LETUCHI GOLLANDEZ
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#MarketSentimentToday
Serious events are once again brewing around Iran and Israel.
1. The Israeli Defense Minister informed U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin that they are noticing preparations for an Iranian attack, which had not been observed previously. According to Israeli intelligence, an attack could occur this evening.
2. The Israeli IDF has ordered soldiers on leave in Georgia and Azerbaijan to urgently return to Israel.
3. The U.S. has deployed a nuclear submarine to the shores of Israel and is accelerating the transfer of an aircraft carrier.
It is worth noting that markets often "drop" in anticipation of military actions, and then recover once they begin. This has been observed in 5 out of 5 cases in history. From a market perspective, any escalation in the Middle East could lead to a devaluation of the dollar, an increase in inflation, and a rise in stocks, including cryptocurrencies. However, caution should be exercised locally with futures and high leverage.
Serious events are once again brewing around Iran and Israel.
1. The Israeli Defense Minister informed U.S. Secretary of Defense Austin that they are noticing preparations for an Iranian attack, which had not been observed previously. According to Israeli intelligence, an attack could occur this evening.
2. The Israeli IDF has ordered soldiers on leave in Georgia and Azerbaijan to urgently return to Israel.
3. The U.S. has deployed a nuclear submarine to the shores of Israel and is accelerating the transfer of an aircraft carrier.
It is worth noting that markets often "drop" in anticipation of military actions, and then recover once they begin. This has been observed in 5 out of 5 cases in history. From a market perspective, any escalation in the Middle East could lead to a devaluation of the dollar, an increase in inflation, and a rise in stocks, including cryptocurrencies. However, caution should be exercised locally with futures and high leverage.
August 12, 2024, the altseason begins! Urgently buy Ethereum and RWA narativa coins! The prices have started, the best ones, my portfolio is open to everyone! Fasten your seat belts, the start has begun!
$BTC The market turned out to be more complex than expected. The smooth growth turned out to be temporary, and prices began to fall. The situation on the stock market is even more interesting: during the panic at the beginning of the week, large brokers suspended their operations, preventing ordinary investors from buying shares at the bottom of the correction. However, today, after a significant rebound, they opened the opportunity to buy at higher prices. In such conditions, the number of active investors has increased, and they are actively buying shares. The question remains: are they doing this before the expected growth or before the continuation of the fall? This made me doubt the short-term prospects, but I remain confident in the positive long-term prospects of all markets - this is inevitable. The price falsely "fell out of the 62500 range", and now returns to it, this phenomenon is called - "Deviation". If you saw a deviation, then there was a return back to the range, you can safely consider a deal from a "re-test of deviation", or from the lower / upper border of the range, depending on where it took place. During movement within the range, the purpose of "deviation" is to remove liquidity!
✅ Woe is me? Or why most always miss the bottom of the market 💎
➡️ You know what is the mistake of bears and really smart investors/traders during a nascent bull market? - Disbelief in growth due to lack of fundamental arguments.
✅ Since 2022, when we bought BTC at $15,500, altcoins in hopes of an alt season and gave up shorts completely, with BTC at $16,000, after this post (I suggest you read it) - there was a lot of "fair negativity" and criticism, because it was done, for the most part, on faith in the market, and the cyclical economy since there was no "light at the end of the tunnel".
➡️ At this point, bears were consolidating shorts at the bottom, missed entry points on ETH and BTC, and there were record short positions on the SP500 for hundreds of billions of dollars. From a fundamental point of view - it made sense. Up to $48,000 the picture always looked "short". Result, BTC and ETH surge, SP500 high renewal - missed opportunities and the whole year 2023 of big liquidations, losses and no less nerves.
✔️ Today, the bears have already grown "bull horns", but they again declare that "there is no reason to stimulate the economy", "full-fledged growth is not soon", "at least in 2027" - because there is still no bright light at the end of the tunnel. And any shakeout, instantly forces them to flee the market.
❤️ The truth is that by the time 100% arguments appear, the printing press is turned on - the highs will have to be bought back already. After the recessionary collapse, during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, there were just as many arguments, but they were different: "the markets are going into a bear market for 10 years until the global economy recovers", "now investors don't care about stocks and crypto", "we are all going to die", and when the printed trillions reached the hands of the final beneficiaries, it was too late, and all those who expected "sufficient arguments" bought the highs and became hostages of their positions to this day.
➡️ You know what is the mistake of bears and really smart investors/traders during a nascent bull market? - Disbelief in growth due to lack of fundamental arguments.
