桃金者

$BNB
#bnb [Risk Level]: Medium (The trend is still bearish, but it has entered the support area and volatility is converging, posing a risk of two-way fluctuations)
[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range (Mainly bearish strategy): If the rebound cannot effectively stabilize at the resistance zone of 855-860, and shows signs of stagnation or small-scale candlestick reversal patterns (such as pin bar, engulfing), consider gradually shorting with light positions.

Potential Entry Range (Cautious bullish strategy): If the price gains strong support in the 840-835 area (such as forming a long lower shadow + volume rebound), and the hourly chart closes back above 850, light positions can be taken to bet on a rebound, but it requires quick entry and exit.

Stop Loss Level: Bearish stop loss can be set above 865; bullish stop loss can be set below 835.

Target Level: The first target for bearish positions is 840, and if it effectively breaks down, it can look to 830-825; the first target for bullish positions is 855-860, with strong resistance at 870.

$SOL
#sol [Risk Level]: Moderate
[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range:

Long (Short-term): When the price retraces close to the lower boundary of the range, 123.5 - 124.0, and shows a stabilization signal at the 15-minute or 1-hour level (such as a pin bar or a flat small-period moving average), a light long position can be attempted.

Short (Short-term): When the price rebounds close to the upper boundary of the range, 127.5 - 128.5, and shows a sign of stagnation (such as a divergence in volume and price, or a long upper shadow), a light short position can be attempted.

Stop Loss Level:

Long stop loss is set below 122.5 (effective break below the lower boundary of the range).

Short stop loss is set above 129.0 (effective break above the upper boundary of the range).

Target Level:

The first target for long positions looks towards the midpoint of the range at 125.5, and the second target looks towards the upper boundary of the range at 127.5-128.0.

The first target for short positions looks towards the midpoint of the range at 125.0, and the second target looks towards the lower boundary of the range at 124.0.

Comprehensive Suggestion: The current market is in the later stage of a volatile pattern, it is advisable to sell high and buy low, operate with light positions, and strictly set stop losses. Wait for the price to break through 128.5 (bullish) or drop below 123.5 (bearish) with significant volume (notable increase in transaction volume) before considering trend-following orders. Avoid chasing prices in the middle of the range before effective breakthroughs.

$ETH
#ETH [Risk Level]:
Medium to high. The price is in a key fluctuation zone, with direction choice imminent. A breakthrough upwards requires significant volume and position alignment; otherwise, it is easy to form a secondary false rally. A downward break of the 2950 support may open new downward space and test previous lows. Volatility remains high.

[Strategy Suggestions]:

Potential entry range (long): 2950-2930 USD. Light position testing, need to wait for the price to show signs of stopping and stabilizing in this area (such as hammer candlestick, bullish engulfing) with increasing volume.

Stop loss level: Effectively breaking below 2920 USD (near previous lows, can serve as the last defense for longs).

Target levels:

First target: 3000-3020 USD (upper part of the range).

Second target: 3040-3050 USD (strong resistance area, consider reducing positions or exiting).

Potential entry range (short): 3030-3050 USD. Wait for the price to probe the resistance area again and show signs of stagnation (such as long upper shadow, pregnant line) without increasing positions.

Stop loss level: Effectively breaking above 3070 USD.

Target levels: 2980 USD, 2950 USD.

Overall thinking: Currently, the main strategy is to buy low and sell high within the range, strictly controlling positions and stop losses. Closely observe the price's breakthrough situation at the 2950 and 3050 boundaries; any effective breakthrough with volume on either side (especially with an increase in position volume) may indicate the start of a new trend. Avoid chasing highs and cutting losses before confirming a breakout.

$BTC
#BTC [Risk Level]: High

The price is at an absolute historical high position.

Volatility is extremely high, with hourly price fluctuations often exceeding 2%.

The open interest is at a historical peak, commonly referred to as a “position powder keg,” which can easily trigger a chain reaction of stop-losses and intense market movements.

There is a huge divergence between long and short positions, and the direction choice is imminent.

[Strategy Recommendations]:

Current market outlook: High-level fluctuations, waiting for direction choice. It is advisable to operate with light positions and high sensitivity, or to temporarily observe the market.

