加密猴哥MJ
越来越好，保持高质量输出！X同名。
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No wonder #GIGGLE has increased
The content in the cz book has sparked controversy
The exchanges have started to argue
Attention and popularity continue to rise
Many users will be curious to buy the book at the first opportunity
The book's sales will grow exponentially tonight
All sales revenue will be donated to GIGGLE charity
I have to say, this is a passive great marketing
The ultimate beneficiaries are the children who will receive the donations
The content in the cz book has sparked controversy
The exchanges have started to argue
Attention and popularity continue to rise
Many users will be curious to buy the book at the first opportunity
The book's sales will grow exponentially tonight
All sales revenue will be donated to GIGGLE charity
I have to say, this is a passive great marketing
The ultimate beneficiaries are the children who will receive the donations
History always repeats itself, the next cycle is coming!
No matter what happens externally, the final interpretation lies on the monthly line.
Looking at it this way, Bitcoin's monthly line can at most go for another 6 months, gradually raising the bottom.
During these 6 months, Bitcoin will fluctuate repeatedly and may test the lower boundary of the monthly Bollinger Bands.
The range of 57,000 to 60,000 is very worthy of significant investment.
My personal expectation for a short-term rebound is satisfied at 75,000.
From a larger cycle perspective, Bitcoin's next historical high is not too far away. #比特币
No matter what happens externally, the final interpretation lies on the monthly line.
Looking at it this way, Bitcoin's monthly line can at most go for another 6 months, gradually raising the bottom.
During these 6 months, Bitcoin will fluctuate repeatedly and may test the lower boundary of the monthly Bollinger Bands.
The range of 57,000 to 60,000 is very worthy of significant investment.
My personal expectation for a short-term rebound is satisfied at 75,000.
From a larger cycle perspective, Bitcoin's next historical high is not too far away. #比特币
Now is the time to invest in worthy targets!
The next cycle presents certain opportunities!
#BTC （币圈头标）
CRCL（美股金融黑马）
HYPE（链上头标）only plays in this phase
ASTER（目标二代币安）only plays in this phase
OKB（上市后的赋能）only plays in this phase
Strategic thinking from a long-term allocation perspective
Currently, only these few are worth laying out
The next cycle presents certain opportunities!
#BTC （币圈头标）
CRCL（美股金融黑马）
HYPE（链上头标）only plays in this phase
ASTER（目标二代币安）only plays in this phase
OKB（上市后的赋能）only plays in this phase
Strategic thinking from a long-term allocation perspective
Currently, only these few are worth laying out
After 9 years, Binance remains the largest exchange in the world
According to information released by CoinGlass
Binance still maintains absolute advantages across various business lines
Binance user assets amount to 152.9 billion
accounting for 73.5% of the top ten exchanges
Spot trading is 1.94 trillion USD
of which Binance accounts for 639.9 billion USD, roughly 33% of the market share
Derivatives amount to 18.63 trillion USD
of which Binance accounts for 4.9 trillion USD, roughly 33% of the market share
Not only in CEX business, but also in DEX business
Since focusing on building BNBChain after @CZ
The TVL for the entire year of 2025 is expected to grow by about 40.5%, currently still firmly seated as the third largest public chain
In summary, Binance remains the largest liquidity platform in the crypto space, continuing to lead the industry! #BNB
According to information released by CoinGlass
Binance still maintains absolute advantages across various business lines
Binance user assets amount to 152.9 billion
accounting for 73.5% of the top ten exchanges
Spot trading is 1.94 trillion USD
of which Binance accounts for 639.9 billion USD, roughly 33% of the market share
Derivatives amount to 18.63 trillion USD
of which Binance accounts for 4.9 trillion USD, roughly 33% of the market share
Not only in CEX business, but also in DEX business
Since focusing on building BNBChain after @CZ
The TVL for the entire year of 2025 is expected to grow by about 40.5%, currently still firmly seated as the third largest public chain
In summary, Binance remains the largest liquidity platform in the crypto space, continuing to lead the industry! #BNB
The logic behind the 10x leverage of STO!
1. The main chips are sufficient, almost no retail investors
2. The market capitalization is low enough, with a minimum of less than 20 million
3. Launching in mid-2025, different from the old coin exit series
4. The background is good enough, and the team is still working
5. The project narrative is good, matching the points for market speculation
6. The product is still being iterated, constantly releasing good news
7. The weekly control is very classic and also very beautiful
Personally, I think STO is completely different from SIREN
The former is more like the path of secondary imitation in a conventional bull market, with horizontal consolidation at the weekly level, then continuing into a series of declining zones, followed by small steps of bullish candlesticks recovering the decline, finally accompanied by various good news for a crazy surge
The latter is just random pulling, completely out of rhythm, pulling and smashing more casually, from start to finish, giving no one a chance
Although both are harvesting, I believe equating them with siren is incorrect; clearly, STO is more advanced
Next, we need to shift some attention to the next old mountain coins on Binance; there should still be such coins.
