北幣逗狗

After gradually liquidating Bitcoin before the end of October, I started planning future directions these days.
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Last month, I also had my family liquidate both Taiwan and U.S. stocks.
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Although my family is not interested in investing in Bitcoin, they will at least fully follow the stock actions.
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For the cryptocurrency market, the bear market is often the real stage for accumulating wealth.
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The bull market can actually lead to losses, like last month when I took a hit due to a black swan event.
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From now on, I will maintain a rhythm of withdrawals every day, and by the end of the year, I might buy some Japanese yen.
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Leaving a small position to continuously stay in the crypto space looking for opportunities.
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Many people have a blind spot, thinking that the bear market means no money can be made,
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but in the crypto space, it’s actually the best time for airdrops and engaging with projects.
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I also gained more confidence in Solana because I participated in Jupiter in 2022 and 2023,
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which is why I dared to increase my positions at that time.
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During the process of participation, you will gradually become more sensitive,
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as long as the projects after the bear market are still alive, you will know which coins can be stashed for the future.
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If you don't have that much time to keep up with the rhythm of the crypto market, the most brainless approach is:
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1. Take advantage of this year to make good money, and don't act just yet.
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2. Wait for a major bottom next year to go all in on Bitcoin.
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3. Set aside some living expenses each month, and continue to DCA Bitcoin with the rest.
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The process in between can be quite boring; if you want to feel involved,
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then when the news starts reporting about a surge, reduce your holdings a bit,
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and when the news starts reporting about a crash, buy a little back.
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Finally, at the end of the 2029 cycle, cash out completely.
$BTC $ETH $SOL

Koshi Saimai is preparing to lead Japan to take off. What opportunities are there if one wants to invest in Japan?

Recently, Buffett has won big,

Many people have been researching Buffett's holdings,

But seeing a bunch of traditional industry stocks inside,

Compared to technology stocks, it's really easy for those who don't understand to want to skip it.

Now, Koshi Saimai's policy concept:

1. Subsidies for Japanese companies + low-interest loans to encourage traditional companies to return, especially in the mining industry.

2. Strengthening infrastructure for electricity, finance, and telecommunications.

3. Promoting the development of aerospace, satellites, and semiconductors.

One could say it is almost all in on domestic companies,

And the goals are very clear, intending to start developing high technology to catch up with the lost thirty years.

The foundation of these tech stocks,

Is also closely related to the infrastructure and energy of the five major trading companies.

I have to admire again, Buffett really sees far ahead.

In addition, Japanese stocks have a special characteristic,

As long as they rise significantly, they will continue to rise for several years,

And Koshi Saimai's policy,

Will gradually drive the more conservative Japanese investors,

At that time, global investors will have to become Buffett's successors again.

I personally am not considering buying in at this time,

Koshi has just won a big wave, and some premiums need to be adjusted,

But if there is a pullback in a few months, I would want to position a little.

When I was writing this, I was just listening to the BGM of Attack on Titan,

Is Japan finally going to start reclaiming the Wall of Maria?
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Buffett has once again become a legend for investing in the 'five major trading companies' of Japan!

In the context of various tech stocks surging wildly,

Buffett previously reduced his holdings in tech stocks and continuously increased his positions in traditional industries, only to be labeled as an outdated old man.

Especially when he built his position in 2020,

compared to the current level of attention, at that time, no one was watching Japan in the global market, nor was anyone praising the trading companies.

Recently, after the high-profile victory of the Sōma election,

these five major trading companies have surged again.

Looking back at the return rates, the most outrageous is 'Marubeni,' this old brand in traditional industries.

Since he held it, the stock price alone has nearly increased by 10 times,

not counting the dividends...

What Marubeni excels at is:

1. Food
2. Energy
3. Infrastructure
4. Raw materials

Is this the charm of investing in major trends? Its explosiveness is completely on par with growth stocks.

Moreover, other trading companies have also seen exaggerated growth,

Buffett has averaged about 7-8 times the increase.

