李铁锤

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【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today｜ETH August 6】

This lunchtime, the key for ETH isn’t chasing pumps; it’s whether the support band from 1800 to 1850 can still hold.

Traders’ original views:
1. Michaël van de Poppe (X: @CryptoMichNL) believes ETH has already held the crucial support at $1800; if it can break above $2000, he’ll continue to look for $2300 to $2500.
2. Altcoin Sherpa (X: @AltcoinSherpa) thinks ETH has recently remained relatively weak, performing worse than many coins; but if choosing between ETH and LTC, he still prefers ETH.
3. Pentoshi (X: @Pentosh1) reminds that the relative strength among major coins is still changing. When some crowded assets approach resistance, positions may need to be reduced—this shows you can’t just look at “major coins rising together.”

Editor’s scenario based on live market conditions:
11:10 CST, Binance ETHUSDT latest price is around 1897, with a 24-hour high of 1928 and a low of 1855; the perpetual mark price is 1896, and the funding rate is about -0.0034%.

So today, there’s only one main thread: as long as ETH stays above 1850—especially if it doesn’t break below 1800—this afternoon first targets the resistance zone from 1928 to 2000. If it stands above 2000 on increased volume, then we can discuss 2300 to 2500. If it falls back below 1850, the route downgrades to a range-bound market; if it breaks below 1800, this bullish scenario for the current round fails.

Risk: This is not copy-trading advice, and it doesn’t promise any returns. If it pokes above 2000 but can’t hold, it could easily turn into a bull trap; leveraged trading carries strong liquidation risk.

Do you think ETH will push toward 2000 first, or retrace to test 1800 first?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today｜BTC August 6】

Don’t treat 65,000 as a confirmed breakout in the early session. BTC is more like it’s changing hands below the resistance level.

Conclusion: The short-term bias is still bullish, but a more reasonable path today isn’t chasing the price—it’s to wait for a pullback to 64,200–64,000 that doesn’t break, then take another look at 65,000–65,200.

Traders’ original views:

1) Cheds Trading ( @BigCheds ) marked on the BTC daily chart that the price is challenging a local descending supply trend line. The key point is “challenging resistance,” not confirming a breakout.

2) TraderSZ ( @trader1sz ) updated the BTC chart with “BTC update.” On the chart, 64,622 is labeled as the resistance in front of us, 62,320 as the mid-range axis, and the yellow path indicates that after bouncing off the mid-range axis, price continues to probe higher toward resistance.

3) Daan Crypto Trades ( @DaanCrypto ) believes BTC’s daily and weekly charts continue to compress. The key zone is concentrated at 60,000–70,000. After compression, a big move is likely, but before confirmation, false breakouts and stop-hunting back and forth are also common.

Based on real-time market data: Binance collected at 07:04—BTCUSDT is around 64,624; 24-hour high is 65,025 and low is 63,880. The 4-hour EMA20 is about 63,992 and EMA50 is about 63,895. Price has already touched near 65,000, but it hasn’t yet turned 65,000 above into stable support.

Today, focus on only one route: around 64,600, continue to digest in a range—first pull back to 64,200–64,000. As long as the 4-hour timeframe doesn’t validly break below 63,800, the upside attempt toward 65,000–65,200 remains on the table.

Invalidation conditions: If a 4-hour close falls below 63,800, or if price quickly drops back under 63,600 and can’t reclaim it. If this signal appears, the bullish route for the morning is canceled.

This is not a guaranteed outcome, nor a promise of returns. 64,600–65,000 is a resistance zone, and with high leverage, it’s easy to get swept for losses back and forth.

Do you think BTC will first pull back to 64,000 and then surge to 65,000, or continue to trade sideways near 65,000?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today｜BTC August 5】

Don’t rush to chase tonight—BTC is just hitting a key level.

The takeaway: short-term bias is bullish, but it won’t just keep straight up. Tonight is more likely to dip first, then break higher.

Why do we think that?

1）Cheds Trading（@BigCheds）just updated the BTC daily chart, showing price is challenging a local downward trendline. That resistance line is currently around 64,400—64,600. The first time price hits this area, choppy back-and-forth is normal.

