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Binance has launched US stocks; did you really buy the right ones?

You can now buy US stocks on Binance, but many folks are confused about what they're actually buying.

Though they all go by "US stocks," there are actually three completely different products on Binance —

Pre-IPO perpetual contracts ($SPCX, $OPENAI, $ANTHROPIC) — Your funds stay on Binance, and you're buying contracts, not actual equity. The price tracks company valuations, and if the company issues more shares, the contract dips — it’s not that your asset shrinks, but the reference price changes.

Ondo tokenized stocks ($NFLXon, $JPMon, etc.) — Ondo Finance uses your funds to purchase real US stocks and then issues on-chain tokens as proof. There’s real asset backing, but you hold tokens, not stocks; if Ondo hits a snag, the tokens could go to zero.

Binance Stocks (the in-app stock section) — This is the closest to real US stocks. Orders are routed through Nest Trading to Alpaca Securities (a licensed broker by the US SEC/FINRA), executed on NYSE/Nasdaq, and you’re the beneficial owner, eligible for dividends. It also offers bStocks on-chain versions, allowing for 24/7 trading and self-custody.

Risk Control:
Pre-IPO contracts → purely synthetic, no assets, highest risk

Ondo RWA → backed by real assets, reliant on intermediaries

Binance Stocks → closest to real US stocks, assets held with Alpaca

Same platform, three products, completely different risk structures.
Make sure you know which entry point you’re clicking on before buying.
#bStocks officially launched

0xb359029490cf5e9ec75dd4eba3aa4abb0aeb7777

You only live once—owning up to a zeroed-out web page is accepted!

The World Cup is over, and Predict hasn’t stopped.

Today we launched a new market—the SSE Composite Index. Will it go up or down tomorrow?

The settlement time is tomorrow at 3:00 PM. Daily up or down—go in fast and get out fast.

This market is completely different from the previous crypto and World Cup ones:

There aren’t many seasoned old players, and trading volume is still low. The bid-ask spread on the order book is about 5¢—which is exactly when opportunities are easiest to find in a low-liquidity phase.

If you understand A-shares, you have a natural advantage here.

What’s even more worth paying attention to isn’t just this one market, but this direction:

Predict is moving toward traditional finance scenarios like stocks and indices. If the SSE Composite Index can go live today, what might come next?

If you have an opinion, go trade; if you don’t, just watch the probabilities shift—51% vs 49%. This kind of balance is the easiest to break with a single piece of news.

Do you think the SSE Composite will be up or down tomorrow?

Tap, take a quick taste: 0x3a7154408ff75e36eb9dc198c02844f0ade27777

Predict has launched a rather interesting market.

Which MEME will CZ’s public wallet buy before October?

The current highest probability is $MarsCoin at 41 cents—meaning the market believes it has a more than 40% chance of being selected.

$币 is close behind at 19%, $JACKET at 7%, with the rest spread out.

The logic of this market isn’t complicated:

What CZ’s public wallet buys is effectively the biggest endorsement for that coin.

Expectations of Alpha and going on spot will be chased immediately.

So what’s being bet on right now isn’t the MEME’s intrinsic value—it’s the dollar value of CZ’s attention.

What’s interesting is that marscoin’s probability is still rising today, climbing from 27% in the morning to 41%.

That indicates capital is continuously flowing into this direction, not being distributed randomly.

If you have a judgment, just trade. If you don’t, you can watch the probability curve.

How capital “votes” is information in itself.

July: The Fed won’t raise rates—Predict market has already priced it in.

That night, the hawkishness dropped the market for a spell, but Microsoft’s earnings the next day pulled the whole market back—so even this script, Predict forecast the market played it out correctly.

But what’s really interesting is now:

On Predict, the probability of “no change in October” sits at 69%, while “a 25-basis-point hike” is only 21%.

Out of 12 committee members, 3 voted against—because they felt it wasn’t hawkish enough. The calls inside the Fed to raise rates have already become hard to suppress, yet the market chooses not to believe.

59 cents against 40 cents—this is probability backed by real money, not analysts’ talk.

Now look at the monthly and weekly lines of $BTC :

The July monthly line is +7.27%. It rebounded from $58,625 to $62,888, partially filling the hole left by June’s -20%.

But August only starts from here. The weekly chart has closed negative for two straight weeks, and $65,000 remains overhead resistance.

