空军888
一个人可以一无所获，却不能没有梦想
High-Frequency Trader
7.6 Years
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Today's TRUMP contract trading plan: Day trading with a scalping strategy, precise entry and exit points for profit and loss.
4.13 BTC Contract Trading Plan: Breaking the Stalemate, Precision Targeting $BTC
(Risk Warning: This article is only a technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Contract trading is high risk, and strict position and stop-loss management is required.)
Today, BTC has shown a typical high-level oscillation pattern, with a peak at 72800 encountering resistance and falling back. After testing the 70500 support, it rebounded quickly, and the battle between bulls and bears has intensified. The 70000 level is the lifeline for bulls, having held steady for 3 consecutive days on the daily chart, and the long lower shadow on the 4-hour chart confirms strong buying. However, the upper range of 72800-73000 has a cluster of trapped positions, with heavy selling pressure. The MACD is entangled at the zero axis, and momentum is weakening; the market is waiting for a directional breakthrough.
Core Trading Logic: Currently, it is a volatility structure dominated by positive Gamma. Until a breakout occurs, we will continue to primarily initiate low buys on pullbacks and lightly short as a secondary strategy. We will not chase rises or sell off in panic, only striking accurately at key points.
1. Bullish Strategy (Main Trend, Stability First)
• Opening Range: 70300-70800 (Enter when stabilizing after a pullback, with a pin bar or bullish candle)
• Stop-Loss Level: Below 69800 (If support is broken, the bullish structure is invalid)
• Target Levels:
◦ First Target: 72000 (Upper boundary of oscillation, reduce positions to take profit)
◦ Second Target: 72800-73000 (Key resistance level, take all profits)
• Position Size: 30% of total funds, split into 2 batches, enter 15% on pullback to 70500, add 15% if breaking below 70000.
2. Bearish Strategy (Short-Term Play, Light and Quick)
• Opening Range: 72500-72800 (Enter when resistance is met, with a long upper shadow or increased volume bearish candle)
• Stop-Loss Level: Above 73300 (If resistance is broken, the bearish position is abandoned)
• Target Levels: 71000-71500 (Support level, take profit immediately)
• Position Size: 15% of total funds, strict stop-loss, do not linger on trades.
3. Risk Control and Mindset
• If today's low of 70000 holds, the bullish trend remains unchanged; if it falls below 69800, all long positions will stop-loss, and a light short position will be taken.
• Reject emotional trading, execute plans only at key points, and do not be disturbed by short-term fluctuations.
• Control contract leverage at 5-10 times, avoid heavy positions, and preserve capital is more important than making quick profits.
Conclusion: The cryptocurrency market is never about luck but about discipline and waiting for opportunities. Today's low buy at 70300-70800 and short at 72500-72800, with precise levels and strict risk control, can ensure profits amidst volatility.
#Sam Altman回应住所遭袭 #美国3月CPI大幅上升
(Risk Warning: This article is only a technical analysis and does not constitute investment advice. Contract trading is high risk, and strict position and stop-loss management is required.)
Today, BTC has shown a typical high-level oscillation pattern, with a peak at 72800 encountering resistance and falling back. After testing the 70500 support, it rebounded quickly, and the battle between bulls and bears has intensified. The 70000 level is the lifeline for bulls, having held steady for 3 consecutive days on the daily chart, and the long lower shadow on the 4-hour chart confirms strong buying. However, the upper range of 72800-73000 has a cluster of trapped positions, with heavy selling pressure. The MACD is entangled at the zero axis, and momentum is weakening; the market is waiting for a directional breakthrough.
Core Trading Logic: Currently, it is a volatility structure dominated by positive Gamma. Until a breakout occurs, we will continue to primarily initiate low buys on pullbacks and lightly short as a secondary strategy. We will not chase rises or sell off in panic, only striking accurately at key points.
