陌路英雄

Wishing everyone a happy weekend here ♥️

A few days ago, I just created the Binance chat room

You can click ⬇️ to join the group directly 😁

陌路社区

With the increasing regulation of the cryptocurrency market in China, many brothers and sisters have been unable to freely discuss market trends and contract positions. I myself also hesitate to talk too much about cryptocurrency topics on WeChat, fearing that I might get restricted or even permanently banned, as I have experienced being banned before, which makes it even more poignant for me 🥹

Thus, Binance has this chat room, which serves as a platform for us who love trading cryptocurrencies to communicate and share anytime, anywhere. We should really thank Binance for this 🙏

Some friends have known me for several years, and of course, many others are still getting to know me. I believe that meeting in the cryptocurrency world is a kind of fate. Personally, I also enjoy communicating and sharing with more friends, as we all share a common interest (making money), right? Let’s achieve our little goals early 🎯

If everyone sees the time I registered on Binance, you must know that I have been involved in this for quite a while. Here’s a brief introduction about myself again:

I entered the cryptocurrency world in 2018, and since January 2021, I have been doing live broadcasts, focusing on analyzing mainstream cryptocurrencies like BTC and ETH, both spot and contracts. As for what strategies I excel at, I can only say that I like to trade based on actual market conditions 😁

Live broadcast time: Monday to Friday at 7 PM, with a duration of 1 hour. I take breaks on weekends and holidays (the market often consolidates on weekends).

Market update time: Monday to Friday mornings. I can’t provide an accurate time because my wake-up time is uncertain. Occasionally, I summarize updates on Saturdays.

Whether in a bull or bear market, I have been deeply cultivating the market. I look forward to communicating with more like-minded friends and working hard together. I don’t have many hobbies; my biggest hobby is tasting various teas and trading cryptocurrencies.

Many old friends have said that I am patient and optimistic during my live broadcasts. Why do I stay in the cryptocurrency world and continue to broadcast? Have I already achieved wealth?

In summary: I love this industry, and I treat the market as a career. My little goals are still on the way.
#BTC

Outlook for today's overall market: choppy with an upward bias. Today's futures trading will mainly focus on short-term long positions.

BTC: Watch 83,000 below, especially whether it can hold; watch 85,500–86,000 above.
ETH: Watch around 2,430 below and around 2,530 above.
SOL: Watch around 105 below and around 109 above.

Next, let's discuss why the bias is toward short-term longs today.

First, comparing price action, since yesterday's rebound, BTC has performed better overall than ETH and SOL, and its pullback has also been relatively limited. This suggests the rebound has not clearly weakened yet. If BTC can hold above 83,000, it still has a chance to rebound further. So today, the key is simply to watch how well it is supported after a retest.

Second, keep an eye on whether net inflows into BTC ETFs continue. Sustained institutional inflows could help support market sentiment and may also gradually draw investor attention to ETH and SOL. However, BTC's strength does not necessarily mean other coins will catch up; we still need to see follow-through from investors. Most altcoins are still mainly following the rebound for now. Whether they can extend their gains will depend on the broader market stabilizing further and on their individual price action strengthening.

Next, continue watching for any new negative news and whether U.S. stocks can extend their rebound. If external conditions remain stable, that would also help this rebound continue to recover.

Overall, the outlook for today remains choppy with an upward bias, with short-term long opportunities in focus once prices retest and stabilize. 83,000 is an important level to watch for BTC. If it breaks below this level and is unable to reclaim it for some time, the bullish outlook will need to be adjusted promptly.
#BTC #ETH #solana

The market continues to move sideways; watch closely to see whether 83,000 can hold

Good morning, everyone. Overall, the market is still moving sideways today. BTC is once again attempting to break above $83,000, but whether it can truly hold above that level remains the most important short-term signal to watch.

The market has tested $83,000 several times before but has yet to break through decisively and hold above it, suggesting that the current rebound is still limited. If it fails to hold above this level again, the market may return to its previous trading range, and investors will likely remain on the sidelines.

