krypton_bit
О криптовалюте - простыми словами! Трейдер, инвестор 24/7 в CRYPTO. Стримы и аналитика .Графики, метрики, мысли о рынке.
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📉 BTC below key on-chain levels — the market is again in a pressure zone
According to Glassnode, at a spot price of $71.8K, Bitcoin is trading below several important models:
🟡 Average price of active investors: $85K
🔴 Base of long-term holders (LTH): $81.3K
🟢 "True market average": $78K
🔵 Realized price of the network: $54.2K
📌 This means that a large part of the market is currently in a zone of psychological discomfort and losses.
🐳 Bitwise: institutions continue to hold the market
If it weren't for the constant demand from funds and treasury companies, the drop in BTC could have been much deeper.
Over the last 30 days:
➕ Institutions bought +45,100 BTC
➖ Realized capitalization changed by −92,400 BTC
Classic scheme: retail exits — large players collect.
The 200-week MA of BTC is expected to rise above $60,000 this month — historically one of the strongest long-term support levels.
Important point in the cycle:
Average duration of a drop below the level of short-term holders (STH) = 156 days
Maximum = 227 days
BTC has now been below STH for 162 days.
The market has already transitioned into a prolonged "cleansing" phase, and statistically, we are close to the zone where a foundation often forms. $BTC
According to Glassnode, at a spot price of $71.8K, Bitcoin is trading below several important models:
🟡 Average price of active investors: $85K
🔴 Base of long-term holders (LTH): $81.3K
🟢 "True market average": $78K
🔵 Realized price of the network: $54.2K
📌 This means that a large part of the market is currently in a zone of psychological discomfort and losses.
🐳 Bitwise: institutions continue to hold the market
If it weren't for the constant demand from funds and treasury companies, the drop in BTC could have been much deeper.
Over the last 30 days:
➕ Institutions bought +45,100 BTC
➖ Realized capitalization changed by −92,400 BTC
Classic scheme: retail exits — large players collect.
The 200-week MA of BTC is expected to rise above $60,000 this month — historically one of the strongest long-term support levels.
Important point in the cycle:
Average duration of a drop below the level of short-term holders (STH) = 156 days
Maximum = 227 days
BTC has now been below STH for 162 days.
The market has already transitioned into a prolonged "cleansing" phase, and statistically, we are close to the zone where a foundation often forms. $BTC
This scheme is not about "meme coins" but about liquidity manipulation.
📌 How it works:
1. They introduce USDC and accumulate a huge LONG
2. They pump the price on a thin order book (even +20% easily)
3. They create an illusion of demand with large orders
4. They remove orders → the price sharply falls
5. Liquidations begin → the market crashes like an avalanche
When ADL is activated, the system "unloads" the market and part of the losing positions effectively falls on the liquidity pool.
It is very likely that he held a hedge on another exchange where he profited from the decline while Hyperliquid incurred losses.
#Hyperliquid #FARTCOİN #crypto #memecoin $HYPE
📌 How it works:
1. They introduce USDC and accumulate a huge LONG
2. They pump the price on a thin order book (even +20% easily)
3. They create an illusion of demand with large orders
4. They remove orders → the price sharply falls
5. Liquidations begin → the market crashes like an avalanche
When ADL is activated, the system "unloads" the market and part of the losing positions effectively falls on the liquidity pool.
It is very likely that he held a hedge on another exchange where he profited from the decline while Hyperliquid incurred losses.
#Hyperliquid #FARTCOİN #crypto #memecoin $HYPE
Here you have a good project...
🩸 Bittensor (TAO) -27% at the moment. Reason — scandal within the ecosystem
One of the key developers of the Covenant AI network (creator of Covenant-72B) officially exits Bittensor.
It was Covenant that was one of the main reasons for the hype around TAO — their model was mentioned by the CEO of Nvidia and the co-founder of Anthropic.
What was stated:
▪ rewards (emissions) were disabled
▪ influence in the network was limited
▪ infrastructure was “turned off”
▪ there is no decentralization, the protocol is allegedly controlled by a narrow circle
The founder of Covenant sold TAO for about $10 million, after which the market sharply declined.
📌 Essence: TAO is falling not because of the market, but due to a blow to trust and conflicts within the project.
This is not financial advice.
#TAO $TAO #news #freedomofmoney
🩸 Bittensor (TAO) -27% at the moment. Reason — scandal within the ecosystem
One of the key developers of the Covenant AI network (creator of Covenant-72B) officially exits Bittensor.
It was Covenant that was one of the main reasons for the hype around TAO — their model was mentioned by the CEO of Nvidia and the co-founder of Anthropic.
What was stated:
▪ rewards (emissions) were disabled
▪ influence in the network was limited
▪ infrastructure was “turned off”
▪ there is no decentralization, the protocol is allegedly controlled by a narrow circle
The founder of Covenant sold TAO for about $10 million, after which the market sharply declined.
📌 Essence: TAO is falling not because of the market, but due to a blow to trust and conflicts within the project.
This is not financial advice.
#TAO $TAO #news #freedomofmoney
This story is important not only for oil — it is about how the market works with large sums of money.