1. Bullish Strategy (Main Trend, Stability First)
• Opening Range: 70300-70800 (Enter when stabilizing after a pullback, with a pin bar or bullish candle)
• Stop-Loss Level: Below 69800 (If support is broken, the bullish structure is invalid)
• Target Levels:
◦ First Target: 72000 (Upper boundary of oscillation, reduce positions to take profit)
◦ Second Target: 72800-73000 (Key resistance level, take all profits)
• Position Size: 30% of total funds, split into 2 batches, enter 15% on pullback to 70500, add 15% if breaking below 70000.
2. Bearish Strategy (Short-Term Play, Light and Quick)
• Opening Range: 72500-72800 (Enter when resistance is met, with a long upper shadow or increased volume bearish candle)
• Stop-Loss Level: Above 73300 (If resistance is broken, the bearish position is abandoned)
• Target Levels: 71000-71500 (Support level, take profit immediately)
• Position Size: 15% of total funds, strict stop-loss, do not linger on trades.
3. Risk Control and Mindset
• If today's low of 70000 holds, the bullish trend remains unchanged; if it falls below 69800, all long positions will stop-loss, and a light short position will be taken.
• Reject emotional trading, execute plans only at key points, and do not be disturbed by short-term fluctuations.
• Control contract leverage at 5-10 times, avoid heavy positions, and preserve capital is more important than making quick profits.
Conclusion: The cryptocurrency market is never about luck but about discipline and waiting for opportunities. Today's low buy at 70300-70800 and short at 72500-72800, with precise levels and strict risk control, can ensure profits amidst volatility.
#Sam Altman回应住所遭袭 #美国3月CPI大幅上升
(Mid-April 2026, Key Interval Showdown)
Every fluctuation is a buildup for a breakthrough; every hesitation is a limit on opportunity. Currently, BTC has been hovering between $67,000 and $72,500 for nearly two months, with a high concentration of long and short positions. A direction must emerge in mid-April. We all understand: the interval must break to establish, and the price points determine profit and loss.
1. Market Layout (Understand at a Glance)
• Macro: Repeated expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, geopolitical disturbances, moderate inflow of ETF funds
• Technical: Large box pattern on the daily chart, $67,000 is the life-and-death line, $72,500 is strong resistance
• Sentiment: Continuous 60 days of "extreme fear," bottom signals brewing but selling pressure still exists
• Conclusion: Mainly short positions for the short term, with some long positions; if there’s a breakthrough, chase the trend.
2. Contract Opening Points (Precise to Units)
【Stable · Low Long Plan】(Main Strategy)
• Opening: $68,500–$69,000 (bouncing back to stabilize, 4H closes positive)
• Stop Loss: $67,800 (give up on breakouts, do not hold positions)
• Target 1: $70,000 (take profit on half position)
• Target 2: $72,000–$72,500 (liquidate remaining)
【Aggressive · High Short Plan】(Secondary Strategy)
• Opening: $71,500–$72,000 (under pressure, falling back, 4H closes negative)
• Stop Loss: $72,800 (reverse on breakthrough, do not short)
• Target 1: $70,000 (take profit on half position)
• Target 2: $68,500–$69,000 (liquidate remaining)
【Breakthrough · Trend Following Plan】(Trend Position)
• Break through $72,500 and stabilize: chase long, stop loss at $71,800, target $75,000+
• Break below $67,000 and increase in volume: chase short, stop loss at $67,800, target $63,000–$65,000
3. Risk Control and Mindset (Key to Making Big Money)
• Position: Single trade ≤10%, do not over-leverage, do not go against the trend, do not add to losing positions
• Discipline: Enter at the scheduled time, cut losses when hit, exit at targets
• Resonance: How many people fall for “just wait a bit longer,” how many losses stem from “fear of missing out.” Plan your trades, trade your plans.