1. The main chips are sufficient, almost no retail investors
2. The market capitalization is low enough, with a minimum of less than 20 million
3. Launching in mid-2025, different from the old coin exit series
4. The background is good enough, and the team is still working
5. The project narrative is good, matching the points for market speculation
6. The product is still being iterated, constantly releasing good news
7. The weekly control is very classic and also very beautiful
Personally, I think STO is completely different from SIREN
The former is more like the path of secondary imitation in a conventional bull market, with horizontal consolidation at the weekly level, then continuing into a series of declining zones, followed by small steps of bullish candlesticks recovering the decline, finally accompanied by various good news for a crazy surge
The latter is just random pulling, completely out of rhythm, pulling and smashing more casually, from start to finish, giving no one a chance
Although both are harvesting, I believe equating them with siren is incorrect; clearly, STO is more advanced
Next, we need to shift some attention to the next old mountain coins on Binance; there should still be such coins.
A very accurate indicator: Bitcoin Bubble Index
Since 2022, each time the Bitcoin Bubble Index drops to around 10, Bitcoin enters a bottom area
This has not failed in the past 4 years, and the decline in the bubble index has gradually decreased as Bitcoin's market cap has grown
From this perspective, Bitcoin starting with 6 has reached the bottom area of the bear market, and the downward space is extremely limited
If the target for the next two years is $200,000, then those starting with 5 and 6 are almost indistinguishable. #比特币
Since 2022, each time the Bitcoin Bubble Index drops to around 10, Bitcoin enters a bottom area
This has not failed in the past 4 years, and the decline in the bubble index has gradually decreased as Bitcoin's market cap has grown
From this perspective, Bitcoin starting with 6 has reached the bottom area of the bear market, and the downward space is extremely limited
If the target for the next two years is $200,000, then those starting with 5 and 6 are almost indistinguishable. #比特币
The sky has fallen, El summarized President Trump's emergency speech
Send Iran back to the Stone Age
If there is no compromise, Iran's power plants will be attacked
American oil transportation will no longer pass through the Strait of Hormuz
The main strategic objectives against Iran have basically been achieved
Both the Iranian navy and air force have lost combat capability
Can we avoid fighting? If we continue to fight, there will be nothing left to eat...#BTC行情
Send Iran back to the Stone Age
If there is no compromise, Iran's power plants will be attacked
American oil transportation will no longer pass through the Strait of Hormuz
The main strategic objectives against Iran have basically been achieved
Both the Iranian navy and air force have lost combat capability
Can we avoid fighting? If we continue to fight, there will be nothing left to eat...#BTC行情
Does Bitcoin Always Drop During Conferences?
The Bitcoin Conference is the most influential
and highest-weighted meeting in the crypto world.
Today, I summarize the performance of BTC during the Bitcoin Conference over the past 6 years.
2019, San Francisco, up 7%
2021, Miami, Bitcoin down approximately 6%
2022, Miami, Bitcoin down 5.1%
2023, Miami, Bitcoin down approximately 2.1%
2024, Nashville, Bitcoin up approximately 0.6%
2025, Miami Conference, Bitcoin down approximately 0.4%
2026, Las Vegas, ?
From the data of the past 8 years, 2 increases and 4 decreases,
and as time and scale increase,
the volatility has significantly decreased.
In my opinion,
the correlation between Bitcoin's rise and fall and the conference is not that significant.
Bitcoin fluctuates every day,
it just happens to coincide with conference times sometimes.
It mainly depends on the stage trend of Bitcoin.
The Bitcoin Conference is the most influential
and highest-weighted meeting in the crypto world.
Today, I summarize the performance of BTC during the Bitcoin Conference over the past 6 years.
2019, San Francisco, up 7%
2021, Miami, Bitcoin down approximately 6%
2022, Miami, Bitcoin down 5.1%
2023, Miami, Bitcoin down approximately 2.1%
2024, Nashville, Bitcoin up approximately 0.6%
2025, Miami Conference, Bitcoin down approximately 0.4%
2026, Las Vegas, ?
From the data of the past 8 years, 2 increases and 4 decreases,
and as time and scale increase,
the volatility has significantly decreased.
In my opinion,
the correlation between Bitcoin's rise and fall and the conference is not that significant.