Potential entry range (Long):

**Scenario A (Bullish): Waiting for the price to pull back to 86,500 - 86,000** strong support area, and showing a 1-hour level stable candlestick (such as a long lower shadow or bullish engulfing), while open interest does not significantly decrease, light positions can be tried for long.

**Scenario B (Breakout): Price surges (trading volume significantly higher than recent average) to strongly break through and hold above 90,500**, and open interest rises simultaneously, small positions can be chased for long.

Potential entry range (Short):

If the price rebounds to the resistance area of 89,500 - 90,500 and stagnates, showing upper shadows, bearish engulfing patterns, etc., light positions can be tried for short.

If the price breaks below the key support of 86,000 (especially if it closes below), and open interest does not decrease or increases, it can be considered a confirmation of a downtrend, and one can add to short positions.

General stop-loss position: The stop-loss for any single trade should not exceed 1-1.5% of the entry price. Specifically, for long positions, the stop-loss can be set 50-100 points below the low of the entry candlestick; for short positions, the stop-loss can be set 50-100 points above the high of the entry candlestick.

Target levels:

Long: First target 88,500, second target 90,000-90,500.

Short: First target 85,000, second target 83,500-84,000.

Core reminder: Current data is as of December 24, 08:00, with the price at 87323. The market is at a critical decision point. Be sure to pay attention to whether it breaks below 86,000 or breaks above 90,500, as this will be the key to determining the medium to short-term direction. Until the direction is clear, it is recommended to operate with a fluctuation mindset, entering and exiting quickly, and strictly controlling risks.

$BNB
#bnb [Risk Level]: Medium (Located in the middle of the range, direction unclear, higher risk of chasing and cutting losses; however, if operations rely on the boundary of the range, the risk is relatively controllable)
[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range (Long): Can try a small position near the support range of 840-845, betting on a rebound at the lower edge of the range. A more robust long signal requires waiting for the price to break out and stabilize above 875-878 (previous high and dense trading area).

Potential Entry Range (Short): Can try a small position near the resistance range of 870-875, betting on the pressure at the upper edge of the range. A valid break below the 840 support can be seen as a signal for trend resumption downward.

Stop Loss: Long stop loss set below 818 (period low); Short stop loss set above 878 (period high).

Target Levels: Long first target 870, second target 878; Short first target 845, second target 830.

Core Observation: Closely monitor the changes in open interest. Any effective trend start (upward or downward) must be confirmed by a corresponding increase in open interest (price up with open interest increase or price down with open interest increase), otherwise, still treat it as range oscillation market.

$SOL
#sol [Risk Level]: Medium to High. Currently at a critical direction selection node, the risk of false moves (false breakouts) before a breakthrough is relatively high. The overall market volatility remains significant.

[Strategy Suggestions]:

Potential Entry Range:

Bullish Strategy: Wait for the price to gain volume (trading volume significantly higher than recent average) to break and stabilize above $128.50 (the upper triangle boundary and recent multiple rebound highs) before considering following in. The ideal bullish entry area is after the breakthrough at $128.8-$129.5.

Bearish Strategy: Wait for the price to gain volume and break below $124.50 (the lower triangle boundary and recent strong support) before considering following in. The ideal bearish entry area is after the breakdown at $123.8-$124.2.

Stop Loss Levels:

Bullish stop loss set below $127.20 (the high point platform before the breakthrough).

Bearish stop loss set above $125.80 (the low point platform before the breakdown).

Target Levels:

Bullish Target: First target $132.60 (near the previous high), second target $136.00 (theoretical calculation).

Bearish Target: First target $120.00 (previous low platform), second target $117.30 (previous low).

Core Observation: Any directional breakthrough must be accompanied by a simultaneous increase in open interest to confirm the validity of the trend. If open interest declines during the breakthrough, it may be a false breakout, and caution should be maintained.

Disclaimer: The above analysis is based on historical data and does not constitute any investment advice. The cryptocurrency market is highly risky; please make your decisions cautiously and bear the consequences.

$ETH
#ETH [Risk Level]: High

High Volatility Risk: Frequent occurrences of fluctuations exceeding 5% within an hourly data cycle, leveraged trading is easily liquidated.

Unclear Direction Risk: Fluctuations at a critical position (3000 USD) with possible breakouts both upwards and downwards, but trend signals are contradictory.