One thing to note: as the sideways movement drags on, if BTC continues to fail to break through resistance above and instead sees a significant pullback, some altcoins may weaken first. This would also raise the risk of the broader market retesting the $80,000 level.

Key levels to watch today:
BTC: Support near $81,000; resistance near $84,000. Watch closely to see whether it can hold above $83,000.
ETH: Support near $2,380; resistance near $2,500.
SOL: Support near $103.5; resistance near $109.

Market outlook for today: Continued sideways movement while waiting for a clear direction.

The most important thing right now is to see whether BTC can truly hold above $83,000. Only once a breakout is confirmed will the market have a chance to escape its prolonged sideways trend.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

The market continues to move sideways within a range, with the short-term trend still looking weak

Good morning, everyone. The overall market trend hasn’t changed much today, and prices continue to fluctuate within the $80,000–$83,000 range. Although the market attempted to break above $83,000 yesterday, it failed to hold there and pulled back again, indicating that the current rebound still lacks momentum.

Without any clear positive catalysts, it will remain difficult for the market to sustain an uptrend in the short term. In addition, crypto ETF funds flowed out again yesterday, cooling market sentiment and leaving investors noticeably cautious.

Today’s market outlook: continued sideways movement, with an overall downward bias. The key level to watch remains $80,000. Although it has provided support several times before, that doesn’t mean the market has stabilized. If the price breaks below it decisively and fails to recover quickly, there could be further downside.

Today’s Market Analysis
BTC: Keep an eye on the $80,000–$83,000 range. $83,000 is short-term resistance, while $80,000 is key support. A breakout above $83,000 followed by a sustained hold could create an opportunity for a further rebound. If $80,000 is decisively breached, be alert to the risk of a fresh downward move.
ETH: The daily chart remains choppy and weak, with a notably feeble rebound. Price has re-entered the descending area of the previous daily trading range. If BTC corrects further, ETH could see a larger decline. Watch the $2,300–$2,350 support zone; if it fails, the next downside target could be $2,200–$2,250.
SOL: Continued short-term sideways movement. Watch support near $100 and resistance around $106.5. There is no clear breakout signal for now.

Today’s Trading Approach
The market has yet to show a clear trend-reversal signal, so for now, continue to approach it as range-bound in the short term.

For futures trading, stick with yesterday’s strategy, focusing on short-term and swing trades. Personally, I’m more inclined to look for shorting opportunities near the top of the range, while keeping position sizes under control and guarding against the risks of a sudden breakout.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

My view on the broader market today: Continued range-bound trading is the most likely scenario. The key level to watch is whether BTC can break above $83,000 decisively.

Based on price action over the past few days, BTC has largely fluctuated between $80,000 and $83,000, with daily-chart rebounds still showing limited strength. Market sentiment is gradually cooling, and without fresh news to provide a catalyst, there has not yet been a clear breakout in either direction in the short term.

On the capital-flow front, institutions recorded cumulative net outflows of approximately $593 million over the past five crypto ETF trading days. This suggests that some investors are still reducing exposure to manage risk, which is one reason the recent market rebound has lacked momentum. Going forward, we should continue to monitor institutional flows, especially whether sustained net inflows return.

I don't think the broader market has truly stabilized yet, and there is still a risk that it could fall below the $80,000 level again. Therefore, short-term futures trading should continue to focus on range-bound scalping and swing trades. Consider daily-chart trades only once a clear breakout or breakdown signal emerges.

Today's futures trading plan:
BTC: First watch $83,000 on the upside. If it breaks above this level decisively, the next resistance to watch is $84,000. On the downside, focus on support at $80,000.
ETH: First watch $2,450 on the upside. If BTC breaks above $83,000 decisively, the next resistance to watch is $2,500. On the downside, watch support in the $2,300–$2,330 range.
SOL: Watch $106 on the upside and $100 on the downside. In the short term, it is still likely to move in line with the broader market.

