Como interpretar: OI subindo + Preço subindo = Dinheiro novo entrando = Movimento FORTE OI caindo + Preço subindo = Shorts sendo liquidados = Movimento FRACO
Se OI cai junto com o preço = Capitulação. Gente saindo do mercado.
Essa é a métrica mais importante pra confirmar tendência.
#OpenInterest #Futuros #AnáliseTécnica #Trading
Nchcampos
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🚨COINGLASS EXPLAINED IN 60s
If you trade futures and don’t know Coinglass, you’re trading blind.
In 10 posts, I’ll show you how to use the derivatives “X-ray” to understand where liquidations are and where leveraged money is.
🚨 STRATEGY $8.2 BILLION LOSS... AND INVESTORS DIDN'T CARE
Michael Saylor’s Strategy just released its Q2 balance sheet:
### THE NUMBERS: Net loss: $8.22 billion 🔴 Cause: Unrealized loss of $8.32B in Bitcoin BTC on hand: 843,775 BTC | Value: $54.77 billion Average purchase price: $75,476 per BTC Current BTC: $64,349 | -14.7% vs. average cost
### BUT WHAT DOES THE MARKET CARE ABOUT? 1. RAISED $9.68 BILLION: Sold more shares to buy BTC 2. ADDED TO THE PILE: +11% BTC in the quarter. +29,997 coins 3. BTC PER SHARE: +5% | YTD return in BTC: 4.5% 4. SOFTWARE STILL IS PROFITABLE: Normal operations continue to generate revenue
Investors only look at 1 number: how many Bitcoins Strategy has.
Average cost $75k vs BTC at $64k = "accounting loss." But if BTC goes to $100k in 2027 nobody will remember this Q2.
Is this genius or insanity? Buying the dip with shareholders’ money 👇
If you trade futures and don’t know Coinglass, you’re trading blind. In 10 posts, I’ll show you how to use the derivatives “X-ray” to understand where liquidations are and where leveraged money is. Save this series 👇 #Educação #Trading #Coinglass #CryptoBR
#### SCENARIO 1: BULLISH BREAKOUT 🚀 Trigger: Close above $0.075 with volume Target 1: $0.09 | +32.3% Target 2: Next psychological resistance $0.10 Probability: Derivatives slightly tilted upward
#### SCENARIO 2: KEEPS CONSOLIDATING ↔️ Trigger: Stay between $0.068 and $0.075 What happens: The spring compresses even more. Catalyst is missing Risk: False breakouts on both sides
### WHY IT MATTERS: 1. Outperformance: HBAR +4.9% this week vs BTC -2.12% 2. Narrative: Institutional adoption via company board/director councils 3. Technical: Historical compression = a move of 20%+ afterward
SUMMARY: Keep an eye on $0.075 and $0.068. The breakout will define the next few weeks.
Which scenario are you betting on? 1, 2, or 3? Comment 👇
🚨 ANALYST: THE BOTTOM OF BITCOIN HAS NOT ARRIVED YET
Julio Moreno from CryptoQuant released an important piece of data: BTC has STILL NOT had a capitulation.
### WHAT IS CAPITULATION? It’s that panic selling. When an investor sells at a loss to get out of the market. Historically, it marks the bottom.
### ON-CHAIN NUMBERS: Realized losses now: 136,000 BTC Previous cycles at the bottom: 2018: 1.3 million BTC 2022: 3.7 million BTC
In other words: We have losses that are 10x to 27x SMALLER than in past bottoms.
### ANALYST’S TAKE: 1. This could be the mildest losses phase in BTC’s history 2. BUT losses can still increase. The market may not be out of danger yet 3. Absence of capitulation = slower recoveries and false breakouts
### WHY IS IT DIFFERENT? Institutions, ETFs, and more sophisticated strategies may be changing the pattern. Less panic, more risk management.
SUMMARY: Without the classic “bloodbath,” you can’t confirm the bottom yet.
Is this good because BTC is maturing? Or bad because the worst is still coming?
Are you buying now or waiting to see bigger losses on-chain? 👇
Market without direction. Bitcoin remains stuck in the $64k range
### CHAINLINK LINK - FORECAST 2026-2032 Current price: $8.48 | Market cap: $6.33B
Projections: 2026: High of $17 | +100% vs today 2029: High of $28.53 | +236% vs today 2032: Between $21.78 and $52.95 | +157% to +524% vs today
### WHY THE OPTIMISM WITH LINK? 1. ORACLES: Connects smart contracts with real-world data 2. ADOPTION: 14 new integrations across 5 services, on 10 blockchains 3. BLOCKCHAINS: Arbitrum, Avalanche, and Ethereum already using 4. NARRATIVE: Growing DeFi + cross-chain interoperability
The thesis: With more dApps and companies using blockchain, demand for reliable oracles can only rise.
Remember: Forecast is not a guarantee. It depends on adoption, partnerships, and the market.