✅ Since 2022, when we bought BTC at $15,500, altcoins in hopes of an alt season and gave up shorts completely, with BTC at $16,000, after this post (I suggest you read it) - there was a lot of "fair negativity" and criticism, because it was done, for the most part, on faith in the market, and the cyclical economy since there was no "light at the end of the tunnel".
➡️ At this point, bears were consolidating shorts at the bottom, missed entry points on ETH and BTC, and there were record short positions on the SP500 for hundreds of billions of dollars. From a fundamental point of view - it made sense. Up to $48,000 the picture always looked "short". Result, BTC and ETH surge, SP500 high renewal - missed opportunities and the whole year 2023 of big liquidations, losses and no less nerves.
✔️ Today, the bears have already grown "bull horns", but they again declare that "there is no reason to stimulate the economy", "full-fledged growth is not soon", "at least in 2027" - because there is still no bright light at the end of the tunnel. And any shakeout, instantly forces them to flee the market.
❤️ The truth is that by the time 100% arguments appear, the printing press is turned on - the highs will have to be bought back already. After the recessionary collapse, during the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020, there were just as many arguments, but they were different: "the markets are going into a bear market for 10 years until the global economy recovers", "now investors don't care about stocks and crypto", "we are all going to die", and when the printed trillions reached the hands of the final beneficiaries, it was too late, and all those who expected "sufficient arguments" bought the highs and became hostages of their positions to this day.
Reason for correction | Sooner rise
💎 Reason for correction | Sooner rise
➡️ One of the main, fundamental reasons for the correction in the stock market (SP500) and cryptocurrency is the seasonal reduction in liquidity, tax payments have been moved to the US Treasury account and left the market, but are sure to be brought back again.
➡️ Arthur Hayes (CEO of BitMEX) wrote in his new post that today we should not follow the Fed (their position and goals are clear), but the U.S. Treasury and Secretary Yellen. She can "pour $400bn to $1.4 trillion into the market" with her decision and when this happens - the markets will start to rally again and accelerate the "bull market", you can read more about the arguments here.
✔️ Conclusion, the Fed's hands are tied due to strong data, until they start cutting rates and printing new liquidity - a full-fledged bull market will not happen (read more here), but the FOMC will continue to "stimulate the markets". Fin will continue to "stimulate the markets" until after the US elections, which increases the chances of a rally in high risk markets and altcoins in particular in the near term ❤️✌️ Going for Growth
➡️ One of the main, fundamental reasons for the correction in the stock market (SP500) and cryptocurrency is the seasonal reduction in liquidity, tax payments have been moved to the US Treasury account and left the market, but are sure to be brought back again.
➡️ Arthur Hayes (CEO of BitMEX) wrote in his new post that today we should not follow the Fed (their position and goals are clear), but the U.S. Treasury and Secretary Yellen. She can "pour $400bn to $1.4 trillion into the market" with her decision and when this happens - the markets will start to rally again and accelerate the "bull market", you can read more about the arguments here.
✔️ Conclusion, the Fed's hands are tied due to strong data, until they start cutting rates and printing new liquidity - a full-fledged bull market will not happen (read more here), but the FOMC will continue to "stimulate the markets". Fin will continue to "stimulate the markets" until after the US elections, which increases the chances of a rally in high risk markets and altcoins in particular in the near term ❤️✌️ Going for Growth
✔️ Local situation
Just that my chart confirmed the end of the local decline to the bottom, on this 4 hour chart we will enter the market reversal zone and slowly go to gain positions up (our zone of interest 59000-56000) I recommend to open futures orders with x10 and stop to the mark below 52000. Interested target 67300 is a good deal! Good profit for everyone!
Just that my chart confirmed the end of the local decline to the bottom, on this 4 hour chart we will enter the market reversal zone and slowly go to gain positions up (our zone of interest 59000-56000) I recommend to open futures orders with x10 and stop to the mark below 52000. Interested target 67300 is a good deal! Good profit for everyone!
✔️ Local situation
➡️ So far BTC is going within the second scenario from this post, the confirmation will be the consolidation below $61,700. Notice how altcoins behaved when BTC went below $60,000? Standing still.
✔️ First of all, the dominance after coming to the level of 57% is slowly but decreasing, it allows alts to be more stable, the levels are local and the main ones are marked on the chart. If in parallel with the decline in the price of BTC will decline and its dominance - altcoins will be in place, but retail today capitulates with thoughts: "what will happen then with altcoins if..." And they will undoubtedly go up
✔️Во second, as I wrote here, the main downward price movement is ahead, each token has a different situation, but those that have not shown anything at all yet, just "bumped" into large limit orders of large capital, MM will protect the price range.
