VANRY is consolidating beautifully into a textbook bullish structure on the 4H chart, testing a major make-or-break zone! 📈
📊 The Quick Numbers: Price: 0.007973 (+1.49%) 5 EMA Support: 0.007645 (Immediate dynamic floor)
🔍 Key Technical Levels: The Trendline: Riding a rock-solid white ascending trendline, printing consistent higher lows. The Resistance: Knocking on a heavy red supply wall between 0.0083 – 0.0098.
Macro Support: The orange line at 0.0060 remains the key historical floor. A clean 4H close above the red box triggers the next leg up. Are you buying the trendline or waiting for the breakout?
Bitcoin bear markets don't end on a date. They end when there is no one left to capitulate.
At the last three cycle bottoms, Long-Term Holder supply in loss saturated at nearly the identical level:
Jan 2015: 33.8% of supply Dec 2018: 33.8% Nov 2022: 36.2%
Today: 36.2%.
A carbon copy of the 2022 low, after peaking at 39.1% on June 30 - the deepest LTH underwater reading in over a decade.
The ceiling exists because Satoshi-era and deep cold storage coins mathematically cannot go into loss.
When LTH loss saturates in the mid-30s, it means virtually every coin that moved during the bull market is now held at a loss.
There is nobody left to newly capitulate. Seller exhaustion, by construction.
Meanwhile, Short-Term Holder supply in loss spiked to 29.1% in January (identical to the 2018 bottom) and has since collapsed to 11.4% - a 34% drop in 30 days while price barely moved.
That only happens when the cost basis has been repriced at the lows. The sellers already sold. The buyers own their pain at $60K.
When we look at the calendar, prior bears bottomed 363 to 410 days after the peak. We are at day 274 - 72% of the way through the average bear on time, and 100% of the way through it on suffering.
Either this cycle compresses, or we get the 2015 treatment... months of sideways boredom while patient capital accumulates and everyone else rediscovers their passion for day trading dog shitcoins.
It is increasingly easier to say that exhaustion is already here.
Days Bitcoin has spent in price ranges: $1 - $10: 412 days $10 - $100: 352 days $100 - $1,000: 1356 days $1,000 - $10,000: 1115 days $10,000 - $100,000: 2117 days $100,000 - $1,000,000: 217 days $1,000,000 - $10,000,000: 0 days $10,000,000 - $100,000,000: 0 days
Bitcoin has reclaimed $61,000 and is now pushing into $63,500 resistance for the first time in weeks.
This is where things get interesting.
A confirmed breakout above $63.5K could shift momentum and put $65K+ back on the table.
But there's one problem...
Trading volume remains unusually light, largely due to the holiday weekend, while recent data continues to show liquidity building below price. That makes this a key area where bulls need real conviction.
Until Bitcoin decisively clears resistance, this is still a range.
$PI is printing a double top formation 👀 After testing resistance twice, buyers are struggling to push higher. The neckline is the key support to watch, as momentum is reaching a critical decision point. 📈
If bulls can defend support and reclaim the recent highs, this could turn into a fake breakdown and fuel a strong recovery. Otherwise, losing the neckline may invite short-term selling pressure. 🔥
PI is sitting at a major inflection zone—watch the next move closely because volatility is about to pick up. 🚀