2）TraderSZ（@trader1sz）updated tonight’s daily chart labels 64,622 as the near-term resistance and 62,320 as the midpoint of the range. The yellow path in the chart also suggests that after rebounding from the range’s midpoint, price will continue upward to test the resistance.

3）Daan Crypto Trades（@DaanCrypto）believes BTC’s daily and weekly structures are still compressing, with most key levels clustered between 60,000—70,000. After that, there may be a larger move; however, he also warns that early August setups often bring fake breakouts and stop-hunting.

Based on the live market: BTC is currently around 64,430, the 24-hour high is 64,581, and both the 4-hour EMA20 and EMA50 are near 63,800.

Tonight, follow just one route: around 64,400, pull back toward 64,000—63,800. Once that support holds, push back up to 64,600. After breaking through, then look toward 65,000—65,200.

So the direction is clear: dip first, then test higher—short-term bullish. Chasing directly at the resistance line isn’t worth it; waiting for the pullback to confirm will feel better.

The invalidation for this route is: a 4-hour close below 63,600. If that happens, it means 63,800 fails to hold, and tonight’s bullish bias is off.

That’s a scenario/path walkthrough—not a guaranteed signal. Do you think BTC will first dip to 64,000 tonight, or break through 64,600 right away?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today | ETH August 5】

No beating around the bush—the conclusion is: ETH will first consolidate and pull back in the short term, then move higher. As long as 1850 hasn’t been broken down effectively, don’t chase a short. The first target above is 1950; after it holds, look toward 2000.

ETH is currently around 1871. Why make this call?

1) Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) believes ETH has held the key support at 1800. Next, it will attempt to break above 2000, and only after that would it have the qualification to talk about 2300—2500.

2) Daan Crypto Trades (@DaanCrypto) points out that since June, ETH has still been in a bullish structure, but recently it has been stuck in the 1850—1950 range. 1950 is the threshold that opens up upside room, while 1850 is the level bulls must hold.

3) Cheds Trading (@BigCheds) reminds that ETH/BTC is cooling down. ETH/BTC is around 0.02911 right now, indicating ETH is not yet strong enough to rise independently all the way. During the rally, price will most likely bounce back and forth repeatedly.

Based on real-time data (editorial scenario): ETH is about 1871, the 4H EMA20 is about 1868, and the EMA50 is about 1876. Price is above the short moving averages, but it hasn’t truly gotten rid of the pressure around 1876 yet—so for now, we only watch one route:

Around 1870, it will likely keep ranging first. Then pull back to complete confirmation at 1860—1850, before testing 1900 and 1950 upward. After 1950 holds, then look to 2000.

Invalidation conditions for this route: a valid 4H breakdown below 1850, and the rebound can’t reclaim 1860. If this signal appears, don’t rush to bottom-fish first; next, be cautious around 1820 and 1800.

Grid trading can be built around 1850—1950, but reduce position sizes near the range edges—don’t use overly high leverage. This is a scenario/path forecast for the market, not a guaranteed-sure signal.

Do you think ETH will hit 1950 first this time, or will it fall back to 1850 first?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today｜ETH August 4】

ETH has been grinding higher slowly today, with the price back near 1875, but don’t rush to chase.

The conclusion: ETH is slightly bullish in the short term. First, expect a modest pullback, then test 1950. As long as 1850 holds, treat the correction as building momentum. Until 1950 is truly confirmed as support, don’t mistake a range bounce for the start of a bigger uptrend.

ETH is currently around 1876. Over the past 24 hours, the low was 1838 and the high was 1882.

Why am I making this call?

1）Daan Crypto Trades（@DaanCrypto）today mapped ETH’s core range at 1850—1950. He believes only a break above 1950 can open the door to a further move toward 2100. If it falls below 1850, he says you need to guard against 1750. Since price has returned above 1850, the conditions are still in place for price to continue testing the top of the range in the short term.

2）Michaël van de Poppe（@CryptoMichNL）today said ETH/BTC is still in an uptrend. Pullbacks are more suitable for observing whether buyers step in. Earlier, he also laid out a view that 1800 must hold, and that after a break above 2000, you could look for 2300. Right now, ETH/BTC is about 0.02934—showing ETH remains relatively strong versus BTC, though there will still be pressure near 0.03.