Bitcoin fluctuates every day,
it just happens to coincide with conference times sometimes.
It mainly depends on the stage trend of Bitcoin.
No one can predict the market, and there is no god of prediction.
A friend questioned my analysis of Bitcoin in December 2025, so I’ll make a reply here.
First of all, as early as 2022, I predicted the peak of this bull market: over 120,000 USD.
In the first half of 2024 and 2025, during each bottom of Bitcoin, I repeatedly urged everyone to hold on to Bitcoin, selling in batches between 100,000 and 120,000.
This is not due to my analysis being particularly accurate; it’s merely the power of cycles, and has nothing to do with me.
In November and December 2025, Bitcoin was around 80,000.
To summarize: I specifically mentioned that Bitcoin is a short-term rebound and can only reach around 100,000, which indeed happened later.
Moreover, before this major crash began, I warned to clear out altcoins! And I publicly stated it.
The most important thing is: last November and December, I continuously expressed my core viewpoint, firmly believing in a MEME market during the New Year! However, there was one flaw: the meme market came a bit earlier, but it indeed happened.
Many friends who follow my content also seized the opportunity when I mentioned it, along with the recent lobster event.
In these past few months, the success rate of the BSC monthly surge plan has been quite good. I indeed did not post CA every day; most of the time, I just rested and maintained patience.
I am not a god and have made mistakes. From 2022 to 2025, my persistence has been in spot trading, which is not suitable for friends who are watching contracts.
I have always tried to express some genuine thoughts and do what I can do.
So don’t treat me as a blogger; I’m just a small retail investor. Thanks to all the supportive friends. #比特币
A friend questioned my analysis of Bitcoin in December 2025, so I’ll make a reply here.
First of all, as early as 2022, I predicted the peak of this bull market: over 120,000 USD.
In the first half of 2024 and 2025, during each bottom of Bitcoin, I repeatedly urged everyone to hold on to Bitcoin, selling in batches between 100,000 and 120,000.
This is not due to my analysis being particularly accurate; it’s merely the power of cycles, and has nothing to do with me.
In November and December 2025, Bitcoin was around 80,000.
To summarize: I specifically mentioned that Bitcoin is a short-term rebound and can only reach around 100,000, which indeed happened later.
Moreover, before this major crash began, I warned to clear out altcoins! And I publicly stated it.
The most important thing is: last November and December, I continuously expressed my core viewpoint, firmly believing in a MEME market during the New Year! However, there was one flaw: the meme market came a bit earlier, but it indeed happened.
Many friends who follow my content also seized the opportunity when I mentioned it, along with the recent lobster event.
In these past few months, the success rate of the BSC monthly surge plan has been quite good. I indeed did not post CA every day; most of the time, I just rested and maintained patience.
I am not a god and have made mistakes. From 2022 to 2025, my persistence has been in spot trading, which is not suitable for friends who are watching contracts.
I have always tried to express some genuine thoughts and do what I can do.
So don’t treat me as a blogger; I’m just a small retail investor. Thanks to all the supportive friends. #比特币
How scary is it to frequently stop loss in a bear market?
If you have 1 million in capital
Stop loss at 10% each time
After 6 stop losses, the capital will be cut in half
Becomes around 500,000
After 44 stop losses, the capital will become 10,000
But to break even, it needs to rise 100 times
In the crypto world, losing money is always easier than making money #比特币
If you have 1 million in capital
Stop loss at 10% each time
After 6 stop losses, the capital will be cut in half
Becomes around 500,000
After 44 stop losses, the capital will become 10,000
But to break even, it needs to rise 100 times
In the crypto world, losing money is always easier than making money #比特币
If you chase this month:
Fight
Get a Huazi
CHIBIFY
Alies
Ninja
TITAN
FOM
Then basically there's no principal left now #MEME
Fight
Get a Huazi
CHIBIFY
Alies
Ninja
TITAN
FOM
Then basically there's no principal left now #MEME
I am waiting for a big opportunity!
If my intuition is correct, when SpaceX falls apart in 2028, I might buy some to try.
If my intuition is correct, when SpaceX falls apart in 2028, I might buy some to try.
How enjoyable is it to trade strong coins in a bear market?
Around 10 days, I made 10,000 USDT and 70,000 dollars on #River @Riverdotinc .
In such a cold market, it’s really not easy to find profitable opportunities.
This time I mainly focused on short-term opportunities.
From my observation, River's operators have a good rhythm.
They mostly take small steps forward, occasionally triggering a sharp drop to clear the contracts.
Each time it drops below 20, it quickly rebounds.