Structurally, it’s clear: the rebound is there, but no new high has been confirmed.

The next two key dates—August 12 CPI, and Jackson Hole toward month-end.

Before these two data points come out, $BTC will most likely keep trading in a range.

If rate-hike expectations really do pick up, $60,000 will be tested again.

Do you think the Fed will act—or won’t—in September?

DefiLlama data: In the past 30 days, Predict.fun’s trading fees totaled $5.43 million, placing it third among full-chain BSC rankings.

Only two entities rank above it: the BSC chain itself and PancakeSwap.

PancakeSwap is the largest DEX on BSC and has been operating for years. Predict.fun is a prediction market—launched only recently.

Fees don’t lie—this isn’t event data or incentive points. It’s the real fees generated by users’ actual trades.

More and more people are using it, and more and more money is flowing through the order book. That’s what a protocol truly running looks like.

For those who entered the market since the World Cup, you should now feel that market depth is much better than it was a few months ago.

This set of data explains why. Keep watching.

Binance’s web version quietly launched prediction markets, and the “New” label was just added.

This isn’t a small update.

In the screenshot, you can see that the prediction market is now placed side-by-side with DEX and Alpha in the Pro version entry—Binance is using the interface to tell you this isn’t an event; it’s a core product.

What does that mean?

Previously, if you wanted to play on Predict.fun, you had to open your phone, enter your wallet, and jump to the platform—too many steps, and a lot of people would give up along the way.

Now you can just open it directly on the web and use it. Desktop users finally don’t have to fuss around—placing orders, viewing charts, and managing positions all feel directly aligned with spot trading.

This is a landmark step for Predict, turning it from a “small feature inside a Web3 wallet” into a “core Binance product.”

On the app side, it already covers three entry points: the Markets tab, the Contracts tab, and the Web3 wallet. Now the web version fills in the remaining piece—the distribution channel for prediction markets—essentially connecting all of Binance’s major user entry points.

The more people use it, the better the liquidity, and the lower the cost of placing orders.

For those who are already running it, this is good news.

Seeing the market on Predict about GRVT FDV brought my thoughts back to the beginning of this year.

Last year-end, Lighter’s TGE was another fairly big miss in the Pre-DEX track after Hyperliquid and Aster.

Taking this opportunity, let’s talk about the single-coin A7s I missed.

I missed the entire Pre-DEX track, and the reason is almost laughable.

When Hyperliquid came out, someone told me to go spam it. I thought it wasn’t necessary—can an on-chain exchange really compete with Binance?

The fees were also high, and the price spread was large. I just crossed it off.

Then I missed that big one, and it left a scar in my heart.

When Aster came out, I quietly spammed 10 accounts.

The other three people on the team didn’t have high hopes, but I saw that CZ posted about Aster in January 2025, so I didn’t say anything. I quietly did it myself.

Later, when the event started, the team sensed an opportunity and in 3 days pulled up 400 accounts, asking college students to spam it—costing more than $10,000.

While spamming, I got carried away. For a while, I truly thought Aster would be the next Hyperliquid.

On the token launch day, the opening price was 0.07U. We panicked and started selling.

It was going up as I sold.

When it rose to 0.1, I said, “What if we wait?”

Someone on the team spoke up: “If we don’t run now, when will we run? Do you think he’s Hyperliquid?”

No one stopped. All 400 accounts were cleared out.

I had 20,000+ split across my 10 accounts, and I didn’t move it.

In the end, I sold at 1.2U.

My personal profit exceeded the total profit of the entire team combined.

Just because one person’s panic spread into a collective wrong decision.

I’ve replayed it countless times and finally understood one thing:

The most expensive cost in the market isn’t fees, and it isn’t wear and tear—it’s the contagion of other people’s emotions, and the decision you make afterward.

Now there are markets on Predict related to GRVT FDV. The Pre-DEX track is getting more and more crowded, and everyone knows whether the valuation can hold after TGE.

If you have judgment, evaluate it yourself. If you just want to farm points, keep an eye on the settlement time.

Woc, feed!

Your stocks are going up nicely!

Why did you suddenly raid my $BTC ?

Teacher Li Daxiao’s bullsh*t can be taken as a joke to watch.

But once this teacher starts bearish talk, you’d better run immediately!

After all, going bullish is just work, but going bearish is genuine insight and conscience.

