Max_S
Max专注传统金融与web3的融合，坚持以实战视角复盘市场热点，分享兼具全球化视野与前沿体感的Web3商业观察 。
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Trump stated that the entire Iranian civilization will perish tonight, let's see what #Polymarket has to say, I suspect this old thief has already started shorting crude oil.
According to CryptoQuant data, $BTC long-term holders (LTH) supply has seen a positive change over the past 30 days, with a net increase of approximately +308K BTC. This indicates that holding behavior has begun to dominate the market, significantly alleviating distribution pressure.
LTH supply change is a classic indicator of genuine market confidence. Historical data shows that when LTH supply transitions from negative to positive, it often corresponds to the end of a selling climax and the low-level accumulation stage of institutions/long-term capital. It does not directly push up prices but can provide a solid foundation for subsequent rebounds—reducing "invisible selling pressure," effectively laying an "invisible floor" for the current 65K-76K oscillation range.
The current market environment is worth observing in conjunction:
Prices are still in the second consolidation phase of a weekly/daily bearish trend, with 72K-74K remaining significant resistance.
If the positive LTH signal overlaps with technical confirmation (e.g., 4H/daily volume stands above 72K or RSI weekly divergence correction), it can be viewed as a mid-term buying window.
Conversely, if prices fall back to the 66K-68K support while LTH remains positive, it represents a quality risk-reward area for gradual positioning.
Trading strategy recommendations (for reference, DYOR):
Position management: Keep short-term cash position within 30%, prioritizing observation of bullish signals in support areas backed by LTH.
Entry filtering: Must wait for volume + MACD histogram alignment to avoid false breakouts based solely on candlestick patterns.
Risk control: Set strict stop-loss on single trades below key structural levels by 1-2%, with target levels referencing the average rebound amplitude of historical positive LTH cycles.
This signal is not a call that "the bull market has arrived" but a reminder to stay rational in a volatile market: on-chain data is gradually shifting in favor of bulls. Combining personal risk preferences, optimizing positions and timeframes can effectively enhance the long-term win rate of strategies. Feel free to discuss your views; let's improve together.
#BTC #OnChainAnalysis #CryptoMarket
LTH supply change is a classic indicator of genuine market confidence. Historical data shows that when LTH supply transitions from negative to positive, it often corresponds to the end of a selling climax and the low-level accumulation stage of institutions/long-term capital. It does not directly push up prices but can provide a solid foundation for subsequent rebounds—reducing "invisible selling pressure," effectively laying an "invisible floor" for the current 65K-76K oscillation range.
The current market environment is worth observing in conjunction:
Prices are still in the second consolidation phase of a weekly/daily bearish trend, with 72K-74K remaining significant resistance.
If the positive LTH signal overlaps with technical confirmation (e.g., 4H/daily volume stands above 72K or RSI weekly divergence correction), it can be viewed as a mid-term buying window.
Conversely, if prices fall back to the 66K-68K support while LTH remains positive, it represents a quality risk-reward area for gradual positioning.
Trading strategy recommendations (for reference, DYOR):
Position management: Keep short-term cash position within 30%, prioritizing observation of bullish signals in support areas backed by LTH.
Entry filtering: Must wait for volume + MACD histogram alignment to avoid false breakouts based solely on candlestick patterns.
Risk control: Set strict stop-loss on single trades below key structural levels by 1-2%, with target levels referencing the average rebound amplitude of historical positive LTH cycles.
This signal is not a call that "the bull market has arrived" but a reminder to stay rational in a volatile market: on-chain data is gradually shifting in favor of bulls. Combining personal risk preferences, optimizing positions and timeframes can effectively enhance the long-term win rate of strategies. Feel free to discuss your views; let's improve together.
#BTC #OnChainAnalysis #CryptoMarket
【Macroeconomic Review】Two 90-Year-Old Tycoons Cashing Out Madly, How Should People in the Crypto Space Survive in 2026?
Recently, I've noticed that the mood in the community is rather gloomy, and I completely understand everyone's concerns. The panic is actually triggered by the recent actions of those two 'old immortals' in traditional finance, both over 90 years old, which are indeed chilling upon reflection.
