Kul Kamul
87 Posts
Kul Kamul
Frequent Trader
1.5 Years
4 Following
89 Followers
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$BTC
Do you think on May 23rd the BTC will hit a price of 104,000 before rising to 114,500?
Do you think on May 23rd the BTC will hit a price of 104,000 before rising to 114,500?
$BTC
Data supplement dated 22/5/2025
Instead of guessing the price on 23/5/2025 compared to the BTC price on 22/5, we can look up the following 2 data:
1/ Liquidation chart of Future contracts (Binance)
2/ Closing chart of Options contracts (Deribit + Binance)
For Future: the liquidation value at this moment is ~ 250 million USD/1 minute (changes every minute so be cautious) heavily concentrated at 105k-106k (certainly after this post the data will change as a daily fluctuation of 5-10k in price has occurred)
For Option: the Maxpain value on 23/5 is 2.7 billion USD at 103k (+-4k) (Deribit) and 248 million USD at 105k (+-4k) (Binance).
This is real data for the dates 22-23/5
The price on 24/5 could rise to 122k or fall to 101k; no one can predict.
As for the price on 23/5, it is hard not to sweep through the Future and Option maxpain areas.
Historically, the price has never strayed too far from maxpain (it can deviate by 5k when either the Call or Put side is stronger, but there is usually a tug-of-war).
This is reference data, not financial guidance.
My money is managed by me; without data, shorting or going long is just gambling.
(This data is not for those who play on a minute-by-minute basis, but calculated on a daily basis)
Data supplement dated 22/5/2025
Instead of guessing the price on 23/5/2025 compared to the BTC price on 22/5, we can look up the following 2 data:
1/ Liquidation chart of Future contracts (Binance)
2/ Closing chart of Options contracts (Deribit + Binance)
For Future: the liquidation value at this moment is ~ 250 million USD/1 minute (changes every minute so be cautious) heavily concentrated at 105k-106k (certainly after this post the data will change as a daily fluctuation of 5-10k in price has occurred)
For Option: the Maxpain value on 23/5 is 2.7 billion USD at 103k (+-4k) (Deribit) and 248 million USD at 105k (+-4k) (Binance).
This is real data for the dates 22-23/5
The price on 24/5 could rise to 122k or fall to 101k; no one can predict.
As for the price on 23/5, it is hard not to sweep through the Future and Option maxpain areas.
Historically, the price has never strayed too far from maxpain (it can deviate by 5k when either the Call or Put side is stronger, but there is usually a tug-of-war).
This is reference data, not financial guidance.
My money is managed by me; without data, shorting or going long is just gambling.
(This data is not for those who play on a minute-by-minute basis, but calculated on a daily basis)
$BTC
There are 2 values for everyone to refer to:
1- Future liquidation chart: the large liquidation value level (19/5/2025) is concentrated at 102-102.8k
2- Options contract chart: max pain on 30/5/2025 has values of 95k (Deribit) and 92k (Binance). On 29/12 it is 170k.
The short-term trend from 19/5-30/5 will be a decrease towards the future liquidation level and Options contracts.
After the new Options contracts are available, there will be a new trend.
This is real data, while the hype about reaching 110-120k does not have confirmed data.
The probability of reaching 110k is 30% - if Saylor takes profit.
There are 2 values for everyone to refer to:
1- Future liquidation chart: the large liquidation value level (19/5/2025) is concentrated at 102-102.8k
2- Options contract chart: max pain on 30/5/2025 has values of 95k (Deribit) and 92k (Binance). On 29/12 it is 170k.
The short-term trend from 19/5-30/5 will be a decrease towards the future liquidation level and Options contracts.
After the new Options contracts are available, there will be a new trend.
This is real data, while the hype about reaching 110-120k does not have confirmed data.
The probability of reaching 110k is 30% - if Saylor takes profit.
$BTC
Clearly, the price is being manipulated unusually.
Price increased by 3k
Then immediately decreased by 3k
Then increased back by 3k as if nothing happened
Clearly, the price is being manipulated unusually.
Price increased by 3k
Then immediately decreased by 3k
Then increased back by 3k as if nothing happened
According to the option contract data.
It can be seen that max pain from now until 30/5 still hovers around 104k to 94k.
This is the price level that causes the least loss for option contract investors.
This is an additional reference channel.
Because the total value of option contracts is also not as high as the liquidation value of future contracts
$BTC
It can be seen that max pain from now until 30/5 still hovers around 104k to 94k.
This is the price level that causes the least loss for option contract investors.
This is an additional reference channel.
Because the total value of option contracts is also not as high as the liquidation value of future contracts
$BTC
#TradeWarEases
What do you think about an individual who always appears to have inconsistent positions but deep down is an unpredictable person.
It's true that he wants the whole world to pay attention and notice. That brings glory.
What do you think about an individual who always appears to have inconsistent positions but deep down is an unpredictable person.
It's true that he wants the whole world to pay attention and notice. That brings glory.
$BTC
I used to lose over 7k but persevered to recover slowly.
The result is recovering 6k.
Today I opened a Long position on BTC over 1800u, so happy, my friends.
Now it's time to rest. Waiting for BTC to stabilize to decide whether to Long or Short next.
I used to lose over 7k but persevered to recover slowly.
The result is recovering 6k.
Today I opened a Long position on BTC over 1800u, so happy, my friends.
