老周抓趋势

Conditions are in place; we can start entering long positions. For today, prioritize buying on pullbacks. $BTC
Guys, Bitcoin traded sideways all weekend. Last night, the market bounced strongly and tested the resistance at 84,000.
策略群
There was solid support around 82,300, which halted the decline. Daily candles have closed higher for several sessions in a row, breaking away from the weakness of the previous downtrend.
#比特币重回8.4万美元
After retesting the 80,000 level, price held support and returned to range-bound trading. Short-term bulls have the upper hand, and prices are edging higher on lower timeframes. We’re unlikely to see an extreme one-way move; overall, the market is trending upward within a range, with support continuing to rise. For today, simply look to go long on dips.
#BTC
$BTC 83500: enter a long position, targeting 85,000.
#BTC走势分析

Don't be fooled by the bullish talk around $ETH right now
A lot of people have been hyping up ETH lately, saying this isn't a crash, just one final shakeout. Their reasoning is that whales are selling $BTC and converting it to ETH, while staking it to reduce the circulating supply. They're calling for a direct long at 2555, with a target of 2600
But there's one key point you can't ignore: spot Ethereum ETFs have seen outflows for nine consecutive days, with funds continually pulling out.
策略群
Although the price previously fell to 2405 without breaking the daily support at 2350, making the support look solid, the ongoing ETF outflows are real and show that institutional funds are steadily exiting.
@老周抓趋势
The so-called whale position switching in favor of ETH shouldn't be treated as a guarantee of a price rise. Large holders can switch positions and buy in, then just as easily dump their holdings later. Staking only reduces part of the circulating supply; it can't stop the selling pressure from continued ETF outflows.
@币安广场
Going long at 2555 right now carries considerable risk. If support at 2350 gives way, the downside could open up quickly. Don't mistake a correction for a shakeout and end up buying at the top.
#ETH

$US From 0.033 short to 0.012, there was a reason for this提前shorting!
First of all, this round of US halving in half, and then halving again, was completely a script written by the manipulators. From the high of 0.0036, it was smashed all the way down to 0.012. I already said when this coin was pumping to the top that it was definitely a short. Holding 10x leverage until now, the floating profit is 17x, with a return of 3683U. #USTC暴涨
@老周抓趋势
The core reasons I shorted it at the time were just four:
1. Good news landing is bad news; listing is the distribution window
2. Retail traders crowding in to buy the dip is the most accurate contrarian indicator
3. On the technical side, trapped holders are under heavy pressure, and every rebound is just a bull trap
4. The overall market is under pressure, and altcoins will only fall even harder
策略群
As I said before, for this kind of purely sentiment-driven altcoin, don’t believe in any “high-level sideways accumulation.” The more violently it is pumped, the harder it will be dumped. 0.012 is not the bottom yet; the real strong support below is at the 0.01 mark. Once it breaks below that, the trend is headed toward zero. #US
#牛市到来

#熊市不言底

Japan rate-hike expectations suddenly heat up, and the global market’s winds of change are set to shift dramatically.
#美国ADP周度就业人数增1.2万人
A major piece of news has directly thrown global trading into turmoil. A hawkish official from the Bank of Japan publicly called for an interest-rate hike as soon as possible.#美财政部拟回购最多60亿美元国债

This commissioner made their stance clear: Japan has already exited deflation, and the negative interest rate regime must be adjusted without delay. If inflation continues to rise, the pace of rate hikes will need to be accelerated further.
@老周抓趋势
Now, most of the market is betting that at next week’s monetary policy meeting, the BOJ will hike rates by 25 basis points, bringing the rate directly to 1.25%. Many traders even expect another hike in October.
#比特币突破79000美元
With rate-hike expectations fully priced in, the yen rebounded strongly—breaking away from its prior lows and hitting the highest level in half a year. Overseas officials have turned hawkish one after another, adding fuel to the rate-hike expectations.