4. Conclusion
April is the turning point for BTC, $68,500 and $72,000 are the key levels. The cautious will wait for a pullback to go long, the aggressive will seize the rebound to short high, and if there’s a breakthrough, decisively chase the trend. The market is not short of opportunities; it lacks precise levels and ironclad execution.
Remember: Experts win in intervals, winners win on breakthroughs. This week will reveal the outcome.
Every fluctuation is a buildup for a breakthrough; every hesitation is a limit on opportunity. Currently, BTC has been hovering between $67,000 and $72,500 for nearly two months, with a high concentration of long and short positions. A direction must emerge in mid-April. We all understand: the interval must break to establish, and the price points determine profit and loss.
1. Market Layout (Understand at a Glance)
• Macro: Repeated expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, geopolitical disturbances, moderate inflow of ETF funds
• Technical: Large box pattern on the daily chart, $67,000 is the life-and-death line, $72,500 is strong resistance
• Sentiment: Continuous 60 days of "extreme fear," bottom signals brewing but selling pressure still exists
• Conclusion: Mainly short positions for the short term, with some long positions; if there’s a breakthrough, chase the trend.
2. Contract Opening Points (Precise to Units)
【Stable · Low Long Plan】(Main Strategy)
• Opening: $68,500–$69,000 (bouncing back to stabilize, 4H closes positive)
• Stop Loss: $67,800 (give up on breakouts, do not hold positions)
• Target 1: $70,000 (take profit on half position)
• Target 2: $72,000–$72,500 (liquidate remaining)
【Aggressive · High Short Plan】(Secondary Strategy)
• Opening: $71,500–$72,000 (under pressure, falling back, 4H closes negative)
• Stop Loss: $72,800 (reverse on breakthrough, do not short)
• Target 1: $70,000 (take profit on half position)
• Target 2: $68,500–$69,000 (liquidate remaining)
【Breakthrough · Trend Following Plan】(Trend Position)
• Break through $72,500 and stabilize: chase long, stop loss at $71,800, target $75,000+
• Break below $67,000 and increase in volume: chase short, stop loss at $67,800, target $63,000–$65,000
3. Risk Control and Mindset (Key to Making Big Money)
• Position: Single trade ≤10%, do not over-leverage, do not go against the trend, do not add to losing positions
• Discipline: Enter at the scheduled time, cut losses when hit, exit at targets
• Resonance: How many people fall for “just wait a bit longer,” how many losses stem from “fear of missing out.” Plan your trades, trade your plans.
4. Conclusion
April is the turning point for BTC, $68,500 and $72,000 are the key levels. The cautious will wait for a pullback to go long, the aggressive will seize the rebound to short high, and if there’s a breakthrough, decisively chase the trend. The market is not short of opportunities; it lacks precise levels and ironclad execution.
Remember: Experts win in intervals, winners win on breakthroughs. This week will reveal the outcome.
Market Analysis
BCH has been fluctuating within the range of **$606 to $665.22** over the past 3 days, with an overall decline of **5.25%**. The daily RSI is only **11.2**, indicating extreme oversold conditions, and short-term downward momentum appears to be significantly weakening. Trading volume has dropped by **57%** compared to the average, showing a simultaneous decline in both price and volume. The latest price is nearing **$606** (the lowest point over the past 3 days), suggesting a potential short-term rebound.
News Highlights
- **BCH dropped 5% over the weekend, with halving expectations driving short-term volatility**. Analysts believe the recent decline is mainly due to profit-taking and the 'buy the rumor, sell the news' sentiment. However, in the long term, reduced supply and stable use cases are expected to support future performance;
- **Top trader Peter Brandt remains bullish on BCH, with a potential breakout above key resistance**. Accumulated trading volume has built up momentum, and a breakthrough above $720 could mark a new all-time high;
- **BCH has become one of the few cryptocurrencies to rise逆势 in 2025**, posting a year-to-date gain of over 30%, outperforming the broader industry.
Long-term positive factors remain unchanged, and analyst sentiment and market views are generally positive, though short-term volatility risks persist.
