#BTC Two probes tested the bottom, and tonight we’re watching Nvidia 📋
First, the market facts: Since the drop from 81000, there have been two probe lows below—first at 78100, then at 77808. Each one was lower than the last, but both found support and bounced back above the 77600 platform. In terms of volume, over the past two days 52% of trading has concentrated in the 79000-79500 range, and every dip below 78500 has seen clear buying support. My long entry was around 78000; the logic was to wait for this support zone.
Now two background changes: First, oil prices fell 6% last night, but crypto did not follow—after easing in the Middle East squeezed out the safe-haven premium, the market’s pricing focus shifted to the Treasury’s bond-buying operations starting next week; second, on the rate side, the probability of a September rate hike has fallen from 41% to around 33%, easing the pressure marginally.
Tonight’s Nvidia earnings report is the short-term inflection point, with two possible paths: · If risk appetite rebounds and price holds above 79500, then 80000-80500 becomes the next observation zone · If the 77600 platform breaks, the correction structure will deepen, and the long thesis needs to be re-evaluated — I will exit as planned
Views are views; stop-losses are a must. If you are following the trade, please control leverage, as earnings night volatility can amplify moves.
#BTC #英伟达财报 *Personal analysis record, not investment advice*
At this stage, as long as there are still “experts” and big shots shorting at higher prices, I think the trend of the market bouncing back remains. The few opportunities for small investors are to take advantage of the moment, and go long at the right price level. #BTC