3）Cheds（@BigCheds）’s ETH three-day chart marks 1820—1860 as a key support zone. Combined with the live candlesticks, ETH has already reclaimed the 4-hour EMA20 (around 1868) and is testing the EMA50 (around 1877). As long as the pullback doesn’t lose 1850, this repair move hasn’t finished yet.

Putting these views together with the live charts, there’s only one route to focus on next:

From around 1875, ETH first pulls back to 1865—1850. It’s expected to find support here, then continue rebounding. First look for 1900, then 1950. Near 1950, expect sell pressure—don’t chase higher.

So the direction is very clear: pull back first, then rise. If 1850 holds, you’ll be looking toward 1950.

There’s only one invalidation condition for this route: a 4-hour close below 1850, and the rebound can’t get back above it. If that signal appears, the short-term bullish view is canceled, and the next area to watch becomes 1800—more extremely, 1750.

If you trade ranges or grids, you can monitor 1850—1950. But once 1850 is confirmed lost, don’t keep holding against the trend using a “range-bound” logic in a one-way decline.

The above is scenario analysis of the price path, not a guaranteed signal.

Do you think ETH can truly break and hold above 1950 this time?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights to Watch Today | BTC August 4】

That big bullish candle pulled back from around 62,200 yesterday looks great, but don’t rush to call it a reversal yet.

The conclusion: BTC will likely pull back first on the short term, then rebound. As long as 64,200 hasn’t reclaimed and held above it, the overall picture should still be treated as weak within a range.

BTC is now around 63,500. The 24-hour low is 62,268 and the high is 64,240. Yesterday’s rebound has already repaired a lot, but it’s currently getting stuck near the 4-hour mid/long-term moving averages.

Why am I making this call?

1）Mayne (@Tradermayne) ‘s 12-hour chart shows a higher low, but the high is still making lower highs. His view is: before a real breakout and lift-off happens, BTC must first break out of the current descending structure. Until then, the higher timeframe remains relatively weak. The short-term descending trendline on his chart is around 64,000, and the small base below is around 62,400.

2）Cheds (@BigCheds) reminds that BTC has been repeatedly fighting around below the 4-hour SMA200. Based on Binance futures real-time data: the 4-hour EMA50 is about 63,670 and the SMA200 is about 63,835. So the 63,800—64,200 zone is continuous resistance—not a level you just “tap” and call it a breakout.

3）Altcoin Sherpa (@AltcoinSherpa) believes BTC is still in the second phase of this year’s long consolidation range. Using real-time derivatives data, during the rebound the open interest fell from about 111,625 BTC to 108,968 BTC, suggesting this move looks more like post-deleveraging repair rather than a trend reversal driven by a large wave of new long positions.

Putting these views and the real-time data together, there’s only one route to watch next:

From around 63,500, BTC pulls back to about 63,300 first, then tests 63,000—62,800. It’s expected to stabilize near 62,800, then rebound toward 63,800. If it’s stronger, it could reach into 64,000—64,200. But once it gets near 64,200 and can’t hold, the price will most likely fall back into the 62,500—62,200 area.

So the direction is very clear: pull back first, then rebound. Even if it rebounds up near 64,200, treat it as resistance—don’t chase.

There’s only one condition that invalidates this path: BTC regains 64,200 on the 4-hour timeframe, and the retest of 64,000 holds (doesn’t break). If that signal appears, the “range-weak” view is canceled, and you can then look higher at 64,800—65,300.

If you’re trading the range or using a grid, you can watch 62,200—64,200. But once 62,200 is confirmed broken down, you should stop “holding on” with a pure range-trading mindset. The next truly important defense area would be around 60,000.

The above is a scenario walk-through, not a sure-win signal.

Do you think BTC will pull back first to 62,800, or break through 64,200 directly?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today｜ETH August 3】

ETH is slightly stronger than BTC today, but it still isn’t time to chase the rally.

The conclusion is: in the short term, expect a rebound first. After 1900 faces pressure, then look for a pullback. Until 1900 truly holds above, treat all upward moves as a repair rather than a reversal.

ETH is now around 1867. Today it dipped to a low of 1827, then pulled back up above 1860.

Why make this call?