As for other altcoins, most are still following BTC's price action, with few showing a clear independent trend for now. In the spot market, following the earlier pullback in the broader market, some coins have fallen to relatively low levels. If you already hold positions or are planning to build one, you could consider buying or adding in stages during pullbacks. However, I don't recommend committing too much capital all at once, since the broader market has not fully stabilized.

When selecting spot assets, continue to prioritize projects with good liquidity and strong market interest, such as HYPE, ONDO, and ZEC. You can look for suitable staged entry points based on their individual price action and the broader market trend.

Overall, I expect the market to remain range-bound today. Whether BTC can break above and hold $83,000 will determine the scope of a short-term rebound, while whether it can hold $80,000 will affect the risk of a further decline. Until the direction becomes clear, manage position sizes and wait patiently.
#BTC #ETH #solana

Last night, the broader market was affected by the decline in U.S. stocks and saw another pullback. BTC briefly fell below the 80,000 mark before rebounding quickly. The market has now entered a consolidation phase again, and investors are clearly taking a wait-and-see approach.

The key event to watch today is Warsh’s speech at 11:30 a.m. With recent U.S. CPI and PPI figures both coming in above expectations, the market remains divided over whether interest rates will be raised again this month. Warsh’s remarks could therefore become an important short-term market catalyst.

That said, the market has already priced in some risk of a rate hike. What really matters is whether Warsh sends a hawkish or dovish signal—and how the market responds.

My view on today’s market: expect consolidation as we wait for guidance from the news. Price action could move sharply up or down, especially around the time of the speech, so I don’t recommend rushing into the market for now. Consider the next move once the speech is over and the market’s direction becomes clearer.

Key levels to watch today:
BTC: Watch the area around 80,000 below, and pay close attention to whether it holds on another retest.
ETH: Watch the area around 2,320 below.
SOL: Watch the area around 100 below.
As for resistance above, we need more confirmation. The market’s reaction after Warsh’s speech will be key.

My trading approach:
Right now, the priority isn’t to rush to predict whether prices will rise or fall, but to see whether the 80,000 level can truly hold. Although BTC rebounded quickly after breaking below it last night, one rebound isn’t enough to confirm that the decline is over. If market sentiment improves after the speech and BTC regains its footing above a key level, we can watch to see whether the rebound lasts. If the news is negative and 80,000 gives way again, be alert to the risk of a further decline.

For now, stay patient and wait for the market to stabilize before considering entering in stages. There’s no need to rush to buy the dip.
#BTC #ETH #solana

The broader market has fallen again, retesting the area around the 80,000 level. Based on the current price action, I personally think it will be difficult for the 80,000 level to hold. If it breaks decisively, the decline could accelerate further, so anyone looking to go long should be especially mindful of the risks.

After the U.S. CPI data was released last night, expectations of another rate hike this month increased somewhat, contributing to continued weakness in the broader market. There was hardly any meaningful rebound along the way. The liquidation map shows a relatively high concentration of short positions, so we should also watch for the risk of increased market volatility going forward.

My outlook for the broader market today: bearish.

It is still too early to call the area around 80,000 a bottom, and I personally think there is still room for further downside. Short-term short positions could be held for now, but be sure to take profits and manage risk. As for spot, I do not recommend rushing to buy the dip. Continue to wait patiently, and consider entering in stages or adding to positions only after the broader market shows clear signs of stabilizing.

Key levels to watch today:
BTC: Watch the 78,000–79,000 range below
ETH: Watch the 2,200–2,250 range below
SOL: Watch the 95–97 range below

Also, Warsh is scheduled to speak tomorrow evening, making this one of the key events to watch this week. The market is still waiting for further policy signals, and the content of his speech could affect subsequent price action.

Overall, the broader market remains weak. In the short term, watch for signs that the decline is bottoming out, and do not rush to call a bottom. At this stage, managing risk is more important than blindly buying the dip.
#9月CPI来袭原油美债走势如何 #BTC #ETH #solana

Can Tonight’s CPI Break the Sideways Trend? BTC Faces the Risk of Falling Below the $80,000 Mark Again!