Main Player Harvesting Risk: A clear contract-dominant market, main player behavior tends to create volatility rather than push trends, unfriendly to ordinary traders.

[Strategy Suggestions]:

Overall Approach: Handle as 'High Position Fluctuation', sell high and buy low, avoid chasing highs and cutting losses. Wait for effective breakouts of ranges before following trends.

Potential Entry Range (Long): 2950 - 2980 USD. This area is a support zone that has been tested multiple times recently and is also near the launch platform for the rise on December 21. Wait for clear stabilization patterns (such as long lower shadows, bullish engulfing) on the hourly candlestick chart and for open interest to stop declining before entering with a light position.

Potential Entry Range (Short): 3040 - 3070 USD. This area is a strong resistance zone formed by multiple recent failed upward attacks. Wait for prices to approach this area again and signal stagnation (such as long upper shadows, declining trading volume) before attempting with a light position.

Stop Loss:

Long Position Stop Loss: Place below key support, such as 2930 USD.

Short Position Stop Loss: Place above key resistance, such as 3080 USD.

Target Level:

Long Position Target: Aim for the upper edge of the fluctuation range 3030-3050 USD.

Short Position Target: Aim for the lower edge of the fluctuation range 2970-2950 USD.

Key Observation: Closely monitor the price testing of 2950 support and 3070 resistance. A volume breakout (upwards or downwards) accompanied by steady growth in open interest will be a key signal for the launch of a new trend, at which point strategies need to be adjusted.

$BTC
#BTC [Risk Level]:
Medium-High
(Prices are at a recent high range, volatility has significantly increased, and the tug-of-war between bulls and bears is intense, with a potential for substantial short-term pullback risks)

[Strategy Suggestions]:
Potential Entry Range:

Bullish: If prices stabilize after a pullback in the $86,500-$87,200 range (need to observe whether open interest rebounds), a small position can be tested for long.

Breakout Long: If prices break out with volume above $90,500 and hold, a small position can follow up.

Stop Loss Level:

Bullish stop loss set below $86,000 (recent fluctuation box lower edge).

Target Level:

Short-term target $89,500-$90,000 (previous high resistance area).

If it effectively breaks above $90,500, the medium-term target can look at $92,000-$93,000.

Key Observation Points:

Open Interest Changes: If prices rise but open interest continues to decline, be wary of bullish weakness.

Volume Coordination: Breakouts require increased volume (single hour > 10,000 BTC), pullbacks should see decreased volume.

(Note: The above analysis is based on 1-hour candlestick data and is suitable for medium-short term trading; it is advisable to combine with larger cycle trends and real-time market news for decision-making. Cryptocurrency volatility is severe, please strictly manage risks.)

$BNB
#bnb [Risk Level]: Medium
[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range: $856 - $860. This range is the upper support of the recent volatility range and also the starting point for the bull run on the 20th. It can serve as a potential position for bulls to exert strength again.

Stop Loss Level: Below $849. This price is below the psychological level of $850 that has been tested multiple times recently and the low point of the correction on the 22nd. If it falls below this, it may revert to volatility or even turn weaker.

Target Level:

Short-term Target: $875 - $880. This is the high point platform area before the sharp drop on December 17, and also the recent resistance of this rebound.

Medium-term Target: $895 - $900. If it breaks through $880, it is expected to test the starting position of the sharp drop on December 15.

$SOL
[Risk Level]: **Medium**. The market is in a critical balance area between bulls and bears. Downwards, if it effectively breaks below $124 (the recent lower bound of the oscillation box), it may restart the downtrend; upwards, a volume breakout and stabilization above the $128.5-$129 area (recent multiple upper shadow high points and the previous downtrend continuation platform) is needed to open up greater rebound space. Before choosing a direction, the volatility risk is high.
[Strategy Recommendation]:

Potential Entry Range (Buy on Dips): $124.0 - $125.0. This area has been tested multiple times as a support level recently, and it is close to the low point on December 21, which allows for a rebound at the lower bound of the range.

Potential Entry Range (Sell High/Short): $127.5 - $128.5. This area has been a strong resistance zone recently, with multiple failed attempts to break higher, and the position volume did not increase, allowing for a bet on a pullback upon encountering resistance.