Do you believe LINK reaches $52 in 2032 or is it too expensive? 👇
View: Bullish short-term relief within a downtrend
### OVERVIEW: 🕐 Short term: UP 🟢 🕓 Medium term: STRONG DOWN 🔴 🕗 Long term: STRONG DOWN 🔴 Current price: $0,02744
### KEY LEVELS: 🔴 R3: $0,07487 | +172,8% from current price 🔴 R2: $0,03270 | +19,2% from current price - Pattern target 🔴 R1: $0,02881 | +4,99% from current price - Immediate resistance
📍 Current: $0,02744
🟢 S1: $0,02705 | -1,42% from current price 🟢 S2: $0,02660 | -3,06% from current price - Invalidation 🟢 S3: $0,02364 | -13,83% from current price - Structural support
### INDICATORS: RSI 14: 54,53 - NEUTRAL. Recovering MACD: Negative -0,00011 but histogram rising Volume: 2,47x above average | 59,95M vs 51,82M
### RATIONALE: High volume confirming buying at support. If it breaks $0,02881, it opens room to seek $0,03270. ⚠️ RISK: Closing below $0,02660 invalidates the setup. The bigger trend remains bearish.
Confidence: MEDIUM 🔶
Would you enter now or wait for a break of $0,02881 to confirm? 👇
CRYPTO TODAY: BTC: $64.327 | +0,09% 🟢 ETH: $1.903 | -0,64% 🔴 BNB: $588 | +2,22% 🚀 Highest high in the top 10 SOL: $74,18 | +0,24% XRP: $1,08 | +0,11% DOGE: $0,07 | -0,79%
Sideways market. Bitcoin stuck below $68k and ETH took a breather.
### WHAT MOVED THE MARKET? 1. APPLE DROPS 6%: Net profit of $110B and revenue of $109,42B came in above expectations Problem: Growth forecast only 9%-11%. Investors wanted more iPhone: +22% in sales | Mac: beat expectations comfortably 2. STRATEGY - $8,2B LOSS: But for investors, only Bitcoin matters on the balance sheet 3. FED: Member Warsh signaled keeping rates steady
### TAKEAWAY: Big tech stocks falling even with earnings. The market wants "growth" not just "results". This ripples into crypto: BTC and ETH also lack the strength to break through resistance levels.
💰 HYPERLIQUID RECEIVED $201 MILLION IN Q2 AND IS THE 2ND-LARGEST DERIVATIVES EXCHANGE
The $HYPE is back on the radar after the earnings report. And the numbers are heavy:
### Q2 2026 DATA: Total revenue: $201.8 million ✅ Perpetual fees: $178.7 million Position: 2nd largest derivatives exchange in the world Open Interest: ~$10.5 billion
### WHY THE MARKET IS WATCHING? 1. REAL REVENUE: It doesn’t live off selling tokens. It earns from people using the platform 2. GROWTH: $339M in daily volume | Market cap $13.49B 3. SUSTAINABLE MODEL: Proof that DeFi can generate stable income with real usage
Current price: $53.29 | -3.03% in the last 24h Supply: 952.94M HYPE | Circulating: 252.54M
While CEXs struggle with regulation, Hyperliquid shows that a perpetual DEX can scale AND turn a profit.
The question: With this revenue, is HYPE still cheap compared to traditional CEXs?
Do you use Hyperliquid to trade? What do you think of $HYPE? 👇
Jason Calacanis, one of Uber’s earliest investors, released the thesis: Bittensor = "improved Bitcoin"
### THE CRAZY $32K THESIS: 1. AI + BLOCKCHAIN: Bittensor could be the leading decentralized AI network 2. BTC-LIKE SUPPLY: TAO has a maximum supply of 21M like Bitcoin and has already had a halving 3. MARKET CAP GOAL: If it reaches $500 billion = TAO at ~$32,000 in 10 years 4. RETURN: That would be a 200x return from the current price of $193
### CURRENT TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: Price today: $193.29 | +2.49% on the day Buy zone: $100 - $135 according to Crypto Patel Targets along the way: $1,000 > $2,000 > $3,000 Chart: Making higher highs and higher lows. Constructive signal.
### WHAT’S DRIVING IT? Update v431: The "Conviction" mechanism forces sub-network owners to lock TAO in stake New tools: Rust + security for developers Ecosystem: Sub-networks expanding
Reality: A $500B market cap would require massive adoption by companies + devs + institutions. Not for tomorrow.
Would you buy TAO in the $100-$135 range thinking long-term? Or do you think it’s too much hype? 👇
Second day of trading and Morgan Stanley has already surpassed BlackRock in Ethereum 👀
### THE NUMBERS FOR 30/07: MSSE - Ethereum ETF: $14.03 million in inflows MSOL - Solana ETF: $19.03 million in inflows TOTAL: $33 million on day 2
Meanwhile, BlackRock’s ETH ETF had OUTFLOWS and the overall ETH market saw -$19 million 😱 MSOL captured 100% of inflows from all Solana ETFs in the U.S.
### WHY IS THIS WORKING? 1. LOW FEE: Just 0.14% per year 2. HUGE DISTRIBUTION: Morgan Stanley has 16,000 advisors + the E*TRADE platform 3. READY BASE: The firm’s Bitcoin fund already has $400M and brought clients to ETH and SOL
Bloomberg analyst: "Biggest inflows in the categories since the first launch"
After 2 days, MSSE + MSOL already total $20M in assets.
The battle of institutional ETFs has truly begun. BlackRock vs Morgan Stanley. Who wins this?
Would you invest in an ETH/SOL ETF through the bank? 👇