
As Christmas and New Year holidays approach, there is no strong tendency in the news or funding. B has been entrenched at the bottom of the current range for 20 days, and due to the holiday reasons, it may continue to maintain its current state. The market needs to compress and converge further before it can gain the momentum and strength for directional confirmation. The best approach is to engage in short-term speculation at key positions. If a direction appears and is confirmed after entering the market, do not hold onto the position.

#ETH $ETH
Last week's predictions allowed the market to maintain an upward trend of high and low points, remaining relatively strong despite poor market liquidity. As each round of convergence within the smaller time frames becomes increasingly smaller, perhaps the next small directional confirmation will lead to a higher level of directional determination. The market has spent too much time and capital at the 2980 level, and once a direction appears, it will likely last for a long time.

#solana $SOL
The good news for S is that it has managed to stabilize without breaking below the sleeping zone, and there is a tendency for upward movement in smaller time frames. The bad news is that this strength is not enough to fill the gaps. Remember to set stop-losses when the market lacks liquidity; if losses occur, it only means a loss of controllable risk capital. However, if no stop-loss is set, the entire capital could be at risk. There is no need to increase unnecessary risks during the most challenging times. Continue to maintain the view of testing the range.

#加密市场观察 #美联储降息预期升温

#交易训练
#LINK $LINK
Cause: Environmental cycle high point lowered/support rebound to boundary line test
Process: Trading cycle breaks boundary line and tests back + Entry cycle breaks left entry
Result: Reasonable profit and loss ratio TP in the previous low area of the environmental cycle
#巨鲸动向 #山寨季将至？