Let’s briefly review the current macro information gap:
1️⃣ 97-year-old Li Ka-Shing recently sold off the entire British power grid, cashing out massively.
2️⃣ 95-year-old Warren Buffett has drastically cut his position in Apple, and Berkshire's cash reserves have soared to a record $373 billion!
Historically, Berkshire's cash reserves exceeding stock holdings have only happened five times, and each time the aftermath has been — an epic crash.
The macro risk aversion sentiment in the current environment is at its peak. If traditional funds are all withdrawing for defense, our Web3 and crypto space certainly cannot remain unaffected.
💡 My practical operations and upcoming strategies:
Surviving is the most important thing! Today, I have already cleared all my high-leverage long positions for $BTC and $ETH , and I’ve also secured some profits from spot trading. The next scenario is that if there are no black swans, it will be a period of oscillation and consumption; if there are black swans, I need to keep enough USDT on hand to scoop up bloodied low-priced chips during a market wash.
Are you currently holding onto your spot positions, or have you already cleared them and are watching from the sidelines? Feel free to share your positions in the comments, and I’ll pick a few like-minded individuals to discuss the upcoming targets for ambush!
(Note: The above is only a personal macro review and trading diary share, not constituting any investment advice. Please DYOR based on your own situation!)
Recently, I've noticed that the mood in the community is rather gloomy, and I completely understand everyone's concerns. The panic is actually triggered by the recent actions of those two 'old immortals' in traditional finance, both over 90 years old, which are indeed chilling upon reflection.
Let’s briefly review the current macro information gap:
1️⃣ 97-year-old Li Ka-Shing recently sold off the entire British power grid, cashing out massively.
2️⃣ 95-year-old Warren Buffett has drastically cut his position in Apple, and Berkshire's cash reserves have soared to a record $373 billion!
Historically, Berkshire's cash reserves exceeding stock holdings have only happened five times, and each time the aftermath has been — an epic crash.
The macro risk aversion sentiment in the current environment is at its peak. If traditional funds are all withdrawing for defense, our Web3 and crypto space certainly cannot remain unaffected.
💡 My practical operations and upcoming strategies:
Surviving is the most important thing! Today, I have already cleared all my high-leverage long positions for $BTC and $ETH , and I’ve also secured some profits from spot trading. The next scenario is that if there are no black swans, it will be a period of oscillation and consumption; if there are black swans, I need to keep enough USDT on hand to scoop up bloodied low-priced chips during a market wash.
Are you currently holding onto your spot positions, or have you already cleared them and are watching from the sidelines? Feel free to share your positions in the comments, and I’ll pick a few like-minded individuals to discuss the upcoming targets for ambush!
(Note: The above is only a personal macro review and trading diary share, not constituting any investment advice. Please DYOR based on your own situation!)
$BTC is currently fluctuating near the $70,000 mark. Although it briefly surged to $72,000, it then retraced. The market is in a narrow range of fluctuation over the past 50 days, showing clear structural consolidation features.
$ETH has performed relatively weakly, with a 24-hour decline of about 4.95%, currently falling back to around $2,077.
Key News and Events
Options Expiry Pressure: This Friday (March 27), $14 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire, and the market generally expects $75,000 to be a price attractor, which may lead to significant volatility before the expiry.
Geopolitical Impact: Signals from US-Iran ceasefire negotiations have led to a drop in crude oil prices, and overall sentiment in the crypto market remains cautious.
Institutional Dynamics: The Bhutanese government has released over $150 million worth of Bitcoin since 2026 and recently transferred 500 BTC to exchanges, creating some selling pressure.
Technical Upgrades: The Ethereum Foundation has released a crypto roadmap addressing quantum threats, which is a long-term positive, but in the short term, the market is more concerned about scalability pressures.
$ETH has performed relatively weakly, with a 24-hour decline of about 4.95%, currently falling back to around $2,077.
Key News and Events
Options Expiry Pressure: This Friday (March 27), $14 billion worth of Bitcoin options will expire, and the market generally expects $75,000 to be a price attractor, which may lead to significant volatility before the expiry.
Geopolitical Impact: Signals from US-Iran ceasefire negotiations have led to a drop in crude oil prices, and overall sentiment in the crypto market remains cautious.