➡️ So far BTC is going within the second scenario from this post, the confirmation will be the consolidation below $61,700. Notice how altcoins behaved when BTC went below $60,000? Standing still.
✔️ First of all, the dominance after coming to the level of 57% is slowly but decreasing, it allows alts to be more stable, the levels are local and the main ones are marked on the chart. If in parallel with the decline in the price of BTC will decline and its dominance - altcoins will be in place, but retail today capitulates with thoughts: "what will happen then with altcoins if..." And they will undoubtedly go up
✔️Во second, as I wrote here, the main downward price movement is ahead, each token has a different situation, but those that have not shown anything at all yet, just "bumped" into large limit orders of large capital, MM will protect the price range.
BITCOIN | HALVING
➡️ There is calm and uncertainty in the market, two scenarios published on Monday are valid.
1️⃣ scenario. The market is ready to move from current values, especially altcoins, funding rates are ideal for a good rally - $61,700 level holds the price very well, as long as we are above - there is no point in talking about moving below. Sideways, fast downward stabbing for "landing" of those who entered positions in this range and the nearest resistance will be - 64,600, after - 67,300, well, and further, in case of passing and consolidation - all chances to fly above ATH.
2️⃣ scenario. This is a decline to the zone of "weekly imbalance" ($52,000-59,000), taking into account the predictive liquidations - the biggest one is in the area of $57,095 (the screenshot above). This scenario would have a positive impact on the market in the long run, in this case, the market will be fully prepared for an upward reversal, but a strong decline in altcoins should not be feared, the main downward movement is behind us.
✔️ Halving will take place in 2 days, I get a lot of questions: "what to expect?"
First of all, this event will not affect the market much, all market participants knew about the halving in 2024 4 years ago, this event is embedded in the price, halving can only cause increased volatility and manipulation locally. Worrying about a "strong dump" or "millennial ace" on a halving day is not worth it.
And let me remind you that this time, a lot of things happened "for the first time": macroeconomic conditions are not the same as always for this event, the high was updated first
1️⃣ scenario. The market is ready to move from current values, especially altcoins, funding rates are ideal for a good rally - $61,700 level holds the price very well, as long as we are above - there is no point in talking about moving below. Sideways, fast downward stabbing for "landing" of those who entered positions in this range and the nearest resistance will be - 64,600, after - 67,300, well, and further, in case of passing and consolidation - all chances to fly above ATH.
2️⃣ scenario. This is a decline to the zone of "weekly imbalance" ($52,000-59,000), taking into account the predictive liquidations - the biggest one is in the area of $57,095 (the screenshot above). This scenario would have a positive impact on the market in the long run, in this case, the market will be fully prepared for an upward reversal, but a strong decline in altcoins should not be feared, the main downward movement is behind us.
✔️ Halving will take place in 2 days, I get a lot of questions: "what to expect?"
First of all, this event will not affect the market much, all market participants knew about the halving in 2024 4 years ago, this event is embedded in the price, halving can only cause increased volatility and manipulation locally. Worrying about a "strong dump" or "millennial ace" on a halving day is not worth it.
And let me remind you that this time, a lot of things happened "for the first time": macroeconomic conditions are not the same as always for this event, the high was updated first
BITCOIN AND MARKET OPINION
$BTC $ETH
➡️ SP500 opened above Friday's closing price, started to decline to cover the GEP, media reports that "Israel changed its mind and wants to answer Iran for what happened on Saturday" - due to these events, bitcoin is locally sawing.
➡️ There are no arguments for opening futures positions, both a quick move below $60,000 into the weekly imbalance zone with a subsequent upward reversal (our scenario) is likely, as it was before the growth in the $40,000 range, and just a sideways movement, with the accumulation of short liquidity and a move higher. As soon as there are arguments for opening positions, I will inform you about it.
✔️ Looking at the market, it would be logical to see the "denouement" on alts before the beginning of summer, besides, all conditions for this were created on the weekend, even updated high on domination, summer is seasonally "boring time", typical would be to "warm up" the market with alts, attract interest and go into consolidation for the whole summer. Therefore, today I am bullish on ETH and alts, and a full-fledged second round on BTC is likely to happen later.