And he is continuously eating three bowls,

now everyone's attention is completely focused on AI, memory chips, low-orbit satellites, and so on.

Berkshire's cash position is still over 30%,

and Buffett is still holding a lot of short-term debt, not buying long-term debt.

He is optimistic about the decline in long-term debt prices, predicting a significant drop in the stock market in the future.

If there is a major drop,

the volatility in traditional industry stocks will also be very small, only tech stocks will be more significantly affected.

After reviewing this layout,

one can only say that the god is indeed a god, the stable cash flow of the real economy,

is so stable that it’s beyond belief, and the increase is also extremely exaggerated.
$BTC $TSLA $ETH

Sanae Takaichi led the Liberal Democratic Party to a great victory. What investment opportunities can we pay attention to?

Returning to Takaichi's policy core,

he is part of the faction advocating for fiscal stimulus, the Abe 2.0 version.

Last month, Japanese bonds were heavily sold off, and after the rise in basis points,

it will also be necessary to print a large amount of money to solve the Japanese bond problem in the future.

The result of this massive monetary easing

is that the large funds originally engaged in 'carry trades' are even less inclined to return to Japan.

However, old funds pursue stability,

and the high-priced stocks in the U.S. and Japan do not currently have much attraction for them,

they distrust U.S. bonds, and in the future, Trump will also adopt a rate-cutting approach, showing no interest in the dollar.

Let alone Bitcoin, which terrifies old money to death.

So after these funds confirmed that the Liberal Democratic Party would fully govern the Japanese Parliament,

the most stable safe haven remains 'gold'.

I still hold 55% of my entire position in gold,

and now gold is about to return to 5100, remaining optimistic.
$XAU $XAG $PAXG

I often publish investment articles on different platforms, and from the comments, you can see the quality and personality of the readers behind them.

Binance Square is the most bloodthirsty place,

my updated thoughts after a few months are that it's filled with a bunch of gamblers.

Readers all want you to directly tell them which way to open positions,

want to ask you which way to go, the articles are too long to read.

In the past few months, I have also gradually adjusted to a slow-paced trading strategy,

which is suitable for beginners,

plus the liquidity in the crypto circle has dried up since 1011,

which is very detrimental to trading, trend-based trading is relatively stable, so I originally considered stopping updates on the square.

But being able to see heartfelt comments here really makes me feel that it wasn't in vain to keep updating.

Threads and Twitter go without saying,

each article is written clearly in order,

and there are many long-term readers who read every single one,

I also prefer to write long articles,

modern people have less and less patience,

being able to cultivate long-term readers who read long articles brings more sense of achievement than anything else.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

After Bitcoin's brutal drop to 60,000, I am preparing to take my fourth spot trading position.

I previously mentioned that in a bear market, after every significant volume spike,

there will be a brief rebound.

A bear market does not simply decline all the way down,

just like going downhill, there are also small paths going up along the way.

After the severe long liquidation the day before yesterday,

Boss Yi Lihua finally surrendered.

After he transferred the remaining capital that had not been liquidated onto the chain,

I believe it is again time for an "emotional trading opportunity."

I bought 5% of Bitcoin spot at 69k,

but in terms of the big trend,

I will still wait for a black swan opportunity before I consider it the bottom.

I will write another article on my psychological price expectations,

but expectations do not equal that I must buy or not buy when that price is reached,

the most important thing is to pay attention to several data points, and if they align, then I can buy at the bottom.

Additionally, I will focus on several strong assets,

and in the case of a large position in Bitcoin, begin to layout for the next bull market.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Why can't most retail investors really make money in investments?

Most people can't do 'take the profit when it's good',

and beginners don't know how terrible a bear market can be.

Thinking back to a few months ago after clearing out Bitcoin, I was ridiculed in every article,

now that it has dropped, I'm finally about to cut it in half, so I can take a breath and say a few more words.

