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#MU_Traders

Maybe you looked CPI for the Fed, but I’m looking it for #bitcoin

The setup has changed pretty quickly

NFP came in at 162K vs 56K expected. Then PPI came in hot at 5.4% YoY. Now the market is already pricing a much higher chance of a September Fed hike

It will impact crypto because BTC doesn’t trade in isolation. When the market starts pricing tighter US liquidity, the dollar and Treasury yields usually become a bigger problem for risk assets

But here’s where I think people are getting too bearish

A lot of the hawkish expectation is already in the price

For me, the important number is core CPI, not just #CPIWatch

If core CPI prints around 0.2% MoM, the Fed may still hike, but the market could struggle to price much more tightening from here

If we get 0.3% or higher, that changes the story. I’d expect yields and the dollar to push higher, with BTC potentially coming under another wave of selling

But if core CPI surprises at 0.1%, I’d be watching BTC closely for a relief move. That could force the market to unwind some of the recent hawkish positioning

So my view going into CPI:

Short term: BTC will remain bearish and out lower targets of 71K will remain valid

The real trade is not “CPI up = BTC down.”

It’s CPI → Fed expectations → liquidity → BTC

What are you expecting: hot CPI or a surprise cooldown?

Oil is getting dangerously close to $100 again

Crude has just hit its highest level in nearly 3 months, with Brent approaching $97/barrel

And the timing couldn't be worse

U.S. inflation is already sitting around 3.4%, while gasoline prices are up 24.6% YoY.

Now add surging oil prices, disrupted Gulf shipments, and record-high U.S. diesel prices

That's another inflation headache landing directly on the Fed's desk just days before its next rate decision

If oil breaks $100 and stays there, the inflation fight could become much harder

And now everyone's watching one number

Friday's CPI report

If CPI comes in hot while oil keeps climbing, the market could get VERY interesting

I still believe $BTC will take correction from here, Here is why?

Still at resistance continuously getting rejected from resistance area

From 60K-->$80K we saw ETF buying and also price increment but now ETF are buying continuously from last 2 weeks but price is in range what it suggests?

It indicates someone is selling more then strategy and ETFs collective buying so once they stop buying for 2,3 days we will see a drop and minor selling from there side can easily drop back #BTC to 71K zone

Last data was also not in BTC favor

So looking at these 3 points we can say #bitcoin will drop from here

Instead of regretting later take action now......

Suppose you open your exchange today and find your position is down 90%.

No hack.

No rug pull.

The project is still operating normally.

It’s just that the market suddenly crashed.

Your $10,000 is now only $1,000.

What would you do at this point?

🟢 Keep holding
🟡 Buy more on the dip
🔴 Cut the loss immediately
⚪ Exit Crypto completely

Many people say they can withstand a big drop.

But when they actually see -90%, the answer may be completely different.

If this really happened, which one would you choose?

#crypto #trading

If I could give every new crypto trader ONE rule, it would be this:

Never make a trade you can’t explain.

Not:

“Someone on X said it.”

Not:

“My friend bought it.”

Not:

“It’s already pumping.”

Not:

“Everyone is bullish.”

If you can’t explain why you’re entering, where you’re wrong, and where you’re exiting…

Maybe you shouldn’t be entering yet.

Agree or disagree?

#crypto #trading #Bitcoin

YOU get one chance to restart your crypto portfolio… but you can only keep ONE

Imagine you wake up tomorrow and every coin in your portfolio is gone.

You receive $10,000 to rebuild it.

But there’s a rule:

You can buy only ONE cryptocurrency.

No diversification.
No second entry.
No averaging down.

Just ONE coin that you believe can outperform everything else over the next 12 months.

Would you choose:
$BTC
$ETH
$BNB
Another altcoin

Forget what everyone else is buying.

Which ONE would you trust with your $10,000?

Drop the ticker below.

I’ll check the comments and see which coin actually wins.

$BTC Lower TF Move

As expected BTC PLAYED OUT well in smaller TF of 15m

Bounce back again from support and rejected from same selling zone

It’s mean it is trying to form a range between $76K - $79K zone

That is normal when market give a straight 30% rally as we saw from 60K to 80K

But what is next after this range ?

Usually we set direction in opposite of BTC first breakout of range as maximum chance first move is fake move just to grab liquidity

But the main case in this scenario is that fundas should also opposite of first move otherwise first move will be valid too in many cases

If we look deeply in current scenario fundas are turning a bit bearish too so maximum chance we go downward

If I conclude our last analysis of 70K target is still valid so avoid buying here

As I discussed in my last article $BTC will drop from current zone back to $71K

Here is smaller TF chart #BTC is currently trading at multi resistance of FIB and Supply zone, So from here downside move is expected

On weekend current upside move is due to of saylor buying but ETF once again started selling

After 10 days of consecutive buying they finally started selling again on 28 August $211M net outflows

From tomorrow again selling expected that will bitcoin push more lower so adjust your trades accordingly

Pakistan is moving fast on crypto.The Virtual Assets Act 2026 is now live. PVARA has opened the licensing portal, and existing crypto firms have until 5 September to apply for a No-Objection Certificate or stop operating. The rules cover exchanges, custody, derivatives, mining and token issuance.

Banks can once again serve licensed virtual-asset companies after the central bank lifted an eight-year restriction. The whole regulatory framework was built in under six months and used only 8% of its approved budget — a point highlighted today by Minister Bilal Bin Saqib at Bitcoin Asia.

Pakistan already ranks among the world’s top crypto-adopting countries and is openly inviting global firms to get licensed and set up operations. A clear shift from the old grey-zone era toward a regulated market.

I have not to say much today as nothing changed same plan like before still expecting dump from current range

Alts are already struggling maybe we see more downside move in ALTs as compared to BTC

BTC Dominance rise also expected by 1-2% means alts can drop upto 10-15% from current prices easily

So in short words be careful if you are still bullish as market drop expected probably $73K and then $69K if it do not hold $73K

ENA S.L Hit

God willing, we will recover in the next trade

$ENA / USDT

For Spot Only

E.P: 0.16058

T.P:

1. $0.16935

2. $0.18241

S.L: $0.15624

Risk: Maximum 1% of capital

Alhamdulillah

$ADA 1st T.P Hit

1:2 Achieved

Do not forget to share your profit screenshot in comments as one person will get repost 😉

Alhamdulillah

$NEAR 1st T.P Hit

1:2 Achieved

Do not forget to share your profit screenshot in comments as one person will get repost
😉

$NEAR /USDT

For Spot Only

E.P: 1.865

T.P:

$1.995

$2.126

S.L: $1.801

Risk: Maximum 1% of capital

$ADA / USDT

For Spot Only

E.P: 0.2186

T.P:

$0.2297

$0.2465

S.L: $0.2132

Risk: Maximum 1% of capital

Ah cool 🫰