❗️ But there are too many variables today: macroeconomics (things can change from report to report), geopolitical tensions, BTC 4-year cycles are broken (it is already dangerous to predict the chart based on history), institutional investors have entered the game for the first time (BTC ETFs, ETH ETFs) - this is the reason why I take off the WEEKLY REVIEWS - the situation is changing rapidly and those who are not "flexible" or patient will not survive, therefore, do not overestimate the "risks" for one single scenario and be morally prepared for anything.
➡️ SP500 opened above Friday's closing price, started to decline to cover the GEP, media reports that "Israel changed its mind and wants to answer Iran for what happened on Saturday" - due to these events, bitcoin is locally sawing.
➡️ There are no arguments for opening futures positions, both a quick move below $60,000 into the weekly imbalance zone with a subsequent upward reversal (our scenario) is likely, as it was before the growth in the $40,000 range, and just a sideways movement, with the accumulation of short liquidity and a move higher. As soon as there are arguments for opening positions, I will inform you about it.
✔️ Looking at the market, it would be logical to see the "denouement" on alts before the beginning of summer, besides, all conditions for this were created on the weekend, even updated high on domination, summer is seasonally "boring time", typical would be to "warm up" the market with alts, attract interest and go into consolidation for the whole summer. Therefore, today I am bullish on ETH and alts, and a full-fledged second round on BTC is likely to happen later.
❗️ But there are too many variables today: macroeconomics (things can change from report to report), geopolitical tensions, BTC 4-year cycles are broken (it is already dangerous to predict the chart based on history), institutional investors have entered the game for the first time (BTC ETFs, ETH ETFs) - this is the reason why I take off the WEEKLY REVIEWS - the situation is changing rapidly and those who are not "flexible" or patient will not survive, therefore, do not overestimate the "risks" for one single scenario and be morally prepared for anything.
$BTC
The thought process was right, a good lesson and a reminder for the future that one should unconditionally follow the plan "built on the shore", who was not fixed - I am with you!
Don't let yourself be sucked out of the market! Panic selling from retail at the March 2020 decline level "crown dump" - be sure to read everything written above, hugged ❤️✌️ 100% entry point to Long with leverage x 10 entry zone 59000-56000. Don't forget to thank-it inspires me to give you recommendations!
#BTC
The thought process was right, a good lesson and a reminder for the future that one should unconditionally follow the plan "built on the shore", who was not fixed - I am with you!
Don't let yourself be sucked out of the market! Panic selling from retail at the March 2020 decline level "crown dump" - be sure to read everything written above, hugged ❤️✌️ 100% entry point to Long with leverage x 10 entry zone 59000-56000. Don't forget to thank-it inspires me to give you recommendations!
#BTC
Looking at the momentum on BTC, I think it's too early to talk about a decline, it's not over yet. Funding rates have not heated up enough, increased demand for shorts, ideal conditions to break higher.
The nearest large liquidation clusters above are 73430, 73827, 74746 - only after reaching these values can we talk about a likely correction. On ETH - these are 3700, 3750, 3800, 3900.
It is desirable to see growth on bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) with liquidity pool removal from equal highs (in the scenario), if this happens, in case of future correction of BTC, its dominance will strongly decrease, which will allow altcoins not to fall significantly, as well as, demonstrate good growth on the return (just on expectations for ETH ETF in May) scenario is ideal.
As soon as the upward price expansion takes place and there are arguments for the start of correction or continued growth, I will definitely share them with you. Until then, personally, I do not take any actions, enjoy the growth of the portfolio, who are in deals - congratulations, who are not in deals - do not hurry!
$BTC $ETH
The nearest large liquidation clusters above are 73430, 73827, 74746 - only after reaching these values can we talk about a likely correction. On ETH - these are 3700, 3750, 3800, 3900.
It is desirable to see growth on bitcoin dominance (BTC.D) with liquidity pool removal from equal highs (in the scenario), if this happens, in case of future correction of BTC, its dominance will strongly decrease, which will allow altcoins not to fall significantly, as well as, demonstrate good growth on the return (just on expectations for ETH ETF in May) scenario is ideal.
As soon as the upward price expansion takes place and there are arguments for the start of correction or continued growth, I will definitely share them with you. Until then, personally, I do not take any actions, enjoy the growth of the portfolio, who are in deals - congratulations, who are not in deals - do not hurry!
$BTC $ETH
Everything goes according to the scenario described earlier, the main thing is to gain a foothold above 71500 and at night we will enter the zone 72000-73000 - perhaps if there is a breakdown above the historical maximum, we can go for correction, all good profits!
