超菜小鳄鱼

If you went short on Ethereum or Bitcoin last night, in my personal opinion, you may be in for a rough time. Those holding long positions, pay attention to support at this level. If it breaks, exit immediately!! Wishing you all big profits, guys!! #ETH🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥

This price action is impossible to watch. Let's pause the long positions and hope for a chance to catch a small pullback tonight! 😀#ETH

Shake it out all you want—my cost basis is around 2640. Two words: HOLD!!#ETH

Many people are currently debating whether Ethereum’s recent choppy consolidation is topping out or building energy. Here’s my own take.

From the chart, price has been grinding back and forth within a range for this period, repeatedly washing out the market. Bulls and bears are in a tug-of-war here. For those who are not firmly committed, the whipsaws keep sweeping their stops and forcing them out.

The 2785 area is currently the most critical resistance level. My personal view is that only with an effective breakout above 2785 on convincing volume will this ETH uptrend truly open up room. Once it breaks and holds, there won’t be strong overhead pressure to block the way, and price should continue moving higher along the trend.

On the fundamentals, spot ETF inflows have been ongoing. Institutional capital has been gradually building positions, and “whale” addresses have not dumped large amounts into exchanges. The logic of long-term holders locking up their supply is still intact. On the macro side, liquidity expectations provide support for the broader market; it’s not a one-time short-term hype.

In terms of technical structure, the daily timeframe shows a rising bottom: higher lows keep forming, which is a typical bullish “accumulation/building energy” pattern. The current consolidation is just a form of整理 (consolidation) during an upswing—it is not a reversal into a decline. Even if there is a short-term pullback, it may still be an opportunity for bulls to get onboard. The key is to hold the main support; the larger bullish trend won’t easily change.

Of course, the market won’t move in a straight line. Before the breakout and hold above 2800, the range-bound washout may continue—don’t chase prices higher. Only after the market truly confirms and holds above 2800 should you then follow the trend to look toward the upside targets.

Second, beyond the market itself, I’ve learned a bit about Qimen Dunjia and the Liu Ren divination system. In the Qimen course, the Kun palace is situated over the 9th ground (九地), with a Ji + Wu setup. The “9th ground” signifies calm steadiness—slow progress due to time and accumulation. If I apply this to interpreting the price action, it could be a grind, with震荡 (choppy consolidation). With Ji + Wu, the advantage is chasing profit but expect setbacks—there’s little chance of a one-way “straight flight.” There will definitely be pullbacks!

This lesson corresponds to an “Yin escape” (阴遁) 7 bureau (局), with Jia Shen xu nian at noon (甲申旬午未空). Kun belongs to 未, while 午未 is “empty” (未空). The “wealth star” (财星) is in a state of emptiness and won’t really exert power until it is filled. The current value sign (值符) generates wealth in the wealth palace, meaning there isn’t momentum for a market-wide collapse and big drop in the broader environment. Meanwhile, the value officer (值使) overcomes the “dead gate” (死门) against wealth, which suppresses short-term pullbacks. Opportunities may come on 10.11, the Wu day (戊午). The main peak may be on 10.12, the Ji-Wei day (己未). Each day around the 午 and 未 hours (noon and pre-afternoon) is more likely to see upside spurts.

#ETH # Market analysis 📈

Today’s PPI data shows a mild rebound. The market immediately started trading on rate-hike bearishness, and Bitcoin and Ethereum followed with a short-term pullback. Many retail traders see a slight drop and start panicking, afraid that the market may turn bad. In fact, there’s no need to worry at all—this is just short-term data fluctuation, not a true reversal of the trend. As for the so-called rate hikes, what’s happening is mainly the market’s follow-the-crowd speculation and the manufacturing of fear, not a genuine tightening of policy. It’s only meant to scare people with short-term negative news. The overall macro environment has not changed in any way. The broader uptrend of ample liquidity remains firmly in place, and the long-side rhythm across the crypto market is completely unchanged. This small correction is simply the most normal “shakeout” pattern within a bull market—mainly washing out retail traders with weak conviction and short-term profit-takers, to build strength for the next push higher. Ignoring the short-term noise, the long-term and medium-term upward rationale for Bitcoin and Ethereum remains intact. There is no bearish news that can reverse the trend. This kind of emotion-driven selloff is actually a great opportunity to buy the dip and add positions.

Now the market is back in a position of “offense when you can, defense when you must.” Especially now, bearish sentiment is spreading throughout the entire market—here are my thoughts.
Looking at Ethereum from the weekly chart, the bullish structure hasn’t finished playing out yet. After a pullback to 1856 yesterday, the bulls launched another small move upward. The core support for this round of correction is locked around 1820—this is a dense buying-support zone at the daily chart level. As long as the price pulls back to this level and prints a stop-falling (reversal) candlestick, the bullish structure won’t be broken; basically, it’s set in stone that the market will reach new highs.

Bitcoin is both lovable and frustrating—like the ineffective husband in an AV plot. After the last push to 65,000, it didn’t manage to remove the liquidity at 67,300. The market may be shaping up to go bad. If I were to trade, I would place a short around 65,300, and if price holds above 65,800, I’d close it directly.

Summary: Ethereum—after pulling back to 1856 yesterday, it’s now around 1930. I don’t think it will keep pushing upward from here. If it pulls back to 1820, I would set up to go long; take profit is around the previous high near 1980.
For Bitcoin, the short entry is set at 65,300, with take profit looking below at 61,400. If it holds steady at 658–664, I’ll just throw (exit) the position.
#Eth #BTC