Good morning, friends of the crypto world. Today is January 9th, and there are 2 data points to watch today: 1. The U.S. releases the December unemployment rate 2. The U.S. releases the December seasonally adjusted non-farm employment figures 3. An informal talk by the 2026 FOMC voting member and President of the Minneapolis Fed, Kashkari
Kalshi CEO Tarek Mansour stated on LinkedIn that Kalshi supports legislation introduced by New York State Democratic Congressman Ritchie Torres, which aims to prohibit government officials from engaging in insider trading on platforms like Kalshi.
Bitcoin Net Taker Volume (25-hour moving average) reached -19 million USD, marking the strongest selling pressure since December 23, indicating short-term market dominance by sellers.
This week, the cumulative net inflow of Bitcoin spot ETFs in the United States reached 459 million USD, ending the trend of capital outflows expected by the end of 2025, bringing some confidence to the market. However, relying solely on this data cannot significantly drive Bitcoin's price up, nor will it lead to its 'disappearance.' Currently, Bitcoin is in a volatile pattern influenced by various bullish and bearish factors, making it difficult to have a clear single-direction trend in the short term. $BTC
Previously sold 255 BTC, the whale further increased its short position, currently holding BTC (10x leverage) and ETH (15x leverage) short positions, with a total value of $109 million.
· 751.38 BTC ($68.67 million) · 12,909.15 ETH ($40.79 million)
Currently, this whale is facing an unrealized loss of over $1.8 million.$BTC
The giant whale "0xEa6" deposited $8 million USDC on the first trading day of 2026 and established multiple long positions, currently floating a profit of about $2.8 million.
Currently, this giant whale holds 12 positions, including $BTC , $XRP , $PUMP, and so on.
Below are Nana's thoughts on this wallet's positions and strategies: 1. Core Achievements: From Floating Loss to Violent Aesthetics Initial Investment: Deposited $8 million USDC as margin on January 1. Current Situation: In just about 48 hours, the floating profit has skyrocketed from an initial -$12,000 to the current approximately $2.8 million. Main Battlefield: Chose the decentralized contract platform #Hyperliquid , known for its high liquidity and quality assets.
2. Position Combination Analysis: A Combination of Mainstream and High Beta The 12 positions of this giant whale can be divided into three dimensions, reflecting its extremely high asset aesthetics: Bitcoin (BTC): It opened a 20x leveraged long position in BTC around $87,869. This is a typical "cornerstone" strategy, using high leverage to capture slight increases in mainstream coins, providing thickness to the entire account's profits. AI and Cultural/IP Track (AIXBT, IP, GRIFFAIN): AIXBT is currently the leader in the AI Agent track, with a recent single-day increase of over 10%, being its main profit contributor. IP (possibly related to Story Protocol or IP-like assets) has contributed over $600,000 in a single profit, belonging to precise ambush. Ecosystem Explosive Stocks (XPL, MON, MAVIA, HEMI): Covering directions like gaming (MAVIA), infrastructure (HEMI, MON), these tokens have strong volatility on Hyperliquid, which is key to amplifying returns.
⚠️ Potential Risk Warning Although the current floating profit is $2.8 million, the challenges faced by this giant whale still exist: The double-edged sword of high leverage: The 20x leverage of $BTC means that if the market experiences a 4%-5% downward spike, the margin pressure will instantly increase. Liquidity Exit: Some small tokens (like PUMP, VVV) have relatively thin on-chain liquidity, and if a liquidation occurs, the slippage in closing positions may swallow a large amount of profit.
Today's technical side $BTC : Yesterday, the price of Bitcoin surged and then fell back. The daily chart shows a small positive line with long upper and lower shadows. The current trend is weak in the medium term and fluctuates in the short term. It is recommended that those who have not entered the market when the price breaks through 61,500 should not chase the rise, and consider reducing positions near this price. In the short term, the 15-minute chart shows that the rebound has not stabilized at 60,000, and there may be a retracement. Focus on the support level of 55,500.
$ETH : ETH performed strongly last night, and the daily chart closed with a large positive line. Although the short-term rebound is obvious, it is still weak in the medium term. Those who have not entered the market when the price exceeds 2650 should not chase the high, and can seek support in the 2400-2250 range. Although the price of ether has risen, it may encounter a decline at 2750. Pay attention to the small support level of 2530 today. #BTC☀ #BTC走势分析 #美联储何时降息?
NaNa wants to tell you some truths in the cryptocurrency circle: 1. You can only sell when the price is high, and chasing the price is a taboo; 2. Don’t be too resistant to CX, people was also a CX coin in the past; 3. High concentration of chips is a good thing, and parties with common interests have the motivation to pull the price; 4. Technology is not the most important thing, what can drive the price up is consensus; 4. Air is more likely to rise because there is no valuation logic and reference target, such as meme; 5. The essence of staking new shares is to lock up floating chips; 6. Most of the stocks underperformed the big pie in the bull market, such as this round of market. #BTC☀ #美联储何时降息?
The hype about the Fed's interest rate cut in September is coming to an end. CPI, as one of the factors affecting the Fed's interest rate cut, will be announced at 8:30 tonight. If nothing unexpected happens, it is likely to be positive. $BTC
September is already one third over, and there are still things worth noting: September 10: Trump vs Harris TV debate September 10: US Congress Defi-related hearing September 11: US CPI index released September 12: US PPI index released September 18: Fed interest rate decision day (whether to cut interest rates) September 18: US Congress hearing on currency circle pig killing September 23: US Congress SEC cryptocurrency law enforcement hearing September 29: CZ regains freedom #BTC☀
The first presidential debate between Trump and Harris will be held at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania at 9:00 a.m. Beijing time on September 11, and will be broadcast live on ABC News Live, Disney+ and Hulu. $people #美国大选如何影响加密产业?
$BTC Yesterday, after a small rebound, it fell back. From the daily chart, it closed with a middle-yin line with an upper shadow. The big cake fell back slightly. This is within expectations. At present, it will maintain a low-level fluctuation for a short period of time, but it is necessary to pay attention to the price fluctuation range.
I personally think: If the price remains between 60,000 and 63,000 during the fluctuations in the past few days, it implies a strong fluctuation, and the price will rebound strongly soon;
If the fluctuation remains between 58,000 and 62,000, the fluctuation time will be longer. Pay attention to today's trend. Yesterday, it closed with a bare-foot middle-yin line. If it rebounds again today, it is likely to continue to fluctuate between 60,000 and 63,000.
For us, from a trading perspective, 60,500 should be opened first, and if it reaches 59,000, it will be supplemented. This is a suggestion and a trading strategy. Don't guess that it will fluctuate in that way.
Judging from the one-hour chart, the price fell back yesterday, but when it was approaching 60,000, the selling pressure was not that great and there were some buying orders entering the market.