✔️ BITCOIN = $69,400 👨🦳
➡️ Bitcoin is following our scenario perfectly, target it, still in a triangle.
➡️ The nearest local resistance is $69,600, a strong bullish signal will be a consolidation above $70,000, firstly, it is the upper boundary of the triangle, secondly, so we will absorb the April 2 candle completely (correction) - this will open the way to the historical high, until this happens we can continue to move within the triangle.
➡️ Overall, funding rates have cooled down and have been neutral for a long time, open interest has dropped to recent lows, the market has cooled down and as I said earlier, I expect an upward exit from the triangle with targets above $70,000. But don't forget that today is a day off (movements are considered to be questionable) and closing at CME 67755$ I told about it in yesterday's review, I don't expect strong corrections before the growth.$BTC
➡️ Bitcoin is following our scenario perfectly, target it, still in a triangle.
➡️ The nearest local resistance is $69,600, a strong bullish signal will be a consolidation above $70,000, firstly, it is the upper boundary of the triangle, secondly, so we will absorb the April 2 candle completely (correction) - this will open the way to the historical high, until this happens we can continue to move within the triangle.
➡️ Overall, funding rates have cooled down and have been neutral for a long time, open interest has dropped to recent lows, the market has cooled down and as I said earlier, I expect an upward exit from the triangle with targets above $70,000. But don't forget that today is a day off (movements are considered to be questionable) and closing at CME 67755$ I told about it in yesterday's review, I don't expect strong corrections before the growth.$BTC
✔️ compound interest 📈
➡️ In this cycle, coins are growing narratives. Recently, it was memes and AI projects week, then, GameFI sector week, today it's RWA's turn.
This opens a big window of opportunity for compound interest work, as coins from one narrative grow strongly, like today - TOKEN and ONDO, while the rest of the altcoins at this point stand still and wait for their time.
➡️ By fixing at least partially profits and rebalancing them into an asset you believe in, which has not yet shown anything, you will, with high probability, be able to get "Xs on Xs". There are few cases when you can get 50-100 Xs on one asset, it is much easier to make 3 times 5🚀 each
And this strategy is safe and applicable only in today's conditions, at the moment when all altcoins will start their growth - there will be a risk to "stay forever" in the last asset on hayah, today - such a risk is minimal, a great time to prepare for the strong growth of all altcoins and multiply your results! 😎
🟠 On the screenshot is a graph of TOKEN coin in relation to HFT, in 4 weeks - TOKEN has grown by 580%. Simply put, today for the money you invested in TOKEN 4 weeks ago, you can buy HFT, almost 6 times more, and the price of HFT has remained the same, in all likelihood, there is still more to come!
And to the coin ATOM - TOKEN has increased by almost 700%, the main thing is to find the best ratio and guess with the asset 🙏
Take advantage and increase your chances of success 🚀
➡️ In this cycle, coins are growing narratives. Recently, it was memes and AI projects week, then, GameFI sector week, today it's RWA's turn.
This opens a big window of opportunity for compound interest work, as coins from one narrative grow strongly, like today - TOKEN and ONDO, while the rest of the altcoins at this point stand still and wait for their time.
➡️ By fixing at least partially profits and rebalancing them into an asset you believe in, which has not yet shown anything, you will, with high probability, be able to get "Xs on Xs". There are few cases when you can get 50-100 Xs on one asset, it is much easier to make 3 times 5🚀 each
And this strategy is safe and applicable only in today's conditions, at the moment when all altcoins will start their growth - there will be a risk to "stay forever" in the last asset on hayah, today - such a risk is minimal, a great time to prepare for the strong growth of all altcoins and multiply your results! 😎
🟠 On the screenshot is a graph of TOKEN coin in relation to HFT, in 4 weeks - TOKEN has grown by 580%. Simply put, today for the money you invested in TOKEN 4 weeks ago, you can buy HFT, almost 6 times more, and the price of HFT has remained the same, in all likelihood, there is still more to come!
And to the coin ATOM - TOKEN has increased by almost 700%, the main thing is to find the best ratio and guess with the asset 🙏
Take advantage and increase your chances of success 🚀
👑 Coin #PERP is being accumulated
🟢Having seen a lot of likes, I'm continuing my column of finding coins that are in active large cap accumulation, previously broke down the HFT token in this post.
➡️ Wallets with balances between 100K and 1M coins have been actively growing the position since December 2023. In comparison, the project's more successful competitor DYDX has much weaker accumulations.