## 🧐 Market Sentiment
- The overall crypto market sentiment is in the **fear** zone (**Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 26**), indicating low investor risk appetite;
- Among KOLs, **10** are bullish, **6** are bearish, with the mainstream sentiment slightly optimistic. Social media热度 has increased, but opinions remain polarized.
## ✨ Key Areas to Watch
- **Volume recovery**: Sustained low volume hinders the release of rebound momentum;
- **On-chain fund flow changes**: A reversal in large-scale capital flows could influence short-term price movements;
- **Macro policy developments**: Regulatory changes and interest rate shifts remain core market drivers;
- **Institutional buying or selling activity**: The actions of major players and research institutions will impact market confidence;
- **Shift from divided to unified sentiment**: A convergence of bullish and bearish views may signal a trend reversal.
Overall, BCH's short-term oversold condition combined with expectations of sentiment recovery means the market will largely depend on changes in capital flow and market consensus. $BCH
BCH has been fluctuating within the range of **$606 to $665.22** over the past 3 days, with an overall decline of **5.25%**. The daily RSI is only **11.2**, indicating extreme oversold conditions, and short-term downward momentum appears to be significantly weakening. Trading volume has dropped by **57%** compared to the average, showing a simultaneous decline in both price and volume. The latest price is nearing **$606** (the lowest point over the past 3 days), suggesting a potential short-term rebound.
News Highlights
- **BCH dropped 5% over the weekend, with halving expectations driving short-term volatility**. Analysts believe the recent decline is mainly due to profit-taking and the 'buy the rumor, sell the news' sentiment. However, in the long term, reduced supply and stable use cases are expected to support future performance;
- **Top trader Peter Brandt remains bullish on BCH, with a potential breakout above key resistance**. Accumulated trading volume has built up momentum, and a breakthrough above $720 could mark a new all-time high;
- **BCH has become one of the few cryptocurrencies to rise逆势 in 2025**, posting a year-to-date gain of over 30%, outperforming the broader industry.
Long-term positive factors remain unchanged, and analyst sentiment and market views are generally positive, though short-term volatility risks persist.
## 🧐 Market Sentiment
- The overall crypto market sentiment is in the **fear** zone (**Crypto Fear & Greed Index: 26**), indicating low investor risk appetite;
- Among KOLs, **10** are bullish, **6** are bearish, with the mainstream sentiment slightly optimistic. Social media热度 has increased, but opinions remain polarized.
## ✨ Key Areas to Watch
- **Volume recovery**: Sustained low volume hinders the release of rebound momentum;
- **On-chain fund flow changes**: A reversal in large-scale capital flows could influence short-term price movements;
- **Macro policy developments**: Regulatory changes and interest rate shifts remain core market drivers;
- **Institutional buying or selling activity**: The actions of major players and research institutions will impact market confidence;
- **Shift from divided to unified sentiment**: A convergence of bullish and bearish views may signal a trend reversal.
Overall, BCH's short-term oversold condition combined with expectations of sentiment recovery means the market will largely depend on changes in capital flow and market consensus. $BCH
## 📈 Market Analysis
BTC has been fluctuating within the range of **$90,129.50 to $92,675.60** over the past 3 days, with a general increase of **1.75%**. The daily RSI has risen to **100.0**, indicating severe overbought conditions technically, and short-term caution is advised regarding potential pullbacks. Trading volume has decreased, showing price rise with shrinking volume, suggesting a more cautious market sentiment.