1) Cheds’ ETH 3-day chart marks the 1840—1870 range as the key area right now. Combined with the live candlesticks, ETH has just returned to the vicinity of the 4-hour EMA20 (about 1867), but it is still below the EMA50 (around 1880). So 1880—1900 is the most immediate resistance zone in front of us.

2) Daan’s ETH/BTC weekly chart has already broken out of the descending channel, but 0.03 is still weighing on ETH’s relative strength. With ETH/BTC around 0.02929, until it breaks above 0.03, ETH is unlikely to show an independent, strong bull phase.

3) Daan also reminds that after ETH breaks the BTC descending channel, a powerful continuation move has not shown up yet. Looking at prices over the past week, ETH has repeatedly found support around 1820—1850, but resistance has consecutively formed above at 1898, 1935, and 1955. This suggests the market is still in range repair, not a one-way advance.

Putting these views together with the live chart, there’s only one route to watch:

ETH rebounds from around 1867, first tests 1880, then taps 1900. Expect sell pressure to appear in the 1880—1900 area, followed by a renewed pullback toward 1850; if weaker, it could drop back into 1830—1820.

So the direction is very clear: rebound first, pull back afterward. Don’t chase above 1900. The support zone that really needs watching next is 1820—1850.

There is only one invalidation condition for this path: ETH on the 4-hour timeframe reclaims 1900, and simultaneously ETH/BTC breaks above 0.03 and holds it. Only when both conditions appear at the same time can we say ETH’s rebound may turn into a real uptrend.

If you’re trading a range or using a grid strategy, you can watch 1820—1900. But once 1820 is confirmed to break down, you need to be on guard against price continuing to search for 1780; you shouldn’t force a range strategy into holding through what could become a one-way selloff.

The above is a scenario-based market path analysis, not a guaranteed signal.

Do you think ETH will first touch 1900, or will it fail to rebound and instead pull back again toward 1830?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

【Top 10 Crypto Traders’ Highlights Today | August 3】

No beating around the bush—after integrating several traders’ viewpoints with the live candlestick charts, the conclusion is:

BTC is bearish in the short term. Until 64,000 is firmly regained, treat all rebounds as corrections, not reversals.

BTC is currently around 62,700. The image is TraderSZ’s BTC daily chart posted today.

Why is this the call?

1）The three main liquidation clusters Daan mentioned are at 62,200, 62,800, and 64,000. Price is very likely to be pulled back and forth around these levels.

2）The current price is still below the 4-hour EMA20 (about 63,200) and EMA50 (about 63,700). The short-term structure hasn’t turned bullish yet.

3）On TraderSZ’s chart, the midpoint of the range is near 62,320. Price once dropped below that midpoint and is still repeatedly hovering around this area. The two clearly marked levels below are 60,019 and 57,717. ETF fund flows have not formed a consistent direction, so there isn’t enough strength to support a direct reversal—for now.

Putting these together, there’s only one route to watch next:

From around 62,700, BTC continues to chop and drift lower, first testing 62,320–62,200. After a breakdown, it keeps looking for support near 60,000.

A rebound is expected around 60,000. First, see whether it can reclaim 62,320. If it’s stronger, it could test 63,700–64,000. But as long as 64,000 can’t be reclaimed, this upswing is still only a rebound; the outlook remains weak afterward.

So the direction is very clear: drop first, then rebound. If the rebound can’t get back above 64,000, keep treating it as bearish.

There’s only one invalidation condition for this route: BTC regains 64,000 and then retests 64,000 without breaking it. If that signal appears, the short-term bearish call needs to be canceled.

Range trading or grid strategies are possible, but once 62,200 is confirmed lost, you need to watch out for price continuing to search for 60,000. A one-way selloff could wipe out all the grid profits from earlier.

The above is a scenario analysis of the market path, not a guaranteed-win signal.

Do you think a decent rebound can show up around 60,000?

#BTC #ETH #BNB

Made a “Personal Trading Analysis and Notification System” with Codex, and open-sourced it on GitHub.

Using Binance’s read-only API, it analyzes your futures trades from the past year: what do profitable orders have in common? In what situations do losses usually occur? What exactly is the cost you pay for habits like high leverage, frequent trading, and chasing after losses?