➡️ The largest holder of PERP tokens is the Binance exchange, they store 44M PERP on their cold wallets, which is practically 16% of the entire issue.
➡️ We see a wallet that buys a token at any price and withdrew 2M coins from the Coinbase exchange between January 4, 2024 and March 4. Another wallet accumulated 1.3M coins in 2 days from March 15 to March 17.
Conclusion: the trend of decentralized derivatives exchange is promising (earlier the Head of DWF LABS wrote about it), the main holder of coins is the exchange Binance, the coin is actively accumulated even at current prices with better dynamics than more successful competitors. The price is in accumulation for about 700 days, which increases the probability of reaching the nearest goals of 4-6$ ❤️🚀☺️
🟢Having seen a lot of likes, I'm continuing my column of finding coins that are in active large cap accumulation, previously broke down the HFT token in this post.
➡️ Wallets with balances between 100K and 1M coins have been actively growing the position since December 2023. In comparison, the project's more successful competitor DYDX has much weaker accumulations.
➡️ The largest holder of PERP tokens is the Binance exchange, they store 44M PERP on their cold wallets, which is practically 16% of the entire issue.
➡️ We see a wallet that buys a token at any price and withdrew 2M coins from the Coinbase exchange between January 4, 2024 and March 4. Another wallet accumulated 1.3M coins in 2 days from March 15 to March 17.
Conclusion: the trend of decentralized derivatives exchange is promising (earlier the Head of DWF LABS wrote about it), the main holder of coins is the exchange Binance, the coin is actively accumulated even at current prices with better dynamics than more successful competitors. The price is in accumulation for about 700 days, which increases the probability of reaching the nearest goals of 4-6$ ❤️🚀☺️
➡️ ARBITRUM - OUTLOOK🏧
🟢 Considering that we expect ETH dominance to grow and assume its market leadership in the future, it is a good idea to choose 1 project Layer2 solution for investment.
➡️ Besides the rapid ecosystem development, stable development, partnerships, huge ambitions in NFT sector - ARB is today the most applicable and fastest growing Layer2 on the market.
✔️ TVL 🏧 (volume locked in value) - $3.1bn, despite market turmoil is growing steadily (DeFi lama)
✔️ For comparison:
🟣 MATIC - TVL 1bn and there have been constant outflows, downward momentum since the last bull cycle (DeFi lama)
OPTIMISM - TVL $900mn, 3x less than ARB (DeFi lama)
🚀 STRK - TVL 300mn$, but the project is young (DeFi lama)
⚡️METIS - TVL $76mn (DeFi lama)
✔️ Commentary: TVL is higher than all Layer2 solutions combined, and the price has been in accumulation for over a year, over $1bn worth of drops have been bought back in this accumulation, the funds have already started to receive large unlocks and are ready to be manipulated, unlike fresh projects that still have to stand in accumulation and wait for unlocks to primary investors. Most importantly, 35.28% of all coins in Treasury and belong to the ecosystem will be used for its development, 26.94% belong to the team and 17.5% to investors. The original intent of tokenomics is that 79% of all coins are owned by SILENT hands. Well the 11% that are given away as drops I think are already bought by big capital. No Layer2 solution today has this kind of tokenomics which is more suited for strong price manipulation, and combined with the leadership is a reason for me to buy! I have been buying at $0.9$ - $1.6$ 2$ and am buying now! 🚀
DYOR ✌️
🟢 Considering that we expect ETH dominance to grow and assume its market leadership in the future, it is a good idea to choose 1 project Layer2 solution for investment.
➡️ Besides the rapid ecosystem development, stable development, partnerships, huge ambitions in NFT sector - ARB is today the most applicable and fastest growing Layer2 on the market.
✔️ TVL 🏧 (volume locked in value) - $3.1bn, despite market turmoil is growing steadily (DeFi lama)
✔️ For comparison:
🟣 MATIC - TVL 1bn and there have been constant outflows, downward momentum since the last bull cycle (DeFi lama)
OPTIMISM - TVL $900mn, 3x less than ARB (DeFi lama)
🚀 STRK - TVL 300mn$, but the project is young (DeFi lama)
⚡️METIS - TVL $76mn (DeFi lama)
✔️ Commentary: TVL is higher than all Layer2 solutions combined, and the price has been in accumulation for over a year, over $1bn worth of drops have been bought back in this accumulation, the funds have already started to receive large unlocks and are ready to be manipulated, unlike fresh projects that still have to stand in accumulation and wait for unlocks to primary investors. Most importantly, 35.28% of all coins in Treasury and belong to the ecosystem will be used for its development, 26.94% belong to the team and 17.5% to investors. The original intent of tokenomics is that 79% of all coins are owned by SILENT hands. Well the 11% that are given away as drops I think are already bought by big capital. No Layer2 solution today has this kind of tokenomics which is more suited for strong price manipulation, and combined with the leadership is a reason for me to buy! I have been buying at $0.9$ - $1.6$ 2$ and am buying now! 🚀
DYOR ✌️
Is the new project EVERYTHING? ❤️
➡️ Interestingly, after every market "swing", market participants bury new projects: ARB, APT, SUI, HFT, etc., although most of the new projects have not even completed accumulation, and what's more - any of them A project is not yet qualified for distribution (sale).
