crypto阿鬼
公众号:《慕青说趋势》web3早期布道者 资深交易员
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There have always been voices of doubt, but there is no need to argue about anything, no need to argue about anything, and even less need to say more; getting ashore is the fundamental
At the end of last month, I found a fan of A Gui who lost 2.3w; let's see how A Gui helps the fans slowly recover with a capital of 1000. A Gui never plays with illusions, everything is based on strength. You will realize how appealing it is
#ETH突破4600 #CPI数据来袭 #Strategy增持比特币
At the end of last month, I found a fan of A Gui who lost 2.3w; let's see how A Gui helps the fans slowly recover with a capital of 1000. A Gui never plays with illusions, everything is based on strength. You will realize how appealing it is
#ETH突破4600 #CPI数据来袭 #Strategy增持比特币
PINNED
Why do so many people choose to believe in me?
In these years of trading, I have guided too many fans who are lost in the cryptocurrency world, facing liquidation with despair in their eyes. Some of them had only a few dozen dollars when they first added me, filled with helplessness and hopelessness.
Some fans are heavily in debt and just want someone to talk to, seeking a chance to turn their situation around. Others have over a hundred thousand dollars stuck in their accounts, wanting to leave but reluctant to do so. In reality, they just need someone else to make a decision for them.
I've been doing this for two or three years now, and I will never promise you that you can get rich overnight. However, I can help you walk out of this slowly, step by step.
The principle is very simple: it can be slow; there will always be opportunities even if you miss the market, move forward steadily, do not go all in, do not hold on stubbornly, and do not act recklessly.
I take responsibility for every fan. This is not an empty statement; it is the result of countless reviews, strict stop-losses, and rational planning that I have implemented. This is also the reason why so many fans are willing to follow me and trust me over the years.
The market can be crazy, but we must remain calm. Money can be earned endlessly. First, learn how not to lose, and then learn how to make money. My understanding of the cryptocurrency market is that the mindset must be stable; thus, there is no rush. Those who are too eager are destined not to make much money in the cryptocurrency market.
Which stage you are at does not matter; what matters is whether you have met the right person to guide you.
#币安Alpha上新 #以色列伊朗冲突
In these years of trading, I have guided too many fans who are lost in the cryptocurrency world, facing liquidation with despair in their eyes. Some of them had only a few dozen dollars when they first added me, filled with helplessness and hopelessness.
Some fans are heavily in debt and just want someone to talk to, seeking a chance to turn their situation around. Others have over a hundred thousand dollars stuck in their accounts, wanting to leave but reluctant to do so. In reality, they just need someone else to make a decision for them.
I've been doing this for two or three years now, and I will never promise you that you can get rich overnight. However, I can help you walk out of this slowly, step by step.
The principle is very simple: it can be slow; there will always be opportunities even if you miss the market, move forward steadily, do not go all in, do not hold on stubbornly, and do not act recklessly.
I take responsibility for every fan. This is not an empty statement; it is the result of countless reviews, strict stop-losses, and rational planning that I have implemented. This is also the reason why so many fans are willing to follow me and trust me over the years.
The market can be crazy, but we must remain calm. Money can be earned endlessly. First, learn how not to lose, and then learn how to make money. My understanding of the cryptocurrency market is that the mindset must be stable; thus, there is no rush. Those who are too eager are destined not to make much money in the cryptocurrency market.
Which stage you are at does not matter; what matters is whether you have met the right person to guide you.
#币安Alpha上新 #以色列伊朗冲突
牛逼，布拉斯
Geopolitical sentiment on the rise! Will the Peace Committee boost BTC? Don't panic, this wave is an 'emotional bull'.
The impact of Trump's 'Peace Committee' on the cryptocurrency circle is essentially a short-term resonance of geopolitical factors + regulatory expectations + capital flows, while the long-term impact depends on whether it can promote asset digitization and cross-border compliance cooperation.
After the announcement, BTC/ETH rose briefly.
1%-2%, then it fell back to avoid risk sentiment pulses. For the cryptocurrency circle, it was just a short-term emotional trade, with no significant long-term impact. Mainstream coins rose slightly and then fell back, with overall volatility increasing.
From the news perspective,
Currently, it is recommended to focus on: the expansion of subsequent committee members, the pace of funding implementation, details of U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory policies, and the Middle East region.
After the announcement, BTC/ETH rose briefly.
1%-2%, then it fell back to avoid risk sentiment pulses. For the cryptocurrency circle, it was just a short-term emotional trade, with no significant long-term impact. Mainstream coins rose slightly and then fell back, with overall volatility increasing.