Those who don't sell in a bull market often do so because:

1. They are unwilling, entering the market at the peak of the bull market,

unable to accept even a slight correction, so they convince themselves of 'long-term investment',

starting to exhibit strange behaviors, like DCAing at the peak, etc.

Moreover, the coins held the longest in a bear market are often the most lost,

the more they lose, the less they want to sell, creating an infinite loop.

2. They haven't made enough, seeing the neighbor Xiao Ming counting money with his eyes closed,

why can others win effortlessly while they can only sip the soup.

Thus, they continue to torture themselves in hell mode,

going against the trend, unwilling to stop until they have lost all their principal.

Looking back at 10/11,

old investors have almost all cleared out, while new investors have almost all held on.

My DMs are all asking whether to sell this coin or not?

To be honest, it's hard to sell or not at this level of decline.

I currently still won't enter the market,

I will definitely wait for the moment of despair when large institutions collapse,

when everyone is shouting about crypto death and Bitcoin being hopeless,

then I will hit hard.

As for what price I can buy in, I am currently only sharing in the group, not yet public.

If I say it right, I will be called a latecomer; if I say it wrong, I will be criticized,

it's thankless under the backdrop where there are still people bullish.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Gold and silver are rebounding significantly, how should we respond next?

The previous article mentioned that I placed an order to buy gold at 4680 and another order to buy silver at 80.

I am very optimistic about precious metals and very bearish on Bitcoin.

I have already published a few articles bearish on Bitcoin, and I feel that if I keep publishing, it might offend people, so let's leave it at that for now.

Currently, my overall position has increased the metal allocation to 55%.

I plan to hold on to my precious metal positions until before the US elections.

The next article will mention why I will clear out before the elections.

If anyone followed along with me, my thought is to hold for a longer period.

I won't guess short-term fluctuations for such a great opportunity to pick up chips.

The recent days of market fluctuations are actually necessary tactics by the big players.

If they don't pressure the prices and wash out retail investors,

there might be a risk of 'delivery squeeze' in the future.

With physical gold and silver being so hard to buy,

paper gold and paper silver dominate. If the futures prices align with the physical prices,

then if retail investors squeeze for physical delivery, the exchanges definitely won't be able to fulfill it.

To maintain the paper gold system to keep functioning,

the Chicago Exchange must tearfully harvest from retail investors chasing highs; after removing the leverage, the burden lightens.

After institutions tearfully harvest, the script still needs to continue.

Next, we just need to wait patiently for March,

I personally have high hopes for the next wave of metal bubbles,

it is still far from the level of a big bubble,

the harvesting scam of capitalism still has a few months to go,

let's continue to watch.
$BTC $XAU $XAG

Why shouldn't retail investors place too much trust in institutions and whales' accumulation?

For those in the crypto world,

Strategy continues to accumulate Bitcoin, BMNR keeps accumulating Ethereum,

Many people will say:

"Institutions are accumulating again, it definitely won't drop below a certain price"

Or they pull out on-chain data,

Convincing themselves which whale is accumulating again, or hasn't sold, using this as an indicator.

But in fact, institutions are institutions, whales are whales, and you are you.

The goals of institutions and whales are both aimed at "long-term investment",

Institutions don't care if it takes five or ten years, and it's not even their own money.

For whales, they've already made a fortune early on,

For them, what's left is already profit, and they no longer need to trade in waves.

When liquidity is low, they certainly won't plan to sell.

Because once they sell, it's like shooting themselves in the foot, causing panic and further reducing profits, or making it harder to raise more funds.

But we retail investors are different,

Our funds haven't yet reached our dreams and goals,

We definitely need to exit during the bull's tail and enter during the bear market.

Once our financial goals are met, as per personal desires,

Of course, we can learn to hold like whales, because we have the confidence.

For example, Baoyi sold part of his Bitcoin a few years ago,

The money is already enough for his whole family for a lifetime,

The remaining tens of thousands of Bitcoins can of course be kept in a trust or cold wallet.