The strengthening of the yen, at its core, means tighter global liquidity. Volatility in external markets is likely to increase. For crypto—an asset class with higher risk—over the next period, the number of variables affecting the market will become significantly more pronounced, so don’t be overly aggressive with your trading.
#苹果发布首款折叠屏手机
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

$ZEST Short-term trading sees a chance to catch its breath!

ZEST went through a long period of downward pressure. Earlier on, it fell steadily from the high point of 0.29, eventually getting smashed down to around 0.1175, with the bearish force releasing quite thoroughly.@老周抓趋势

Now the market finally shows a clear rebound—up more than 10% in a single day, with the price holding above the 0.137 range. Positioning data continues to rise, and there are clear signs of capital moving in.

The structure of large holders has also shifted. The prior situation where shorts crowded together has been broken; the proportion of longs has been steadily increasing, and bargain-hunting funds are quietly laying out their positions.#合约带单

In the bottom-region cost-basis competition, the struggle is intense. After being oversold, the rebound is only just starting to show. After falling for so long, the market has to give the bulls a chance to take a bite of the move—it remains to be seen whether this rebound can ride the momentum to break into new highs.#zest

邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

$ARX four-hour level broke out a wave of strong rebound, rallying from the low of 0.136 to 0.175
The liquidation data isn’t hard to see: during this upswing, long liquidations over the past 24 hours reached 74,000.

The chips chasing the breakout were flushed out in this move, and the short liquidations were comparatively limited. Buy-side orders on the order book account for more than 60%, and the support beneath looks fairly solid.

After the price spikes higher in the short term, there is a need to pull back and digest the profit-taking. Long positions shouldn’t blindly chase higher; wait for a pullback and support before considering opportunities. Volatility is intense, contract leverage risk is maxed out—don’t go all-in in one shot; your wallet can’t take repeated brutal hits.

邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

$ZEC surge against the trend and has already carved out an independent uptrend!
While the broader market returns to oscillation and gets pulled back and forth, $ZEC has already been trading independently. After that previous round of strong rally, it even brushed a high of 1297. Even if there’s a minor pullback in the short term, the overall bullish setup remains stable and performing steadily.
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）
For now, the total short-term position size has dipped slightly, but the big players’ share on the long side continues to rise steadily. Large funds are entering the market in batches to lay out positions. Meanwhile, the advantage of the shorts is being gradually squeezed—on the 4-hour chart, the structure is still in an upward channel. This pullback looks more like consolidation and “washing” during an uptrend, just flushing out some floating short-term chips.
#zec

Moreover, the selling pressure is slowly running out. The bulls are building up energy, ready to launch. While others are getting beaten back and forth by following the broader market, ZEC might quietly come with another surprise—good scenes are still yet to come.

$XAN This strange coin directly staged a horror-movie-style plunge. Without much effort, the drop nearly hit 45%—the price was almost halved. The market move was as wild as a roller coaster.
During the earlier stretch when it surged relentlessly, it attracted a large number of retail traders to rush in and chase the price. After the price climbed to a high around 0.021997, the big players began distributing their holdings in batches. As the price kept crashing, the contract open interest not only didn’t fall—it actually kept increasing. Both the long and short sides returned to battle it out, and the volatility was especially intense. @老周抓趋势

But now, it’s clearly evident on the chart: the sell orders are firmly pinning down the buy side. Overhead supply is coming in nonstop, and anyone who chased the hype by going in at high levels ends up getting fully trapped right at the top. It also serves as a reminder that with these “demon coins” that spike brutally upward, the risks are hidden in places you can’t see. Don’t let your head get hot and chase the rally. It’s also a huge taboo to “buy the dip” casually while the price is falling—you can easily end up getting stuck halfway down the mountain.
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）
#合约带单