From the news perspective,
Currently, it is recommended to focus on: the expansion of subsequent committee members, the pace of funding implementation, details of U.S. cryptocurrency regulatory policies, and the Middle East region.
Bloodbath or Surge? Initial Jobless Claims Affecting Ethereum's Lifeline
The latest initial jobless claims data was released on January 22, and the resilience of the U.S. labor market has become the focus of the market. As a high-risk asset, Ethereum is immediately facing a macroeconomic test. This core data, which directly influences the direction of the Federal Reserve's monetary policy, will determine whether Ethereum will face a liquidity crisis or find an opportunity for a rebound due to interest rate cut expectations. The current market answer is about to be revealed.
Fundamental analysis:
In recent months, the data has remained relatively stable, with no sudden changes. The data is slightly higher or lower, and my personal judgment is that it has little impact on the overall trend, still maintaining a bearish trend.
Fundamental analysis:
In recent months, the data has remained relatively stable, with no sudden changes. The data is slightly higher or lower, and my personal judgment is that it has little impact on the overall trend, still maintaining a bearish trend.
Ethereum Afternoon Analysis
Current Market ETH is in a [downtrend]
Technical Core Drivers: MA/EMA bearish arrangement and death cross form a strong bearish signal, while increasing volume and price decline resonate to further confirm market selling pressure.
External Environment Impact: Market sentiment neutral, macro environment pressure limited, and no significant event risk; the impact of the external environment on the short-term trend is relatively weak.
Major Potential Risks: TD sequence shows price in the oversold region, and a technical rebound may occur in the short term, requiring caution against the rebound's interference with short strategies.
ETH is currently in a clear downtrend, with technical indicators showing a bearish arrangement of moving averages and a death cross forming a strong bearish signal. Additionally, increasing volume and price decline resonate, indicating heavy market selling pressure. The recent appearance of a evening star pattern further confirms the market's downward pressure. However, the TD sequence suggests that prices have entered the oversold region, indicating a potential technical rebound in the short term, which conflicts with the overall trend.
Technical Core Drivers: MA/EMA bearish arrangement and death cross form a strong bearish signal, while increasing volume and price decline resonate to further confirm market selling pressure.
External Environment Impact: Market sentiment neutral, macro environment pressure limited, and no significant event risk; the impact of the external environment on the short-term trend is relatively weak.
Major Potential Risks: TD sequence shows price in the oversold region, and a technical rebound may occur in the short term, requiring caution against the rebound's interference with short strategies.
ETH is currently in a clear downtrend, with technical indicators showing a bearish arrangement of moving averages and a death cross forming a strong bearish signal. Additionally, increasing volume and price decline resonate, indicating heavy market selling pressure. The recent appearance of a evening star pattern further confirms the market's downward pressure. However, the TD sequence suggests that prices have entered the oversold region, indicating a potential technical rebound in the short term, which conflicts with the overall trend.
Today's Crypto Market: Bitcoin Holds Steady Amid Selling Pressure, Altcoins Decline
The price of Bitcoin BTC $91,462.00 has not changed much in the past 24 hours, despite several cryptocurrency exchanges facing a wave of selling pressure. Lookonchain revealed that a long-term holder transferred $228 million worth of Bitcoin to Kraken, while Bitcoin miner MARA Holdings (MARA) transferred $58 million worth of BTC to Falcon X and Coinbase Prime.
The market absorbed this increased supply, and BTC's trading volume increased by 5%, reaching $81 billion.
The altcoin market performed worse than Bitcoin. Ethereum ETH $3,033.72 fell by 3.4%, along with several other tokens, some of which, including canton (CC), dropped by more than 10%.
The market absorbed this increased supply, and BTC's trading volume increased by 5%, reaching $81 billion.
The altcoin market performed worse than Bitcoin. Ethereum ETH $3,033.72 fell by 3.4%, along with several other tokens, some of which, including canton (CC), dropped by more than 10%.
The speed of the market's subsequent decline will slow down
The market is still at a new low. From yesterday's situation, Bitcoin almost broke through the technical support of 90,000. In terms of the overall trend, it is now heading towards a bear market. The only hope is that it can hold at the 90,000 position and form a rebound. If there is really a rebound, it could actually be a good opportunity for most people to reduce their holdings. Of course, I mentioned reducing holdings at a high price a few days ago when Ethereum broke through 3500.