Stop-Loss Levels:

Long Stop-Loss: Below $123.5 (a break below indicates a breakdown of the range and a weakening trend).

Short Stop-Loss: Above $129.0 (a breakout indicates enhanced rebound momentum).

Target Levels:

Long Target: $126.5 - $127.5 (upper bound of the range), if it strongly breaks $128.5, then look for $129.5-$130.5.

Short Target: $125.0 - $124.0 (lower bound of the range).

Core Idea: Operate within the $124-$128 range for oscillation, selling high and buying low, with strict stop-losses, waiting for a breakout to follow the trend. Pay attention to whether the position volume and price can form a synchronous signal of "price increase with volume increase" or "price decrease with volume increase" at the breakout.

$ETH
#ETH [Risk Level]: Medium

Long Risk: If unable to stabilize above 3050 with volume, a double top reversal may form.

Short Risk: The main holding cost has increased (approximately 2950-2980), and the probability of a deep decline is low.

External Risk: The contract data across the network is not provided, caution is needed for liquidation chain reactions under extreme market conditions.

[Strategy Suggestion]: Mainly low long positions, chase after breakthroughs

Potential Entry Range:

Buy on Dips: 2980-3000 (support at the lower edge of the fluctuation range, also the main cost area).

Chase on Breakthrough: Closing price stabilizes above 3050 (breakthrough of previous high pressure).

Stop Loss Levels:

Stop Loss for Buy on Dips: 2950 (breaks below the lower edge of the fluctuation range).

Stop Loss for Buy on Breakthrough: 3020 (false breakthrough recovery).

Target Levels:

First Target: 3100 (previous high resistance).

Second Target: 3150-3200 (trend continuation).

Key Observation Points:

If it breaks through 3060 again with increased volume, then upside potential opens.

If it breaks below 2950 with a sharp drop in positions, the main force may exit, and it is necessary to shift to a fluctuation or short thinking.

$BTC
#BTC [Risk Level]: Medium (The market has moved away from the highest volatility phase, but there is still a risk of false breakthroughs or pullback tests during the initial breakout).
[Strategy Recommendation]:

Potential Entry Range: Look for opportunities to enter long in batches when the price pulls back to the 89000 - 89200 range. If it does not pull back strongly, a light position can be taken if it stabilizes above 89800.

Stop Loss: Set below the key support at 88500, or according to position size set at 87800 (recent fluctuation range upper edge turns into support).

Target: Short-term target 91000 - 92000 (previous high and psychological barrier). If it can effectively break through and stabilize in the medium term, it can look up to the 95000 range.

$BNB
#bnb [Risk Level]: High

Basis: 1) The overall market is in a clear downward channel; 2) The rebound lacks volume and open interest is not following, indicating a weak upward foundation; 3) The price has broken through multiple previous support levels. If the key area of ​​840-835 is breached, it may open up new downside potential. Volatility remains high.

[Strategy Recommendation]:

Overall Strategy: Follow the trend, primarily shorting on rallies, and cautiously participating in rebounds. The current market structure is bearish, and any rebound can be seen as providing better entry points for shorting.

Potential Entry Range:

Short Opportunities: If the price rebounds to the 860-865 USD area and stagnates (e.g., long upper shadow, shrinking volume), consider entering in batches. If the price directly weakens and breaks below 850 USD (confirmed by the hourly chart close), this can also be used as a signal to short.

Long Position Opportunity (Contrarian, High Risk): Limited to short-term trading. If the price quickly falls to the strong support zone of 835-830 and a clear bottoming candlestick pattern (such as a double bottom or hammer) appears with increased volume, a small position can be attempted for a rebound, but a strict stop-loss is required.

Stop-Loss Level:

Short position stop-loss is recommended to be set above 870-875 USD.

Contrarian long position stop-loss should be set below the low of the entry candlestick or below 828 USD.

Target Level:

The first target for short positions is 840-835, and the second target is 830-825.

The first target for long positions is 850-855, quick entry and exit.

Key Observation Point: Closely monitor changes in open interest. If the price falls again but open interest no longer increases or even decreases, it may indicate weakening bearish momentum; if a rebound shows "price increase with increased open interest," the trend strength needs to be reassessed.