His online track record can be verified—he made accurate predictions of multiple financial crises.

Binance has another little thing going on: exclusive for TradFi new users. Random rewards of 2–7 U, with only 4,700 spots left.

Zero friction—during non-trading hours $SKHY the price barely moves. With limit order opening, the moment you close with a market order, the bid-ask spread is effectively negligible.

I just finished grabbing it; the screenshot shows those two trades: 157.43 limit buy, 157.43 market sell, 1000 U filled. The fees are just a few tenths of a unit—reward received.

Full steps:

From the Binance homepage ad banner, the 3rd one → Asia Stocks & ETF Contracts Carnival → Participate Now → Trade Now → Search SKHYUSDT perpetual contracts → Limit open with 1000 U → Immediately close with a market order → Complete

Two things to note: it must be a TradFi new trading user (no prior trades in Asia stock/ETF contracts). When the spots run out, that’s it. The reward must be credited to the Rewards Center by 2026-08-19.

Don’t complain it’s small—if there’s no friction, you don’t grab it for free, you’d be crazy not to.

Someone used $38.55 million to open a long position of $BTC .

They held it for 18 hours, lost $368,000, and cut their losses to leave.

Entry price was $64,469, stop-loss was $63,859—down less than 1%, and they chopped the position immediately.

Many people’s first reaction here is to mock them: with such a huge position, they only lose this much and run?

But I think that’s exactly why this person can manage $38.55 million.

Retail traders who lose 1% tell themselves, “Wait and see,” then end up losing 10%, 20%, and finally cut at the bottom.

This person loses 1% and closes the position right away. For them, $370,000 is just the cost of a stop-loss order—not a disaster.

Only disciplined people can survive in the market long-term.

Most people lose money not because they make the wrong call, but because they refuse to admit it after making the wrong call.

When was the last time you strictly followed a stop-loss?

Cascade was stolen for 1.3 million US dollars.

They only posted on social media a day after it happened, and they even turned off comments.

Before the incident, I had already withdrawn the money—I lost not a single cent.

It’s not because I had insider information; it’s because I’d already felt that this project had no future—if a project has no future, it’s not worth putting money in there and waiting for it to blow up.

A lot of people in the crypto space lose money not because they made the wrong judgment, but because they made the right one and still didn’t take action.

You can clearly tell something’s off, but you can’t bear to cut your position, and you tell yourself, "just wait a little longer."

By the time it happens, your first reaction is still, "the project team will handle it."

Cascade’s comment section is now closed.

What else is there for you to wait for?

If a project has no future, run early—there’s nothing shameful about it. The truly embarrassing thing is knowing there’s a problem and still being in a relationship with the project team.

Do you currently have any positions where you’re thinking, "I can’t bear to cut"?

Binance Futures quietly launched a new tab—Up/Down.

It’s directly supported by Predict.fun.

This is more important than it looks.

Futures traders are Binance’s highest-frequency, most willing-to-pay user group. They naturally fit prediction scenarios—since they’re already betting on direction, now there’s a more straightforward way to bet.

Including this one, Predict already covers three of Binance’s most core traffic entry points:

Broad-market users from the Markets tab, heavy traders from the Futures tab, and native on-chain users from Web3 wallets.

Three completely different user groups—fully connected.

This isn’t a campaign; it’s infrastructure.

If you trade futures, go check out the Up/Down tab.

World Cup July 10: Predicting the Quarterfinals

Recommended direction: France vs Morocco

France win / France to advance (scoreline reference): 2-0, 2-1

Reason: France is in great form right now—five straight wins. Mbappé leads the scoring chart, and the attack has been clicking.

Although Morocco is very resilient (reaching the quarterfinals in two consecutive editions), their injury situation is a major concern in this match. Their top scorer, Saïss, is dealing with a thigh injury and is doubtful. Their starting center-back also has injury worries.

Morocco will most likely use a low-block defense and counterattacking strategy. If France can break the deadlock early, the game is more likely to trend toward 2-0 or 1-0.

I think Morocco will most likely score first!

Reenact Argentina’s script: a team with a strong attacking style will force this opponent to play, but once there’s a mistake, they could get hit by a fast break.

If things go their way, Morocco might even score first.

It’s also worth guarding against a scenario where it’s 1-1 going into extra time.

#世界杯 #足球预测 #Predict #WorldCup
@Predictdotfun