On the macro level, the current liquidity situation is actually not so pessimistic and desperate. The US stock market has indeed experienced a few weeks of decline, but there has still been no sign of a collapse. However, we seem to be struggling a bit, which is truly puzzling. According to the logic of this market cycle, altcoins themselves have not shown any signs.
On the macro level, the current liquidity situation is actually not so pessimistic and desperate. The US stock market has indeed experienced a few weeks of decline, but there has still been no sign of a collapse. However, we seem to be struggling a bit, which is truly puzzling. According to the logic of this market cycle, altcoins themselves have not shown any signs.
Custom Indicator. Say goodbye to hesitation! 【Multi-Period Trend Ranking】 Quantifying short- to medium-term capital intentions, accurately capturing trend starting points!
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1. Core Principle: EMA, the easiest indicator to capture trends?
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a skill
The foundation of technical analysis, as it possesses two irreplaceable characteristics:
We bring you a deeply optimized trend tool - 【Multi-Period EMA Trend Ranking Indicator】. It is not just an indicator, but a decision-making system for quantifying short- to medium-term capital flows, aiming to capture the strongest and healthiest moments of trend initiation!
1. Core Principle: EMA, the easiest indicator to capture trends?
Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a skill
The foundation of technical analysis, as it possesses two irreplaceable characteristics:
Ethereum 'Interop Layer' Plan: From Chain Management 'Maze' to Network Era 'Broad Path'
Ethereum is building a highly unified and collaborative chain ecosystem.
Last night, the Ethereum Foundation's official blog revealed that the Ethereum accounts and chain abstraction team have proposed the 'Ethereum Interop Layer (EIL)' plan, aiming to merge all Layer 2 (L2) networks into a single and unified Ethereum chain at the user perception level, making cross-L2 transactions as seamless as single-chain transactions, while maintaining minimal trust and a decentralized foundation.
The concepts related to the interoperability layer were first proposed in late August this year and are currently in the testing and development stage.
Last night, the Ethereum Foundation's official blog revealed that the Ethereum accounts and chain abstraction team have proposed the 'Ethereum Interop Layer (EIL)' plan, aiming to merge all Layer 2 (L2) networks into a single and unified Ethereum chain at the user perception level, making cross-L2 transactions as seamless as single-chain transactions, while maintaining minimal trust and a decentralized foundation.
The concepts related to the interoperability layer were first proposed in late August this year and are currently in the testing and development stage.
Nvidia's earnings report breaks through the core of the Earth, the Federal Reserve suddenly flips the table! What exactly happened in the market today?
What's even more intense is that it forecasts next quarter's revenue to soar to 65 billion, exceeding expectations by more than 3 billion! Jensen Huang personally calls out the AI bubble?
It doesn't exist at all! Impossible.
When this data came out, the market went wild,
Nvidia's after-hours stock price soared by 5%, and Nasdaq futures followed up by 1%,
Even Bitcoin surged to $91,500, and Ethereum returned to $3,000! Why so fierce?
Because Nvidia is now the 'shovel seller' of the AI era, global tech giants are scrambling to buy its chips to build AI data centers, and the demand simply cannot stop.
But on the other hand, the Federal Reserve suddenly poured cold water!
It doesn't exist at all! Impossible.
When this data came out, the market went wild,
Nvidia's after-hours stock price soared by 5%, and Nasdaq futures followed up by 1%,
Even Bitcoin surged to $91,500, and Ethereum returned to $3,000! Why so fierce?
Because Nvidia is now the 'shovel seller' of the AI era, global tech giants are scrambling to buy its chips to build AI data centers, and the demand simply cannot stop.
But on the other hand, the Federal Reserve suddenly poured cold water!
Why isn't your token increasing?
We view casino cash flow as recurring revenue from software.
At present, everyone in the cryptocurrency industry is focused on the same headlines:
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are now online
Physical enterprises are integrating stablecoins
Regulatory attitudes are becoming increasingly friendly
Aren't these exactly everything we have dreamed of? But why is the price still sluggish? Why has Bitcoin fluctuated back and forth this year, giving up its gains, while the US stock market has risen by 15%-20%? Why, even though 'cryptocurrency is no longer a scam' has become mainstream consensus, are the altcoins you are optimistic about still in a state of loss?