Institutional Dynamics: The Bhutanese government has released over $150 million worth of Bitcoin since 2026 and recently transferred 500 BTC to exchanges, creating some selling pressure.
Technical Upgrades: The Ethereum Foundation has released a crypto roadmap addressing quantum threats, which is a long-term positive, but in the short term, the market is more concerned about scalability pressures.
You can't rush with money; this thing is truly life-threatening.
Is it that big day again? Riot control mechanism activated
Jane Street Liquidated, Is the "Black Box" of Wall Street Market Makers Still Functional?
In 2022, the aftershocks of the collapse of $USTC have not yet settled. Recent court documents reveal that top quantitative firm Jane Street is suspected of using insider information to precisely withdraw $85 million at a critical point during the Terra collapse, becoming a major force in crushing liquidity.
From the recently discussed "10 o'clock crash strategy" to previous heavy fines in India for manipulating options, the market-making logic of these Wall Street giants is remarkably similar: leveraging capital advantages and ultra-low latency algorithms to create panic at points of weak liquidity and profit from it.
This lawsuit, delayed for three years, sends a clear signal: the crypto market is facing severe "cross-cycle accountability." The transparency of on-chain data combined with traditional legal tools is making the front-running trades and insider communications of market makers inescapable. The era of giants running blindly has come to an end; compliance will be the only bottom line in future games.
#JaneStreet10点抛售 $BTC
In 2022, the aftershocks of the collapse of $USTC have not yet settled. Recent court documents reveal that top quantitative firm Jane Street is suspected of using insider information to precisely withdraw $85 million at a critical point during the Terra collapse, becoming a major force in crushing liquidity.
From the recently discussed "10 o'clock crash strategy" to previous heavy fines in India for manipulating options, the market-making logic of these Wall Street giants is remarkably similar: leveraging capital advantages and ultra-low latency algorithms to create panic at points of weak liquidity and profit from it.
This lawsuit, delayed for three years, sends a clear signal: the crypto market is facing severe "cross-cycle accountability." The transparency of on-chain data combined with traditional legal tools is making the front-running trades and insider communications of market makers inescapable. The era of giants running blindly has come to an end; compliance will be the only bottom line in future games.
#JaneStreet10点抛售 $BTC
Combining the current K-line pattern and options data, $BTC is likely to show a consolidation phase followed by an upward test in the repair trend over the next week.
K-line technical analysis:
After experiencing a previous one-sided decline, BTC has received strong buying support at the $60,000 round number, currently rebounding to around $65,000. Although the overall trend is still suppressed by the upper moving averages (such as MA7 around $66,335), the short-term downward momentum has eased, and a bottom structure is being formed.
Options data analysis:
• Short-term (February 28 settlement): The maximum pain point is located at $64,000. The current price (close to 65,000) is very close to the pain point, indicating that market makers are motivated to maintain the price within this range to maximize profits, suggesting a high probability of narrow fluctuations in the next one or two days.
• Next week (March 6 settlement): The maximum pain point has significantly moved up to $67,000. Meanwhile, the chart shows a large volume of put options near $58,000, forming a very strong bottom defense line.
Comprehensive forecast for the next week:
Against the backdrop of strong support, $BTC is expected to oscillate around the $64,000-$65,000 range in the next two days to digest pressure; with the opening of the new week's settlement cycle, driven by the upward shift of the maximum pain point, prices are expected to break through short-term moving average resistance and launch an attack towards $67,000. The core defensive level below is $60,000; as long as this level is not broken, the rebound logic remains valid.
K-line technical analysis:
After experiencing a previous one-sided decline, BTC has received strong buying support at the $60,000 round number, currently rebounding to around $65,000. Although the overall trend is still suppressed by the upper moving averages (such as MA7 around $66,335), the short-term downward momentum has eased, and a bottom structure is being formed.
Options data analysis:
• Short-term (February 28 settlement): The maximum pain point is located at $64,000. The current price (close to 65,000) is very close to the pain point, indicating that market makers are motivated to maintain the price within this range to maximize profits, suggesting a high probability of narrow fluctuations in the next one or two days.
