krypton_bit

Lovers of showcasing their sums and boasting about their deposits on the spot? Some are found in bags, others something else...

While the fool is boasting, he is already being taken in ☝️

🚨 Crypto is becoming dangerous: armed hunting for an exchange top manager has been declared in France

— Three masked men broke into a house in the Val-de-Marne region, but there was no target there — they escaped, taking two phones.
— A few hours later, the criminals attacked a woman at another address, hoping to reach another crypto entrepreneur.
— They got the wrong house. Later, they were detained at the train station in Lyon thanks to surveillance cameras.

We see a new trend — pressure on crypto participants goes beyond on-chain and the internet.

👉 Major players are becoming physical targets
👉 Criminals are attracted by publicity and presumed wealth
👉 Risks of owning crypto assets — no longer just market risks

✔️ Do not publicly demonstrate your portfolio size
✔️ Avoid linking your residential address to crypto activity
✔️ Separate public and personal life
✔️ Use multi-layered account protection
✔️ Do not store large amounts on hot wallets

#binace #Write2Earn $BTC $BNB

ETF enthusiasts and eternal growth at a standstill? 🤣
🚨 Institutions are reducing their positions: hundreds of millions are flowing out of crypto-ETFs.
The market received a strong signal from major players.
— BlackRock transferred 3402 BTC (~$227M) and 15,108 ETH (~$29.5M) to Coinbase Prime — such movements are often associated with preparation for sale or liquidity redistribution.
Financial flows of crypto-ETFs over 24 hours:
• #BTC : - $410.3M
• #ETH : - $113.1M
• #XRP : - $6.4M
• #SOL : + $2.7M
When a series of outflows begins:
👉 the market loses support from large capital
👉 pressure on the price intensifies
👉 recovery becomes slower
This is not necessarily a signal of a crash — but it is definitely a sign of a decrease in risk appetite.
Institutions rarely sell “in panic.” More often they:
• take profits after a rise
• reduce risk before macro events
• accumulate cash for better prices
If outflows continue for several days in a row — the market may enter a phase of deeper correction.
As long as inflows have not completely disappeared — it looks more like cooling down, rather than the start of a bear market.
Watch not for a single transaction, but for a series of flows in ETFs — they often set the medium-term trend.
This is not financial advice.
$BTC $ETH

Important data from the USA, already in an hour and a half.⏳

#CPIWatch #FOMC‬⁩ $BTC $ETH

🚨 The market is losing "fuel": hash rate is falling, liquidity is leaving

Several metrics hint that the crypto market is entering a tougher phase.

— The BTC hash rate has dropped by more than 21% — the largest decrease since the mining ban in China in 2021.
— The capitalization of USDT has turned negative → capital is leaving, not entering.
— The Alts Impulse Index remains in bearish territory — there is currently no confirmation of a reversal.

Hash rate is an indicator of the network's health. A sharp decline often indicates pressure on miners: rising costs, decreasing profitability, or the capitulation of weaker players.

Stablecoins are the liquidity of the market. When their supply decreases:

• purchasing power falls
• rebounds are quickly sold off
• support during declines becomes weaker

Historically, sustainable BTC rallies almost never occur without an increase in stablecoins.

The momentum remains negative.

👉 the market may become more volatile
👉 rebounds — shorter
👉 false reversals — more frequent

The crypto market is currently more about caution than aggressive buying.

As long as liquidity doesn’t return — the best strategy often becomes patience, rather than trying to catch every movement.

#bitcoin #ALTCOİNS

🚨 BTC at the extremes of metrics: is the market close to a resolution?

— The Sharpe ratio of BTC has fallen to -10 — the lowest since March 2023 (the risk/return ratio has sharply deteriorated).
— The correlation of altcoins with BTC over 20 days is 0.86. Historically, such values have often formed near market lows.
— z-score of the liquidity oscillator: -1.39σ — a zone close to major accumulation phases.

Interestingly, the macroeconomics currently look stronger: the ISM index is rising, and the manufacturing sector is showing the best momentum in years.

However, BTC has decreased by about 23% year-on-year during this time, temporarily falling out of the logic of “following macro”. Such divergences usually do not last long — the market either catches up with the economy, or the macro environment starts to deteriorate.

— A negative Sharpe indicates increased volatility and a nervous market
— High correlation of altcoins strengthens systemic sell-offs
— Negative liquidity increases the chance of a final liquidation before a reversal.

Extreme indicator values are not a signal to “buy urgently,” but rather a sign that the market is entering a phase of heightened uncertainty. In such moments, strategy and risk control are more important.

This is not financial advice

#BTC $BTC

BTC at critical levels: what does on-chain and macro say?

Bitcoin is approaching a zone where strong decisions by major players have historically formed — and the data currently looks ambiguous.

— Current price: ~$70.8k
— Price 4 years ago: $44k → return of about +61%
— STH MVRV: -0.75 — lows since September 2022 (a sign of being oversold)
— Bull/Bear Index rose to 9.6 — extremely bullish sentiment in traditional markets, which is often interpreted as a counter-signal

Key levels (according to on-chain models):
— ~$102k — 200 DMA (long-term trend strength zone)
— ~$79k — True Mean Price
— ~$55k — Realized Price (global cycle support)

Negative MVRV indicates that short-term holders are realizing unrealized losses — such periods are often accompanied by capitulation and the transfer of coins to more patient investors.

At the same time, excessive optimism in the stock market is a classic environment where risk assets can face increased volatility.

— Loss of the zone around True Mean may accelerate selling pressure
— Overheated sentiment in macro sometimes precedes corrections
— Being oversold does not rule out a final "liquidity washout".

Not financial advice.

#bitcoin $BTC

Are you buying like the funds?
Big capital does not make mistakes?
I congratulate you🤣🤝

‼️In Trend Research, they almost completely sold off their Ethereum holdings.

In total, they bought 792,532 ETH for $2.59b at an average price of $3,267, and have already sold 772,865 ETH for $1.8b at around $2,326.

The company's balance now has only 21,301 ETH ($43.9m).

‼️Total loss ≈ $747m.

#Ethereum $ETH