The broader market has remained range-bound for several days, with limited price movement. So far, there has been no clear signal of a trend reversal on the daily chart. The market is generally in wait-and-see mode, with attention focused on the U.S. CPI data due out at 20:30 tonight. This could be a key factor in breaking the current range-bound trend.

My view on today’s market: sideways trading is the most likely scenario, with direction to be confirmed after tonight’s CPI release. Prices are expected to continue fluctuating within a narrow range during the day, so short-term trading will likely remain focused on buying and selling within the range.

Key levels to watch today:
BTC: 84,500–85,000 above; 82,000–82,500 below
ETH: 2,550 above; 2,460 below
SOL: 109 above; 105 below

It’s worth noting that although BTC has recently held above the $80,000 mark, that doesn’t mean it has resumed a short-term uptrend. The rebound has been limited, and overall, BTC remains range-bound within a daily-chart box without having established a clear direction.

Tonight’s CPI data is also an important factor in the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decisions. If the data is bearish, the broader market could move toward the $80,000 mark again, with a risk of breaking below it. Conversely, if the data is bullish, prices may break through overhead resistance and start a new move.

As for trading, short-term and swing traders can continue to trade within the range during the day. However, as the CPI release approaches, it’s advisable to avoid opening new positions to reduce the risk of sudden, sharp market moves around the announcement.

Overall, we’ll wait to see whether tonight’s data can truly break the sideways trend. Until the direction becomes clear, remain cautious and level-headed, and manage your trading risk carefully.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

BTC is once again nearing the 80,000 level. Watch for the risk of a faster decline if it breaks below this level!

The broader market has fallen back toward 80,000, but based on the current trend, the downside may not be fully exhausted yet, and any rebound may be relatively limited. The 80,000 level is key in the short term. A decisive break below it could trigger another accelerated decline.
Recently, crypto ETF flows have remained under pressure, while net outflows from institutional investors have also weighed on market confidence. Without fresh positive catalysts, a strong short-term rebound will remain difficult to achieve.

Bulls have already experienced a wave of concentrated liquidations, and the market is currently tilted toward the bears. This week, keep an eye on Wednesday’s US CPI data and Waller’s speech on Friday. Until the news provides a clear direction, the market is expected to remain choppy and cautious.

Key levels to watch today:
BTC: Support at 80,000; resistance at 83,000.
ETH: Support at 2,400. In my view, there is still a relatively high chance that this level will break. If it does, watch the area around 2,350 next; resistance is at 2,500.
SOL: Support at 100; resistance at 107.

Notably, ETH and SOL have both shown choppy, downward-leaning daily chart structures recently, and have generally been weaker than BTC. If the broader market sees another significant pullback, ETH and SOL may face more pronounced selling pressure. Other altcoins are also mostly in a corrective phase, with the overall market looking weak.

Has the current BTC bull cycle already ended?

I think it is too early to draw that conclusion. The area around 80,000 is a crucial dividing line. Whether it holds—and what this week’s news brings—will directly affect how we assess the market’s next move. From here, the key things to watch are how well the 80,000 level holds as support and whether BTC can reclaim it if it breaks below.
$BTC
$ETH
$SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

The rebound in the broader market is still there, but the momentum is not strong. Today I’ll focus on whether 80,000 can hold.

Good morning, everyone. Right now, the daily chart trend of the broader market is still relatively weak. The rebound lacks strength, and the altcoins are also pulling back in sync. What needs attention most these days is whether the level around 80,000 can be defended. If it breaks, we need to be careful that the selloff could accelerate further.

From the weekly chart perspective, I personally still see it as a range-bound box pattern for now. If later it breaks below the weekly box range, then attention should shift further to the 75,000—76,000 area. You’ll need to prepare in advance for that possibility.

With the U.S. midterm elections coming up, I believe that if the situation in the Middle East does not further escalate and there are no other unexpected news shocks, the market still has a chance to enter a period of consolidation and continue moving within the weekly box range. The overall bullish view remains unchanged, but in the short term, we should still first see whether support can hold.