$SOL
#sol [Risk Level]: Moderate

Reason: The market has just eased from an extreme decline, and emotions are unstable. Although there are signs of stabilization in the short term, the overhead resistance is heavy (in the 128-133 USD range). If the rebound lacks volume, it is likely to fall again. This is a sensitive phase of trend reversal, and volatility risks still exist.

[Strategy Recommendation]:

Potential Entry Range: 125.0 - 125.8 USD. This area is the lower edge of the recent oscillation range and the support level of the previous rebound, which can be seen as a position to test long with a light position.

Stop Loss Level: 123.5 USD. Falling below this level means that the rebound structure may fail, and the price will test the previous low again.

Target Level:

First Target: 127.8 - 128.5 USD (the upper edge of the recent oscillation range and the area where the previous rebounds were blocked multiple times).

Second Target: 130.0 - 131.0 USD (the rebound high point after the crash on December 17, a strong resistance area).

Key Observation Points:

When the price rebounds above 127.5 USD, it is essential to observe whether the trading volume increases and whether the open interest rises accordingly. If there is a situation of 'price increase, volume increase, and open interest increase', it is a positive signal for the bullish market to start.

If the price consistently fails to effectively break through 128 USD, and the open interest continues to decline, one should be cautious of the end of the rebound, with the possibility of returning to oscillation or a decline.

$ETH
#ETH [Risk Level]: Medium

Medium Risk: The market has just experienced extreme fluctuations, and sentiment has not fully stabilized. The current narrow fluctuations are a brewing period for a new round of directional choice, with risks of false breakthroughs and severe washouts. The open interest remains relatively high, increasing the potential for sudden market movements.

[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range (Buying on Dips): 2915 - 2935 (previous main force turnover area and recent support zone tested multiple times). Consider gradual positioning.

Potential Entry Range (Breakout to Buy More): Price effectively stabilizes and closes above 3020, accompanied by an increase in trading volume and open interest.

Stop Loss Level: Suggested stop loss for long positions set below 2880 (breaking below the lower edge of the key turnover area).

Target Levels:

First Target: 2990 - 3020 (upper edge of the current fluctuation range and previous decline starting point).

Second Target (after trend is established): 3120 - 3150 (area of the rebound high point from the previous decline).

Core Observation Point: Closely monitor changes in open interest as prices approach the above key levels. An upward breakout needs to be confirmed by an increase in open interest; if there is no decrease in open interest during a downward breakout, the downtrend may continue.

$BTC
#BTC [Risk Level]: Medium

The risk of chasing highs and lows in a volatile market is high, especially when rapid rises and falls are accompanied by significant fluctuations in open interest.

If the support level of 86,000 is broken, it may trigger long position stop-losses and accelerate the decline; if it breaks through 90,000 with an increase in open interest, it could initiate a new round of rises.

[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range:

Long: 87,000-87,500 light positions to try long, stop-loss at 85,800.

Short: 89,200-89,800 light positions to try short, stop-loss at 90,500.

Key Positions:

Resistance: 89,500, 90,500 (look for 92,000 after breaking).

Support: 86,500, 85,000 (look for 83,500 after breaking).

Position Management: In the range of fluctuations, low leverage and high flexibility are recommended; after breaking key levels, positions can be increased in the direction of the trend.

Summary: The current market is in a stage of long and short contention, with the main force completing turnover through rapid declines and rises in the range of 86,000-90,000. Short-term focus is on whether 88,000 can hold; if open interest continues to rise and the price breaks through 89,500, the probability of an upward trend increases; conversely, if open interest declines and the price breaks below 86,000, precautions against deep corrections are needed.

$BNB
[Risk Level]: **Medium to High**. Although bullish signals have appeared, the overall market volatility remains significant, and the downward structure since mid-December has not yet been fully reversed. If the rebound is weak and breaks below recent low support, it may return to a downward trend.
[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range: 850 - 855 USD. Wait for the price to pull back to this support range, and consider entering in batches when small-scale stabilization or additional position signals occur.

Stop Loss Level: 830 USD (breaking below the low point of December 19 indicates a failed rebound).

Target Levels:

First Target: 880 - 890 USD (corresponding to the previous downward continuation platform and near the high point of December 16).