➡️ Pre-IPO: ARB attracted $120M, APT - $350M, SUI - $385M, STRK - $280M, last posted W - $225M. - Is there any reason to believe that a huge fund manager who is dumber than you as an investor would invest in a dying market and project? Many of them aren't even unlocked yet, and where they are - there's no sales, just accumulation, no matter what the price.
➡️ This period is created for "landing": weak hands (thinking they are smarter than big capital), hamster speculators (selling at a loss during unsuccessful speculation), futures traders and those who gain in the form of a project decline Those who are rewarded are logging in for the holidays, which are still ahead, because as their matching prices accelerate, the cost of repurchasing them is high.
➡️ The difference with new projects is that even if they don't happen - in their first cycle, price increases are very likely. Look at FIL, AXS, FLOW - obvious representatives, even SOL running a blockchain during the holidays, as well as new projects that have been at the bottom of the last cycle. It's unlikely you'll be able to do this.
❤️ If you start exiting positions in new projects while Jump Trading, Wintermute, DWF Labs and other MMs are accumulating - most likely later - you will experience FLOW.
➡️ Interestingly, after every market "swing", market participants bury new projects: ARB, APT, SUI, HFT, etc., although most of the new projects have not even completed accumulation, and what's more - any of them A project is not yet qualified for distribution (sale).
➡️ Pre-IPO: ARB attracted $120M, APT - $350M, SUI - $385M, STRK - $280M, last posted W - $225M. - Is there any reason to believe that a huge fund manager who is dumber than you as an investor would invest in a dying market and project? Many of them aren't even unlocked yet, and where they are - there's no sales, just accumulation, no matter what the price.
➡️ This period is created for "landing": weak hands (thinking they are smarter than big capital), hamster speculators (selling at a loss during unsuccessful speculation), futures traders and those who gain in the form of a project decline Those who are rewarded are logging in for the holidays, which are still ahead, because as their matching prices accelerate, the cost of repurchasing them is high.
➡️ The difference with new projects is that even if they don't happen - in their first cycle, price increases are very likely. Look at FIL, AXS, FLOW - obvious representatives, even SOL running a blockchain during the holidays, as well as new projects that have been at the bottom of the last cycle. It's unlikely you'll be able to do this.
❤️ If you start exiting positions in new projects while Jump Trading, Wintermute, DWF Labs and other MMs are accumulating - most likely later - you will experience FLOW.
✔️#BTC #ETH 🪙 ⚪️
The correction built on Monday ⚡️План has already been completed, we have overlapped the GEP on CME at $65,500, the price has tested the weekly "Rejection Block" and removed the nearest liquidity, the main liquidity remained above, in all probability, the main downward movement is behind us (screenshot 3).
➡️ With all the desire to catch the "local bottom" of the correction, I believe that we should not hurry with futures, for now it will be "knife fishing", but there are already good prices for spot purchases.
🟢 Confirmation of the end of the correction for me will be one of these factors:
1️⃣ Buyer activation, good green candles on 4CH with an imbalance forming, on a return to which we will consider a trade.
2️⃣ consolidation above 67,500$, there are locally a lot of liquidations and the price can roll back there before continuing the decline (if we consolidate - positive).
3️⃣ A bullish takeover of the entire decline above $70,000.
➡️ For now if we don't see at least one of these conditions, we shouldn't rule out the risk of a correction complication.
✔️Все positive expectations for April are in force, correction increases the chances of their realization (ATH update on BTC). Liked the news of BTC moving down on the exchange from US accounts - always when it spooked, we saw a nice recovery. Remember, the US will never flood the market and "influence the price" with their sales, especially when bitcoin is already being traded by US citizens in spot BTC ETFs - it could trigger a major scandal.
Of course, if I have any thoughts, I'll let you know right away 👍.