• Next week (March 6 settlement): The maximum pain point has significantly moved up to $67,000. Meanwhile, the chart shows a large volume of put options near $58,000, forming a very strong bottom defense line.
Comprehensive forecast for the next week:
Against the backdrop of strong support, $BTC is expected to oscillate around the $64,000-$65,000 range in the next two days to digest pressure; with the opening of the new week's settlement cycle, driven by the upward shift of the maximum pain point, prices are expected to break through short-term moving average resistance and launch an attack towards $67,000. The core defensive level below is $60,000; as long as this level is not broken, the rebound logic remains valid.
🚨 【Outrageous】 Domestic mooncake sales flop? Little Yang borrowed to go to the US, wildly cutting foreign leeks on Wall Street! 🚨
Who says that if it's cool in the country, you can only retreat from the internet? Come and see a textbook-level capital magic trick!
Remember the three sheep that fell into a deadlock because of "Meicheng Mooncake"? On the surface, they are quietly paying fines and stopping broadcasts for rectification in the country, but behind the scenes, Little Yang has long gone to Nasdaq to play advanced micro-manipulation!
#三只羊 didn't spend a penny in cash, directly binding overseas business with TikTok's global number one internet celebrity "Speechless Brother" (Khaby Lame), borrowing the shell of the US stock company Rich Sparkle (code changed to ANPA), and quickly created a capital game valued at nearly $1 billion!
With this "cross-border e-commerce + global top IP" pie drawn, this stock rose from $4 to $180 in just a few days (a staggering 45 times!), and then rapidly crashed back to around $10.
This roller coaster-level K-line is no different from our cryptocurrency circle's MEME coins cutting leeks! It turns out that the end of livestream e-commerce is to go to Wall Street to do "Pump and Dump" with coins!
Don't laugh at them for just being a funny internet celebrity; the top MCN's scythe has long completed its cross-national upgrade. You think they are done for, but they just switched to another pond to continue their low-dimensional attacks.
Brothers, from $4 to $180 and then back to the starting point, how do you evaluate this US stock manipulation method? Please give a follow, and let's meet in the comments section! 👇
Who says that if it's cool in the country, you can only retreat from the internet? Come and see a textbook-level capital magic trick!
Remember the three sheep that fell into a deadlock because of "Meicheng Mooncake"? On the surface, they are quietly paying fines and stopping broadcasts for rectification in the country, but behind the scenes, Little Yang has long gone to Nasdaq to play advanced micro-manipulation!
#三只羊 didn't spend a penny in cash, directly binding overseas business with TikTok's global number one internet celebrity "Speechless Brother" (Khaby Lame), borrowing the shell of the US stock company Rich Sparkle (code changed to ANPA), and quickly created a capital game valued at nearly $1 billion!
With this "cross-border e-commerce + global top IP" pie drawn, this stock rose from $4 to $180 in just a few days (a staggering 45 times!), and then rapidly crashed back to around $10.
This roller coaster-level K-line is no different from our cryptocurrency circle's MEME coins cutting leeks! It turns out that the end of livestream e-commerce is to go to Wall Street to do "Pump and Dump" with coins!
Don't laugh at them for just being a funny internet celebrity; the top MCN's scythe has long completed its cross-national upgrade. You think they are done for, but they just switched to another pond to continue their low-dimensional attacks.
Brothers, from $4 to $180 and then back to the starting point, how do you evaluate this US stock manipulation method? Please give a follow, and let's meet in the comments section! 👇
🚨 V Dog selling off, EF cutbacks: Has the “tightening era” of Ethereum really arrived?
1️⃣ Are the big players retreating? V Dog has reportedly reduced its holdings by over 8,800 ETH in the past few days, cashing out nearly 20 million dollars. Although the official statement claims it’s to “fund special projects,” during a time when ETH is on a downtrend, even dipping below 2,000, this action feels like a blow to believers.
2️⃣ Rumors of “bankruptcy” for the foundation? The Ethereum Foundation (EF) has officially announced the start of a five-year “moderate tightening period.” They claim to optimize resources, but in reality, they just have no money to distribute! Once upon a time, EF’s Grants were a lifeline for many projects, and now they themselves have to rely on staking 16,000 ETH to earn a “dead salary” to maintain operations.