At present, everyone in the cryptocurrency industry is focused on the same headlines:
Exchange-traded funds (ETFs) are now online
Physical enterprises are integrating stablecoins
Regulatory attitudes are becoming increasingly friendly
Aren't these exactly everything we have dreamed of? But why is the price still sluggish? Why has Bitcoin fluctuated back and forth this year, giving up its gains, while the US stock market has risen by 15%-20%? Why, even though 'cryptocurrency is no longer a scam' has become mainstream consensus, are the altcoins you are optimistic about still in a state of loss?
Digital Asset Earthquake: Mt. Gox and the Billion-Level Payout Storm
Over one billion dollars' worth of Bitcoin and altcoins are waking up from the wallets of two once-dominant exchanges, and a potential asset transfer that could reshape the market landscape is unfolding.
In the past week, the cryptocurrency world witnessed the most significant asset movement in two years: the long-dormant Mt. Gox wallet suddenly transferred approximately $956 million worth of Bitcoin after eight months of inactivity.
Meanwhile, FTX/Alameda-related addresses have also been unusually active, transferring millions of dollars' worth of various tokens to exchanges and custodians, presumably in preparation for creditor payouts.
In the past week, the cryptocurrency world witnessed the most significant asset movement in two years: the long-dormant Mt. Gox wallet suddenly transferred approximately $956 million worth of Bitcoin after eight months of inactivity.
Meanwhile, FTX/Alameda-related addresses have also been unusually active, transferring millions of dollars' worth of various tokens to exchanges and custodians, presumably in preparation for creditor payouts.
Wow, Bitget has an unexpected situation, brothers be careful to avoid risks!
Special reminder! Special reminder! Special reminder! Important things are said three times
It is currently uncertain whether it is related to the Cloudflare incident or an internal issue. The rumors on the internet are chaotic, so please be sure to carefully discern! At critical moments, Binance is still the most reassuring!
——————Review of the entire incident——————
Breaking news! The global network has collapsed, but Binance remains steady as a rock!
Last night, half of the internet suddenly crashed! Massive Cloudflare failure, from the Federal Reserve's official website to major mainstream websites collectively going blank, global users frantically refreshing 502…
Digital version of 'Midnight Horror' transcript
It is currently uncertain whether it is related to the Cloudflare incident or an internal issue. The rumors on the internet are chaotic, so please be sure to carefully discern! At critical moments, Binance is still the most reassuring!
——————Review of the entire incident——————
Breaking news! The global network has collapsed, but Binance remains steady as a rock!
Last night, half of the internet suddenly crashed! Massive Cloudflare failure, from the Federal Reserve's official website to major mainstream websites collectively going blank, global users frantically refreshing 502…
Digital version of 'Midnight Horror' transcript
A sleepless night! The Federal Reserve and Nvidia join forces to throw a 'big bomb', a tidal wave of wealth is coming!
Stop scrolling! Tonight, two nuclear-level events will ignite the global market:
1. The Federal Reserve's 'central bank dream team' will have a late-night series of discussions: Starting at 11 PM, the board members will take turns speaking, and at 3 AM, they will release internal meeting minutes. Every word that comes from them directly relates to the tightening or loosening of the global 'tap'—remember, when the tap is loose, the crypto market goes wild; when the tap is tight, the crypto market crashes!
2. Nvidia's earnings report, not just a celebration of AI: At 5 AM, this company's earnings report, the 'center of the tech universe', will be the emotional switch for global risk capital. If the performance is outstanding, funds may abandon cryptocurrencies for stocks; if the performance fails, Bitcoin may instead become a safe haven.
1. The Federal Reserve's 'central bank dream team' will have a late-night series of discussions: Starting at 11 PM, the board members will take turns speaking, and at 3 AM, they will release internal meeting minutes. Every word that comes from them directly relates to the tightening or loosening of the global 'tap'—remember, when the tap is loose, the crypto market goes wild; when the tap is tight, the crypto market crashes!
2. Nvidia's earnings report, not just a celebration of AI: At 5 AM, this company's earnings report, the 'center of the tech universe', will be the emotional switch for global risk capital. If the performance is outstanding, funds may abandon cryptocurrencies for stocks; if the performance fails, Bitcoin may instead become a safe haven.
Bitcoin Analysis – November 19th | The Two Main Scenarios Ahead
Bitcoin Analysis – November 19th | The Two Main Scenarios Ahead
Hello everyone! Hope you are having a great day today!
Today is November 19th, and the current trading price of Bitcoin is around $90,000.
The Fear and Greed Index is currently at 16, indicating extreme fear in the market.
Today, we have two main scenarios:
Scenario A – Bearish Continuation
The price may drop to $87,000 after breaking below $90,500.