Everyone's financial situation is different, and strategies will naturally vary.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Bitcoin has already fallen below the cost price of MicroStrategy, down another ten thousand points since the last post.

When it dropped to 78k last time, I mentioned that this is just the beginning of the bear market.

As someone who has navigated through bull and bear markets in the crypto space, I won't be fooled a second time.

The entry point for 'bear market continuation rebound' that I mentioned last time has a poor cost-performance ratio,

I would be better off buying gold and silver.

Now, just two days later, Bitcoin continues to fall, and whether it can return above 82k is uncertain,

but gold and silver are having a strong rebound, and my entry position is very good.

Additionally, I consider myself a long-term trend trader,

Returning to a slow-paced, low-frequency trading style has made everything very smooth.

Since 10/11,

I’ve only started sharing my community's spot trading segments.

Just spot trading segments; as long as the judgment is correct, it can accumulate a lot of profit over time.

I can't teach everyone how to get rich overnight,

My method is to find opportunities each time,

Increasing total assets by 1-3% each month, over the long term, this becomes quite substantial.

Moreover, in the crypto space, the bear market is actually just small struggles,

The bull market is where you truly have the opportunity to amplify profits.

In a bear market, being able to push one's assets by 20-30% in a year,

I think that is already remarkable.

A portion is placed in stablecoins for interest farming,

A portion is invested in precious metals to hedge against the overall uncertain situation.

A portion is in Bitcoin short positions, holding onto them for over six months.

A portion involves placing spot orders, taking a rebound segment whenever there’s a significant drop.

This is my current strategy.
$BTC $XAU $XAG

Bitcoin plunged to 74K yesterday, briefly dropping below MicroStrategy's cost price of 76K.

This is just an appetizer in the entire bear market.

Many people must think the price won't drop below the Strategy's cost,

76K is also a psychological defense line or liquidation price for many retail investors, who would only admit defeat if it falls to this price.

I previously shared three rounds of spot trading,

all of which profited from the panic selling in the bear market's continuation rebound.

Now there is another opportunity for a rebound,

after this big spike, the crash has already been released,

including the insider finally falling and Binance publicly intervening to save the market,

although the funds can only be described as a drop in the bucket, they still have a certain effect on the market.

We have another wave opportunity, expecting it may rebound to 82K~85K before the next crash arrives.

However, I personally will not buy in this time,

just as gold and silver prices are very attractive, I believe the cost-performance ratio of these two might still be relatively high.

The US-Japan debt crisis has not been resolved,

plus the market sentiment still has voices for bottom-fishing,

and it has not yet reached a black swan event similar to the previous FTX explosion,

we are far from the bottom now,

starting to advocate for bottom-fishing fixed amounts here, I believe it's still too early for that.

Lazy package:

February small rebound, but right now it's only the beginning of the bear market.

(The above is a personal investment record sharing and does not constitute any investment advice)
$BTC $XAG $XAU

Gold and silver will continue to fluctuate this month, washing out the retail investors who chase highs.

Previous articles mentioned that there would be significant volatility around the FOMC meeting,

and that institutions would close positions and take profits at the end of the month,

plus Japan will have a re-election on 2/8, and the election situation these days is also critical,

so the expected volatility period is between '1/28~2/5'.

After the big dip in silver the day before yesterday, I have already called to get in and filled my position.

Gold is still being accumulated in batches.

It rose too quickly in the past few days, and now we need to reduce high leverage.

Silver will be relatively weak in the short term, stuck at:

1. The spot market is tight, many people have to deliver and the physical exchanges cannot withstand it.

2. Exchanges have raised margin requirements, and those with too high leverage can only be forced to close their positions.

3. Exchanges are suppressing prices to replenish stocks, making everyone not in a hurry to take physical.

February is expected to be very sluggish,

but as long as we get through February, gold will come back to life,

and silver will only start to rise again after the March delivery.