$ZEC Is this hot momentum going to cool off? Is it about to drop? Don’t rush into bearishness—your 1500 target hasn’t been reached yet
This rally was driven by expectations of increased accumulation by Grayscale early on, which attracted quite a lot of retail investors and big whales. Many people think the news has already been digested, so it should be time to fall—but in reality, the price action simply isn’t like that. After the price pushed to around 1100, it rebounded very decisively, which suggests there’s a large amount of capital below stepping in to take over and prop the market. Plus, there are so many trapped positions stacked underneath; the main force won’t easily let the price fall and bury itself. More importantly, short-seller positions are accumulating more and more chips on the market. Under these circumstances, unless they “squeeze” and liquidate a batch of shorts, it’s hard for the trend to truly turn down.
@老周抓趋势
Look at the entire privacy sector as a whole: $DASH $ZEN has already started to strengthen continuously. The sector’s leading token shows signs of recovery. On-chain funds have been steadily flowing in, and today it even pushed to a new high. In a sector-wide “resonance” move, ZEC is hard to drift lower on its own.
Personal suggestion: for the short term, you can take longs again in the 1220–1230 range. For the first target, watch 1300. For long-term positions, you can directly hold and look toward 1500.
#美加关税战升级
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

$VVV Breaks through a new high directly; there’s basically no overhead trapped-seller pressure. Once it starts moving up, it feels especially smooth.
The core reason is simple: this coin hasn’t listed for spot trading yet, so there’s no historical trapped-seller selling pressure above. The overhead sell pressure is very light. This rally was mainly driven by a top-tier institution entering the market—valuing it at $1 billion, they invested several tens of millions of dollars. The capital push is very obvious. On top of that, the market’s hype around both the AI and privacy sectors is simultaneously supporting it. By hitting two major trends at once, the surge naturally becomes fierce.
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

You can benchmark the prior price action of $AI16Z . In cases like this where futures get pumped first, usually it becomes clear—when and if they officially announce and list spot trading, that’s often when the futures reach a periodic top. Before that point, it’s hard for the long side trend to directly flip to bearish.

Personal suggestion: start going long around 25, with a target of 30. Then go in with a heavy position directly.
@老周抓趋势

#中国8月CPI同比涨0.8%

The morning session opened a long position of $USELESS , and it’s already showing a nice profit of 60 points
Actually, the logic behind this trade is quite simple. First of all, Meme coins on the BNB Chain are typical of phase-based market action: their heat cycles basically last 3 to 7 days. In the early stage, low-level chips from short-term sellers and on-chain whales will slowly take profits and distribute, but rarely do they directly crash the market. Most of the time, it’s a high-range consolidation while moving up step by step and exiting.
@老周抓趋势

$USELESS has risen nearly 700% from the bottom. After reaching 0.3, which is a strong daily resistance, it started to move sideways. On-chain, whales and project-team addresses are indeed continuing to take profit, but the price has stayed stable. This suggests there is still solid support and there’s room to push higher. #useless

One more thing to add for the “cheetah”—also take a look at $MARSCOIN in the same ecosystem. This one has also already surged about 300%. It’s also currently consolidating at a high level. The support level for the bigger trend is around 0.09. A breakdown would be considered weakness—then it would be suitable for holding a mid-term position with low leverage.
When trading copycat/“shanzhai” Meme coins, don’t always obsess over perfectly timing the bottom and escaping the top. Focus instead on order-book/price action support and the movement of chips. High-level consolidation doesn’t necessarily mean distribution. Set your stop-loss properly and follow the rhythm—then you won’t be “spoiled vinegar” (i.e., you won’t mess it up).
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）
#原油涨至7月来最高 #合约带单

邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）
$SOPH The trend has completely reversed. I decisively turned short (bearish). So far, I’ve already absorbed nearly 60% of the downside.
Yesterday, I first took a position on the buy side (long). Then I followed up with additional averaging to go long. I didn’t expect the project team to choose to withstand the capital risk rather than address the issue and instead explode the bulls’ positions. I entered long around 0.012 and set my stop-loss at 0.0097. This trade is indeed losing, but with futures, how can you always make 100% profit? If you’re wrong, cut it in time. Don’t keep stubbornly holding on when you already know the direction is wrong. Most retail traders eventually lose until liquidation, and it’s mainly because they keep “holding and waiting.” Admit when you’re wrong—then you’ll make it back on the next trade.
@老周抓趋势