For spot trading, I still tend to buy in multiple batches on dips recently. I’d prioritize the high-quality altcoins and popular sectors that I personally like, and continue laying out positions according to the established rhythm.

As for today’s contract strategy, I mainly want to focus on intraday long/short short-term swing opportunities. Overall price action is still biased toward consolidating downward. The upside room for a rebound appears limited for now, so we should observe within the range first and not treat the rebound directly as a reversal.

For BTC today, I’m watching the 80,000—83,000 range, with special attention on the 80,000 area. If it breaks down, then you can’t keep trading as if you’re still in the original range—you need to guard against accelerated selling.

ETH is weaker relative to the broader market. Today I’ll focus on the 2,400—2,530 range first. What’s more interesting is that the price has returned to the main daily consolidation area from late August to mid-September. Below, around 2,350, is an area to watch closely. If this zone is also lost, then we need to be on guard for a further acceleration in the pullback.

For SOL today, I’ll first watch the 105—111 range, and judge how both ends of the range perform in relation to the broader market.

Today’s key focus: BTC at 80,000, and for ETH, pay attention to 2,350 on the downside. For spot, continue to buy in batches; for contracts, follow an intraday rhythm. Remember to set stop-losses based on your position size and the loss levels you can tolerate.
#BTC #ETH #solana

The broader market’s rebound is weak. Today, the key level to watch is whether 82,000–82,500 can hold.

Good morning, everyone. The National Day holiday is over, so let’s take another look at today’s market.

The broader market pulled back yesterday, and most altcoins followed suit. The rebound is still lacking strength, and prices have continued to move sideways after the pullback. In the short term, I still see the market as undergoing a choppy correction. Today, the key area to watch is around 82,000–82,500 below. Whether this zone holds will determine whether the market can stay within its current trading range. If it breaks, we need to watch for a further acceleration in the decline. This is something to keep a close eye on. ETF flows also remain worth monitoring. Some of the latest figures released show net outflows, but the full data is not yet available, so we’ll keep watching to see whether funds flow back in.

My long-term bullish view remains unchanged. With the broader market and altcoins both pulling back, I still favor buying spot in batches on dips and continuing to build my positions at my own pace.

For futures, I’m leaning more toward short-term intraday longs today. After the recent pullback, I’ll first look to catch a rebound. Once the broader market gives us clearer signals, I’ll consider whether to keep holding, shift to a daily-chart trade, or take profits. There’s no need to mistake a short-term rebound for a trend reversal. That said, even a short-term long depends on whether support below holds. If 82,000–82,500 breaks, the intraday long thesis needs to be reassessed. Don’t keep holding just because of a bullish long-term outlook.

Key levels:
BTC: First watch around 82,500, and consider 82,000 together as the lower level.
ETH: This pullback has been more pronounced. If the broader market weakens again, be prepared for a further decline. For now, watch around 2,500.
SOL: First watch around 113.
For futures, remember to set your own stop-losses and manage them according to your position size and the losses you can tolerate.

On the news front, the Fed meeting minutes released early this morning were seen by the market as hawkish. Most participants considered another rate hike before the end of the year potentially appropriate, with the outlook still dependent on economic data. Next, watch how U.S. stocks and crypto markets digest this expectation.
My approach today remains unchanged: in the short term, expect sideways consolidation and keep a close eye on 82,000–82,500; continue building spot positions in batches, and trade futures with an intraday rebound in mind.
#BTC #ETH #solana #美联储纪要聚焦10月暂停加息

Today, I still expect the market to rebound. The key is whether 87,500 can break through and hold.

Good morning, everyone—new week, new start.

At the moment, Bitcoin is still rebounding, and the bulls are gathering strength again. On the upside, first look at the 87,400–87,500 area. If it can break through and hold, I believe there is still room for the rebound to continue higher; otherwise, if it spikes up and then falls back, we should continue to treat it as trading range action between 82,500 and 87,500.

From the weekly chart, my broader outlook remains bullish. The index has returned to the lower edge of the weekly box range from November last year to January this year, i.e., 85,000–94,000. Here, the focus is on whether 85,000–86,000 can hold.