News Highlights
- **Continued outflows from ETFs and changes in institutional holdings**: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $680 million over the past week; Australia's Monochrome spot ETF holdings increased to 1,196 BTC, while Hyperscale Data further increased its Bitcoin reserves. Institutional long-term confidence remains strong, but short-term capital pressure persists;
- **Key considerations for first-time Bitcoin ETF purchases**: ETF trading hours are limited and come with management fees; long-term returns require careful evaluation;
- **Uncertainty in macro policies and signs of recovery**: U.S. crypto legislation and global geopolitical factors continue to influence market performance. The correlation between Bitcoin and equities has declined, and recovery remains weak;
- **Bitcoin historical turning point anniversary**: 17 years since Hal Finney's tweet, emphasizing Bitcoin's historical significance and impact on financial revolution.
Short-term capital pressure remains, but policy developments and institutional movements still significantly influence future market direction.
Market Sentiment
- Overall crypto market sentiment is in the **fear zone (index 26)**, indicating low investor risk appetite;
- KOLs remain predominantly bullish, with a recent 3-day long/short ratio of **262:93**, reflecting ongoing divergence;
- Social media discussions mainly focus on ETF changes and macro policies, with capital outflows affecting sentiment structure and increasing short-term volatility.
Key Areas to Watch
- **Whether trading volume rebounds**: Determines if the uptrend can continue; shrinking volume requires close monitoring of subsequent volume expansion;
- **Changes in on-chain fund flows**: The sustainability of large-scale outflows will further impact market confidence;
- **Macro policy developments**: U.S. crypto legislation and geopolitical risks remain key trend-driving factors;
- **Institutional buying or selling behavior**: ETF flows and corporate holdings directly affect price performance;
- **Whether sentiment shifts from divergence to consensus**: The ability of bulls and bears to reach agreement will determine future market direction.
Overall, market sentiment remains cautious. Whether the market can break through depends on marginal changes in key variables such as volume and policy.
$BTC
BTC has been fluctuating within the range of **$90,129.50 to $92,675.60** over the past 3 days, with a general increase of **1.75%**. The daily RSI has risen to **100.0**, indicating severe overbought conditions technically, and short-term caution is advised regarding potential pullbacks. Trading volume has decreased, showing price rise with shrinking volume, suggesting a more cautious market sentiment.
News Highlights
- **Continued outflows from ETFs and changes in institutional holdings**: U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a net outflow of $680 million over the past week; Australia's Monochrome spot ETF holdings increased to 1,196 BTC, while Hyperscale Data further increased its Bitcoin reserves. Institutional long-term confidence remains strong, but short-term capital pressure persists;
- **Key considerations for first-time Bitcoin ETF purchases**: ETF trading hours are limited and come with management fees; long-term returns require careful evaluation;
- **Uncertainty in macro policies and signs of recovery**: U.S. crypto legislation and global geopolitical factors continue to influence market performance. The correlation between Bitcoin and equities has declined, and recovery remains weak;
- **Bitcoin historical turning point anniversary**: 17 years since Hal Finney's tweet, emphasizing Bitcoin's historical significance and impact on financial revolution.
Short-term capital pressure remains, but policy developments and institutional movements still significantly influence future market direction.
Market Sentiment
- Overall crypto market sentiment is in the **fear zone (index 26)**, indicating low investor risk appetite;
- KOLs remain predominantly bullish, with a recent 3-day long/short ratio of **262:93**, reflecting ongoing divergence;
- Social media discussions mainly focus on ETF changes and macro policies, with capital outflows affecting sentiment structure and increasing short-term volatility.
Key Areas to Watch
- **Whether trading volume rebounds**: Determines if the uptrend can continue; shrinking volume requires close monitoring of subsequent volume expansion;
- **Changes in on-chain fund flows**: The sustainability of large-scale outflows will further impact market confidence;
- **Macro policy developments**: U.S. crypto legislation and geopolitical risks remain key trend-driving factors;
- **Institutional buying or selling behavior**: ETF flows and corporate holdings directly affect price performance;
- **Whether sentiment shifts from divergence to consensus**: The ability of bulls and bears to reach agreement will determine future market direction.
Overall, market sentiment remains cautious. Whether the market can break through depends on marginal changes in key variables such as volume and policy.
$BTC
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