Now it's time to rest. Waiting for BTC to stabilize to decide whether to Long or Short next.
$BTC must adjust a little even if it keeps increasing
brothers Long are strong again, the liquidity of the short is too thick in the range of 89-92k so the bookmaker pushed it up to 120k always. (Liquidity is data presented by the bookmaker to lure players)
brothers Long are strong again, the liquidity of the short is too thick in the range of 89-92k so the bookmaker pushed it up to 120k always. (Liquidity is data presented by the bookmaker to lure players)
$BTC
Tonight the price drops to 94k, let's gather the harvest.
Anyone long, then shout up to 120k for a good sleep.
Anyone short from 97.6k should wait for 96k to take profit and then enjoy a coffee while the longs dance.
Tonight the price drops to 94k, let's gather the harvest.
Anyone long, then shout up to 120k for a good sleep.
Anyone short from 97.6k should wait for 96k to take profit and then enjoy a coffee while the longs dance.
$BTC
So, 271 million USD has been liquidated.
The Short position has almost vanished in the range of 95-97k.
What will mm do next?
So, 271 million USD has been liquidated.
The Short position has almost vanished in the range of 95-97k.
What will mm do next?
Hay
Captain Hope
·
--
I am out of stock, whatever profit or loss, I settle everything here. I will calculate in 2026, or when the D1 clouds are green again.
Hay
Captain Hope
·
--
Where will BTC go?
when gold reaches a record high
BTC returns to the peak region of 90k-100k
ALT hits a new lower bottom in the downtrend cycle
ETH returns to the price zone of 1k3-1k5 equivalent to the time when btc was at 20k
So should we invest in alt, buy and forget?
because the current alt prices are too low?
But what if from this point BTC falls to deeper levels?
What if some altcoins get delisted?
Like:
LUNA, FTX
Recently, there's that one coin, what's its name =]] (forgot the name)
This is called coin selection
and risk management
So now, to be the safest
Step 1:
Wait for BTC to return to a good buying price first
Step 2:
Look for altcoins to buy later
There are as many alts as there is grass
Weeds =]]
Play according to the script
if not, then forget it
Alright, let's continue to grab.
when gold reaches a record high
BTC returns to the peak region of 90k-100k
ALT hits a new lower bottom in the downtrend cycle
ETH returns to the price zone of 1k3-1k5 equivalent to the time when btc was at 20k
So should we invest in alt, buy and forget?
because the current alt prices are too low?
But what if from this point BTC falls to deeper levels?
What if some altcoins get delisted?
Like:
LUNA, FTX
Recently, there's that one coin, what's its name =]] (forgot the name)
This is called coin selection
and risk management
So now, to be the safest
Step 1:
Wait for BTC to return to a good buying price first
Step 2:
Look for altcoins to buy later
There are as many alts as there is grass
Weeds =]]
Play according to the script
if not, then forget it
Alright, let's continue to grab.
$BTC 11:50 AM on April 26, 2025
Do you see what I see and
Can you guess what I predict?
1• Prediction (based on the liquidation chart over 48H):
The liquidation value around 96.5k is extremely thick.
The liquidation value around 92.5k is equally thick.
Whether it sweeps up or down, the house wins the same (guessing it will sweep up before going down).
2• The visible (BTC trading volume table)
For 3 consecutive days, they have quietly withdrawn BTC and converted it to USD, yet the price still rises. This shows that FOMO buying into the spot is not really favorable during this period (the whales are definitely offloading what they accumulated from the 75x-8x period).
If you think like me, please leave a comment.
Do you see what I see and
Can you guess what I predict?
1• Prediction (based on the liquidation chart over 48H):
The liquidation value around 96.5k is extremely thick.
The liquidation value around 92.5k is equally thick.
Whether it sweeps up or down, the house wins the same (guessing it will sweep up before going down).
2• The visible (BTC trading volume table)
For 3 consecutive days, they have quietly withdrawn BTC and converted it to USD, yet the price still rises. This shows that FOMO buying into the spot is not really favorable during this period (the whales are definitely offloading what they accumulated from the 75x-8x period).
If you think like me, please leave a comment.
$BTC
Currently 06:39 (UTC +7)
The liquidation amounts for Long-Short are very close together with an extremely narrow range from 93.8k-96.5k (about 3k in price)
This indicates that the probability of BTC switching within this range is sufficient for the fish without needing to rush to pump money or sell off => their baiting plan has succeeded.
Note: there is thin profit, so it is advisable to close because the liquidation values at both ends are the same and the narrow range means that sweeping both ends (3k price) is likely to happen for BTC in the next 12 hours.
Currently 06:39 (UTC +7)
The liquidation amounts for Long-Short are very close together with an extremely narrow range from 93.8k-96.5k (about 3k in price)
This indicates that the probability of BTC switching within this range is sufficient for the fish without needing to rush to pump money or sell off => their baiting plan has succeeded.
Note: there is thin profit, so it is advisable to close because the liquidation values at both ends are the same and the narrow range means that sweeping both ends (3k price) is likely to happen for BTC in the next 12 hours.
$BTC
This is a sign of pulling up to liquidate short positions and pulling down to liquidate long positions, and there are no investors buying to store, it's all just an illusion.
This is a sign of pulling up to liquidate short positions and pulling down to liquidate long positions, and there are no investors buying to store, it's all just an illusion.
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