If it holds steady here, there should be another opportunity for further upside this week. First, watch the 91,000 resistance level. After a further breakout, then look toward around 94,000. It’s bullish, but if the lower edge doesn’t hold, then the adjustment to the view should be made accordingly.

Today’s futures trading ideas:
BTC: Buy long on dips; focus around 86,000. Take-profit references: 87,500 and 89,000.
ETH: Buy long on dips; focus around 2,700. Take-profit references: 2,770 and 2,880.
SOL: Buy long on dips; focus around 120. Take-profit references: 123.5 and 127.45.

Even if prices reach the levels, you should also consider the price action at that time—not just “arrive and enter” directly. For stop-losses, everyone should set them in advance based on your actual position size and the percentage of principal loss you can tolerate.

For spot trading, I continue to maintain my earlier view: bullish overall, and buy in batches on dips. If you haven’t started building a position yet, I personally think you can still look for opportunities on pullbacks. Focus first on the popular sectors and high-quality coins you like, and you don’t need to wait until prices rise before you rush. But remember: buy in batches—keep some position for the volatility ahead, and don’t go all-in at once.

Today, I’ll watch 87,500 first. Whether it can hold is the key to whether this round of rebound can continue.

What do you think about the 87,500 level?
#BTC #ETH #solana

Good morning, everyone! Tomorrow is National Day, so I’d like to wish you all a Happy National Day in advance—hope you have a great holiday!

I’ll also be taking a few days off around the holiday, and after it ends, I’ll continue updating you on market conditions.

So far, the overall market still hasn’t truly broken out of its direction. At the daily level, it continues to maintain a range-bound, sideways pattern. The signals on the current chart are still not clear enough, and the market is clearly in a wait-and-see mode. I think the real catalyst that can break the range will depend on this Friday’s Non-Farm Payrolls data, as well as whether there are any new developments regarding the U.S.-Iran situation.

For crypto ETFs, fund performance has also been fairly flat. I haven’t seen any particularly obvious signs of a strong acceleration in inflows, which suggests that institutional capital is also staying cautious. Although the U.S.-Iran side is still in contact and talks, there hasn’t been any substantive breakthrough yet. So in the short term, the market will most likely continue to wait for news.

As for altcoins, they’ve been moving up and down over the past couple of days without forming a unified direction. So at this stage, I don’t think you need to chase the market. You can continue to pick some altcoins with stronger momentum and better volatility and trade intraday short-term contracts.

My view for today’s market: mainly sideways movement.
BTC focus: 82500—84500 range
ETH focus: 2630—2730 range
SOL focus: 116—122 range

Compared with the broader market, SOL’s intraday volatility seems relatively larger. If you’re looking to trade short-term swings, it may be worth paying more attention.
#BTC #ETH #solana

Although the market index has been quite sluggish from yesterday to now, overall it still trades slightly downward, and the rebound strength is also relatively weak. So in the short term, you still need to be alert to the risk of another acceleration in sell-off.

Over the past two days, there is still a chance for further negotiations between the US and Iran. For the market, at least this is a relatively positive signal, and it brings some hope and expectations. However, personally I think it’s still quite difficult for the US and Iran to achieve concrete results in the short term. At this stage, if the situation can be maintained and not continue to escalate, I think that would already be a fairly good outcome. Going forward, just keep an eye on whether there are any new developments on the negotiations.

As for altcoins, things are still mixed—some up, some down. But lately, altcoins have attracted a lot of market attention. If the broader market can stop falling and then move back into a rebound or sideways consolidation, I believe there will still be plenty of opportunities for quality altcoins to bounce and rise. If you’re interested, you can pay more attention.

My bullish view on the overall direction has not changed. If spot is currently still in a cash position (no holdings), you can continue with a plan of gradually building positions on pullbacks; there’s no need to buy everything at once.

My short-term view for today’s market index: slightly bearish with consolidation.