Declines are declines, but we must remain calm and remember the core of this year 2026:

'US-Japan debt crisis + unstable currency credit + war risk'

If it is foreseeable that metals will take off in the second half of the year,

February will definitely be very torturous, and after clearing out the chasing high investors, it will be smooth sailing.

Gold will be left alone after adding the last batch at 4680, just lying flat and waiting for the results in March.

Lazy package:

Don't get washed out in February, wait for the takeoff after March.
$XAG $XAU $PAXG

Bitcoin plummeted to 75,000 early in the morning, finally able to further confirm my viewpoint.

This month when Bitcoin surged to 97K,

I mentioned in my community that by the end of the month, we might see a price starting with 7.

A few months ago, I mentioned the arrival of a bear market on social media or in groups,

and was met with a lot of public backlash every day.

At that time, as soon as I published a 'bearish' viewpoint, there were people criticizing me, and I would see trolls calling for me to quit following.

Aside from the black swan event caused by the exchange failure on 10/11, which exceeded my ability to assess,

subsequent calls to clear over 110,000, shorting at 106k, taking rebounds in spot trades three times, as well as buying the dip in gold and silver yesterday.

I have done my best to share what I have learned.

I know that shouting bearish viewpoints at the end of a bull market will certainly be disliked,

and I also know that from the current emotional perspective, retail investors definitely want to see bullish viewpoints.

But I will speak what I see, and I cannot say anything insincere.

It feels pointless to keep updating, so I decided to go travel and relax.

Now I can finally prove my view,

I know the bulls must be feeling bad now, just handling spot trading is very painful,

writing this is not to mock others; I do not like to be the person who kicks someone when they are down.

I just want to vindicate myself from three months ago; I owe it to every reader who has been following my writings for a long time.

Every time I see many thank-you messages on IG, I feel warm inside.

After reading, I will get energized and continue to remind everyone of the risks.

This wave of decline is just the beginning; I will update my views after waking up.
$BTC $XAG $PAXG

The United States is expected to strike Iran on Sunday, causing silver to drop significantly, raising the tension to its peak.

According to Drop Site News,

Trump may launch an attack on Iran this weekend, possibly starting from Sunday.

In the days leading up to the U.S. preparing to strike Iran,

gold, silver, the stock market, and Bitcoin have all experienced some level of pullback.

Just now, silver dropped 30% in a single day, reaching a price starting with 7.

When I realized the major drop in the middle of the night, my adrenaline surged, and I began to feel excited again.

Compared to the recent period of traveling abroad,

the dopamine released from investment is still far greater than anything else.

I mentioned before that there would definitely be significant volatility before the end of the month,

and after institutions close their positions, silver will surely bleed.

However, clearing the leveraged gold and silver has made me more optimistic about precious metals in the second half of the year.

After successfully predicting and finally picking up the silver that I had been waiting for a long time,

I felt a genuine joy, and it was already dawn; I couldn't sleep, so I had to write another post.

After waking up, I will share my views on metals from February,

as for Bitcoin, there isn't much to say; just continue holding the short positions.

Good night, Makabaka.
$XAG $XAU $PAXG

Silver fell more than 30% in one day, the opportunity has finally arrived, let's get on board!

Although I am optimistic about precious metals this year,

I have been hesitant to heavily invest in gold, only buying in batches, and I haven't bought any silver at all.

In previous articles, I mentioned that we must definitely hold back, as institutions will liquidate their positions at the end of the month, the old man is very cunning.

I have been waiting these past few days, telling everyone in the community not to rush,

If it doesn’t fall, just continue to wait; there will definitely be opportunities starting with 8 for silver,

Yesterday I placed an order for 80, and today there was suddenly a big waterfall.

The time spent studying metals these past few days has not been wasted,

Gold has again dipped to the 4xxx range.

As mentioned yesterday, if there is another chance to buy silver starting with 8 and gold starting with 4, it will definitely be a great blessing.

