Economist, Long-Term investor, tries to see far, technical analysis but after fundamental analysis, Clear vision, personal portfolio creation assistance
Fed's Tightening Continues: What It Means for High-Risk Assets
The black line (Fed Balance Sheet) represents the total assets held by the Fed. This line reflects the Fed’s monetary policy actions (for example, quantitative easing - QE or tightening - QT). As you can see, tightening is still ongoing.
The green line (Fed Liquidity) represents the liquidity provided by the Fed. Flat.
The blue line (Real M2 Real Money Stock) represents the inflation-adjusted M2 money supply. Flat.
The chart shows that the Fed is still in the tightening phase.
Right now, there is no issue for stocks, and the economy is in a Goldilocks position, but for high-risk assets to rise, the scenario requires the green (Fed liquidity) and blue (M2 money supply) lines to increase, while the black (Fed balance sheet) line remains at least stable.
I remember the 2022 bottom very well—doomsday scenarios never stopped. I recall about five people, including myself, who said a reversal was possible and were accumulating stocks. The current sentiment feels just like the 2022 bottom. Nonsense! These days have nothing to do with those days. As for the real purpose behind this fear-mongering, I explain it in my morning newsletters on Patreon. It's a well-thought-out plan
$TMDX #TMDX held at the EMA50-55 averages within the fair value gap zone. Its major cycle is complete. Now, it’s about to start a new cycle. For a reversal, it first needs to close above $91, then a monthly close above $107. The next steps should be evaluated after.
$BTC $XRP $SOL $ADA Crytocurrencies rally as Trump hypes up strategic reserve, Bitcoin briefly crosses $95K
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) briefly crossed $95,000 on Sunday after President Donald Trump talked up cryptocurreinces and named five digital assets he expects to include in a new U.S. crypto strategic reserve.
Other cryptocurrencies also rallied as the President named previously unannounced digital assets for his planned crypto reserve.
Trump on social media said his January executive order would create a crypto stockpile that will include bitcoin (BTC-USD), ethereum (ETH-USD), XRP (XRP-USD), SOL (SOL-USD) and ADA (ADA-USD).
Bitcoin (BTC-USD) jumped over 10%, ethereum (ETH-USD) 12%, XRP (XRP-USD) 31%, SOL (SOL-USD) 21% and ADA (ADA-USD) nearly 60%.
Trump said his executive order on crypto "directed the Presidential Working Group to move forward on a Crypto Strategic Reserve that includes XRP, SOL, and ADA."
"Obviously, BTC and ETH, as other valuable Cryptocurrencies, will be at the heart of the Reserve. I also love Bitcoin and Ethereum," Trump added in a post on Truth Social an hour later.
Trump's order, issued in January, talked about the "potential creation and maintenance of a national digital asset stockpile," but did not specify any tokens.
The Republican President became a darling of the crypto industry after embracing digital assets during his presidential campaign, promising to turn the U.S. into the "crypto capital of the planet and the bitcoin (BTC-USD) superpower of the world."
However, crytocurrencies have slumped in recent weeks as investors fretted over little regulatory progress beyond speculative memecoin launches and dealt with uncertainty around tariffs and inflation.
Trump is hosting the first White House Crypto Summit on Friday.
$CORZ #CORZ With the agreement made with CoreWeave and the news of an additional $1.2B in revenue, it held in the Equilibrium-Fair Value Gap region and bounced