Second Target: 900 - 910 USD (challenging the resistance at the high point of December 14).

Key Observation Points: Subsequent increases must be accompanied by stable or increasing open interest; if price rises while open interest declines, caution should be exercised regarding the sustainability of the rebound, and position reduction should be considered.

$SOL
[Risk Level]: Medium-High (The market has just recovered from significant volatility, and emotions have not fully stabilized. There is heavy pressure from trapped positions above; if the rebound is weak, it may test the bottom again.)
[Strategy Suggestion]:

Potential Entry Range:

Aggressive Long: If the price can increase in volume again (hourly trading volume > 1.5 million) and stabilize above $127.50, a small position can be taken to go long, targeting $129.5 - $130.5.

Conservative Long: Wait for the price to pull back to the $124.0 - $125.0 range and stabilize (after a lower shadow line appears or the trading volume shrinks and then expands again), which is considered a better risk-reward entry point.

Stop Loss Level:

Aggressive Long: Below $126.5.

Conservative Long: Below $123.0 (below the previous low support).

Target Level:

First Target: $129.0 - $130.0 (the starting point of the previous sharp decline and a psychological barrier).

Second Target: $133.0 - $134.0 (the starting area of this round of decline).

$ETH
[Risk Level]:
Medium to High. The market has just recovered from a sharp decline, and sentiment has not yet fully stabilized. The current price is below a key resistance level, and if the upward attempt fails, it may retest the lower level. The high position volume also means that once a direction is chosen, the fluctuations will be very intense.

[Strategy Suggestion]:
The current market is in a critical decision-making period; it is advisable to adopt a slightly bullish mindset while being strict with stop-losses and waiting for a breakout confirmation.

Potential Entry Range (Long):

Aggressive: Enter lightly in the range of 2950-2965 (recent lower boundary of fluctuations and small-scale support) to capture a rebound within the range.

Conservative: Wait for significant volume (trading volume significantly greater than recent average volume) to break and stabilize above the 3000 round number before following in on a retest that does not break.

Stop-Loss Level:

If longing in the range of 2950-2965, the stop-loss should be set below 2940 (below the recent fluctuation platform low).

If following in after breaking 3000, the stop-loss can be set below 2980 (the support conversion level after the breakout).

Target Level:

Short-term Target: The primary target is the resistance area of 2990-3000.

Post-Breakout Target: If it can effectively break above 3000, the next target can be seen at 3030-3050 (near the starting platform of the previous sharp decline).

Medium-term Bearish Opportunity: If the price cannot break above 3000 and shows stagnation or a long upper shadow near this position, consider lightly positioning short orders in the range of 2990-3005, with a stop-loss above 3020 and a target looking down to 2930-2900.

Core Reminder: Pay close attention to the price performance and volume changes at the 3000 threshold. A significant breakout indicates a bullish trend, while a decrease in volume with stagnation or a downward turn may lead to a return to fluctuation or correction. Control your position and manage risk.

$BTC

[Risk Level]: High

The current market is at a critical juncture, with extremely high volatility (daily fluctuations often exceeding 5%). The bulls and bears are locked in a stalemate with high open interest, making a rapid one-sided move highly likely due to an imbalance on one side. Furthermore, prices are at a relatively high level, amplifying macroeconomic uncertainty risks.

[Strategy Recommendation]: Slightly bearish within the range, focusing on mitigating the risk of an upward breakout.

Potential Entry Range (Short): $88,000 - $88,500. This area represents a minor resistance zone where recent rebounds have repeatedly failed, and is also the upper part of the trading range.

Stop-Loss Level: Above $89,500 - $90,000. This area is a core resistance zone that has previously formed "bullish traps." A breakout and sustained hold above this level with significant volume would invalidate the bearish logic and potentially open up new upward potential.

Target Levels (Short):

First Target: $86,000 - $85,500 (recent trading range low).

Second Target: $84,500 - $84,000 (strong support zone from the December 19th low).

Note: If the price breaks below $85,500 with significant volume, it can be considered a downward breakout from the trading range, potentially strengthening the downtrend. Conversely, if the price breaks and holds above $89,500 with significant volume, it's advisable to remain on the sidelines or look for opportunities to go long at lower levels, with a target around $92,000. Position size must be strictly controlled until the direction is clear.