Right now, BTC has gradually moved near the lower edge of the daily trading range, and there are also signs of a potential breakout or breakdown. Today, the key focus is whether it can hold around 82,500. If it breaks down effectively, the second area to watch is around 81,000.

For ETH: in the short term, the long positions are still relatively concentrated. If BTC continues to move downward and accelerates its sell-off, ETH is also likely to face further pressure from long liquidation. In the short term, focus on support around $2,580.

SOL currently has a noticeably weak rebound. Overall, the trend is still downward. If the broader market continues to weaken, you should also watch for the risk of another acceleration in sell-off. In the short term, first watch the area around $113.

As for today’s contract trading ideas: in the short term, you can mainly follow a short-term/mean-reversion approach of shorting near highs and doing swing trades, but remember to always set a proper stop-loss.

Especially since there is still a high degree of uncertainty around US–Iran news right now. If suddenly an unexpectedly positive piece of news emerges, the market could rebound quickly at any time. So when shorting, don’t chase shorts, and don’t ignore risk control.
#BTC #ETH #solana

Good morning everyone.

After checking the daily market, it still mainly appears to be a sideways range trading pattern for now, and it hasn’t truly broken out into a clear direction yet. As for when the market will actually “break,” it’s still hard to draw a conclusion in advance. Overall, the market sentiment also remains somewhat cautious, so today’s focus is mainly on whether a few key levels can hold.

On the news front, over the coming period we still need to keep an eye on the situation between the US and Iran. Although there are still reports of contact and negotiations between both sides, so far there hasn’t been any clear, substantive breakthrough. In the short term, as long as the situation does not escalate again noticeably, the impact on the market should remain relatively manageable. In addition, the most important item this week is the US September jobs data (to be released late Friday). That may bring new volatility to the market at that time.

As for the overall market, my personal bullish view in the medium term hasn’t changed for now. If a more noticeable pullback happens later, I would actually view it as an opportunity to gradually build positions in the spot market, rather than chasing buys during rising prices.

Today, pay close attention to these levels:

For BTC, first watch around 82,800 (the prior low). If it breaks down, then watch around 81,500.

For ETH, first watch around 2,620 (the prior low). The second support is around 2,580.

For SOL, watch around 118 first. If it breaks down, then watch around 116.

As long as the support levels above don’t break down effectively, the market is likely to remain range-bound. If these levels are lost one after another, then be mindful that the price may continue to test lower toward the second support.

Today, the key is simply to see whether the overall market will truly “break” and choose a direction.
#BTC #ETH #solana

Tomorrow is the Mid-Autumn Festival! I’d like to wish everyone a happy Mid-Autumn Festival in advance, and remember to spend more time with your family during the holiday. I’ll also take a day off tomorrow; the market will be updated again for everyone next Monday.

Last night, the overall market suddenly pulled back. Trading has restarted amid uncertainty in the situation in the Middle East. Although Iran and the U.S. held communications for several hours, there hasn’t been any meaningful breakthrough for now. The issue in the Strait of Hormuz also hasn’t truly been resolved. Market sentiment was affected, and while the broader market corrected, it also liquidated a batch of long positions. Many altcoins are likely to see even sharper declines.

That said, I think this pullback may not be entirely a bad thing. Earlier, BTC surged quickly from over 70,000 to over 80,000. The upward momentum was relatively fast, and plenty of long positions have already accumulated below. If it just kept rising without any pullback, it would be more likely to leave bigger risks later on. Also, many friends who missed the move earlier and were afraid to chase the price still don’t have a good entry spot.

So, an appropriate pullback that clears out some leveraged long positions may actually help the market move more steadily going forward.

As of now, my overall outlook for the market remains bullish.

Although BTC has fallen below 85,000, it’s still too early to conclude that a bottom has been formed, because in the short term there hasn’t been a very clear strong support.

Today, I believe it is most likely to trade sideways. Going forward, I’m mainly watching for two scenarios:

1) After a pullback, the market gradually stabilizes, forms new support, and then we look for opportunities to go long and enter spot positions in batches;

2) If support fails, there will be another leg down, leading to a “false swing” type of行情, clearing another round of longs that recently chased the price.