So I sell each time it approaches 30 and buy back when it’s below 20.
Using Binance's price alert feature is enough.
Actually, this model is not suitable for most strong coins.
So one must observe and find a method.
Around 10 days, I made 10,000 USDT and 70,000 dollars on #River @Riverdotinc .
In such a cold market, it’s really not easy to find profitable opportunities.
This time I mainly focused on short-term opportunities.
From my observation, River's operators have a good rhythm.
They mostly take small steps forward, occasionally triggering a sharp drop to clear the contracts.
Each time it drops below 20, it quickly rebounds.
So I sell each time it approaches 30 and buy back when it’s below 20.
Using Binance's price alert feature is enough.
Actually, this model is not suitable for most strong coins.
So one must observe and find a method.
With so many brokerage firms in the country, I didn't understand until now
It turns out that top domestic institutions like Guotai Junan, Huatai, Haitong, and GF are all working on RWA
Especially Guotai Junan, which has the largest scale in RWA, invests the most resources, and has the strongest self-research capabilities
In my view, the only brokerage that truly understands the crypto market and has execution power is Guotai Junan
HashKey is the crypto asset service platform invested by Guotai Junan, the largest cryptocurrency上市公司 in Asia
All of Guotai Junan's business #RWA is done through HashKey's compliant channel in Hong Kong
Why is everyone working on RWA?
In the eyes of traditional finance, the most promising future is on-chain finance, with RWA carrying the highest weight
Moreover, in the current bear market, most investors are afraid to trade, holding a large amount of USDT with nowhere to use it
Safe, reliable, compliant, and good-yield financial products have become the current demand of the public
The first two of HashKey can fully meet this demand, after all, it is the crypto light of Hong Kong that just went public
As for good yield, it can only be solved through RWA financial management
Recently, HashKey's product line has launched a wealth management channel, among which the GUSDT/GHKDT jointly developed with Guotai Junan has gained considerable popularity
0 subscription fee, starting investment of 10 dollars, with very low thresholds, those with idle USDT can participate, and the yield is relatively stable
The post-listing HashKey needs to be taken seriously, whether in trading, wealth management, or OTC products, different opportunities will emerge!
It turns out that top domestic institutions like Guotai Junan, Huatai, Haitong, and GF are all working on RWA
Especially Guotai Junan, which has the largest scale in RWA, invests the most resources, and has the strongest self-research capabilities
In my view, the only brokerage that truly understands the crypto market and has execution power is Guotai Junan
HashKey is the crypto asset service platform invested by Guotai Junan, the largest cryptocurrency上市公司 in Asia
All of Guotai Junan's business #RWA is done through HashKey's compliant channel in Hong Kong
Why is everyone working on RWA?
In the eyes of traditional finance, the most promising future is on-chain finance, with RWA carrying the highest weight
Moreover, in the current bear market, most investors are afraid to trade, holding a large amount of USDT with nowhere to use it
Safe, reliable, compliant, and good-yield financial products have become the current demand of the public
The first two of HashKey can fully meet this demand, after all, it is the crypto light of Hong Kong that just went public
As for good yield, it can only be solved through RWA financial management
Recently, HashKey's product line has launched a wealth management channel, among which the GUSDT/GHKDT jointly developed with Guotai Junan has gained considerable popularity
0 subscription fee, starting investment of 10 dollars, with very low thresholds, those with idle USDT can participate, and the yield is relatively stable
The post-listing HashKey needs to be taken seriously, whether in trading, wealth management, or OTC products, different opportunities will emerge!
Do not participate in #siren , whether it is spot or contract, it has no meaning because no one knows if it will rise.
1. The first bullish candle pulled too high, almost no retail investors followed, and those who did won't hold it for long.
2. Currently, it is just collecting the retail investors' funds.
3. There are so many MEMEs that have been stagnant for so long, most have gone to zero, who knows which one will rise.
4. There is no need to be anxious just because it has risen dozens of times; aside from insider knowledge, no retail investors will make money from this kind of coin. Only current hot topics and new coins allow most retail investors to make money with attention; don't think about the others, it's very difficult.
1. The first bullish candle pulled too high, almost no retail investors followed, and those who did won't hold it for long.
2. Currently, it is just collecting the retail investors' funds.
3. There are so many MEMEs that have been stagnant for so long, most have gone to zero, who knows which one will rise.
4. There is no need to be anxious just because it has risen dozens of times; aside from insider knowledge, no retail investors will make money from this kind of coin. Only current hot topics and new coins allow most retail investors to make money with attention; don't think about the others, it's very difficult.
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