Currently, half of my position is in metals, leaving half in cash to continue observing.

No rush, just wait slowly, and watch the market makers perform their liquidation,

This wave has come quickly and urgently, which makes me even more optimistic about the performance of metals in the second half of the year.

If metals perform well in the second half, and Bitcoin happens to be at a low point,

It will be a perfect opportunity to jump between them, continuously maximizing the efficiency of every dollar invested.

I also added a bit to gold at 5050, and I am waiting to add a bit more at 4680.

It's really convenient that the exchange allows direct trading of metal tokens,

Like now when the US stock market is closed, you can't buy anything, but the exchange is available for trading 24 hours.

Having completed the bottom fishing, good night! $XAG $XAU $PAXG

Bitcoin has fallen below 84K, and recently I have often been referred to as a super bear.

Those who have been reading my articles for a long time will know that,

I am actually the most die-hard bull in the crypto circle.

From the collapse of the NFT craze in 2022 to the subsequent FTX explosion,

I still chose to bottom out in January 2023, when Bitcoin was over 10,000.

I firmly believe that each cycle of Bitcoin will only get better.

I liquidated my positions in the crypto market at the end of October, and at that time, some people were still saying they would slap me in the face.

Since liquidating, I have only done small spot trades, and I haven't made any large-position operations.

After the dip on 10/11, I knew that market makers' liquidity was gone, and I judged that we were entering a bear market.

Now, a few months have passed, and as the price slowly emerges, I can prove that my views were correct.

My core is that I am a mindless bull,

and liquidating everything above 110,000 was to buy more Bitcoin at lower levels afterwards.

Because I know that in 10 or 20 years,

people will not look at how many houses or luxury cars you have, but rather at how many Bitcoins you hold as total assets.

In the future, with the digitization of currency and the popularity of stablecoins, this is bound to happen.

A true bull,

sits through a bear market for a year, and makes a big bet to buy more Bitcoin,

all operations, judgments, and hedging, any strategy,

are all aimed at acquiring more Bitcoins, no exceptions.

Including the recent entry into gold, which is also to exchange for more Bitcoin in the future.

Finding ways to hold more coins is the true faith.
$BTC $PAXG $XAU

The FOMC announced yesterday that there will be no interest rate cut. Is there still a chance for a rate cut this year, 2026?

I must say that market predictions are indeed very accurate,

it was almost certain 100% that there would be no rate cut a few days before the FOMC meeting.

Now we can see the Federal Reserve's decision,

perhaps there is still a high probability of no rate cut until March.

To conclude— I believe there is a 'high probability of a rate cut this year'.

Referring to truflation, this is a continuously updated measure of inflation,

the official CPI usually lags behind the actual market progress by about 3 to 6 months.

Currently, the real inflation is around 1.18%, which is extremely low inflation.

When the CPI catches up, the FED will need to respond to the demand for a rate cut, which will also take around 3 to 6 months.

However, besides inflation and political policies,

there is one major point, which is for 'financial stability'.

Before a rate cut, although not absolute, there is usually a wave of significant market turmoil,

and if it is for financial stability, in other words,

even if there will be a rate cut this year, there is a high probability that a correction will occur first, before the real liquidity will be unleashed.

For example, the internet bubble in 2001, the financial crisis in 2008, and the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

This is also why I haven't considered buying back Bitcoin and US stocks until now.

Of course, even though I am empty-handed this year,

I am optimistic about the abnormal phenomenon in the market where gold will soar, which I have previously written about.

If there is an opportunity for such a wave of market turmoil, it must be seized well,

and after seizing the opportunity in the second half of the year, it will quickly rebound due to the rate cut.
$BTC $PAXG $XAU

The United States is preparing to attack Iran, Bitcoin and gold have significantly retraced, when can we get in?

I previously mentioned that my next focus point is:

"Around the FOMC meeting."

Although to prevent missing out, I shared in my community that I have replenished my gold position to 30%, but I still haven't bought silver.