3️⃣ Anti-consensus alert: Don’t just look at that 2026 roadmap. In reality, EF is busy “violently seizing power” from the dominant players. On the surface, it’s about decentralization, but behind the scenes, it’s a redistribution of power.
As the myth begins to tighten, and the big players start cashing out, do you still want to buy into the so-called “world computer” at this price? In the front line of the gossip, leave your thoughts in the comments, can $ETH still return to 3000?
1️⃣ Are the big players retreating? V Dog has reportedly reduced its holdings by over 8,800 ETH in the past few days, cashing out nearly 20 million dollars. Although the official statement claims it’s to “fund special projects,” during a time when ETH is on a downtrend, even dipping below 2,000, this action feels like a blow to believers.
2️⃣ Rumors of “bankruptcy” for the foundation? The Ethereum Foundation (EF) has officially announced the start of a five-year “moderate tightening period.” They claim to optimize resources, but in reality, they just have no money to distribute! Once upon a time, EF’s Grants were a lifeline for many projects, and now they themselves have to rely on staking 16,000 ETH to earn a “dead salary” to maintain operations.
3️⃣ Anti-consensus alert: Don’t just look at that 2026 roadmap. In reality, EF is busy “violently seizing power” from the dominant players. On the surface, it’s about decentralization, but behind the scenes, it’s a redistribution of power.
As the myth begins to tighten, and the big players start cashing out, do you still want to buy into the so-called “world computer” at this price? In the front line of the gossip, leave your thoughts in the comments, can $ETH still return to 3000?
Just surpassed MARA to become the world's largest publicly listed self-operated mining company, Bitdeer (比特小鹿), has surprisingly emptied its coffers! Besides customer deposits, they not only sold out 189.8 units produced recently $BTC but also cleared out 943.1 units of reserves.
With the network difficulty skyrocketing by 14.7% (the largest increase since May 2021), the price of computing power has fallen below $30/PH/day, and mining profits have directly approached historical lows.
But don't rush to shout 'mining crisis'! Bitdeer's move is 'taking a step back to see a broader sky'. They just secured $325 million in financing through Wall Street, with a clear purpose: to restructure debt and then fully enter AI and high-performance computing (HPC)! This is not surrender; it’s a stunning turnaround! Do you think other mining companies will follow suit? Is this really a signal of a bottom?
With the network difficulty skyrocketing by 14.7% (the largest increase since May 2021), the price of computing power has fallen below $30/PH/day, and mining profits have directly approached historical lows.
But don't rush to shout 'mining crisis'! Bitdeer's move is 'taking a step back to see a broader sky'. They just secured $325 million in financing through Wall Street, with a clear purpose: to restructure debt and then fully enter AI and high-performance computing (HPC)! This is not surrender; it’s a stunning turnaround! Do you think other mining companies will follow suit? Is this really a signal of a bottom?
The X platform tightens "dark advertising", and the spring of #币安广场 has arrived
I just came across an important piece of news: X (Twitter) will launch a mandatory "advertising disclosure" feature next week! The reason is due to the rampant "unpublished advertisements" in the prediction market and AI field on the platform, and the official decision to take action to rectify it.
What does this mean for our crypto circle?
• The X platform will become increasingly difficult to navigate: In the future, posting project analysis or KOL promotions on X will likely be forced to be labeled as advertisements. Everyone knows that once labeled, traffic will be strictly limited by algorithms, and the survival space for crypto creators on X will be severely compressed.
• A great opportunity for Binance Square: In comparison, Binance Square, as a vertical crypto community, highlights its advantages! People come here to see valuable content, find wealth codes, and discuss market trends. There’s no need to be evasive like on X; the content environment is more pure and direct.
As X intensifies its restrictions on crypto content, high-quality content, creators, and active traders will surely accelerate their move to Binance Square. The traffic dividend period that belongs to our square is really about to arrive!
I just came across an important piece of news: X (Twitter) will launch a mandatory "advertising disclosure" feature next week! The reason is due to the rampant "unpublished advertisements" in the prediction market and AI field on the platform, and the official decision to take action to rectify it.