Nothing Nothing terrible is happening - have patience ❤️
The correction built on Monday ⚡️План has already been completed, we have overlapped the GEP on CME at $65,500, the price has tested the weekly "Rejection Block" and removed the nearest liquidity, the main liquidity remained above, in all probability, the main downward movement is behind us (screenshot 3).
➡️ With all the desire to catch the "local bottom" of the correction, I believe that we should not hurry with futures, for now it will be "knife fishing", but there are already good prices for spot purchases.
🟢 Confirmation of the end of the correction for me will be one of these factors:
1️⃣ Buyer activation, good green candles on 4CH with an imbalance forming, on a return to which we will consider a trade.
2️⃣ consolidation above 67,500$, there are locally a lot of liquidations and the price can roll back there before continuing the decline (if we consolidate - positive).
3️⃣ A bullish takeover of the entire decline above $70,000.
➡️ For now if we don't see at least one of these conditions, we shouldn't rule out the risk of a correction complication.
✔️Все positive expectations for April are in force, correction increases the chances of their realization (ATH update on BTC). Liked the news of BTC moving down on the exchange from US accounts - always when it spooked, we saw a nice recovery. Remember, the US will never flood the market and "influence the price" with their sales, especially when bitcoin is already being traded by US citizens in spot BTC ETFs - it could trigger a major scandal.
Of course, if I have any thoughts, I'll let you know right away 👍.
Nothing Nothing terrible is happening - have patience ❤️
The worst thing you can do today is to lose in a rising market, so after a long and hard winter you will lose not only money but also unique opportunities in the short term.
➡️ With the collapse of the huge Terra Luna project, the stable coin UST, the bankruptcy of the FTX exchange, the devaluation of 99% of altcoins and the grueling, dangerous, frustrating 700 days of the bear market behind us, if you're in the market right now, and with money, you're very lucky. No matter what happens on the ground, we are much closer to the denouement, the moment when big capital will reap the benefits of 700 days of accumulation and operating at a loss.
⚡️Я participant in the last two bull cycles, and I can say with confidence: every $1000 lost in futures today is $30-50-100 or more thousand dollars in a full-blown bull market, provided you focus on the spot now and grow, rather than trying to get everything "here and now". The time of the NFT, memes, dips, stocks, activism, "helicopter money" and the meteoric rise of anything traded in the stock market is about to return. The last bull cycle made dollar millionaires out of high schoolers and brought fortune to those who didn't lose everything along the way. Your expectations are very low today - this provokes you to make ineffective decisions and prevents you from assessing the situation sensibly.
⭐️ Today treat your deposit with care, do not overestimate risks, do not "rush things", pay less attention to intraday movements, reduce futures positions by simply buying spot for the entire deposit. And if you have decided that you are ready to compete with the best traders in the world, large capitals and HFT-companies that trade not with hands but with software - don't sacrifice spot and read my article about risk management, without this base your chances are guaranteed to be equal to zero.
The main task today is to preserve capital, manage it rationally to improve results, but don't overestimate the risks.
➡️ With the collapse of the huge Terra Luna project, the stable coin UST, the bankruptcy of the FTX exchange, the devaluation of 99% of altcoins and the grueling, dangerous, frustrating 700 days of the bear market behind us, if you're in the market right now, and with money, you're very lucky. No matter what happens on the ground, we are much closer to the denouement, the moment when big capital will reap the benefits of 700 days of accumulation and operating at a loss.
⚡️Я participant in the last two bull cycles, and I can say with confidence: every $1000 lost in futures today is $30-50-100 or more thousand dollars in a full-blown bull market, provided you focus on the spot now and grow, rather than trying to get everything "here and now". The time of the NFT, memes, dips, stocks, activism, "helicopter money" and the meteoric rise of anything traded in the stock market is about to return. The last bull cycle made dollar millionaires out of high schoolers and brought fortune to those who didn't lose everything along the way. Your expectations are very low today - this provokes you to make ineffective decisions and prevents you from assessing the situation sensibly.
⭐️ Today treat your deposit with care, do not overestimate risks, do not "rush things", pay less attention to intraday movements, reduce futures positions by simply buying spot for the entire deposit. And if you have decided that you are ready to compete with the best traders in the world, large capitals and HFT-companies that trade not with hands but with software - don't sacrifice spot and read my article about risk management, without this base your chances are guaranteed to be equal to zero.
The main task today is to preserve capital, manage it rationally to improve results, but don't overestimate the risks.
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