So at this stage, there’s no need to rush to guess the bottom. If you’re trading futures, today is still mainly about intraday long/short scalps and swing trades, with position sizing kept under control. Wait until a real direction becomes clear, and then follow.

BTC: First watch the previous low; after it breaks, focus on around 82,500.
ETH: Same—watch the previous low first; after it breaks, watch around 2,570.
SOL: First watch the previous low; after it breaks, watch around 110.

For spot, my thinking is still the same: with the overall direction unchanged, the pullback is actually more comfortable than chasing. As long as support can be confirmed later, it becomes especially worth focusing on for staged entries.

Finally, I’d like to wish everyone a happy Mid-Autumn Festival again in advance. Spend more time with your family during the holiday—markets may have fluctuations every day, but family is what matters most.
#BTC #ETH #solana

US and Iranian officials held about a three-hour meeting during the United Nations General Assembly in New York. While it’s not yet possible to say that the situation has completely cooled, it at least gives the market some more optimism about subsequent negotiations. At the same time, the US stock market’s Nasdaq once again hit a record high, and capital is also clearly flowing back into crypto ETFs, with overall risk sentiment continuing to warm up.

From the market action, after BTC’s rapid rise in recent days, there hasn’t been a clear, large pullback. It remains in high-level consolidation, indicating that the current bullish momentum has not clearly ended. So for now, my overall approach remains unchanged, and the bigger direction is still biased bullish.

As for contracts, in the short term it’s mainly to go long on pullbacks. I don’t think shorting is advisable right now. If you already bought spot earlier, just continue to hold; if you haven’t entered yet, you can wait for a pullback and then buy in batches.

I believe the broader market has the potential to test around 90,000. After a stretch of consecutive gains, a pullback and liquidation of some longs is normal. As long as the overall upward structure hasn’t been broken, I’d actually treat a notable pullback as a chance to find long positions again.

Today, for the contracts, I’m watching a few key levels below:
BTC: watch around 85,000
ETH: watch around 2,700
SOL: watch around 115

As long as these levels don’t break down clearly, you can still look for long-biased opportunities when the market pulls back. If they do break, don’t rush to enter—wait for the next round of support to form before considering it.

Overall view: Keep a bullish stance on the big picture. For those who are still sidelined and haven’t entered yet, wait until this current upcycle in the broader market finishes before making your move.
$BTC $ETH $SOL
#BTC #ETH #solana

In the past few days, the overall market has surged rapidly from around 76,000 to around 87,000, gaining more than 10,000 points—an overall increase of about 14.5%. And during the move, there have been almost no meaningful pullbacks, which clearly shows that the bulls’ strength is indeed very strong.

With this wave of continuous gains, a large number of short positions have been liquidated. Altcoins have then become active, following the rebound to rise as well. A few altcoin projects even set new highs. Market sentiment suddenly turned much hotter, and you really get the feeling of “the altseason is here, and the bull market is coming.”

However, the faster and more one-sided the rally, the more you need to watch short-term risks. Because many shorts have already been liquidated earlier, if later there’s less capital continuing to chase shorts, the market may instead clear out the long positions that were added at high levels by triggering a relatively larger pullback. So you should pay attention to the subsequent走势—during this period, if you trade futures, don’t blindly chase longs just because the trend is strong.

As for the bigger picture, I still remain bullish. My trading approach is mainly to buy on dips after pullbacks. If a more obvious pullback comes later, that would actually be a better opportunity to accumulate.

If you already bought spot earlier, you can continue holding. If you haven’t entered yet, there’s no need to rush to chase the price up—waiting for a decent pullback and then entering in batches will feel much more comfortable.

Today’s key levels to watch:

BTC: around 84,000 on the downside
ETH: around 2,650 on the downside
SOL: around 114 on the downside

As long as these levels don’t break down meaningfully, the overall strong structure hasn’t changed too much for now.
#BTC #ETH #solana