What does this mean for our crypto circle?
• The X platform will become increasingly difficult to navigate: In the future, posting project analysis or KOL promotions on X will likely be forced to be labeled as advertisements. Everyone knows that once labeled, traffic will be strictly limited by algorithms, and the survival space for crypto creators on X will be severely compressed.
• A great opportunity for Binance Square: In comparison, Binance Square, as a vertical crypto community, highlights its advantages! People come here to see valuable content, find wealth codes, and discuss market trends. There’s no need to be evasive like on X; the content environment is more pure and direct.
As X intensifies its restrictions on crypto content, high-quality content, creators, and active traders will surely accelerate their move to Binance Square. The traffic dividend period that belongs to our square is really about to arrive!
🚨 Breaking news: #老高小茉 rumored to be fined 415 million?🚨
Family in the crypto world, today a screenshot of a "Administrative Penalty Decision" from the top YouTuber "Lao Gao and Xiao Mo" is wildly circulated in major communities.
It is rumored that Lao Gao (currently residing in Singapore) was fined by Dalian police 10 times the amount for using VPN software for videos and evading substantial taxes, amounting to an astonishing 415 million RMB! 😱 According to the screenshot, their total income from YouTube between 2014-2026 is approximately 5.77 million USD.
Lao Gao's real name is Gao Quan, from Dalian; Xiao Mo's real name is unknown, from Inner Mongolia. Lao Gao moved to Japan in 2004 for work, and the two got married in Japan in 2009, moving to Singapore to live to this day in 2021. Xiao Mo has been reported to have a wealthy background and primarily works in real estate investment.
Family in the crypto world, today a screenshot of a "Administrative Penalty Decision" from the top YouTuber "Lao Gao and Xiao Mo" is wildly circulated in major communities.
It is rumored that Lao Gao (currently residing in Singapore) was fined by Dalian police 10 times the amount for using VPN software for videos and evading substantial taxes, amounting to an astonishing 415 million RMB! 😱 According to the screenshot, their total income from YouTube between 2014-2026 is approximately 5.77 million USD.
Lao Gao's real name is Gao Quan, from Dalian; Xiao Mo's real name is unknown, from Inner Mongolia. Lao Gao moved to Japan in 2004 for work, and the two got married in Japan in 2009, moving to Singapore to live to this day in 2021. Xiao Mo has been reported to have a wealthy background and primarily works in real estate investment.
🚨 Breaking news! In the past 48 hours, the Chinese Crypto circle has witnessed the most dramatic collapse incident: the self-proclaimed "Prince of Binance" KOL Enheng has been personally unfollowed by CZ! 😱
What exactly happened? The cause was that Enheng recently released a highly controversial AI parody video. In the video, he not only referred to He Yi as "mom," but also forcefully added drama to the executives, depicting He Yi fighting against OKX's Xu Mingxing in a melodramatic storyline to "save his son," while also dragging down other KOLs like Wang Duanniao. As a result, instead of gaining clarity, he completely enraged the higher-ups due to the "forced kidnapping of the executives' image" and provoking infighting.
Currently, CZ has decisively unfollowed Enheng and Phyrex, and BSC ecosystem projects are quickly deleting tweets and cutting ties. Enheng himself is so scared that he has set his Twitter to private overnight to protect himself. From "Prince" to "abandoned pawn" in just under two days! Want to see a more detailed analysis? Click 小作文链接👈!
What exactly happened? The cause was that Enheng recently released a highly controversial AI parody video. In the video, he not only referred to He Yi as "mom," but also forcefully added drama to the executives, depicting He Yi fighting against OKX's Xu Mingxing in a melodramatic storyline to "save his son," while also dragging down other KOLs like Wang Duanniao. As a result, instead of gaining clarity, he completely enraged the higher-ups due to the "forced kidnapping of the executives' image" and provoking infighting.
Currently, CZ has decisively unfollowed Enheng and Phyrex, and BSC ecosystem projects are quickly deleting tweets and cutting ties. Enheng himself is so scared that he has set his Twitter to private overnight to protect himself. From "Prince" to "abandoned pawn" in just under two days! Want to see a more detailed analysis? Click 小作文链接👈!
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