NEXO — UPDATE | BTCUSDT + ASTERUSDT The scenario outlined earlier unfolded: LIQUIDATION OF THE LOWS → RECOVERY → BREAKOUT → RETEST → DEFENSE → MOVEMENT. ASTERUSDT Entry: 0.7060–0.7080 SL: 0.7020 TP1: 0.7117–0.7121 TP2: 0.7160–0.7168 BTCUSDT Entry: 83,600–83,900 SL: 83,200 TP1: 84,350 TP2: 84,950–85,150 The retest has already been carried out and defended. From this point on, we let the price validate the continuation. We don’t anticipate. We confirm. Price rules over the hypothesis.
analysis BTCUSDT + ASTERUSDT In the previous analysis, we outlined a possible scenario: liquidation of lows → recovery → possible change of structure. Afterwards, the market did exactly the first part of the scenario: 🔹 BTC swept through the lows zone and recovered the structural levels again. 🔹 ASTER swept to the 0.6901 zone and then recovered 0.70–0.702. Now, a strong bullish impulse appears, but there is still one fundamental part missing from our model: BREAK → RETEST → DEFENSE → CONFIRMATION → EXPANSION That’s why we do not consider the move confirmed yet. The initial hypothesis remains valid as long as price holds the recovered structure, but the next step we want to observe is: PULLBACK → RETEST OF THE RECOVERED LEVEL → DEFENSE → NEW EXPANSION. We are not trying to prove that “we were right”. We want to check whether the market confirms the structure we proposed before the move. Price rules over the thesis. NEXO Trading — Live tracking.
NEXO TRADING | BTCUSDT + ASTERUSDT 🔎 PLAN: WAIT FOR CONFIRMATION The market has just reacted from important minimum zones: BTC: 82.500 ASTER: 0.6901 But a reaction still doesn’t mean a confirmed bullish structure. 🟠 BTCUSDT Key level: 83.120 We are looking for: BREAK → RETEST → DEFENSE → CONTINUATION As long as BTC stays below 83.120, we do not anticipate the breakout. If it reclaims 83.120 with a 15m close, we expect a retest. Without retest + defense = no prudent entry. 🟣 ASTERUSDT Recovery zone: 0.7000–0.7017 But the higher structural confirmation is at: 0.7117 Plan: 0.7000/0.7017 → recovery → retest → defense → 0.7117 → breakout → retest → defense. We don’t buy just because the price bounces from 0.6901. 🧠 NEXO We’re not trying to guess the next move. We wait for the market to show which level it’s defending. BTC confirms 83.120. ASTER recovers 0.7000/0.7017. ASTER confirms above 0.7117. If the structure doesn’t confirm, NO TRADE.
🚨 NEXO 002 — PUMPUSDT | LONG SETUP 📊 Status: PENDING CONFIRMATION We analyze the structure on 4H and drop to 15M to look for the execution. The broken zone must be turned into support via RETEST + DEFENSE. Without that confirmation, THERE IS NO ENTRY. 🟢 ENTRY ZONE: 0.00470 – 0.00472 🛑 STOP LOSS / INVALIDATION: below 0.00465 or the structural low that triggers the retest. 🎯 TP1: 0.00478 – 0.00480 🎯 TP2: 0.004965 ✅ ACTIVATION CONDITION: Retest of 0.00470–0.00472 + rejection/absorption + closing the 15M again above the zone. ❌ INVALIDATION: If price breaks the zone and accepts below, NEXO 002 is invalidated and will not be executed. 📌 BREAK → RETEST → DEFENSE → CONFIRMATION → EXPANSION NEXO Trading — we do not anticipate the entry. We wait for confirmation. #NEXO002 #PUMPUSDT #PUMP #Trading #Crypto #PriceAction #Binance
This time, the market gave us a good example of our entry model.
On 4H, we identified an important zone and saw price defense. That gave us the context, but it still wasn't enough reason to enter.
When we went down to 15 minutes, we saw what we were looking for:
1️⃣ Defense and price recovery. 2️⃣ Change of structure on a lower timeframe. 3️⃣ Retest of the recovered zone. 4️⃣ Bullish confirmation. 5️⃣ Displacement and expansion toward the 4H high.
That was the setup.
But there’s something important: we did not enter this trade. We spotted it when the move was already developed.
That’s why we won’t count it as a winning trade or as a NEXO signal.
We used it to study something much more important:
4H CONTEXT → DEFENSE → WE DROP TO 15M → RETEST → CONFIRMATION → EXPANSION
📚 We don’t need to be inside every trade.
We need to learn to recognize our setup and wait for the next opportunity.
The price reached 0.7488 and later selling pressure appeared.
However, for now we do not see a confirmed breakout of the bullish structure on 1H.
The current reaction may be showing absorption of selling, but it still needs confirmation.
🔎 We continue to observe: • defense of the 1H structure; • recovery and acceptance above the upper zone; • eventual breakout of 0.7488 to confirm continuation.
⚠️ Status: CURRENT SCENARIO — NO ENTRY.
We do not change the conditions of the original analysis and we do not chase the move.
On the daily timeframe, the price failed to extend the last bearish move and a significant buying reaction appeared from the lower zone.
On 4H, the price regained structure, but it is currently consolidating below a relevant resistance.
🎯 Key level: 0.7419
We do not consider the LONG scenario confirmed while the price remains below this zone.
Sought confirmation: • Break of 0.7419 with a body. • Hold the level after the break. • Preferably, retest and defend it as support. • Structure confirmation on lower timeframes.
TP3 roughly matches the relevant 4H high located at 0.7915.
⚠️ INVALIDATION
A loss of the structure that supports the bullish move would cancel the scenario. The final Stop Loss will be set only when there is a confirmed entry.
📌 Analysis status: WAITING FOR CONFIRMATION.
This analysis represents a technical market scenario and does not constitute a guarantee of results or personalized financial advice.