After my stop-loss, I personally monitored on-chain and found that the main capital kept quietly flowing out. Basically, yes—it was distribution (selling into the market). I followed the move and opened a short around 0.008. Up to now, the drop has just reached 60%. This project team isn’t like other shitcoins that suddenly dump. Instead, they’re dangling the long side to lure more buyers, while slowly distributing. Now the insiders have cashed out at high positions by about as much as they can. Next comes a downtrend with slow bleeding. Following the trend and shorting along the way should allow another wave of gains.

Put simply, the project team is borrowing the attention/heat generated by spot trading interest as a way to conduct a one-time sweep. In the short term, don’t even think about getting stuck coins back—this “monster coin” has no realistic hope of escaping the bag.
#SOPH #合约带单

$USELESS After the price shot up, it didn’t break through—many people get panicky, thinking it’s about to reverse and start distributing (selling off). But there’s really no need to worry.
Earlier, around 0.31, I took a small position and played both directions (long/short). I placed my stop-loss at the previous high. The chart actually behaved as expected: the 1-hour line surged upward quickly, then pulled back. On the 15-minute timeframe, it tried to test the level three times in a row but still couldn’t hold effectively, which clearly shows there’s indeed significant sell pressure above. @老周抓趋势

But this is not a distribution signal. Instead, it looks more like the project team is accumulating in the next round—wearing down the uncommitted holders’ chips and preparing to push again to take out the previous high near 0.32. Look at how, after the pullback, it dipped back down to around 0.26 and then stabilized with a wick/pin. The 4-hour chart has been steadily trending upward, and so far there hasn’t been any volume breakout. That indicates the real upswing hasn’t started yet. Just hold and wait for the volume to show up. On-chain funds are still steadily flowing in, and the next wave of the rally has already kicked off. #useless

My personal suggestion: you can go long around 0.29, with a target of 0.35. This move most likely aims to break above the previous high.

邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

Lowest orders on the whole network—$ETH
Last night in the chat room, I informed my followers to place limit buy orders at 2450, and to add to their position at 2430. I notified them at 21:11, and by 21:30 I had already received notice that 50 contracts had been placed as a buy order.

This is what it means to trade futures—this is ultimate control of price levels.
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

Yesterday, Ethereum during the daytime kept trending in a high-range sideways consolidation and washout. At the time, I saw the middle line of the Bollinger Bands trending downward. Combined with my years of trading experience, I judged that when the U.S. stock market data came out, there would be a small pullback. So I firmly told my followers in the chat room to catch longs at the 2450 level.

The messages on the Plaza are delayed. If you want to keep up with the strategy in time, you still have to come to the chat room yourself.
#合约带单 @老周抓趋势

Let me share a few, personally the ones I’ve been keeping an eye on lately—still active operators, not “lying flat” shell projects. In particular, you can focus on #牛市前兆 . When a big market uptrend comes later, the certainty should be higher than others.
@老周抓趋势

A few top-tier altcoin shell projects have taken tangible actions recently, not just hype with empty concepts:
$AAVE puts 100% of protocol revenues into the DAO treasury, directly linking cash flow and token value
$UNI integrates with BlackRock’s BUIDL, officially opening the channel for traditional assets into DeFi
LIT and Circle partner to launch a funding rate rebate, and at the same time roll out a unified account to improve capital efficiency
SUI launches its own stablecoin suiUSDe to complete the stable-asset puzzle for the ecosystem
$OP deepens ZK integration, aiming to shorten the settlement cycle from L2 to L1
ONDO secures EU regulatory approval to move forward with tokenized stocks and ETF business
PUMP launches a GitHub creator revenue-sharing mechanism to strengthen community engagement