The three buying points for gold are at 4600, 5160, 5280, hoping that this heavy blow will still provide an opportunity to add more.

Reasons I am optimistic about a retracement before the end of the month:

1. The market needs to digest the negative impact of the FED not considering interest rate cuts.

2. Institutions operating in commodities are accustomed to closing positions for profit at the end of the month.

Every time when the time comes,

an event will just happen to cause market turbulence,

The U.S. attacking Iran is also a positive for gold, but gold has retraced.

This indicates that the largest path for funds is:

"Large funds borrow and magnify their returns."

The narrative is not important; what institutions do is what matters.

If there is still an opportunity to buy gold starting with 4 and silver starting with 8,

putting it off until the second half of the year will truly be a great fortune.

Currently, the strategy remains unchanged,

In the second half of the year, find a good opportunity to sell high-position gold and buy low-position Bitcoin.
$XAU $XAG $PAXG

10/11 The artificial black swan event has left the crypto world in complete silence.

Cathy Wood pointed out that the main reason for the $28 billion liquidation in the crypto market was due to a failure at Binance.

Although some time has passed since that incident in October,

the overall sentiment in the crypto market has plunged into a state of extreme gloom.

Because of that incident, after mid-October, I believed there was no way out, so I liquidated all my assets.

The current gloomy sentiment feels even worse than during the FTX incident in 2022, the collapse of Three Arrows Capital, the Luna incident, and the suspected blow-up at Grayscale.

Although Bitcoin fell to over ten thousand in the last bear market,

at least long-term holders are not afraid at all and have great confidence in leverage and exchange derivatives.

Now many people are continuously withdrawing from the crypto market,

only daring to trade spot on exchanges and completely afraid to open any leverage.

It’s not that leverage is necessarily bad, but opening leverage on exchanges is inherently unfair to retail investors.

Including myself, I really like to use staking and lending,

if I had absolute trust in leverage, I would definitely:

Buy good gold → Borrow Bitcoin with gold → Sell Bitcoin for stablecoins → Put it in green leaves or other higher interest places.

I would definitely arbitrage like this, but now I am exceptionally conservative.

The next Bitcoin bull market will definitely be related to market regulation.

The next lifeblood and capital energy

must be advanced through legal and compliant means for the general public to dare to heavily invest.

The past decentralized ideals have been dismantled,

in the end, it still relies on centralized support, which is truly lamentable.
$BTC $ETH $BNB

Is gold about to pull back? How to judge the true "shoeshine boy" theory?

Since I got into gold at 4600 two weeks ago,

the price of gold has skyrocketed, and I've been hearing others talk about shoeshine boys,

from 4600 to 5600, and the shoes still aren't clean.

Many people, as soon as they see something surge and they’re not on board,

start shining shoes, and they're ready to escape.

Observing emotions is often a basis for my trading judgments,

and it’s often super useful, but many people instead:

"use a classic term to pretend they have judgment ability",

when in reality there’s not much logic.

In the 1920s, shoeshine boys had very poor information, even without the internet.

Now everyone has a mobile phone,

everyone can be a stock god or a shoeshine boy.

In other words: the traditional ways we used to identify shoeshine boys have long become ineffective.

A true shoeshine boy:

1. The person at the very end of the information chain.

2. The discussion content is all mindless optimism.

In an era where everyone is online, simply using a certain group to identify peaks has very low quality judgment.

To judge the true peak,

you have to consider yourself a shoeshine boy, and looking at the market rise will create a strong sense of regret, believing that if you don't get on board now, it will really be too late.

Filled with fear and sadness,

at this time, constantly restraining the desire to chase the rise, continuing to do anti-human trading.

Next time gold is about to make a significant pullback,

it will be indiscriminately recommended across various social media, completely sliding past bearish views,

when those shouting to shine shoes stop shining, that’s when the shoeshine boy theory will truly be effective.
$XAU $XAG $PAXG