Ceasefire = less risk of war = less fear of supply shortages → oil falls sharply.
Important for crypto:
When oil falls this quickly, it often triggers a chain:
risk decreases → funds reassess positions → money may flow out of risk assets (including altcoins).
🔥 This is already the second time — in March there was a similar short on $580 million just before Trump's statement.
#нефть #oil #Трамп #иран
Ceasefire = less risk of war = less fear of supply shortages → oil falls sharply.
Important for crypto:
When oil falls this quickly, it often triggers a chain:
risk decreases → funds reassess positions → money may flow out of risk assets (including altcoins).
🔥 This is already the second time — in March there was a similar short on $580 million just before Trump's statement.
#нефть #oil #Трамп #иран
Santiment compared projects in the Yield Farming sector by developer activity (commits, updates, work on GitHub).
✅ If a project is consistently in the top for dev activity:
• lower risk that the team has 'blown away'
• greater chance for product development
• higher trust from funds and exchanges
⚠️ But it's important:
High development ≠ guarantee of price growth.
Sometimes a token falls even for strong projects due to the market, tokenomics, and unlocks.
(AAVE,YFI,$BIFI , Gear,INV, ALCX, $YB , Sushi, COMP)
The main point of the ranking:
to cut out dead protocols and keep the live players.
This is not financial advice.
#MarketRebound #топ
✅ If a project is consistently in the top for dev activity:
• lower risk that the team has 'blown away'
• greater chance for product development
• higher trust from funds and exchanges
⚠️ But it's important:
High development ≠ guarantee of price growth.
Sometimes a token falls even for strong projects due to the market, tokenomics, and unlocks.
(AAVE,YFI,$BIFI , Gear,INV, ALCX, $YB , Sushi, COMP)
The main point of the ranking:
to cut out dead protocols and keep the live players.
This is not financial advice.
#MarketRebound #топ
Santiment showed tokens with the strongest growth of "whale" transactions over the week (transfers $100k+).
📊 TOP-10 by whale activity growth:
1. USDC (Optimism)
2. CRO
3. 1INCH
4. INJ
5. VSN
6. TRAC
7. EZETH
8. IMX
9. FLOKI (Ethereum)
10. FLUID
⚠️ Important: growth of whale activity ≠ signal to "buy".
Whales often move coins before a pump, distribution, or liquidity withdrawal.
What to watch next:
• growth in spot volumes
• movement to/from exchanges
• price reaction to large transactions
This is not financial advice.
#US&IranAgreedToATwo-weekCeasefire #altcoin #CRO #1inch #floki
📊 TOP-10 by whale activity growth:
1. USDC (Optimism)
2. CRO
3. 1INCH
4. INJ
5. VSN
6. TRAC
7. EZETH
8. IMX
9. FLOKI (Ethereum)
10. FLUID
⚠️ Important: growth of whale activity ≠ signal to "buy".
Whales often move coins before a pump, distribution, or liquidity withdrawal.
What to watch next:
• growth in spot volumes
• movement to/from exchanges
• price reaction to large transactions
This is not financial advice.
#US&IranAgreedToATwo-weekCeasefire #altcoin #CRO #1inch #floki
🚨 Whales are buying LINK, retail is exiting USDT — is the market on the brink of a reversal?
🐳 1) #LINK : whale activity is increasing
Two spikes in outflows have been recorded: over 8000 LINK left Binance as part of the top 10 transactions of the day.
The average outflow for the top 10 transactions is also rising:
~2000 LINK/day → almost 2600 LINK/day since mid-February.
👉 Large players do not keep coins on exchanges, but gradually withdraw them for accumulation.
2) Vitalik sold ETH for $36,000
The sale is small (17.26 ETH) and appears more like a technical operation, but in the current nervous phase, the market reacts even to such amounts.
😨 3) Retail capitulates through USDT
The number of Tether addresses on the Ethereum network has fallen by –72,841 (-0.54%) in just 48 hours.
This is a rare signal of declining interest from the crowd.
The last time something similar happened was at the end of 2024 — and at that time, #BTC increased by about +10% over 2 weeks.
4) The stock market is under pressure from oil
Indexes have already dropped by about –10%, and the market is moving according to the “oil shock” scenario.
Whales are starting to accumulate (LINK), retail is exiting (USDT), the market is nervous (oil/stocks).
Such moments often become the point where a base is formed for the next movement — but confirmation will only come from liquidity and demand.
$LINK $BTC
🐳 1) #LINK : whale activity is increasing
Two spikes in outflows have been recorded: over 8000 LINK left Binance as part of the top 10 transactions of the day.
The average outflow for the top 10 transactions is also rising:
~2000 LINK/day → almost 2600 LINK/day since mid-February.
👉 Large players do not keep coins on exchanges, but gradually withdraw them for accumulation.
2) Vitalik sold ETH for $36,000
The sale is small (17.26 ETH) and appears more like a technical operation, but in the current nervous phase, the market reacts even to such amounts.
😨 3) Retail capitulates through USDT
The number of Tether addresses on the Ethereum network has fallen by –72,841 (-0.54%) in just 48 hours.