These leading projects are genuinely shoring up revenue, compliance, and product experience—so the fundamentals have support. If you want to do short-term trades, you can pick some with relatively smaller price increases to buy the dip for a rebound.
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）
#山寨季何时到来？

#山寨币热点

On-chain regular traders playing #MEME —I'll say it boldly: 95% of you are losing money. Don't just see others cashing in big; on-chain is full of professionals. For people like you ordinary folks, rushing in is basically handing money away. @老周抓趋势

If you want to take part in this wave of the #MEME coin-market trend, it’d be better to hold the underlying infrastructure coins from major public chains. You can reliably capture the sector’s dividend—for example, PONS from the Robinhood chain, FORM on BSC, AERO on BASE, and also the public-chain traffic entry $UNI . That’s far safer than trying to rush into some random “soil dog.”
#土狗王
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）

$SOPH
This wave is indeed strong—within 24H it’s close to doubling.

Guardian NFT maps to ETH; claims for Sep 29 and SOPH are coming up. Along with the old-chain shutdown and the deposit/withdrawal switch, short-term FOMO is still there.

But personally, I think this is a rise driven by events, not a full trend reversal.

0.0114—0.0125 is the key resistance. If it can’t break through, be careful about taking profits.
@老周抓趋势
If 0.01 breaks down and weakens, then we’ll look around 0.0088 next.

For now, I’m keeping positions at lower levels to lock in gains. I won’t chase at higher levels, and I’m not rushing to short. I’m watching the Sep 8 network switch and the Sep 29 claim window—let the capital show its intent on its own.
#SOPH

This wave’s BSC sentiment is so good that it feels unnecessary to keep chasing something that’s already taken off. Instead, you could look at some coins from the first wave that have finished and haven’t fully gone to zero yet.

At this point, do something with:
$BEN.US and SOCK

$BEN.US
It’s pretty likely to run a second leg. Previously it pumped a huge wave, but it’s pulled back quite a bit from the top now. There are already quite a lot of holders, and the top 10 addresses don’t have a very high share.

sock
It’s a bit different—there may be room for imagination like a platform coin. It could have a chance to become one of the new narratives for this BSC wave.

One is an opportunity created by the dip, and the other is an opportunity to wait for a pullback and retest. The chance of a “shitcoin” going to zero is high—pure personal view. DYOR.

#美加关税战升级 #美伊互袭油轮冲突升级

$SOPH This rally—in the daily chart, we’re still at the bottom for now.
The big players deliberately poke the price at integer levels to shake people out. The whole game is the playbook of washing the market to induce fear of selling:
On one hand, they lure retail traders into shorting so they can accumulate the counterparty’s order flow; on the other, they flush out profit-taking traders who entered from the bottom. Once the market gets lighter, it’s easier for them to keep pushing the price up.
邀请您加入我的群组 北大青鸟（2年级）
Right now, the average entry price of short positions in the market is basically around 0.0075. With this momentum, as long as this batch of shorts isn’t collectively liquidated, it’s hard for the price to drop significantly in the short term.

@老周抓趋势
So in terms of execution, in the short run it’s still about going long around pullbacks. The only thing to watch out for is that the big players might suddenly poke higher and accelerate. Make sure your position size and margin have enough buffer—don’t get shaken out and miss the ride.

Let me share a detail: currently, the contract funding fee is negative, which means there are especially many retail traders crowding into shorts. They all think the price is getting too high and will top out. But remember, the weekly timeframe has only just started to pick up volume. Forcing a short against the trend at this point actually carries very high risk.
#SOPH
Of course, it’s not like it can keep rising endlessly. During this high-level consolidation phase, every pullback sees another batch of long positions take profit, and then longs chase again and buy back at higher prices. The cost basis of long positions keeps getting raised step by step. When the main players have collected enough chips and decide to cash out, they might also simply turn around and smash the market—be mentally prepared for that.
#合约带单