The system will continuously monitor your trading behavior. When it detects positions that are too large, leverage that’s too high, or abnormal trading frequency—and if you start acting impulsively afterward—it will remind you via DingTalk to calm down, and explain, based on your historical data, why you should pay attention to this time.

It also automatically generates a trade journal and periodic reports.

This is not a tool for predicting price movements, and it won’t place trades for you. It’s more like a mirror that helps you see clearly how you make money—and how you lose it.

Trading speaks; data doesn’t lie.

Hope it can make every trade become an advantage for the next one.

Hope it helps retail traders, so you get less picked off by shady operators.

$CREAM $DIA $PNT

Honestly, the crypto market is really tough to endure right now.

This STAR grid started running from 0.12978. The lowest it dipped to in the middle was 0.12309—at one point it was more than 5 points below the launch price. Now the price has come back to 0.12603, which is still nearly 3 points lower than when it started.

But the grid has already realized 24.89 U, and the position you currently hold is still showing about 22.05 U in unrealized profit.

Yeah, that’s the appeal of a grid. The market doesn’t necessarily have to jump up right away. As long as the price keeps bouncing around within the range, it will buy one grid at a time and sell one grid at a time, slowly grinding out the profits.

In this kind of market, if you originally wanted to hold some liquid, mainstream coins—or a coin you’ve researched that has been trading in a relatively low-level range for a long time—then you might be willing to pick up a bit more if it drops further. But if you’re just holding and you can never quite stick with it, it might be worth looking into a grid strategy.

Don’t think about making a comeback in one move, and don’t dump all your position at once either. Do it with small positions and gradually work it. First, figure out a way to keep yourself in the game—make it through this difficult stretch, and only then talk about the next round of bull market.

That said, I have to put the ugly truth up front: grids also fear one-way, prolonged drops, and nobody can confirm where the true bottom is. The grid shown in the chart is a 10x contract grid—these are my own parameters, so it’s not suitable to copy directly. If a beginner really wants to try, start with spot grids or very low leverage, and think through your position size and exit conditions in advance.

$PLAY I have been restricted from opening positions, and the brothers who followed are comfortable shorting.

$PLAY has been restricted by Binance, and opening positions is limited. It is estimated that the market is being manipulated by the whale, and Binance has implemented risk control. I have completed my long positions, let's take a small short with competitors.

The top gainers today are basically occupied by $B3, $C, and $STG. At times like this, enthusiasm, sentiment, and volatility will all be amplified together. Just because the market is hot doesn't mean you can go all in; controlling your position and managing risks is the only way to go further.

Not to mention, the most eye-catching today are $STG, $C, and $KNC. These tickets are the easiest to make people both fear missing out and chase at the hottest emotional positions. The higher the ranking on the gainers list, the more you shouldn't chase randomly; first manage your positions and rhythm, then consider opportunities.

$STG This wave is very strong, $C and $KNC are also gaining momentum, and now the market's attention is clearly on these popular coins. These types of assets are highly volatile, and what truly matters is not chasing quickly, but maintaining a steady position and controlling risk.

$XNY Today is really fierce, $BLUAI and $STG are also pushing up together, the front row of the gainers list has directly filled the short-term sentiment. The strength can continue to be observed, but capital management and position management must be prioritized, don't get carried away, first control the risk.

The top of the gainers' list today is basically occupied by $BLUAI, $KAT, and $BR. At times like this, heat, sentiment, and volatility will all be amplified together. Just because the market is hot doesn't mean you can go all in; controlling your position and managing risk is what allows you to go further.

$BLUAI Today is really intense, $KAT and $STO are also pushing up together, and the top of the gainers list has already filled the short-term sentiment to the max. This kind of popular coin is the easiest to make people impulsively chase at the peak of sentiment. The momentum can continue, but capital management and position management must come first. Don't get carried away, control the risk first; those who can go far are never the ones who go all in impulsively.

Not to mention, the most eye-catching today are $KATUSDT, $BLUAIUSDT, and $MUSDT. The top 3 in this surge ranking inherently attract traffic, emotions, and controversy. The more people watch, the more exaggerated the fluctuations often become, so at this time, it's not about being bold, but rather who can better read the rhythm.