This is a rare signal of declining interest from the crowd.
The last time something similar happened was at the end of 2024 — and at that time, #BTC increased by about +10% over 2 weeks.
4) The stock market is under pressure from oil
Indexes have already dropped by about –10%, and the market is moving according to the “oil shock” scenario.
Whales are starting to accumulate (LINK), retail is exiting (USDT), the market is nervous (oil/stocks).
Such moments often become the point where a base is formed for the next movement — but confirmation will only come from liquidity and demand.
$LINK $BTC
🚨 "News on the pre-market from Trump" as a trap: an interesting signal from Iran
The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament stated that the so-called "news" that appears before the market opens is often used as a tool for profit-taking.
According to him, it works as a reverse indicator:
• if the news drives the market up → it is often a reason for selling
• if the news causes panic and a dump → it is often a zone for building a position
He hints that this may refer to public statements and "leaks" that influence the markets, including sharp posts and comments from major politicians.
Why this is important for traders:
the market often moves not on facts, but on crowd reactions.
And the crowd almost always buys too late and sells in fear.
For beginners, a simple rule:
don't open a trade immediately after loud news.
First, look: who is really buying, and who is unloading.
Pre-market news is often not a signal to enter, but a signal that the market is preparing the crowd for the next movement.
Especially during times of high geopolitical tension.
#trump #TrumpSeeksQuickEndToIranWar $BTC $ETH
The Speaker of the Iranian Parliament stated that the so-called "news" that appears before the market opens is often used as a tool for profit-taking.
According to him, it works as a reverse indicator:
• if the news drives the market up → it is often a reason for selling
• if the news causes panic and a dump → it is often a zone for building a position
He hints that this may refer to public statements and "leaks" that influence the markets, including sharp posts and comments from major politicians.
Why this is important for traders:
the market often moves not on facts, but on crowd reactions.
And the crowd almost always buys too late and sells in fear.
For beginners, a simple rule:
don't open a trade immediately after loud news.
First, look: who is really buying, and who is unloading.
Pre-market news is often not a signal to enter, but a signal that the market is preparing the crowd for the next movement.
Especially during times of high geopolitical tension.
#trump #TrumpSeeksQuickEndToIranWar $BTC $ETH
⚡️The US labor market is signaling again
📊 New unemployment claims:
• 210K (actual)
• 211K (expected)
• 205K (previous)
📊 Continuing claims:
• 1 819K (actual)
• 1 860K (expected)
• 1 851K (previous)
What does this mean?
➤ There are no mass layoffs — new claims are almost not growing.
➤ But the number of people who remain unemployed for a long time is still high.
➤ This is a signal that the labor market is cooling slowly but steadily.
Why is this important for crypto and markets?
➤ The weaker the labor market — the higher the chance that the Fed will start lowering rates.
➤ And lowering rates = more liquidity and more interest in risk assets (stocks, BTC, altcoins).
This is not a crisis, but it is not strong either.
The labor market is holding up, but cracks are already visible.
This is not financial advice.
#FOMC #USACRYPTO $BTC $BNB
📊 New unemployment claims:
• 210K (actual)
• 211K (expected)
• 205K (previous)
📊 Continuing claims:
• 1 819K (actual)
• 1 860K (expected)
• 1 851K (previous)
What does this mean?
➤ There are no mass layoffs — new claims are almost not growing.
➤ But the number of people who remain unemployed for a long time is still high.
➤ This is a signal that the labor market is cooling slowly but steadily.
Why is this important for crypto and markets?
➤ The weaker the labor market — the higher the chance that the Fed will start lowering rates.
➤ And lowering rates = more liquidity and more interest in risk assets (stocks, BTC, altcoins).
This is not a crisis, but it is not strong either.
The labor market is holding up, but cracks are already visible.
This is not financial advice.
#FOMC #USACRYPTO $BTC $BNB
What is happening with altcoins:
• trading volume on Binance has fallen by 80–85%
• on other exchanges: from ~$91 billion to $18.8 billion
1️⃣ Capital is concentrating in BTC
Investors are choosing a more reliable asset in conditions of uncertainty.
2️⃣ There may not be an old “altseason”
Like in 2021 — when almost everything was rising.
3️⃣ New market = selective growth
Certain sectors will grow:
• infrastructure
• RWA
• strong projects with a product
📈 Flow into alts:
According to analysts — after the rise of BTC into the $120k–130k range.
❗️Conclusion:
The market is changing. Now it is not about “any alt”, but the right choice of asset.
#altseason
• trading volume on Binance has fallen by 80–85%
• on other exchanges: from ~$91 billion to $18.8 billion
1️⃣ Capital is concentrating in BTC
Investors are choosing a more reliable asset in conditions of uncertainty.
2️⃣ There may not be an old “altseason”
Like in 2021 — when almost everything was rising.
3️⃣ New market = selective growth
Certain sectors will grow:
• infrastructure
• RWA
• strong projects with a product
📈 Flow into alts:
According to analysts — after the rise of BTC into the $120k–130k range.
❗️Conclusion:
The market is changing. Now it is not about “any alt”, but the right choice of asset.
#altseason
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