However, since my breakout timeframe is 1 hour, this setup does not give me a proper stop loss.
Why?
No valid 1-hour high has formed to set a stop loss.
Hello everyone! Hope you are having a great day today!
Today is November 19th, and the current trading price of Bitcoin is around $90,000.
The Fear and Greed Index is currently at 16, indicating extreme fear in the market.
Today, we have two main scenarios:
Scenario A – Bearish Continuation
The price may drop to $87,000 after breaking below $90,500.
However, since my breakout timeframe is 1 hour, this setup does not give me a proper stop loss.
Why?
No valid 1-hour high has formed to set a stop loss.
Breaking! Trump states: Immediately remove Powell! Successor decided? Global markets about to shake!
Big event ignited! Just now, former President Trump dropped a financial bombshell—publicly declaring he wants to "immediately replace" Federal Reserve Chairman Powell. More explosively, he admitted: "I already know who will take over!"
Once the news broke, the financial markets surged with undercurrents. It's worth noting that when Trump appointed Powell during his presidency, he called him "smart and resilient," yet now he is targeting the independence of the central bank. What kind of game is hidden behind this power play?
Four key highlights at a glance:
Why did Trump suddenly strike? Is it inflation pressure or political leverage?
Potential successors emerging? Wall Street starts betting wildly
Once the news broke, the financial markets surged with undercurrents. It's worth noting that when Trump appointed Powell during his presidency, he called him "smart and resilient," yet now he is targeting the independence of the central bank. What kind of game is hidden behind this power play?
Four key highlights at a glance:
Why did Trump suddenly strike? Is it inflation pressure or political leverage?
Potential successors emerging? Wall Street starts betting wildly
America has just crossed the point of no return, and no one noticed.
America has just crossed the point of no return, and no one noticed.
$38.18 trillion in debt. This year's standalone deficit is $1.9 trillion. Interest payments have reached $970 billion annually, meaning we are now borrowing just to pay the interest on the money we've already borrowed.
This is not a crisis of the future. This is the crisis.
The Treasury auctions $500 billion in new debt every month. The spiral tightens every month. With 110% debt-to-GDP and a 4.1% interest rate, we have entered fiscal dominance: the entire purpose of the economy is to serve the debt.
The numbers reveal the facts that headlines have overlooked: 55% of the federal budget goes to benefits that cannot be cut. Interest payments consume another large chunk. What's left cannot fund our existing government, let alone the government we need.
$38.18 trillion in debt. This year's standalone deficit is $1.9 trillion. Interest payments have reached $970 billion annually, meaning we are now borrowing just to pay the interest on the money we've already borrowed.
This is not a crisis of the future. This is the crisis.
The Treasury auctions $500 billion in new debt every month. The spiral tightens every month. With 110% debt-to-GDP and a 4.1% interest rate, we have entered fiscal dominance: the entire purpose of the economy is to serve the debt.
The numbers reveal the facts that headlines have overlooked: 55% of the federal budget goes to benefits that cannot be cut. Interest payments consume another large chunk. What's left cannot fund our existing government, let alone the government we need.
Sudden good news? Saudi Arabia is pouring $1 trillion, is the dawn of the cryptocurrency market really coming?
[Sudden good news?] Saudi Arabia is pouring $1 trillion, is the dawn of the cryptocurrency market really coming?
Has the market reversed?
Friends, I just saw a heavy news! Just when the market is wailing, Saudi Arabia suddenly takes a big move - preparing to add $1 trillion investment in the U.S.!
The Saudi crown prince's latest statement is to increase investment in the U.S. to $1 trillion. This is not a small amount, combined with Trump's ambition to make the U.S. the 'world's number one virtual currency nation', this timing is simply intriguing.
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has indeed been alarming, many brothers say they can't hold on any longer. But history tells us that the darkest moments often come just before dawn. Will Saudi Arabia's trillion-dollar plan become the trigger for a rebound?
Has the market reversed?
Friends, I just saw a heavy news! Just when the market is wailing, Saudi Arabia suddenly takes a big move - preparing to add $1 trillion investment in the U.S.!
The Saudi crown prince's latest statement is to increase investment in the U.S. to $1 trillion. This is not a small amount, combined with Trump's ambition to make the U.S. the 'world's number one virtual currency nation', this timing is simply intriguing.
Recently, the cryptocurrency market has indeed been alarming, many brothers say they can't hold on any longer. But history tells us that the darkest moments often come just before dawn. Will Saudi Arabia's trillion-dollar plan become the trigger for a rebound?
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